Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8300
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.20
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? |
Yes |
No |
2.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4362
|
|
0.41 |
0.59 |
0.95
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.84
|
0.00% |
|
0.1317
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
-0.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.51
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
1.16
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.14
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.14
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.14
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
85.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0972
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-8.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.35
|
Trades
|
Will Fantano rate Drake's new album a 7 or higher? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
1.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.25
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.25
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.4900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.04
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.04
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
1.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
SPX6900 over $5m by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
8.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1048
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 22 2023
|
β
|
-0.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.94
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
1.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.70
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
26.40
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7577
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
26.40
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.40
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
48.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2045
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
10.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9795
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
10.21
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 01 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.21
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22.66
|
0.00% |
|
0.4413
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
22.66
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.66
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
12.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.65
|
Trades
|
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1? |
Celtics |
Warriors |
5.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3864
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5.18
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 02 2022
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.18
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
13.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7519
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
13.30
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 22 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.30
|
Trades
|
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
27.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7170
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
27.89
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 10 2022
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.89
|
Trades
|
Will MetaMask airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
3.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3104
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bored Ape Yacht Club airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
25.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3966
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
25.21
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.21
|
Trades
|
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? |
Yes |
No |
44.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2271
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 25 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
2.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3347
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 15 2022
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
114.80
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0871
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
5.11
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 22 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.89
|
Trades
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,407.47
|
0.21% |
|
-0.0003
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 21 2022
|
β
|
0.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.82
|
Trades
|
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on February 1st, 2022? |
Bored Apes |
CryptoPunks |
0.00
|
1,464.99
|
1.50% |
|
0.0000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 01 2022
|
β
|
-0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.04
|
Trades
|
Will Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) flip CryptoPunks by January 10, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
2.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3616
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.99
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 10 2022
|
β
|
-1.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.91
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? |
Yes |
No |
24.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5350
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
-13.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
1.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8789
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.14
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.14
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 90 ETH on December 23, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.07
|
0.00% |
|
0.8486
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
7.07
|
Thu Dec 23 2021
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.07
|
Trades
|
Who will win the 2021 Chilean presidential elections? |
Boric |
Kast |
0.00
|
1.91
|
0.00% |
|
0.0000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 23 2021
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast's Squid Game video reach 60M views in its first week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 01 2021
|
β
|
-145.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-145.12
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
81.40
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0165
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 30 2021
|
β
|
-1.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.34
|
Trades
|
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
14.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2682
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 30 2021
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
15.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3131
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 29 2021
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? |
Yes |
No |
10.59
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9440
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
10.59
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 24 2021
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.59
|
Trades
|
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1.60 on November 24? |
Yes |
No |
2.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3783
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.64
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 24 2021
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.64
|
Trades
|
Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
9.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5149
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
9.71
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 20 2021
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.71
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be listed for trading on Coinbase by November 18th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.8711
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 18 2021
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by November 17th? |
Yes |
No |
15.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1280
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 17 2021
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 15? |
Yes |
No |
118.58
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0422
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 15 2021
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 60M global weekly streams for period Nov 4 - Nov 11? |
Yes |
No |
24.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2045
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 12 2021
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
What will the price of $MATIC be on November 11, 2021? |
Long |
Short |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.25 |
0.75 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 11 2021
|
β
|
0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
760.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0131
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 11 2021
|
β
|
-9.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.93
|
Trades
|
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
10.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4750
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 02 2021
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swiftβs re-recording of her album βRedβ beat Kanye's "Donda" in first week streams? |
Yes |
No |
77.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0129
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
-1.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.08
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31? |
Yes |
No |
13.87
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8940
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
13.87
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
-12.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.47
|
Trades
|
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? |
Yes |
No |
383.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1667
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 15 2021
|
β
|
-64.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-64.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
361.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0277
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 05 2021
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
633.01
|
0.18% |
|
-0.0158
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 01 2021
|
β
|
9.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.99
|
Trades
|
What will the price of $ADA be on October 1, 2021? |
Long |
Short |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.53 |
0.47 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 01 2021
|
β
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? |
Yes |
No |
37.65
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2119
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 10 2021
|
β
|
-7.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.98
|
Trades
|
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? |
McGregor |
Poirier |
10.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4807
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 10 2021
|
β
|
-5.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.24
|
Trades
|
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 2? |
Bucks |
Suns |
112,355.46
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0001
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 08 2021
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Who will win Suns vs. Lakers: Game 2? |
Suns |
Lakers |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 25 2021
|
β
|
-760.40
|
285.64
|
0.00
|
-474.76
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
3.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2600
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
5.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
5.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3976
|
|
0.03 |
0.97 |
0.13
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.87
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
6.48
|
0.00
|
0.10% |
-3.3277
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
6.03
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
21.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.61
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
3.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
2.65
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.65
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
157.64
|
32.91
|
|
|
-1,201.13
|
285.64
|
0.00
|
-724.94
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.82
|
0.00
|
|
|
15.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.39
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
166.45
|
32.91
|
|
|
-1,185.56
|
285.64
|
0.00
|
-700.55
|
|