Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
|
33.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.96
|
Trades
|
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? |
Netanyahu |
Sinwar |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 31 2024
|
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Navalny" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
101.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
101.21
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
44.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.52
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
41.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.26
|
Trades
|
More hostages in Gaza freed before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
27.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.50
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
24.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.23
|
Trades
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
17.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.56
|
Trades
|
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
13.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.12
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Moon" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
11.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.25
|
Trades
|
Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 10 2024
|
β
|
-2.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.10
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
28.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.5300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) |
Suozzi |
Pilip |
0.00
|
75.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 13 2024
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? |
Yes |
No |
75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 06 2024
|
β
|
-16.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.50
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-18.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.44
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
31.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.6300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
496.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-29.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.76
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
-37.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.94
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
|
|
125.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
125.90
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
31.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.46
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
|
|
157.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
157.36
|
|