OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
5.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.55
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
3,007.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,007.76
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 02 2023
|
β
|
2,916.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,916.31
|
Trades
|
WIF Sphere raises $650k by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
2,381.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,381.02
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
1,308.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,308.94
|
Trades
|
US inflation >0.4% from Feb to March 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 12 2024
|
β
|
1,065.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,065.13
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia boost oil production in Q4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 17 2024
|
β
|
700.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
700.30
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
685.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
685.93
|
Trades
|
$WIF all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
614.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
614.20
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
606.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
606.33
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
238.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
238.01
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
202.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
202.80
|
Trades
|
$WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
202.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
202.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
462.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5832
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
462.56
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-269.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
192.81
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
187.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
187.50
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
β
|
166.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
166.32
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
142.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
142.27
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
85.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
85.62
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
82.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
82.22
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
63.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
63.30
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
42.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
42.35
|
Trades
|
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
37.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.01
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia agree to sell oil to China in Yuan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,147.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,147.04
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1,124.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.94
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
17.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.34
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
β
|
5.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.11
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
-3.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.13
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
-4.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.19
|
Trades
|
Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 10 2024
|
β
|
-7.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.96
|
Trades
|
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? |
Yes |
No |
588.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0288
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
β
|
-16.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.95
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Dec 04 2023
|
β
|
-17.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.82
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-22.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.06
|
Trades
|
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-27.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.78
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-29.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.06
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
502.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0616
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-31.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.00
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war before February? |
Yes |
No |
1,285.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0257
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-33.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-33.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $55,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-41.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-41.02
|
Trades
|
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
55.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
842.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0646
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-54.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-54.44
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-54.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-54.48
|
Trades
|
Biden executive action on US-Mexico border in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-61.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-61.81
|
Trades
|
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
3,800.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0183
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-69.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-69.60
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-76.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-76.42
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-80.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-80.50
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
-86.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-86.40
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
458.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-87.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-87.02
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-90.00
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-109.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-109.96
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-222.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-222.62
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-287.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-287.23
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-384.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-384.90
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-678.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-678.68
|
Trades
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-823.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-823.51
|
Trades
|
US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,068.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.5317
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
β
|
-1,099.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,099.75
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-1,494.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,494.33
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
462.56
|
1,147.07
|
|
|
7,318.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,927.91
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
5.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.55
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
462.56
|
1,147.07
|
|
|
7,323.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,933.47
|
|