Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
180.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9665
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
180.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
✅ |
-173.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.03
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by November 7? |
Yes |
No |
94.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9421
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
94.06
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
✅ |
-88.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.45
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
364.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.1682
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-61.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-61.39
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-0.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.68
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.23
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
111.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1073
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-11.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.91
|
Trades
|
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9290
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-13.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.94
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
170.20
|
0.00% |
|
0.9047
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-153.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-153.98
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
1.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.15
|
Trades
|
Russian nuke in space in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.90
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
903.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.6801
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-614.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-614.30
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7917
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-23.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.75
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
149.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.2046
|
0.51 |
0.49 |
0.00
|
73.26
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-30.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
42.57
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
26.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4243
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-11.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.03
|
Trades
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
60.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8568
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-51.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-51.41
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
House control after 2024 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
27.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.96
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
274.06
|
0.00
|
|
|
-324.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.36
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
73.26
|
|
|
-880.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-807.34
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
274.06
|
73.26
|
|
|
-1,205.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-857.70
|
|