Account
0x3d8a89a20aa73fba0f30d080e8120de9f9555724 Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 78.53 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3594 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 38.68 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 08 2024 | -28.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.45 | Trades | ||
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.5570 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -27.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.85 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | -33,096.80 | 155,131.88 | 0.00 | 122,035.09 | Trades | ||
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | β | 58,657.40 | 30,920.36 | 0.00 | 89,577.76 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | -2,593.12 | 53,037.89 | 0.00 | 50,444.77 | Trades | ||
Superbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Chiefs | Bucs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 08 2021 | β | 47,701.71 | 1,013.79 | 0.00 | 48,715.50 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 27,314.82 | 4,288.43 | 0.00 | 31,603.24 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | β | 5,598.16 | 8,197.97 | 0.00 | 13,796.13 | Trades | ||
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 23 2021 | β | 2,548.25 | 6,951.84 | 0.00 | 9,500.09 | Trades | ||
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R) | Dems/Ossoff | Reps/Perdue | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 6,259.75 | 435.48 | 0.00 | 6,695.23 | Trades | |||
Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D) | Dems/Warnock | Reps/Loeffler | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 5,474.74 | 1,177.96 | 0.00 | 6,652.70 | Trades | |||
Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 6,329.39 | 13.48 | 0.00 | 6,342.87 | Trades | |||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 2,912.35 | 991.94 | 0.00 | 3,904.29 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 3,701.74 | 172.75 | 0.00 | 3,874.49 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | 2,919.66 | 68.03 | 0.00 | 2,987.69 | Trades | ||
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 402,451.96 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0034 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | -1,382.92 | 4,112.59 | 0.00 | 2,729.67 | Trades | |
Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 622.82 | 1,446.01 | 0.00 | 2,068.83 | Trades | |||
Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | 1,348.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,348.78 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | -2,875.34 | 3,936.77 | 0.00 | 1,061.43 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 45,026.24 | 0.00% | -0.0193 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 30 2021 | β | 867.48 | 120.92 | 0.00 | 988.39 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 633,295.05 | 0.00% | -0.0008 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 532.72 | 320.82 | 0.00 | 853.54 | Trades | |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 23,266.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9649 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 23,266.65 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 22 2022 | β | -22,450.44 | 7.82 | 0.00 | 824.04 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | 768.44 | 13.92 | 0.00 | 782.35 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $20k before Thanksgiving? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 26 2020 | β | 686.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 686.09 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump tweet announcing that he won the election before November 5th 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 05 2020 | β | 566.93 | 110.35 | 0.00 | 677.28 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | 615.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 615.59 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 384,904.19 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0014 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 532.45 | 65.11 | 0.00 | 597.56 | Trades | |
Will the Associated Press publish a tweet calling the 2020 US presidential election before November 6? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 06 2020 | β | 592.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 592.09 | Trades | ||
Will the Warriors or the Suns win their January 28th matchup? | Golden State Warriors | Phoenix Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 29 2021 | β | 581.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 581.97 | Trades | ||
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | β | 460.31 | 38.55 | 0.00 | 498.87 | Trades | ||
Will the Buffalo Bills or the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC Championship? | Bills | Chiefs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 25 2021 | β | 102.64 | 374.61 | 0.00 | 477.25 | Trades | ||
Will "peace" hit its Google Trends all time high (global, monthly) before June 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 05 2022 | β | 457.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 457.25 | Trades | ||
Will an official Presidential inauguration take place in-person outside the US Capitol on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | β | -87.79 | 487.96 | 0.00 | 400.17 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 373.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 373.88 | Trades | ||
Will the Ethereum 2.0 Genesis Event happen successfully on December 1st, 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 02 2020 | β | 232.12 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 232.16 | Trades | ||
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | 218.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 218.39 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | β | 172.29 | 27.42 | 0.00 | 199.71 | Trades | ||
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | -5.95 | 160.49 | 0.00 | 154.54 | Trades | ||
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | 136.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 136.96 | Trades | ||
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 63.04 | 0.00% | -1.0757 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 63.04 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 67.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 130.85 | Trades | |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 287,382.49 | -108.08% | 0.9996 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 287,382.49 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | -287,257.02 | 4.43 | 0.00 | 129.90 | Trades | |
Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Yes | No | 284.03 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5821 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 284.03 | 0.00 | Tue May 03 2022 | β | -165.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 118.69 | Trades | |
Will Kanye West release a new studio album before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | β | 98.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 98.39 | Trades | ||
How many tweets will @DonaldJTrumpJr post from Jan 18th to 25th? | 80 or more 70-79 60-69 50-59 49 or less |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Jan 25 2021 | β | 94.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 94.16 | Trades | ||||||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 86.48 | 2.51 | 0.00 | 88.99 | Trades | ||
Who will be the MVP of Super Bowl 55? | Mahomes Brady Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
11.11% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Feb 07 2021 | β | 82.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.69 | Trades | ||||||
Will $ETH be above $3,250 on April 13th, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 13 2022 | β | -115.16 | 195.28 | 0.00 | 80.11 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbase reach #1 in the Finance category on the US iOS App Store before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 70.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.94 | Trades | ||
Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? | Dune | Shang-Chi | 0.00 | 403.32 | 0.00% | 0.8257 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 403.32 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | β | -333.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.32 | Trades | |
Will Uniswap v3 launch before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | β | 62.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 62.66 | Trades | ||
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 22 2022 | β | 9.62 | 52.07 | 0.00 | 61.69 | Trades | ||
Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -1,714.56 | 1,775.91 | 0.00 | 61.35 | Trades | |||
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 1,812.74 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0657 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | β | -119.10 | 179.50 | 0.00 | 60.41 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | β | 34.50 | 25.11 | 0.00 | 59.60 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | β | 59.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 59.54 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbase begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 58.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.52 | Trades | ||
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | 56.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.43 | Trades | ||
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? | Yes | No | 50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.1229 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 05 2024 | β | 6.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.15 | Trades | |
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | 55.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.24 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? | Yes | No | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | -5.97 | 59.74 | 0.00 | 53.77 | Trades | ||
Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 53.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.77 | Trades | ||
Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 462,104.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -157.34 | 208.42 | 0.00 | 51.09 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 08 2022 | β | -63.19 | 112.23 | 0.00 | 49.04 | Trades | ||
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 191.91 | 0.00% | 0.7833 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 191.91 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | -150.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.60 | Trades | |
Will Tim Scott win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 300.00 | 0.00% | 0.8667 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 300.00 | Mon Sep 09 2024 | β | -260.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.00 | Trades | |
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 225.00 | 0.00% | 0.8411 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 225.00 | Mon Sep 09 2024 | β | -189.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.75 | Trades | |
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 225.46 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8996 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 225.46 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | β | -202.82 | 12.29 | 0.00 | 34.93 | Trades | |
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.88 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.88 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | β | 32.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.27 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 28.06 | 4.54 | 0.00 | 32.60 | Trades | ||
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 120.01 | 0.00% | 0.7300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 120.01 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | -87.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.40 | Trades | |
Will Drake release a new studio album before the end of 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 30.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.46 | Trades | ||
Will any art piece on Superrare sell for more than $100k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 01 2020 | β | 29.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.13 | Trades | ||
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 193.84 | 0.00% | 0.8531 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 193.84 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | -165.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.47 | Trades | |
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 26.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.93 | Trades | ||
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | 26.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.78 | Trades | ||
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 21.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.50 | Trades | ||
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? | Yes | No | 243.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9131 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 243.11 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | β | -222.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.11 | Trades | |
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | β | 18.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.00 | Trades | ||
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | β | 18.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.87 | Trades | ||
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 91.71 | 0.00% | 0.7983 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 91.71 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | β | -73.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.49 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 98.86 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0319 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | -3.15 | 19.10 | 0.00 | 15.95 | Trades | |
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.00 | 0.00% | 0.3900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | Fri Nov 17 2023 | β | -9.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.25 | Trades | |
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? | Yes | No | 696.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0210 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 23 2023 | β | 14.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.62 | Trades | |
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 339,352.64 | 0.00% | 0.0007 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | -230.69 | 243.65 | 0.00 | 12.97 | Trades | |
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 43.01 | 0.00% | -0.3007 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | 12.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.93 | Trades | |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | β | 12.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.50 | Trades | ||
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 01 2023 | β | 11.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.60 | Trades | ||
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8.95 | 0.00% | -0.2797 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 8.95 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.45 | Trades | |
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.00 | 0.00% | 0.6200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | Sun Nov 19 2023 | β | -15.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.50 | Trades | |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | 8.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.03 | Trades | ||
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 7.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.92 | Trades | |||
Will anyone say "Clinton" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 32.50 | 0.00% | 0.8000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 32.50 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | β | -26.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.50 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by May 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 347.88 | 0.00% | 0.0426 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 08 2022 | β | -14.81 | 21.10 | 0.00 | 6.28 | Trades | |
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 40.35 | 0.00% | 0.8496 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 40.35 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -34.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.07 | Trades | |
Superconductor "Yes" trading between 15Β’ and 65Β’ EOW? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 06 2023 | β | 6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 | Trades | ||
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | 5.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.95 | Trades | ||
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | 5.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.50 | Trades | ||
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 12.13 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0750 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -0.91 | 6.25 | 0.00 | 5.34 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | β | 4.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.59 | Trades | ||
Alien contact in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 4.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.23 | Trades | ||
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | β | 3.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.99 | Trades | ||
Zvbear arrested before February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 618.38 | 0.00% | 0.9940 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 618.38 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -614.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.71 | Trades | |
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Fri Nov 10 2023 | β | -46.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.50 | Trades | |
Will anyone say "Alien" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | β | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | Trades | ||
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by Sep 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | β | 2.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.89 | Trades | ||
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | 2.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.86 | Trades | ||
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 2.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.85 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 63.86 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -1.28 | 4.05 | 0.00 | 2.78 | Trades | |
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? | Yes | No | 4.65 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 1.0431 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -4.85 | 7.19 | 0.00 | 2.34 | Trades | |
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by May 17th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 110.36 | 0.00% | 0.9845 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 110.36 | Tue May 17 2022 | β | -108.64 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 2.17 | Trades | |
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.14 0.00 0.29 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.14 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | β | -5.63 | 7.41 | 0.00 | 1.93 | Trades | ||||||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 269.06 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0127 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | β | -3.41 | 5.25 | 0.00 | 1.84 | Trades | |
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.25 | 0.00% | 0.8000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6.25 | Mon Sep 09 2024 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.25 | Trades | |
Will anyone say "Bitcoin" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | β | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by May 1? | Yes | No | 26.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0729 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -1.90 | 2.83 | 0.00 | 0.93 | Trades | |
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | Trades | ||
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -0.22 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 01 2020 | β | -0.72 | 0.79 | 0.00 | 0.07 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | -0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Trades | ||
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.63% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will @kanyewest tweet again by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye Westβs DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 23 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their boxing exhibition match? | Yes | No | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.28 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | β | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | Trades | ||
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.23 | 0.00% | 0.1900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | β | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | Trades | |
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 27.29 | 0.00% | 0.4638 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 20 2022 | β | -12.66 | 12.33 | 0.00 | -0.32 | Trades | |
Will anyone say "January 6th" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.45 | 0.00% | 0.3100 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | β | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.45 | Trades | |
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 33.55 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0233 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | β | -0.78 | 0.09 | 0.00 | -0.69 | Trades | |
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.84 | Trades | ||
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? | Yes | No | 99.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0210 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -2.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.10 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.8% or higher on March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 30 2022 | β | -3.75 | 1.37 | 0.00 | -2.38 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 45.62 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0782 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -3.57 | 0.90 | 0.00 | -2.66 | Trades | |
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | ||
Will X start a crypto trading platform this year? | Yes | No | 15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -4.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.05 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 180.37 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0342 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -6.17 | 2.01 | 0.00 | -4.17 | Trades | |
NCAA March Madness: What seed will the Champion be? | 1-3 | 4-16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 04 2022 | β | -38.41 | 25.28 | 0.00 | -13.13 | Trades | ||
FIDE World Chess Grand Prix 2022: Will Hikaru Nakamura win Leg #3? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 04 2022 | β | -16.40 | 1.31 | 0.00 | -15.09 | Trades | ||
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? | 52 or fewer 53-55 56-58 59-61 62 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -18.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -18.00 | Trades | ||||||
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | -22.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -22.00 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Bidenβs disapproval rating be 48% or higher on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.33% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 16 2021 | β | -35.66 | 12.46 | 0.00 | -23.20 | Trades | ||
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 129.93 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1946 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -25.28 | 1.63 | 0.00 | -23.65 | Trades | |
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 342,921.07 | 0.00 | -116.26% | 1.0001 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 342,921.07 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 10 2022 | β | -342,971.00 | 22.49 | 0.00 | -27.45 | Trades | |
RNC Debate: Will DeSantis speak the most? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 23 2023 | β | -31.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -31.00 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 123.98 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4057 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | -50.30 | 6.56 | 0.00 | -43.74 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 55.00 | 0.00% | 0.8545 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | β | -47.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -47.00 | Trades | |
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 100.81 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4816 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -48.55 | 0.55 | 0.00 | -47.99 | Trades | |
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 92.21 | 0.00% | 0.5600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | β | -51.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -51.64 | Trades | |
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.2600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | β | -52.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -52.00 | Trades | |
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -55.92 | 2.34 | 0.00 | -53.58 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | -64.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -64.93 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 03 2021 | β | -66.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -66.00 | Trades | ||
2022 Norway Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen lose any game? | Yes | No | 4.89 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 16.3038 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 11 2022 | β | -79.75 | 6.26 | 0.00 | -73.49 | Trades | |
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 350.00 | 0.00% | 0.2543 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -89.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -89.00 | Trades | |
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -104.22 | 13.71 | 0.00 | -90.52 | Trades | ||
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 112.49 | 0.00% | 0.8522 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | β | -95.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -95.86 | Trades | |
Trump and Biden both win nomination? | Yes | No | 190.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5884 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | -111.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -111.80 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Bidenβs inauguration ceremony in person? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | -262.19 | 132.79 | 0.00 | -129.41 | Trades | ||
Will the Titans or the Ravens win their January 10th NFL Wild Card matchup? | Titans | Ravens | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 11 2021 | β | -207.42 | 77.02 | 0.00 | -130.40 | Trades | ||
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 17 2021 | β | -177.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -177.00 | Trades | ||
Will Axie Infinity's Battles V3 "Axie: Origin" be released by March 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -199.93 | 1.74 | 0.00 | -198.19 | Trades | ||
Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -277.96 | 57.36 | 0.00 | -220.60 | Trades | ||
Will Dogecoin be above $0.10 on February 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 15 2021 | β | -222.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -222.00 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,238,587.75 | 0.00% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -835.40 | 604.46 | 0.00 | -230.94 | Trades | |
Will Dogecoin be above $.069 on February 2nd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 02 2021 | β | -256.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -256.00 | Trades | ||
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | -790.65 | 516.59 | 0.00 | -274.05 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 1,868.49 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1657 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | -309.58 | 24.99 | 0.00 | -284.59 | Trades | |
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 499,168.57 | 0.00% | 0.0013 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -660.84 | 340.19 | 0.00 | -320.65 | Trades | |
Will a Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States in September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -470.13 | 121.80 | 0.00 | -348.33 | Trades | ||
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 148,915.50 | 0.00% | 0.0031 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | -466.93 | 30.27 | 0.00 | -436.66 | Trades | |
Will Candyman gross more than $19M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.11% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 30 2021 | β | -499.91 | 49.72 | 0.00 | -450.19 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | β | -522.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -522.00 | Trades | ||
Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | β | -1,006.41 | 435.26 | 0.00 | -571.15 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -943.22 | 232.46 | 0.00 | -710.76 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 24 2021 | β | -888.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -888.00 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -1,821.89 | 798.52 | 0.00 | -1,023.37 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH be above $3,400 on April 8th, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 411,760.38 | -11114.03% | 1.0055 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 411,760.38 | Fri Apr 08 2022 | β | -414,007.38 | 1,171.32 | 0.00 | -1,075.69 | Trades | |
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | -2,147.85 | 1,032.61 | 0.00 | -1,115.24 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | β | -2,076.07 | 928.88 | 0.00 | -1,147.19 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | β | -1,989.31 | 839.35 | 0.00 | -1,149.96 | Trades | ||
Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election? | Dems | Reps | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | β | -3,326.06 | 2,133.54 | 0.00 | -1,192.52 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 28 2021 | β | -1,308.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,308.00 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -1,358.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,358.00 | Trades | ||
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -3,480.47 | 2,094.23 | 0.00 | -1,386.25 | Trades | ||
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -2,247.29 | 615.12 | 0.00 | -1,632.17 | Trades | |||
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.8703 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | -1,740.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,740.63 | Trades | |
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,384,933.45 | 0.00% | 0.0014 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 05 2022 | β | -1,998.87 | 196.81 | 0.00 | -1,802.06 | Trades | |
Will the Green Bay Packers or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC Championship? | Packers | Buccaneers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 25 2021 | β | -3,256.53 | 1,112.07 | 0.00 | -2,144.46 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | -3,202.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,202.69 | Trades | ||
Will President Trump be suspended from Twitter before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -3,643.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,643.07 | Trades | ||
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -6,298.50 | 1,058.25 | 0.00 | -5,240.24 | Trades | |||
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | β | -8,474.44 | 1,771.68 | 0.00 | -6,702.76 | Trades | ||
Which party will control the senate? | Republican | Democratic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | -18,816.11 | 2,872.22 | 0.00 | -15,943.89 | Trades | ||
Will Trump complete his first term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | -18,590.43 | 1,192.58 | 0.00 | -17,397.85 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | -166,824.36 | 10,750.87 | 0.00 | -156,073.49 | Trades | ||
Resolved | 366,990.77 | 701,650.44 | -1,194,088.73 | 307,877.59 | 0.00 | 182,430.06 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 38.68 | 0.00 | -56.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.40 | ||||||||||||
Total | 367,029.44 | 701,650.44 | -1,194,144.81 | 307,877.59 | 0.00 | 182,412.66 |