Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
1.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.52
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
65.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.11
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
5.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.85
|
Trades
|
Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift |
Killers |
Taylor Swift |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 23 2023
|
✅ |
1.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.80
|
Trades
|
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
1.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.17
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.54
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? |
Yes |
No |
19.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
-1.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.38
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
26.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.60
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0650
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.95
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
19.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-6.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.56
|
Trades
|
Will Biden visit Saudi Arabia in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
88.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1090
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
-10.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.90
|
Trades
|
Will Rafah border crossing open for humanitarian aid by Sunday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
✅ |
-11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.00
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
-12.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.45
|
Trades
|
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? |
Yes |
No |
240.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-19.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.20
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
104.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4660
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-48.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-48.73
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
|
|
-56.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-56.80
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
1.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.52
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
|
|
-55.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-55.28
|
|