Canada federal election in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
20.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.40
|
Trades
|
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
House control after 2024 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-0.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.34
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
โ
|
946.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
946.98
|
Trades
|
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (ไพฏๅๅฎ) or Ko Wen-je (ๆฏๆๅฒ)? |
Yu-ih |
Wen-je |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
โ
|
900.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
900.30
|
Trades
|
Will DPP (ๆฐ้ฒ้ปจ) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
โ
|
706.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
706.07
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
456.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
456.85
|
Trades
|
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) |
Suozzi |
Pilip |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 13 2024
|
โ
|
453.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
453.40
|
Trades
|
Instacart market cap >20b? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
402.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
402.50
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
โ
|
397.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
397.73
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
375.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
375.20
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
โ
|
251.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
251.38
|
Trades
|
Will Australia's Indigenous Voice referendum pass? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 16 2023
|
โ
|
247.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
247.25
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.US shut down by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
โ
|
240.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
240.27
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
โ
|
219.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
219.20
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
210.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
210.66
|
Trades
|
More hostages in Gaza freed before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
โ
|
206.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
206.55
|
Trades
|
ARB above $1.50 on May 3? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 03 2023
|
โ
|
166.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
166.05
|
Trades
|
Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
โ
|
153.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
153.67
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
โ
|
152.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
152.10
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
โ
|
136.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
136.80
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
โ
|
126.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
126.50
|
Trades
|
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
โ
|
126.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
126.50
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Conference Finals: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics |
Heat |
Celtics |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
โ
|
117.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
117.75
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
โ
|
116.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
116.60
|
Trades
|
Arkham token above $1 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
515.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7948
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
515.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-409.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
105.70
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
99.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
99.00
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia boost oil production in Q4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 17 2024
|
โ
|
97.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
97.40
|
Trades
|
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 26 2024
|
โ
|
88.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
88.02
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
120.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3500
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
120.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
โ
|
-42.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
78.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Nuggets be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
โ
|
76.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
76.70
|
Trades
|
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
โ
|
68.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
68.40
|
Trades
|
Will Circle IPO by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
66.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.29
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
560.72
|
0.00% |
|
0.8833
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
560.72
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-495.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.42
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
โ
|
60.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.17
|
Trades
|
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? |
$1 first |
$2 first |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
59.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
59.40
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
โ
|
55.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.95
|
Trades
|
Will Pudgy Penguins flip BAYC by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
โ
|
55.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.66
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
100.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-48.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.00
|
Trades
|
ARB above $1.50 on April 26? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 26 2023
|
โ
|
51.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
51.15
|
Trades
|
Did US GDP grow 2.5% or more in Q1 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Apr 26 2023
|
โ
|
47.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.00
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
150.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
150.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
โ
|
-103.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.50
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
โ
|
45.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.26
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
โ
|
41.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.67
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.4160
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
โ
|
41.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.60
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
โ
|
39.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.25
|
Trades
|
CZ jail before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
37.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
36.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.99
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
135.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7441
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
135.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-100.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.55
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
80.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5740
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
80.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
-45.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.08
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
140.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
140.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
โ
|
-106.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.60
|
Trades
|
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
โ
|
33.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.02
|
Trades
|
Will Trump appear on Maine primary ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
โ
|
32.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.40
|
Trades
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
140.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
140.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-107.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.20
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
โ
|
30.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.87
|
Trades
|
NBA: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves 2023-04-11 |
Lakers |
Timberwolves |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 11 2023
|
โ
|
30.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.63
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
30.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.57
|
Trades
|
US response to Iranโs drone attack by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
27.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.60
|
Trades
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 06 2024
|
โ
|
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.00
|
Trades
|
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
21.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
โ
|
20.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.30
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
18.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.75
|
Trades
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 14 2024
|
โ
|
18.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.26
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
220.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
220.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
โ
|
-202.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.60
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
215.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
215.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
โ
|
-199.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.05
|
Trades
|
Will Ronna Mcdaniel step down as RNC Chair before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
โ
|
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
13.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.20
|
Trades
|
Chicago Mayor Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 04 2023
|
โ
|
12.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.60
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
115.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
115.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-103.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.50
|
Trades
|
Will the Heat be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
โ
|
10.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.62
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
115.48
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
115.48
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
โ
|
-105.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.39
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1.25 on April 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
โ
|
9.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.61
|
Trades
|
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
โ
|
9.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.38
|
Trades
|
Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1? |
Google |
NVIDIA |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
โ
|
8.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.28
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
โ
|
7.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.45
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
โ
|
7.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.28
|
Trades
|
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sothebyโs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
6.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.66
|
Trades
|
MLB: Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals 2023-04-11 |
Angels |
Nationals |
26.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7600
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
26.32
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 11 2023
|
โ
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.32
|
Trades
|
Will Solana Network go down again in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
57.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
57.17
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
-50.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.29
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
โ
|
6.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.15
|
Trades
|
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
93.61
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
93.61
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
-88.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.62
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7900
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
25.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
โ
|
-19.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.25
|
Trades
|
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8100
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
15.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
-12.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.85
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
โ
|
2.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.40
|
Trades
|
Will Shein IPO at a $90b valuation? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
1.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.91
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
1.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.69
|
Trades
|
Will โฅ10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
โ
|
1.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.62
|
Trades
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
โ
|
1.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.10
|
Trades
|
2023-24 Detroit Pistons worst NBA team of all time? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 14 2024
|
โ
|
0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
โ
|
-1.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.57
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Trabucco be federally charged by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
8.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
โ
|
-6.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.97
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
21.28
|
0.00% |
|
0.4700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will X remove likes + reposts counter in March? |
Yes |
No |
63.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
โ
|
-10.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.08
|
Trades
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
โ
|
-10.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.20
|
Trades
|
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-11.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.70
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
โ
|
-18.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.30
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package in February? |
Yes |
No |
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Pudgy Penguins flip BAYC in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-20.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.10
|
Trades
|
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
55.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
โ
|
-20.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.35
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
โ
|
-21.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.00
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
โ
|
-21.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.35
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? |
$1800 |
$2200 |
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
โ
|
-29.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.60
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
112.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2710
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
-30.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.35
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
โ
|
-33.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-33.00
|
Trades
|
Will the feds cut the razor wire in Shelby Park, Texas? |
Yes |
No |
222.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
โ
|
-35.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.52
|
Trades
|
Will Haley beat DeSantis in Iowa? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8118
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
โ
|
-40.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.59
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
โ
|
-42.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.70
|
Trades
|
Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
140.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
โ
|
-50.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.40
|
Trades
|
ETH above $3,000 on March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
87.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
โ
|
-50.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.46
|
Trades
|
More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5100
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
โ
|
-51.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-51.00
|
Trades
|
Cricket World Cup: India vs. Australia |
India |
Australia |
75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
โ
|
-51.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-51.75
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? |
Yes |
No |
120.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8283
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
โ
|
-99.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-99.40
|
Trades
|
Continued US strikes against Houthis? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
120.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
โ
|
-100.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.80
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
120.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
โ
|
-102.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-102.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
150.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
โ
|
-102.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-102.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
113.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.9005
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
โ
|
-102.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-102.55
|
Trades
|
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
170.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
โ
|
-103.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-103.70
|
Trades
|
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
158.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 18 2023
|
โ
|
-115.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-115.34
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
228.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
โ
|
-150.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-150.48
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
320.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4734
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
โ
|
-151.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-151.50
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
260.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6131
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
โ
|
-159.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-159.40
|
Trades
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
278.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6250
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
โ
|
-174.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-174.20
|
Trades
|
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
240.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-196.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-196.80
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
235.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
โ
|
-199.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-199.75
|
Trades
|
Will Erdoฤan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
310.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6590
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
โ
|
-204.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-204.29
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
250.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
โ
|
-207.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-207.50
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
410.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7409
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
-303.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-303.75
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-333.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-333.26
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,312.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.2735
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-359.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-359.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
750.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6867
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-515.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-515.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
186.33
|
2,637.01
|
|
|
2,018.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,842.18
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
20.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.35
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
186.33
|
2,637.01
|
|
|
2,039.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,862.53
|
|