Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
β
|
283.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
283.33
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
244.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
244.97
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
197.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
197.52
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
162.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
162.69
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
46.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.46
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
β
|
39.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.28
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
17.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.99
|
Trades
|
Will Circle IPO by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
12.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.91
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
12.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.50
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
β
|
11.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.45
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.41
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,600 on Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.16
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-7.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.94
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? |
Yes |
No |
16.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
β
|
-19.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.89
|
Trades
|
CZ sentenced to prison? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
52.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.4400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-23.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.00
|
Trades
|
Will βThe Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakesβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'The Marvels'? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
β
|
-29.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.85
|
Trades
|
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
101.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.5182
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-52.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-52.64
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-118.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-118.92
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
317.21
|
0.00% |
|
0.8462
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-268.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-268.44
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.42
|
0.02
|
|
|
498.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
498.65
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.42
|
0.02
|
|
|
498.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
498.65
|
|