Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? Yes No 761.71 0.00 0.00% 0.1415 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ -107.77 0.00 0.00 -107.77 Trades
Ethereum all time high in 2024? Yes No 85.99 0.00 0.00% 0.6050 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -52.02 0.00 0.00 -52.02 Trades
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -33.26 0.00 0.00 -33.26 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? Yes No 0.00 37.04 0.00% 0.5400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 28.17 0.00% 0.6870 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 29 2023 ✅ -19.35 0.00 0.00 -19.35 Trades
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? Yes No 154.29 0.00 0.00% 0.1167 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -18.00 0.00 0.00 -18.00 Trades
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? Yes No 272.02 0.00 0.00% 0.0589 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ -16.02 0.00 0.00 -16.02 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? Yes No 38.46 0.00 0.00% 0.3900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 04 2023 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? Yes No 999.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0150 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 49.30 0.00 0.00% 0.2782 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -13.72 0.00 0.00 -13.72 Trades
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? Yes No 30.95 0.00 0.00% 0.4200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 29 2023 ✅ -13.00 0.00 0.00 -13.00 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 114.79 0.00 0.00% 0.1012 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -11.62 0.00 0.00 -11.62 Trades
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 66.30 0.00% 0.1741 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 29 2023 ✅ -11.54 0.00 0.00 -11.54 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 114.08 0.00 0.00% 0.0614 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Another African coup by October 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -6.71 0.00 0.00 -6.71 Trades
Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31? Yes No 37.14 0.00 0.00% 0.1804 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -6.70 0.00 0.00 -6.70 Trades
Will Young Thug be found guilty of racketeering conspiracy? Yes No 9.14 0.00 0.00% 0.6566 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend? Yes No 1,123.93 0.00 0.00% 0.0044 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 27 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will 'Tears of the Kingdom' win Game of the Year? Yes No 29.41 0.00 0.00% 0.1700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 07 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? Yes No 23.81 0.00 0.00% 0.2100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 6.94 0.00% 0.7200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 0.00 102.56 0.00% 0.0390 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 20.89 0.00% 0.2251 0.96 0.04 0.00 0.83 Tue Sep 10 2024 -4.70 0.00 0.00 -3.87 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 15.71 0.00% 0.1973 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ -3.10 0.00 0.00 -3.10 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? Yes No 15.07 0.00 0.00% 0.1990 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? Yes No 21.93 0.00 0.00% 0.1368 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -2.25 0.00 0.00 -2.25 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 ✅ -2.12 0.00 0.00 -2.12 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ in 2023? Yes No 8.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? Yes No 0.00 3.33 0.00% 0.6000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 7.63 0.00 0.00% 0.2621 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Parlay: US Bitcoin Spot and ETH Futures ETF this year? Yes No 7.03 0.00 0.00% 0.2845 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 25.40 0.00 0.00% 0.0787 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? Yes No 21.98 0.00 0.00% 0.0910 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
ETH above $1,700 on October 13? Yes No 14.29 0.00 0.00% 0.1400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? Yes No 255.56 0.00 0.00% 0.0078 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -1.50 0.00 0.00 -1.50 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Sunday? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 22 2023 ✅ -1.50 0.00 0.00 -1.50 Trades
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -1.05 0.00 0.00 -1.05 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February? Yes No 12.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 10.50 0.00% 0.0952 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 0.00 4.00 0.00% 0.2500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Elon Musk own X through June 30? Yes No 0.00 12.50 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? Yes No 5.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? Yes No 2.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024? Yes No 5.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? Yes No 12.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
SBF sentenced to life? Yes No 8.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1250 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
North Korea missile test by October 15? Yes No 4.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Tesla deliver a Cybertruck in Q3? Yes No 2.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 19 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Tim Scott win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 10.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 5.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? Yes No 5.26 0.00 0.00% 0.1900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 43.48 0.00 0.00% 0.0230 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024? Yes No 4.76 0.00 0.00% 0.2100 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday? Yes No 0.00 1.59 0.00% 0.6300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
TikTok/UMG deal before March? Yes No 2.17 0.00 0.00% 0.4600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? Yes No 4.17 0.00 0.00% 0.2400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 0.00 1.28 0.00% 0.7800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? Yes No 20.41 0.00 0.00% 0.0490 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will US attack Yemen before February? Yes No 0.00 1.37 0.00% 0.7300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name any sitting US congressman? Yes No 1.59 0.00 0.00% 0.6300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? Yes No 3.03 0.00 0.00% 0.3300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? Yes No 1.67 0.00 0.00% 0.6000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100? Yes No 22.73 0.00 0.00% 0.0440 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 1.67 0.00 0.00% 0.6000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? Yes No 6.67 0.00 0.00% 0.1500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
OpenSea token in 2024? Yes No 2.44 0.00 0.00% 0.4100 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 3.23 0.00 0.00% 0.3100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.85 0.00% 0.5400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 11.11 0.00 0.00% 0.0900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 17? Yes No 5.56 0.00 0.00% 0.1800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will ‘The Marvels’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Morbius'? Yes No 0.00 12.66 0.00% 0.0790 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 13 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? Yes No 1.64 0.00 0.00% 0.6100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Biden visit Saudi Arabia in 2023? Yes No 11.11 0.00 0.00% 0.0900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? Yes No 9.09 0.00 0.00% 0.1100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? Yes No 43.48 0.00 0.00% 0.0230 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 34.48 0.00% 0.0290 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? Yes No 3.33 0.00 0.00% 0.3000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? Yes No 3.51 0.00 0.00% 0.2850 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? Yes No 5.88 0.00 0.00% 0.1700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 2.56 0.00% 0.3900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 3.85 0.00 0.00% 0.2600 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will a human have a Neuralink chip implanted by the end of 2023? Yes No 7.69 0.00 0.00% 0.1300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 0.00 1.43 0.00% 0.7000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop by Nov 30? Yes No 14.29 0.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Thanksgiving? Yes No 0.00 35.31 0.00% 0.0283 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 23 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? Yes No 0.00 166.67 0.00% 0.0060 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 11.11 0.00% 0.0900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis Paul Danis 0.00 4.17 0.00% 0.2400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 22.73 0.00% 0.0440 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.01 0.00% 0.9900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Ecuador Presidential Election: Will Luisa González win? Yes No 2.94 0.00 0.00% 0.3400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 2.33 0.00 0.00% 0.4300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 0.00 11.11 0.00% 0.0900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? Yes No 0.00 1.41 0.00% 0.7100 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 1.12 0.00% 0.8900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 0.00 1.16 0.00% 0.8600 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? Yes No 0.00 1.09 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 ✅ -0.98 0.00 0.00 -0.98 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 55.14 0.00 0.00% 0.0157 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.86 0.00 0.00 -0.86 Trades
Will SAG end strike by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -0.85 0.00 0.00 -0.85 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.99 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.67 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza on Monday? Yes No 1.77 0.00 0.00% 0.3657 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ -0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.65 Trades
Will the UAW strike end by October 31? Yes No 0.00 0.51 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.51 Trades
Will Ben Shapiro win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 21.28 0.00 0.00% 0.0470 0.02 0.98 0.52 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -0.48 Trades
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? Yes No 1.27 0.00 0.00% 0.7900 0.50 0.50 0.63 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -0.37 Trades
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.24 Trades
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? Yes No 1.72 0.00 0.00% 0.5800 0.50 0.50 0.86 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -0.14 Trades
Will Zuck KO Musk? Yes No 0.00 1.82 0.00% 0.5500 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.91 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -0.09 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.04 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 1.01 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.01 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 1.01 0.00 0.00% 0.9870 1.00 0.00 1.01 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 12.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.08 0.92 1.03 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell remain senator through 2023? Yes No 1.03 0.00 0.00% 0.9700 1.00 0.00 1.03 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 1.03 0.00 0.00% 0.9700 1.00 0.00 1.03 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.03 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.03 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? Yes No 1.03 0.00 0.00% 0.9690 1.00 0.00 1.03 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
New Carti music this year? Yes No 1.04 0.00 0.00% 0.9600 1.00 0.00 1.04 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 2.05 0.00 0.00% 0.9750 1.00 0.00 2.05 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Will Magnus play Hans by EoY? Yes No 0.00 1.05 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.05 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 1.05 0.00 0.00% 0.9500 1.00 0.00 1.05 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.06 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.06 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 0.00 2.17 0.00% 0.4600 0.50 0.50 0.00 1.09 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 1.12 0.00% 0.8900 0.03 0.97 0.00 1.09 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Will Do Kwon be extradited to the United States or South Korea? United States South Korea 2.22 0.00 0.00% 0.4500 0.50 0.50 1.11 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 1.03 0.00% 0.8903 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.03 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.92 0.00 0.00 0.11 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 1.12 0.00% 0.8900 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.12 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 Trades
AI on Amazon speaker by June? Yes No 1.18 0.00 0.00% 0.8500 1.00 0.00 1.18 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 1.49 0.00 0.00% 0.6700 0.79 0.21 1.19 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 1.35 0.00 0.00% 0.7400 0.89 0.11 1.20 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 1.20 0.00 0.00% 0.8300 1.00 0.00 1.20 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? Yes No 1.22 0.00 0.00% 0.8200 1.00 0.00 1.22 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 Trades
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? Yes No 0.00 1.25 0.00% 0.8000 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.25 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 Trades
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? Yes No 0.00 1.33 0.00% 0.7500 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.33 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' flop? Yes No 1.33 0.00 0.00% 0.7500 1.00 0.00 1.33 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia boost oil production in Q4? Yes No 0.00 1.35 0.00% 0.7400 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.35 Wed Jan 17 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.35 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? Yes No 1.39 0.00 0.00% 0.7200 1.00 0.00 1.39 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.39 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? Yes No 1.39 0.00 0.00% 0.7200 1.00 0.00 1.39 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.39 Trades
Haaland to break PL goal record this season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 19 2024 ✅ 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.39 Trades
Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift be seen kissing? Yes No 1.43 0.00 0.00% 0.7000 1.00 0.00 1.43 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.43 Trades
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 1.45 0.00 0.00% 0.6900 1.00 0.00 1.45 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? Yes No 30.01 0.00 0.00% -0.0163 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.49 Trades
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? Yes No 1.54 0.00 0.00% 0.6500 1.00 0.00 1.54 0.00 Wed Feb 14 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.54 Trades
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by March 8? Yes No 0.00 1.56 0.00% 0.6400 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.56 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.56 Trades
Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.58 Trades
ETH above $1,600 on Halloween? Yes No 1.59 0.00 0.00% 0.6300 1.00 0.00 1.59 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.59 Trades
Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.65 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? Yes No 1.69 0.00 0.00% 0.5900 1.00 0.00 1.69 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.69 Trades
New Ye music this year? Yes No 14.74 0.00 0.00% 0.9500 1.00 0.00 14.74 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.74 Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.80 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 1.82 0.00% 0.5500 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.82 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.82 Trades
Will X start charging all users? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.86 0.00 0.00 0.86 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 1.92 0.00 0.00% 0.5200 1.00 0.00 1.92 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.92 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 3.93 0.00 0.00% 0.7626 1.00 0.00 3.93 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.93 Trades
Binance insolvent in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1.11 0.00 0.00 1.11 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 1.23 0.00 0.00 1.23 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1.28 0.00 0.00 1.28 Trades
GTA 6 release date by end of year? Yes No 2.44 0.00 0.00% 0.4100 1.00 0.00 2.44 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 1.44 Trades
Will the Rangers win the World Series? Yes No 2.56 0.00 0.00% 0.3900 1.00 0.00 2.56 0.00 Fri Nov 03 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 1.56 Trades
Bitcoin all time high in 2024? Yes No 3.57 0.00 0.00% 0.5600 1.00 0.00 3.57 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 1.57 Trades
Will Man City win the Premier League? Yes No 3.57 0.00 0.00% 0.5600 1.00 0.00 3.57 0.00 Sun May 19 2024 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 1.57 Trades
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ 1.70 0.00 0.00 1.70 Trades
More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ 1.99 0.00 0.00 1.99 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2.25 0.00 0.00 2.25 Trades
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? Yes No 5.72 0.00 0.00% 0.5241 1.00 0.00 5.72 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 2.72 Trades
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 3.33 0.00 0.00 3.33 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 1.45 0.00 0.00% -2.3115 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ 3.35 0.00 0.00 3.35 Trades
Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 3.52 0.00 0.00 3.52 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 3.75 0.00 0.00 3.75 Trades
Will Biden visit Israel by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 22 2023 ✅ 4.26 0.00 0.00 4.26 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 6.45 0.00 0.00% 0.3100 1.00 0.00 6.45 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 4.45 Trades
Will ETH hit $3,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 5.67 0.00 0.00 5.67 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? Yes No 0.00 12.20 0.00% 0.4533 0.00 1.00 0.00 12.20 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ -5.53 0.00 0.00 6.67 Trades
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% -0.4779 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 7.17 0.00 0.00 7.17 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 8.89 0.00 0.00 8.89 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023? Yes No 11.11 0.00 0.00% 0.1800 1.00 0.00 11.11 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 9.11 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 5.73 0.00 0.00% -1.7089 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 9.80 0.00 0.00 9.80 Trades
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? Yes No 16.13 0.00 0.00% 0.3100 1.00 0.00 16.13 0.00 Mon Nov 27 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 11.13 Trades
Fed rate cut by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 ✅ 16.43 0.00 0.00 16.43 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ 23.18 0.00 0.00 23.18 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 39.45 0.00 0.00 39.45 Trades
Resolved 98.42 26.73 -348.46 0.00 0.00 -223.30
Unresolved 3.93 3.01 -91.58 0.00 0.00 -84.64
Total 102.36 29.74 -440.04 0.00 0.00 -307.94