538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on August 15? |
Republicans |
Democrats |
6.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
11.1893
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 16 2022
|
✅ |
-73.01
|
0.21
|
0.00
|
-72.79
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
911.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0768
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
✅ |
-70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-70.00
|
Trades
|
Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
198.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.0252
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will an FTX acquisition of Robinhood be announced by September 20? |
Yes |
No |
161.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0621
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 20 2022
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
562.65
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0355
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-0.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.58
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
34.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4405
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
34.06
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.06
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-0.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.89
|
Trades
|
Will Donovan Mitchell get traded to the Knicks? |
Yes |
No |
315.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0159
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
10.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4559
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
10.97
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.97
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
97.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1540
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45.02
|
0.00
|
|
|
-219.48
|
0.21
|
0.00
|
-174.24
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45.02
|
0.00
|
|
|
-219.48
|
0.21
|
0.00
|
-174.24
|
|