Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
24.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.2160
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
1.78
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-5.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.58
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
27.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.4437
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
40.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.10
|
Trades
|
Haaland vs. Chelsea: who will have more goals on Oct 8? |
Haaland |
Chelsea |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 08 2023
|
β
|
39.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.79
|
Trades
|
Vikings vs. Chargers |
Vikings |
Chargers |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 24 2023
|
β
|
30.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.54
|
Trades
|
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
23.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.06
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
19.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.67
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
12.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.02
|
Trades
|
Chiefs vs. Eagles |
Chiefs |
Eagles |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
β
|
9.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.50
|
Trades
|
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 15 2023
|
β
|
9.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.20
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
7.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.05
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
1.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.65
|
Trades
|
Hillary Clinton jail by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.13
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-0.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.48
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
125.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0040
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue? |
Yes |
No |
31.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0270
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.84
|
Trades
|
Egypt Presidential Election: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.0390
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Apple announce M3 Chip at its "Scary Fast" event? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
55.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.0180
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
5.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
33.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Haiti intervention in March? |
Yes |
No |
14.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "woke" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
525.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0019
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Tottenham (-0.5) vs. Luton (+0.5) |
Tottenham -0.5 |
Luton +0.5 |
0.00
|
2.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.4000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 07 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
49ers vs. Giants |
49ers |
Giants |
0.00
|
6.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.2000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 21 2023
|
β
|
-1.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.25
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war before February? |
Yes |
No |
43.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0290
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.27
|
Trades
|
Will Houthis seize another ship by December 8? |
Yes |
No |
6.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2065
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
β
|
-1.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.32
|
Trades
|
Will Man City lose this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0840
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.68
|
Trades
|
Will Hikaru win the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 04 2023
|
β
|
-1.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.80
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Sunday? |
Yes |
No |
18.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
β
|
-1.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.86
|
Trades
|
βAll I want for Christmas is Youβ #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 06 2024
|
β
|
-1.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.94
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
28.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
27.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0740
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
55.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0360
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? |
Yes |
No |
26.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0750
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.0890
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
15.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
28.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1313
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-2.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.10
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.24
|
Trades
|
Will a candidate say something racist at the next Republican debate? |
Yes |
No |
10.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Oct 04 2023
|
β
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Buccaneers vs. Eagles |
Buccaneers |
Eagles |
11.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 25 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Bengals vs. Rams |
Bengals |
Rams |
0.00
|
9.55
|
0.00% |
|
0.4900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 25 2023
|
β
|
-4.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.68
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.84
|
Trades
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.13
|
0.00% |
|
0.3100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
19.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will a Chinese team win LOL Worlds 2023? |
Yes |
No |
18.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April? |
Yes |
No |
104.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0480
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
|
|
105.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
105.15
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
1.78
|
|
|
-5.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.58
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
1.79
|
|
|
99.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
101.57
|
|