Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
33.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-0.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.66
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
150.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0733
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.00
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14,686.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.0137
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-201.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-201.00
|
Trades
|
Will N.D. win a plurality in the Greek election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
USD/TRY (Turkish Lira) above 21 on June 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
673.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.0591
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
-39.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-39.77
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from April to May 2023? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 12 2023
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by June 15? |
Yes |
No |
19.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 15 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Turkish Central Bank raise interest rates at its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 22 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
215.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0107
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 26 2023
|
β
|
-2.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.30
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 on June 30? |
Yes |
No |
49.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0549
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.69
|
Trades
|
Will Trump's mugshot be released by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
134.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0057
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.77
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.US shut down by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
228.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2141
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
48.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.81
|
Trades
|
Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
165.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-3.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.30
|
Trades
|
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0530
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-5.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.30
|
Trades
|
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
68.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0234
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.59
|
Trades
|
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
33.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.99
|
Trades
|
Will MEXC become insolvent by July 3? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 03 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
USD/TRY (Turkish Central Bank buy rate) above 25 on July 3? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.0800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 03 2023
|
β
|
-1.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.19
|
Trades
|
Who will crowdfund more money: Policeman or Nahel? |
Police |
Nahel |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 07 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Macron remain President of France through July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny' gross more than $100m on its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
β
|
-2.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.25
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye announce he is running for president by July 11? |
Yes |
No |
35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0629
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 11 2023
|
β
|
-2.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.20
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
19.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2859
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
5.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.72
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
77.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0512
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-3.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.94
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
33.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-1.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.65
|
Trades
|
Will EthCC be postponed? |
Yes |
No |
69.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0428
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 17 2023
|
β
|
-2.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.95
|
Trades
|
Will 'No Hard Feelings' gross over $10m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
83.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0240
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 26 2023
|
β
|
-1.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.99
|
Trades
|
Will Adam22 and Lena The Plug break up this month? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
299.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0063
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.90
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
105.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0190
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
31.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1771
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.49
|
Trades
|
BTC above $26,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.7483
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
22.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.45
|
Trades
|
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
29.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.7303
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
50.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.18
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
117.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0145
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.71
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
0.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.43
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
124.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0155
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.92
|
Trades
|
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner |
Putin |
Wagner |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.35
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0037
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
0.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.55
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© join a Saudi club this transfer window? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 8? |
Yes |
No |
78.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0198
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 08 2023
|
β
|
-1.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.55
|
Trades
|
Antony suspended by Man United? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.3400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 12 2023
|
β
|
10.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.20
|
Trades
|
Will Friend Tech fall off? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 17 2023
|
β
|
4.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.63
|
Trades
|
Will the missing F-35 be found by September 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
110.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0182
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Milady Floor above 3 ETH on September 22? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 22 2023
|
β
|
3.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.95
|
Trades
|
Will 'Expend4bles' gross over $12.5m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 25 2023
|
β
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
3.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.55
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
40.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0512
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.09
|
Trades
|
Is Vivek Ramaswamy GCR? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0082
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.23
|
Trades
|
Will Remilia's stolen funds be returned this month? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.05
|
Trades
|
BTC above $27,000 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Is Obama queer? |
Yes |
No |
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0138
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.10
|
Trades
|
BTC above $23,456.78 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
95.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.0526
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
SPX6900 over $37m by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0281
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.25
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
133.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0147
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.96
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea announce a token by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
41.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0202
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.83
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0220
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.20
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Drake's "For All the Dogs" over 350k sales week 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 12 2023
|
β
|
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on October 13? |
Yes |
No |
33.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.99
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
2.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.40
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0442
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
1.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.33
|
Trades
|
Will Aaron Rodgers play again by October 29? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 28 2023
|
β
|
-0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.60
|
Trades
|
Will Apple announce M3 Chip at its "Scary Fast" event? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0140
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.42
|
Trades
|
Will Messi win Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0800
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
33.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.99
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,600 on Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
55.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0291
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.60
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
27.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0167
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.45
|
Trades
|
Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift seen together again? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
34.80
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0160
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
0.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.56
|
Trades
|
Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift be seen kissing? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
35.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.43
|
Trades
|
Will the UAW strike end by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.60
|
Trades
|
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden face new criminal charges before November 1? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
80.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
β
|
-1.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.60
|
Trades
|
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? |
Yes |
No |
65.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0569
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
-3.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.70
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
4.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.20
|
Trades
|
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Another House member censured by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0170
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.85
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0170
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.51
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Will Shedeur Sanders win the Heisman? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 10 2023
|
β
|
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? |
Yes |
No |
925.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0024
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
β
|
-2.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.20
|
Trades
|
Egypt Presidential Election: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
β
|
-0.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.32
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Aaron Rodgers play again by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Ledger hacker identified by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.80
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $44,000 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
CZ jail in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.60
|
Trades
|
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
66.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0150
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.99
|
Trades
|
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1410
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
7.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.05
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bitboy remarry by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0150
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.24
|
Trades
|
Will Sheikh Jassim buy Man United in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
38.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0712
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.76
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
8.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.2569
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
10.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.32
|
Trades
|
Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
33.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.99
|
Trades
|
Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.43
|
0.00% |
|
-0.3386
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
5.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.22
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Hillary Clinton jail by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Anthony Fauci jail by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0163
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.30
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.12
|
Trades
|
Will Aella find someone new to seriously date in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Will Man City lose this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0240
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.72
|
Trades
|
Will X start charging all users? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.56
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Was the moon landing faked? |
Yes |
No |
25.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Is the Earth flat? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.20
|
Trades
|
Will X start a crypto trading platform this year? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0330
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.99
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
33.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0545
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.80
|
Trades
|
Huobi Insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
69.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0329
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.29
|
Trades
|
Biden v. Nebraska: Student Loan Forgiveness |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.96
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
85.92
|
0.00% |
|
0.0382
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.28
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
3.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.60
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.75
|
Trades
|
Was @SECGov really hacked? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
150.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 12 2024
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.12
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 31, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0130
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.39
|
Trades
|
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0180
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
β
|
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Will Aaron Rodgers play again this season? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0050
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
28.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.23
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0280
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-1.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.40
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,333.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0183
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
-97.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-97.33
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-213.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-213.88
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-213.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-213.88
|
|