Account
0x2c0795295f8b16b60d0c4966470e4c53256e9ec2 Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Trump and Biden both win nomination? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 7.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.52 | Trades | |||
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.48 | 0.52 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 08 2024 | 4.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.32 | Trades | |||
What will Coinbaseβs market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 308.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 308.08 | Trades | ||
Will $USDC repeg by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | 243.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 243.07 | Trades | ||
Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 02 2021 | β | 216.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 216.43 | Trades | ||
Will Novak Djokovic compete in the 2022 Australian Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,324.46 | 0.00% | 0.8461 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,324.46 | Wed Jan 26 2022 | β | -1,120.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 203.77 | Trades | |
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 163.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 163.38 | Trades | ||
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 137.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 137.34 | Trades | ||
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 135.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 135.51 | Trades | ||
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | 126.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 126.45 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 121.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 121.46 | Trades | ||
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | β | 88.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 88.11 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 67.43 | 0.78 | 0.00 | 68.21 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 66.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.45 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 28 2021 | β | 60.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.85 | Trades | ||
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 55.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.10 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | 54.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.94 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | 54.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.12 | Trades | ||
League of Legends: will T1 (South Korea) win The 2022 Mid-Season Invitational? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 29 2022 | β | 49.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.90 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,323.35 | 0.00% | 0.9788 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,323.35 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | -2,274.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.16 | Trades | |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | 43.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.55 | Trades | ||
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner | Putin | Wagner | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | 42.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.75 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 601.11 | 0.00% | 0.9391 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 601.11 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -564.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.62 | Trades | |
Will βBlockFi Yieldβ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | 35.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.58 | Trades | ||
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? | Barbie | Oppenheimer | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 24 2023 | β | 34.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.60 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 31.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.84 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 245.18 | 0.00% | 0.8769 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 245.18 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -215.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.18 | Trades | |
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 29.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.92 | Trades | ||
Will Harry Kane sign for Manchester City on or before August 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | 27.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.80 | Trades | ||
North Korea nuke by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 15 2023 | β | 27.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.44 | Trades | ||
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 68.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6597 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 68.21 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 15 2022 | β | -45.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.21 | Trades | |
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 25 2023 | β | 21.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.67 | Trades | ||
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.34 | 0.00% | 0.1516 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.34 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | β | -3.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.50 | Trades | |
Will Novak Djokovic advance to semifinals in the 2022 Australian Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 230.67 | 0.00% | 0.9104 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 230.67 | Fri Jan 28 2022 | β | -210.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.67 | Trades | |
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 26 2023 | β | 19.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.75 | Trades | ||
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? | Higher | Lower | 0.00 | 37.72 | 0.00% | 0.5302 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 37.72 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.72 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 17.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.45 | Trades | ||
Will Liverpool get 2nd place in the 2021-22 English Premier League? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 22 2022 | β | 16.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.15 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.10 | 0.00% | 0.7245 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.10 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | β | -36.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.81 | Trades | |
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 13.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.80 | Trades | ||
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 63.59 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7863 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 63.59 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.59 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 11.19 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 12.00 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | 11.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.22 | Trades | ||
Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021? | Bezos | Musk | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | 11.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.12 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. Menβs Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | 10.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.40 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? | Yes | No | 50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8100 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | -40.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.50 | Trades | |
Will Manchester City win the 2021-22 English Premier League? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 22 2022 | β | 9.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.36 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 16 2021 | β | 8.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.32 | Trades | ||
Will a South Korean team win LOL Worlds 2022? | Yes | No | 23.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6481 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 23.14 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 05 2022 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.14 | Trades | |
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | 7.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.46 | Trades | ||
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 86.66 | 0.00% | 0.9232 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 86.66 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.66 | Trades | |
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | 6.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.29 | Trades | ||
Will Declan Rice sign for Arsenal? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | β | 6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 | Trades | ||
Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through August? | Yes | No | 78.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9309 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 78.42 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | β | -73.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.42 | Trades | |
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 184.97 | 0.00% | 0.9731 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 184.97 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -180.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.97 | Trades | |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 165.00 | 0.00% | 0.9700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 165.00 | Tue May 02 2023 | β | -160.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.95 | Trades | |
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | 4.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.74 | Trades | ||
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 25 2022 | β | 4.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.60 | Trades | ||
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | 4.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.50 | Trades | ||
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2022 Australian Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 30 2022 | β | 3.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.74 | Trades | ||
Will 400 million doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by March 25, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 25 2021 | β | 3.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.27 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 24 2021 | β | 3.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.16 | Trades | ||
Will Real Madrid win 2021-22 La Liga? | Yes | No | 28.15 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8881 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 28.15 | 0.00 | Sun May 22 2022 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.15 | Trades | |
Will ETH be above $2000 on April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 2.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.43 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | β | 2.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.35 | Trades | ||
Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 2.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.34 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH hit $1,500 or $2,500 first? | $1,500 | $2,500 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 2.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.30 | Trades | ||
Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 61.92 | 0.00% | 0.9690 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 61.92 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | β | -60.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.92 | Trades | |
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 16.67 | 0.00% | 0.8999 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 16.67 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.67 | Trades | |
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? | Yes | No | 16.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9011 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 16.65 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.65 | Trades | |
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | 1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.61 | Trades | ||
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 31.56 | 0.00% | 0.9507 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 31.56 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.56 | Trades | |
Will Dogecoin ($DOGE) or Shiba Inu ($SHIB) have a higher market cap on March 1st, 2022? | Dogecoin | Shiba Inu | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | 1.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.55 | Trades | ||
2022 Wimbledon Championships: Will Novak Djokovic win Men's Singles? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 10 2022 | β | 1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.21 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 13.12 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9147 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 13.12 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -12.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.12 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 26.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9602 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 26.04 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.04 | Trades | |
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | β | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.91 | Trades | ||||||
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.88 | Trades | ||
Will Messi sign for Barcelona? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 82.76 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 82.76 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | β | -81.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.83 | Trades | |
Will Lionel Messi sign for Paris-Saint Germain on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.73 | Trades | ||
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? | Yes | No | 16.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9590 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 16.08 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | β | -15.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.66 | Trades | |
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | β | 0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.64 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 25.54 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9790 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.54 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 01 2023 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.54 | Trades | |
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.40 | Trades | |||
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.39 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.34 | 0.00% | 0.9779 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 15.34 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.34 | Trades | |
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.33 | 0.00% | 0.9870 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.33 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.33 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 30.28 | 0.00% | 0.9906 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 30.28 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.24 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.21 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 22 2022 | β | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.21 | Trades | ||
Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod? | Do Kwon | Sensei Algod | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 14 2023 | β | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 | Trades | ||
Will Jamie Dimon announce he is running for president by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 120 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | Trades | ||
Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | β | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.22 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | Trades | ||
Will DeFi Dominance on CoinGecko be above 10% on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.45 | Trades | ||
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.74 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 28 2022 | β | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.71 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | -1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.16 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 03 2021 | β | -2.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.97 | Trades | ||
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | -4.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.40 | Trades | |||||||
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? | Yes | No | 6.15 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8126 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 14 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA β21-β22 Championship? | Yes | No | 22.86 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2624 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 19 2022 | β | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | |
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 9.36 | 0.00% | 0.8866 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -8.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.30 | Trades | |
World Cup: Saturday - France vs. England | France | England | 0.00 | 22.70 | 0.00% | 0.4405 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 10 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418 ppm on March 22, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | β | -11.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.15 | Trades | ||
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 6? | Celtics | Warriors | 2.79 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 4.9172 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 16 2022 | β | -13.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.72 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | -14.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.48 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? | Yes | No | 1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 14.5457 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -16.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.29 | Trades | |
Will LINK be above $30 on February 10th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 10 2021 | β | -18.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -18.63 | Trades | ||
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
Will the price of $BTC be above $33,000 on February 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 107.69 | 0.00% | 0.2786 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 01 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -34.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -34.72 | Trades | ||
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 47.35 | 0.00% | 0.7392 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 30 2022 | β | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.00 | Trades | |
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 41.14 | 0.00% | 0.9112 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | β | -37.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -37.48 | Trades | |
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -39.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.99 | Trades | ||
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 86.46 | 0.00% | 0.4627 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 22 2022 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | |
Will ETH be above $1500 on March 7th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 07 2021 | β | -52.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -52.00 | Trades | ||
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 17 2023 | β | -61.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -61.10 | Trades | ||
Will DRX or T1 win the 2022 League of Legends World Championship? | DRX | T1 | 0.00 | 90.67 | 0.00% | 0.8272 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 06 2022 | β | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.00 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -84.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -84.69 | Trades | |||
Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | -85.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -85.10 | Trades | ||
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | -97.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -97.32 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | -244.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -244.66 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | -277.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -277.76 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | β | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | ||
Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -490.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -490.33 | Trades | ||
Resolved | 408.93 | 5,538.42 | -5,151.51 | 1.58 | 0.00 | 797.42 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 0.02 | 0.00 | 11.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.83 | ||||||||||||
Total | 408.94 | 5,538.42 | -5,139.69 | 1.58 | 0.00 | 809.26 |