Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
β
|
13,413.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13,413.40
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
13,013.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13,013.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
16,232.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16,232.10
|
Trades
|
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sothebyβs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
β
|
5,092.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,092.23
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
β
|
1,691.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,691.68
|
Trades
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
3,803.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,803.80
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
β
|
446.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
446.24
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
β
|
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.00
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
748.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
748.64
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-9.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.10
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
145.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
145.19
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1,788.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,788.21
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
9,587.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,587.77
|
Trades
|
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
β
|
500.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
500.50
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
380.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
380.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
β
|
18.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.29
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
β
|
11.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.46
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
1,001.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,001.00
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
106.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
106.73
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
97.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
97.37
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
135.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
135.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
200.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,689.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.9980
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5,689.16
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-5,677.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.38
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5,000.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-4,500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
500.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
8,117.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,117.00
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
3.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.20
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,175.13
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3,175.13
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-3,048.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
126.88
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
25.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.22
|
Trades
|
Will Idalia hit Florida as Category 4 hurricane? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
700.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.9980
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
700.04
|
Wed Aug 30 2023
|
β
|
-698.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.40
|
Trades
|
Will 'Blue Beetle' gross over $13m this weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9970
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
Sun Aug 27 2023
|
β
|
-997.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $16m this weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 27 2023
|
β
|
5,197.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,197.85
|
Trades
|
Will 'Gran Turismo' gross over $22m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,155.61
|
0.00% |
|
0.9984
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,155.61
|
Sun Aug 27 2023
|
β
|
-1,153.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.82
|
Trades
|
Will Hilary hit US as a hurricane? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
2,294.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,294.83
|
Trades
|
Will 'Strays' gross over $20m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 20 2023
|
β
|
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "January 6th" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
0.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.65
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
319.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9970
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
319.48
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
-318.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.96
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $20m over August 11-13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 13 2023
|
β
|
405.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
405.40
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Last Voyage of the Demeter' gross over $8m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9990
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
400.00
|
Sun Aug 13 2023
|
β
|
-399.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Travis Scott's Utopia over 350k sales week 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 03 2023
|
β
|
3.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.20
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
84.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
84.83
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
81.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
81.78
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
281.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
281.00
|
Trades
|
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 01 2022
|
β
|
-3.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.25
|
Trades
|
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
β
|
-0.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.28
|
Trades
|
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by December 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 01 2021
|
β
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.67% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 01 2021
|
β
|
3.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.29
|
Trades
|
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 09 2021
|
β
|
4.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.01
|
Trades
|
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.88% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 08 2021
|
β
|
3.25
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
3.26
|
Trades
|
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416.2 ppm on August 3, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
9.09% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 04 2021
|
β
|
17.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.49
|
Trades
|
Will Iron Finance V2βs TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 01 2021
|
β
|
0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.99
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 31 2021
|
β
|
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.99
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
319.49
|
17,119.94
|
|
|
68,197.42
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
85,636.86
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
319.49
|
17,119.94
|
|
|
68,197.42
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
85,636.86
|
|