Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
250.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-245.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-245.00
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
914.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-822.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-822.60
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
✅ |
2,722.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,722.22
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,061.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,061.86
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
✅ |
786.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
786.84
|
Trades
|
Is the Earth flat? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
502.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
502.00
|
Trades
|
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
395.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
395.20
|
Trades
|
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
345.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
345.61
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
260.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
260.20
|
Trades
|
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
✅ |
255.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
255.00
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
253.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
253.75
|
Trades
|
Will Putin be reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 07 2024
|
✅ |
248.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
248.09
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Navalny in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
✅ |
234.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
234.78
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
227.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
227.40
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
208.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
208.33
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
114.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
114.01
|
Trades
|
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
108.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
108.33
|
Trades
|
Will another plane's cabin door blow off in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
104.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
104.71
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' flop? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
102.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
102.02
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
101.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
101.50
|
Trades
|
Hillary Clinton jail by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
71.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
71.63
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
71.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
71.63
|
Trades
|
Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
61.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.85
|
Trades
|
Mississippi gubernatorial election: Presley (D) vs. Reeves (R) |
Presley |
Reeves |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
61.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.11
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
56.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.86
|
Trades
|
Alien contact in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
49.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.48
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
✅ |
47.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.42
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
45.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.20
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? |
Yes |
No |
1,044.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9570
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,044.93
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.93
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? |
Yes |
No |
2,685.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9845
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2,685.71
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2,643.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.72
|
Trades
|
Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
33.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.99
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Nazi in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
✅ |
19.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.41
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
17.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.25
|
Trades
|
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
✅ |
10.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.42
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
6.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.52
|
Trades
|
Will Russia invade Alaska before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
905.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.9940
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
905.43
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-900.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.43
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.90
|
Trades
|
Was the moon landing faked? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.31
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,730.64
|
905.43
|
|
|
4,043.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,679.31
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-1,067.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,067.60
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,730.64
|
905.43
|
|
|
2,975.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,611.71
|
|