Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
2.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6700
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
2.37
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.37
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
2.15
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.15
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.20
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
2.05
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
9.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2100
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
9.52
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.52
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
6.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2900
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
6.90
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.90
|
Trades
|
Fury Vs. KSI |
Fury |
KSI |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
3.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.13
|
Trades
|
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis |
Paul |
Danis |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Salah join a Saudi club next transfer window? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
2.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.40
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.28
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
✅ |
2.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.17
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by October 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
2.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.08
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
✅ |
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Commanders vs. Eagles |
Commanders |
Eagles |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
✅ |
1.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.60
|
Trades
|
Scorigami in NFL Week 6? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
✅ |
1.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.58
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
3.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6300
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
3.17
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.17
|
Trades
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? |
Yes |
No |
2.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.31
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 14 2024
|
✅ |
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.81
|
Trades
|
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
0.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.79
|
Trades
|
Will Manchester United make it out of their group? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.7500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.67
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.67
|
Trades
|
Buccaneers vs. Lions |
Buccaneers |
Lions |
0.00
|
1.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.6400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.56
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.56
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7990
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.50
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.50
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.50
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
1.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7200
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.39
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.39
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.8390
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.38
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.38
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? |
Yes |
No |
1.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.88
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.38
|
Trades
|
Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.35
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.35
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.33
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.33
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.33
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.33
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.8700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.30
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.27
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.27
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
5.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9500
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5.26
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.26
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.26
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.26
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
2.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9200
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.17
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.17
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.17
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.17
|
Trades
|
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.17
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.17
|
Trades
|
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.16
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.16
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.63
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.63
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.13
|
Trades
|
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.11
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by November 12? |
Yes |
No |
1.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9100
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.10
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
2.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9700
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.06
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.06
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.9720
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.06
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.9840
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.03
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
1.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9870
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
1.72
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5800
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.86
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.14
|
Trades
|
Will Zuck KO Musk? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.5500
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
1.82
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.18
|
Trades
|
Raiders vs. Jets |
Raiders |
Jets |
0.00
|
8.91
|
0.25% |
|
0.1193
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
✅ |
-1.06
|
0.16
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
2.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Panthers vs. Texans |
Panthers |
Texans |
0.00
|
1.54
|
0.00% |
|
0.6500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Celestia token above $2 one week after airdrop? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.1500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 06 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
George Santos expelled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.79
|
0.00% |
|
0.5600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Another African coup by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
6.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Messi win Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
No |
2.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9670
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Browns vs. 49ers |
Browns |
49ers |
0.00
|
2.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the UAW strike end by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.08
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.6200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
3.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
3.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
SBF guilty of all charges? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.4700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.3800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
42.64
|
45.16
|
|
|
-76.04
|
0.16
|
0.00
|
11.93
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.37
|
4.21
|
|
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.58
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45.01
|
49.37
|
|
|
-82.04
|
0.16
|
0.00
|
12.50
|
|