Will 2024 be better than 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
27.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.5400
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 15 2022
|
โ
|
108.09
|
12.52
|
0.00
|
120.61
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03ยฐC or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
252.08
|
0.00% |
|
-0.4238
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
106.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
106.83
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
โ
|
58.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.20
|
Trades
|
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 27 2023
|
โ
|
47.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.87
|
Trades
|
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
89.23
|
0.00% |
|
-0.4999
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
โ
|
44.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.61
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? |
Higher |
Lower |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
โ
|
44.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.58
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
40.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.63
|
Trades
|
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
โ
|
34.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.44
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
33.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.36
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
27.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.29
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
โ
|
24.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.47
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 1.0% from February to March 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 12 2022
|
โ
|
20.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.04
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
19.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.85
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
โ
|
19.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.41
|
Trades
|
SBF reduced sentence because autism? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 28 2024
|
โ
|
18.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.66
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
โ
|
14.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.16
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
โ
|
13.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.89
|
Trades
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
31.02
|
0.00% |
|
-0.4210
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 14 2024
|
โ
|
13.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.06
|
Trades
|
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (ไพฏๅๅฎ) or Ko Wen-je (ๆฏๆๅฒ)? |
Yu-ih |
Wen-je |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
โ
|
9.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.88
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
34.72
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7200
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
34.72
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
โ
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.72
|
Trades
|
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? |
Yes |
No |
19.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5200
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
19.23
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.23
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Navalny" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.3600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
13.89
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.89
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
โ
|
8.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.50
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 11 2022
|
โ
|
7.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.33
|
Trades
|
Any Blast rug >$1m by Mar 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.93
|
0.00% |
|
0.6700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
14.93
|
Thu Mar 07 2024
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.93
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
โ
|
4.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.73
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
โ
|
4.36
|
0.17
|
0.00
|
4.52
|
Trades
|
Will the US hit its highest recorded gas price per gallon according to AAA by March 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 15 2022
|
โ
|
4.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.51
|
Trades
|
What will the price of Ethereum ($ETH) be on March 10, 2022? |
Long |
Short |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.30 |
0.70 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 10 2022
|
โ
|
4.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.29
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
โ
|
3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.75
|
Trades
|
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
18.75
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.75
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.7800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
12.82
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.82
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
โ
|
0.22
|
2.10
|
0.00
|
2.31
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Moon" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.6900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
7.25
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.25
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
โ
|
1.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.86
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
6.33
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.33
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Hunter" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
6.25
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.25
|
Trades
|
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday? |
Yes |
No |
6.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8300
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
6.02
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 22 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.02
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
0.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.96
|
Trades
|
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
โ
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $2,600 on March 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 15 2022
|
โ
|
-0.08
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
-0.07
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Will the richer man win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.6000
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
4.17
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.83
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' flop? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.1100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
29.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0670
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
83.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.0240
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,455.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.0014
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
โ
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
7.35
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
13.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
โ
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
โ
|
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
21.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bronny James be drafted? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.6500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 27 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.94
|
0.00% |
|
0.6300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
371.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0135
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
166.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to life? |
Yes |
No |
73.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0678
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
55.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
135.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0370
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
71.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.0700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
37.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1350
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza on Monday? |
Yes |
No |
29.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Harvard get fewer applicants this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
17.24
|
0.00% |
|
0.2900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
94.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0530
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
11.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Ukraine/Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.1900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "China/Chinese" three or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.83
|
0.00% |
|
0.2400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.63
|
0.00% |
|
0.4300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will an earthquake with magnitude 8.0 or above occur anywhere on Earth before June 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
24.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2056
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
126.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0395
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Moriah Mills leak a sex tape with Zion Williamson? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 26 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Man City win the Premier League? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 19 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Another African coup by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
22.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2273
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
โ
|
-7.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.50
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.66
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.66
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
15.87
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
115.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0865
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? |
Yes |
No |
15.87
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 04 2023
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.87
|
0.00% |
|
0.6300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
333.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
45.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
52.63
|
0.00% |
|
0.1900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
37.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.2667
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
29.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.3400
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.8100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.6800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
178.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0560
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 01 2022
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden and Putin meet by March 21, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
284.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0351
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 21 2022
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.9% or more in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
230.72
|
0.00% |
|
0.0433
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 17 2022
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
159.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0626
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? |
Yes |
No |
125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
60.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2244
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
โ
|
-13.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.46
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
95.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1572
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
28.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.5200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Bidenโs approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
85.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1764
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
152.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0983
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
203.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0737
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from March to April 2022? |
Yes |
No |
156.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0958
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 11 2022
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
198.92
|
0.00% |
|
0.0754
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 16 2022
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner |
Putin |
Wagner |
0.00
|
150.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on its second weekend? |
Yes |
No |
31.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? |
Yes |
No |
125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
242.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0631
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
โ
|
-15.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.28
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.8% or higher on March 22? |
Yes |
No |
199.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0919
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 23 2022
|
โ
|
-18.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.37
|
Trades
|
Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.71
|
0.00% |
|
18.1314
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 03 2022
|
โ
|
-85.46
|
65.80
|
0.00
|
-19.66
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
107.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1867
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
70.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.2853
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 22 2022
|
โ
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 9, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
1,044.74
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0191
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 09 2022
|
โ
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
52.59
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3803
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
โ
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.28
|
0.00% |
|
0.2363
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
โ
|
-23.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.69
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk tweet โDogeโ or โDogecoinโ before March 19, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
35.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.6991
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 18 2022
|
โ
|
-24.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.99
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
36.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.6836
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
833.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 27 2023
|
โ
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
138.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.1800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
โ
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
117.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2130
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
โ
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election? |
Lee Jae-myung |
Yoon Seok-youl |
99.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3002
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 09 2022
|
โ
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
349.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0857
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 17 2022
|
โ
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
337,682.19
|
9.43% |
|
0.0005
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
โ
|
-154.28
|
0.00
|
112.97
|
-41.31
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
168.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.2666
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 22 2022
|
โ
|
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
93.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
โ
|
-45.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.95
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
277.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.1800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
85.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5844
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
โ
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil reach $150 by March 25, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
199.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 25 2022
|
โ
|
-55.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-55.95
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
536.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1431
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-76.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-76.83
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.00
|
1,009.83
|
0.00% |
|
0.0769
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
โ
|
-77.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-77.65
|
Trades
|
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 25 2022
|
โ
|
-207.29
|
128.20
|
0.00
|
-79.08
|
Trades
|
Will 'Elden Ring' win Game of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 08 2022
|
โ
|
-82.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-82.30
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
243.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4113
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
โ
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
250.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9596
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 15 2022
|
โ
|
-240.01
|
21.10
|
0.00
|
-218.91
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
499.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6274
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
โ
|
-313.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-313.67
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60.00
|
84.38
|
|
|
-1,779.96
|
229.90
|
112.97
|
-1,292.71
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60.00
|
84.38
|
|
|
-1,794.96
|
229.90
|
112.97
|
-1,307.71
|
|