Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.16
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
3.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.5200
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
1.91
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.09
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.33
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
3.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1040
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.39
|
0.00% |
|
0.3600
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.7600
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
✅ |
12.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.86
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.5400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.70
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.70
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.7700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.30
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.9789
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
12.26
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.26
|
Trades
|
Will Linda Yaccarino remain CEO of X through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
2.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9400
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.13
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.13
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.9780
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.11
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker interview Putin? |
Yes |
No |
2.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0390
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.0900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? |
Yes |
No |
3.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.13
|
22.37
|
|
|
-11.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.16
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
1.92
|
|
|
-4.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.16
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.13
|
24.29
|
|
|
-15.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.00
|
|