Account
0x388911e52bb2eb440b9f03ed24bcef13c93e1499 Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Unknown | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||||
Unknown | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||||
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 60.13 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1663 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | 8.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.16 | Trades | ||
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? | Yes | No | 3.35 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3241 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | -1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.09 | Trades | |
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before December 8th, 2021? | Yes | No | 37.72 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1325 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 07 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
World Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws? | More | Less | 1.98 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5054 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 14 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 85 ETH on December 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 8.62 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3480 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 16 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
Who will win the 2021 Chilean presidential elections? | Boric | Kast | 0.00 | 1.94 | 0.00% | 0.0000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 90 ETH on December 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | β | 3.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.31 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 55 ETH on December 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 3.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6239 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
Will Coinbaseβs NFT marketplace launch before 2022? | Yes | No | 16.98 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 0.1487 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -2.52 | 0.54 | 0.00 | -1.98 | Trades | |
Will Uniswap be live on Polygon before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,884.87 | 0.12% | 0.0001 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.58 | Trades | |
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | 27.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.05 | Trades | ||
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | 0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.53 | Trades | ||
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.4% or more in December? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | β | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 | Trades | ||
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | 2.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.91 | Trades | ||
Carabao Cup: Who will win the Arsenal v. Liverpool game on January 13? | -other- Arsenal Liverpool |
0.00 3.91 5.87 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Jan 13 2022 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | ||||||
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 65 ETH on January 14? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 603.68 | 0.34% | 0.0033 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 14 2022 | β | -2.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.02 | Trades | |
Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24? | Yes | No | 60.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 24 2022 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
Will $ETH be above $3,250 on April 13th, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 13 2022 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Proposal 100 for Compound Finance pass? | For | Against | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 20 2022 | β | 85.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.92 | Trades | ||
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,229.48 | 0.43% | 0.0001 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 22 2022 | β | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of Moonbirds be 15 ETH or more on April 27? | Yes | No | 2.61 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7659 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.61 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 27 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.61 | Trades | |
Will $ETH be above $2,700 on May 14, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10.49 | 0.00% | 0.9536 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10.49 | Sat May 14 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.49 | Trades | |
Will Ethereum's (ETH) price have a 10% or more daily change on any day in May 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8.71 | 0.00% | 0.5739 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1? | Celtics | Warriors | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 02 2022 | β | 83.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.99 | Trades | ||
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 2? | Celtics | Warriors | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 05 2022 | β | 4.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.27 | Trades | ||
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 3? | Celtics | Warriors | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 08 2022 | β | -2.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.85 | Trades | ||
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 4? | Celtics | Warriors | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 10 2022 | β | 4.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.31 | Trades | ||
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 5? | Celtics | Warriors | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 13 2022 | β | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.73 | Trades | ||
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 6? | Celtics | Warriors | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 16 2022 | β | 72.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.36 | Trades | ||
2022 Wimbledon Championships: Maxime Cressy vs Jack Sock | Cressy | Sock | 0.00 | 26.28 | 0.00% | 0.3627 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 26.28 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -9.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.75 | Trades | |
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? | Yes | No | 3,179.59 | 0.00 | 1.02% | 0.0005 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.52 | Trades | |
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 27.37 | 0.00% | 0.7050 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 27.37 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -19.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.07 | Trades | |
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 3.26 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3068 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
2022 Wimbledon Championships: Who will win Djokovic vs. Sinner? | Djokovic | Sinner | 0.00 | 7.02 | 0.00% | 0.1374 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 05 2022 | β | -0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.96 | Trades | |
MLB: Who will win New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 12, 7:20 PM ET? | Mets | Braves | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 12 2022 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
MLB: Who will win Dodgers vs. Cardinals, scheduled for July 13, 7:45 PM ET? | Dodgers | Cardinals | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | β | 54.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.96 | Trades | ||
MLB: Who will win New York Mets v. Chicago Cubs, scheduled for July 14, 8:05 PM ET? | Mets | Cubs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 14 2022 | β | -8.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.69 | Trades | ||
MLB: Who will win Atlanta Braves v. Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 25, 7:05 PM ET? | Braves | Phillies | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 25 2022 | β | 7.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.50 | Trades | ||
MLB: Who will win New York Yankees v. New York Mets, scheduled for July 26, 7:10 PM ET? | Yankees | Mets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 26 2022 | β | 57.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57.22 | Trades | ||
MLB: Who will win Chicago Cubs v. San Francisco Giants, scheduled for July 28, 9:45 PM ET? | Cubs | Giants | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 29 2022 | β | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.42 | Trades | ||
NFL Preseason: Who will win Jacksonville Jaguars v. Las Vegas Raiders, scheduled for August 4, 8:00 PM ET? | Jaguars | Raiders | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 04 2022 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
MLB: Who will win New York Mets v. Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 16, 7:20 PM ET? | Mets | Braves | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 16 2022 | β | 29.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.42 | Trades | ||
MLB: Who will win Boston Red Sox v. Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 21, 7:10 PM ET? | Red Sox | Orioles | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 21 2022 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4462 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.79 | Trades | |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? | Yes | No | 9.40 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5318 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 21 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.13 | 0.00% | 0.4435 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.50 | Trades | |
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Democratic | Republican | 3.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3312 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.02 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.02 | Trades | |
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? | Democratic | Republican | 10.58 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | |
World Cup: Tuesday - Argentina vs. Croatia | Argentina | Croatia | 0.00 | 6.95 | 0.00% | -0.2738 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 13 2022 | β | 1.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.90 | Trades | |
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from October to November 2022? | Yes | No | 15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 13 2022 | β | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | Trades | |
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from October to November 2022? | Yes | No | 15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 13 2022 | β | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | Trades | |
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from October to November 2022? | Yes | No | 15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 13 2022 | β | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | Trades | |
World Cup: Wednesday - France vs. Morocco | France | Morocco | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 14 2022 | β | 2.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.85 | Trades | ||
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 75.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3324 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 75.21 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 15 2022 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.21 | Trades | |
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 21.44 | 0.00% | 0.4665 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 1,055.82 | 0.00 | 0.20% | 0.0010 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.04 | Trades | |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? | Yes | No | 10.75 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10.75 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 01 2023 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | Trades | |
NBA: Knicks vs. Magic (02/07/2023) | Knicks | Magic | 0.00 | 55.73 | 100.00% | 0.0176 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 07 2023 | β | -0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.98 | Trades | |
NBA: Suns vs. Nets (02/07/2023) | Suns | Nets | 0.00 | 83.71 | 100.00% | 0.0118 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 07 2023 | β | -0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.99 | Trades | |
NBA: Bucks vs. Bulls (02/16/2023) | Bucks | Bulls | 56.82 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8800 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 56.82 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 15 2023 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.82 | Trades | |
NBA: Clippers vs. Suns (02/16/2023) | Clippers | Suns | 0.00 | 9.43 | 0.00% | 0.5300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 15 2023 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
NBA: Wizards vs. Timberwolves (02/16/2023) | Wizards | Timberwolves | 0.00 | 1.28 | 0.00% | 0.7800 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 15 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will $MATIC be above $1.50 on February 25? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Feb 25 2023 | β | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.00 | Trades | |
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $12 million domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 27 2023 | β | -18.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | |
NBA: San Antonio Spurs vs. Indiana Pacers 2023-03-02 | Spurs | Pacers | 3.03 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.03 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 02 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.03 | Trades | |
Will Chelsea beat Dortmund? (03/07/2023) | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 06 2023 | β | 16.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.47 | Trades | ||
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 11.31 | 0.00% | 0.6577 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -7.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.44 | Trades | |
Did Kevin O'Leary bail out SBF? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.08 | 0.00% | 1.7305 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.08 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | β | -1.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.79 | Trades | |
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.10 | 0.00% | 0.9800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5.10 | Fri Apr 07 2023 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | Trades | |
Will Uniswap's wallet be live on the iOS app store by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.62 | 0.00% | 0.8900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -3.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.28 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Tate be released by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 30.00 | 0.00% | 0.8450 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -25.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.35 | Trades | |
Will Binance list $PEPE by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Fri May 05 2023 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Trades | ||
Will 'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' gross more than $125 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 07 2023 | β | -38.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -38.00 | Trades | |
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 14 2023 | β | 2.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.15 | Trades | ||
Will N.D. win a plurality in the Greek election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.1200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 21 2023 | β | -24.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.00 | Trades | |
Will Milady outperform BAYC? | Yes | No | 3.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.33 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.33 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10.99 | 0.00% | 1.1431 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10.99 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | -12.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.57 | Trades | |
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? | Yes | No | 1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.11 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 23 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 | Trades | |
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? | Yes | No | 13.25 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0731 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | -0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.97 | Trades | |
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.04 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | Trades | |
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 12.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.75 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | β | -123.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -123.87 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,250.00 | 0.00% | 0.0080 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 01 2023 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Did SBF launch BALD? | Yes | No | 33.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 15 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
ETH above $1,700 on Aug 25? | Yes | No | 2.78 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 25 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? | Yes | No | 584.48 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0051 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
Will MbappΓ© sign for Real Madrid? | Yes | No | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will MbappΓ© join a Saudi club this transfer window? | Yes | No | 4.87 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2032 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | β | -0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.99 | Trades | |
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? | Yes | No | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
SPX6900 over $37m by Sep 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | β | 1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.13 | Trades | ||
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | -2.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.20 | Trades | |
Detroit Pistons longest single-season losing streak in NBA history (>26 games)? | Yes | No | 2.27 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4400 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.27 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 26 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.27 | Trades | |
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? | Yes | No | 1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9730 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.03 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | Trades | |
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? | Yes | No | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will Chelsea F.C. win another Premier League game this year? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9970 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? | Yes | No | 62.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0479 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.75 | 0.00% | 0.5700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.75 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | Trades | |
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | Yes | No | 65.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1035 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -6.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.75 | Trades | |
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 2.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.73 | Trades | ||
Will Do Kwon be extradited to the United States or South Korea? | United States | South Korea | 0.12 | 0.00 | 50.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.06 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -58.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -58.81 | Trades | ||
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? | $1 first | $2 first | 2.53 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.53 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.53 | Trades | |
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? | Yes | No | 7.69 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? | Yes | No | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.08 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.16 | Trades | ||
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 13 2024 | β | 34.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.59 | Trades | ||
Abbas still President of Palestine by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.04 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | Trades | |
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? | Yes | No | 11.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 28 2024 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 2.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Hunter Biden arrested before April? | Yes | No | 12.50 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 31 2024 | β | 2.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.53 | Trades | ||
Will Girona win La Liga 2023-24? | Yes | No | 41.56 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1743 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 31 2024 | β | -7.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.24 | Trades | |
Will Blur Season 3 end by May? | Yes | No | 10.39 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.5212 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 31 2024 | β | -15.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.80 | Trades | |
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? | $1800 | $2200 | 0.00 | 1.32 | 0.00% | 0.7600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.32 | Mon Jul 01 2024 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.32 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | β | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | Trades | ||
Trump and Biden both win nomination? | Yes | No | 1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 10.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0961 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | -0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.97 | Trades | |
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 23.39 | 0.13% | -5.9797 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | 139.86 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 139.95 | Trades | |
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 24.13 | 0.00% | 0.6989 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | β | -16.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.86 | Trades | |
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 7.22 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5537 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 08 2024 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | |
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 15 2024 | β | 70.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.80 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.29 | Trades | |||
NBA: Bulls vs. Grizzlies (02/07/2023) | Bulls | Grizzlies | 74.61 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0132 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -0.99 | 0.08 | 0.00 | -0.90 | Trades | ||
NBA: Hawks vs. Pelicans (02/07/2023) | Hawks | Pelicans | 83.71 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0118 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.99 | Trades | ||
NBA: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets (02/07/2023) | Timberwolves | Nuggets | 74.61 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0132 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.99 | Trades | ||
NBA: Thunder vs. Lakers (02/07/2023) | Thunder | Lakers | 0.00 | 76.73 | 100.00% | 0.0129 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.99 | Trades | ||
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 2.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.88 | Trades | |||
Resolved | 184.95 | 84.37 | 57.78 | 0.71 | 0.00 | 327.82 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -0.00 | ||||||||||||
Total | 184.95 | 84.37 | 57.78 | 0.72 | 0.00 | 327.82 |