Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
150.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
150.80
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
134.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
134.13
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
95.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
95.00
|
Trades
|
OpenAI Sora public release before May? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
35.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.45
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
22.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.13
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
21.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.84
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
53.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6523
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
53.66
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.66
|
Trades
|
Will Aston Martin beat Mercedes in the 2023 F1 season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
18.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.00
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
15.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.32
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
13.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.53
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye announce he is running for president by July 11? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 11 2023
|
β
|
12.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.76
|
Trades
|
Will X remove likes + reposts counter in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
12.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.73
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
12.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.50
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tadej PogaΔar win the 2023 Tour de France? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.6319
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
26.11
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-16.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.61
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
7.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.40
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
6.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.36
|
Trades
|
2023 FIDE World Cup: Will Magnus Carlsen win top 3? |
Yes |
No |
15.87
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6300
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
15.87
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.87
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
46.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.8845
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
46.64
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-41.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.39
|
Trades
|
Formula 1: Will Max Verstappen win the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7900
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
20.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 02 2023
|
β
|
-15.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.20
|
Trades
|
Who will crowdfund more money: Policeman or Nahel? |
Police |
Nahel |
17.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7744
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
17.05
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 07 2023
|
β
|
-13.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.85
|
Trades
|
Formula 1: Will Red Bull collect the most points of any constructor at the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 02 2023
|
β
|
3.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.81
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.8200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
18.29
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.29
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
23.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
23.26
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.26
|
Trades
|
Formula 1: Will 17 or more drivers complete the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix? |
Yes |
No |
12.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7800
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
12.82
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 02 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.82
|
Trades
|
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 26 2023
|
β
|
2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.50
|
Trades
|
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
12.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
12.22
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.22
|
Trades
|
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
1.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.10
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-19.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
βAll I want for Christmas is Youβ #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.99
|
Sat Jan 06 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.99
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
0.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.83
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
33.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.9790
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
33.71
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
-33.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.71
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.20
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.20
|
Thu Jun 29 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Superconductor "Yes" trading between 15Β’ and 65Β’ EOW? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
β
|
-0.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.80
|
Trades
|
Will Biden visit Hawaii by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
36.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1102
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
-4.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.20
|
Trades
|
Will USA win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
25.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2389
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Threads be the most popular app a week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
-8.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.10
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.7800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Ecuador Presidential Election: Will Luisa GonzΓ‘lez win? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
2.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-10.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.50
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.10
|
0.00% |
|
1.8933
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
26.10
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-49.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.31
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
27.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will Lil Uzi Vert's new album have over 175k sales in its first week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 06 2023
|
β
|
-27.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.63
|
Trades
|
Will Spain win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
35.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.8366
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-40.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.51
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
131.62
|
225.30
|
|
|
82.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
439.77
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.83
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
131.62
|
225.30
|
|
|
83.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
440.60
|
|