Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-70.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
219.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
219.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-635.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-635.52
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-542.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-542.17
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin Hern be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
1,656.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,656.39
|
Trades
|
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.46
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.46
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
684.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
685.30
|
Trades
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
29.35
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0350
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-1.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.03
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-1,793.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,793.67
|
Trades
|
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
86.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
86.68
|
Trades
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.73
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
84.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
85.06
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1,639.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,639.07
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
8,496.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5191
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4,410.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,410.42
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-334.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-334.64
|
Trades
|
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,047.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,047.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1,036.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.47
|
Trades
|
George Santos expelled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-550.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-550.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2,447.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,447.44
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,544.80
|
0.00% |
|
0.4314
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
β
|
-1,097.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,097.91
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 02 2023
|
β
|
2,055.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,055.48
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-1,340.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,340.95
|
Trades
|
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
3,675.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7480
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
3,675.91
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-2,749.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
926.43
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
2,279.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,279.43
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
9.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.61
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
-0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.07
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
-78.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-78.78
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.00
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
21.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.37
|
Trades
|
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.80
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-57.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-57.33
|
Trades
|
Mississippi gubernatorial election: Presley (D) vs. Reeves (R) |
Presley |
Reeves |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-562.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-562.30
|
Trades
|
Virginia State Legislature: Will Republicans gain full control? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
475.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
475.47
|
Trades
|
Will the UAW strike end by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
244.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
244.96
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
224.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
224.93
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
774.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
774.41
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
1,838.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8628
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,838.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-1,585.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
252.20
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-3,195.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,195.23
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
195.89
|
0.00% |
|
2.1620
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
-423.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-423.51
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
9.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.52
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
252.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
252.59
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.00
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
0.00
|
5,349.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.9562
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5,349.12
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-5,114.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
234.50
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
432.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.5776
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
432.67
|
Tue Oct 17 2023
|
β
|
-249.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
182.77
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
1,057.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,057.31
|
Trades
|
Will KO get over 31% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-13.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.95
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
5,300.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,300.95
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
1,056.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2625
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-277.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-277.19
|
Trades
|
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-56.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-56.97
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
34.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.98
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
1.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.38
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14,499.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.1476
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-2,140.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,140.37
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.62
|
0.00% |
|
231.3869
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-2,688.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,688.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
2,207.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,207.73
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
864.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3932
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-340.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-340.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ronna McDaniel be reelected as RNC Chair? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 27 2023
|
β
|
1.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.94
|
Trades
|
Will Nancy Pelosi be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
718.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0905
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 03 2023
|
β
|
-65.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-65.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
7,690.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1595
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-1,227.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,227.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
242.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
242.50
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Franken) or Republican (Grassley) win in Iowa? |
Democrat |
Republican |
615.65
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0406
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
566.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5475
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
566.19
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-310.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
256.19
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-62.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-62.11
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
12,421.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2143
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-2,662.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,662.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
7.84
|
0.00% |
|
548.2382
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-4,300.70
|
7.65
|
0.00
|
-4,293.05
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? |
Democrat |
Republican |
2,009.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1593
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-320.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-320.00
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
697.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
697.79
|
Trades
|
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
650.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2259
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-147.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-147.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
60,114.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0893
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
-5,366.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5,366.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 16 2022
|
β
|
9,559.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,559.46
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6,080.85
|
6,829.27
|
|
|
-13,531.63
|
7.65
|
0.00
|
-613.85
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6,080.85
|
6,829.27
|
|
|
-13,531.65
|
7.65
|
0.00
|
-613.87
|
|