Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.3700
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
1.17
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.83
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
38.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.4126
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
7.82
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-15.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.87
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
✅ |
83.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
83.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
56.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.67
|
Trades
|
Will Mbappé leave PSG? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
36.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.05
|
Trades
|
Will Kane sign for Bayern Munich? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
5.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.40
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.6400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
6.25
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.25
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
38.46
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
19.23
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.77
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
250.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
38.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.4000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
-15.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.40
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
71.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.3500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? |
Yes |
No |
57.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4369
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-25.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.10
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
19.23
|
6.25
|
|
|
76.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
102.09
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
8.98
|
|
|
-21.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.70
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
19.23
|
15.23
|
|
|
54.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
89.39
|
|