Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
567.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
567.20
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
25.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.56
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
7.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.50
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
0.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.25
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.03 |
0.97 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Man City win the Premier League? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 19 2024
|
|
-0.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.63
|
Trades
|
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.20
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
67.20
|
0.00% |
|
0.9186
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-61.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-61.73
|
Trades
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
211.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
|
-200.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.49
|
Trades
|
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
228.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9200
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-209.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-209.76
|
Trades
|
Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,513.92
|
0.00% |
|
0.9620
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-1,456.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,456.32
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,781.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.9577
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-3,621.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,621.29
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
4,458.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,458.25
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
✅ |
1,199.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,199.79
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
919.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
919.20
|
Trades
|
Kate Middleton appearance by Sunday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 03 2024
|
✅ |
585.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
585.05
|
Trades
|
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
554.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
554.26
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
523.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
523.67
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
222.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
222.03
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
188.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
188.03
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,605.94
|
0.00% |
|
0.9698
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
4,605.94
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-4,466.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
139.31
|
Trades
|
ETH above $4,000 next Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
138.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
138.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $55,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
77.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.05
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.6954
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
69.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
69.54
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia agree to sell oil to China in Yuan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
41.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.63
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
39.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.61
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
27.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.49
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.00
|
Trades
|
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
✅ |
6.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.96
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
5.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.20
|
Trades
|
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.02
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
4.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
4.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.93
|
Trades
|
Bill Clinton arrested by Jan 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 10 2024
|
✅ |
2.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.10
|
Trades
|
Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1? |
Google |
NVIDIA |
0.00
|
594.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.9970
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
594.56
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-592.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.78
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
1.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.69
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 14 2024
|
✅ |
1.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.25
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
✅ |
1.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.16
|
Trades
|
More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
0.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.89
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.60
|
0.00% |
|
0.9940
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
100.60
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.60
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 23 2024
|
✅ |
0.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.36
|
Trades
|
Will Conor McGregor announce presidential run by Feb 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
0.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.29
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.24
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden win Mississippi Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
No |
75.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.0057
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
75.08
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 12 2024
|
✅ |
-75.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.42
|
Trades
|
Will Biden win Georgia Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0020
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 12 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden win Washington Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0020
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 12 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
133.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0618
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-8.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.23
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-14.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.47
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-38.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-38.54
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
✅ |
-56.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-56.78
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
851.13
|
0.00% |
|
0.3363
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-286.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-286.25
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,800.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.2433
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
-438.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-438.11
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
75.10
|
5,301.10
|
|
|
3,011.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,388.06
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-4,941.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,941.92
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
75.10
|
5,301.10
|
|
|
-1,930.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,446.15
|
|