Account
0x2b9b0cda300ee93ba73bb58bbda14fdb19397feb Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 104.17 | 0.00% | 0.4800 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 54.67 | Fri Nov 08 2024 | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.67 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 26.32 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7600 | 0.87 | 0.13 | 22.98 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.98 | Trades | ||
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 32.26 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 30.80 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | Trades | ||
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.09 | 0.00% | 0.9550 | 0.06 | 0.94 | 0.00 | 1.98 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | Trades | ||
Trump and Biden both win nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 81.40 | 0.00% | 0.3071 | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 16.74 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.26 | Trades | ||
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 76.36 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1833 | 0.04 | 0.96 | 3.19 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -14.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.81 | Trades | ||
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? | Yes | No | 106.06 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3300 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.00 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 806.76 | 0.00% | 0.2355 | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 58.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -190.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -132.00 | Trades | ||
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 14 2023 | β | 603.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 603.68 | Trades | ||
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 14 2023 | β | 321.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 321.03 | Trades | ||
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 25 2024 | β | 226.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 226.67 | Trades | ||
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 178.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 178.07 | Trades | ||
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 28 2023 | β | 141.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 141.27 | Trades | ||
Chicago Mayor Margin of Victory >5%? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 04 2023 | β | 132.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 132.50 | Trades | ||
Will N.D. win a plurality in the Greek election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 21 2023 | β | 122.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 122.85 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 116.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 116.26 | Trades | ||
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 21 2023 | β | 109.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 109.03 | Trades | ||
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Protasiewicz (D) vs. Kelly (R) | Protasiewicz | Kelly | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 04 2023 | β | 98.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 98.62 | Trades | ||
Will Haley beat DeSantis in Iowa? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 15 2024 | β | 84.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.56 | Trades | ||
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 20 2023 | β | 80.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.91 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? | Democrat | Republican | 178.05 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5692 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 178.05 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -101.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 76.71 | Trades | |
World Cup: Thursday - Will Spain beat Japan? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 01 2022 | β | 73.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.46 | Trades | ||
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | 71.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.65 | Trades | ||
Will PSOE win over 28.0% of votes in the 2023 Spanish general election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 22 2023 | β | 71.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.23 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be arrested on Tuesday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 21 2023 | β | 66.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.88 | Trades | ||
Will Switzerland qualify from Group G? | Yes | No | 114.57 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4232 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 114.57 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -48.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.08 | Trades | |
NFL Sunday: Bengals vs. Chiefs | Bengals | Chiefs | 0.00 | 163.84 | 0.00% | 0.6104 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 163.84 | Sun Jan 29 2023 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.84 | Trades | |
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 55.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.35 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 24 2021 | β | 53.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.40 | Trades | ||
Will Syriza win over 20% of votes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 24 2023 | β | 47.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.46 | Trades | ||
Will "Pinocchio" win the Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 12 2023 | β | 47.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.36 | Trades | ||
ErdoΔan >93Β’ on May 26? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 26 2023 | β | 46.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 46.83 | Trades | ||
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVII? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 12 2023 | β | 45.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.95 | Trades | ||
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R) | Dems/Ossoff | Reps/Perdue | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 44.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.67 | Trades | |||
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | β | 44.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.27 | Trades | ||||||
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 43.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.17 | Trades | |||
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | 42.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.63 | Trades | ||
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 15 2023 | β | 42.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.38 | Trades | ||
Will Spain win the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | β | 40.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.07 | Trades | ||
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | β | 39.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.66 | Trades | ||
Will Fratelli D'italia or Partito Democratico win more seats in the Italian Chamber in the 2022 election? | Partito Democratico | Fratelli D'Italia | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 26 2022 | β | 39.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.58 | Trades | ||
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 26 2021 | β | 39.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.06 | Trades | ||
Will PASOK win over 12% of votes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 24 2023 | β | 37.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.98 | Trades | ||
World Cup: Thursday - Will Belgium beat Croatia? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 01 2022 | β | 37.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.67 | Trades | ||
Which party will control the senate? | Republican | Democratic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 37.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.25 | Trades | ||
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first? | Haley | DeSantis | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | β | 37.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.14 | Trades | ||
Oscars 2022: Will any film win 6 or more awards? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 27 2022 | β | 36.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.86 | Trades | ||
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | β | 36.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.72 | Trades | ||||||
World Cup: Saturday - Will Australia beat Tunisia? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 26 2022 | β | 36.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.60 | Trades | ||
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 30 2022 | β | 35.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.43 | Trades | ||
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Denmark beat Australia? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 30 2022 | β | 34.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.86 | Trades | ||
Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D) | Dems/Warnock | Reps/Loeffler | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 34.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.67 | Trades | |||
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | 34.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.00 | Trades | ||
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LVII? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 173.50 | 0.00% | 0.8069 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 173.50 | Sun Feb 12 2023 | β | -140.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.50 | Trades | |
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 33.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.16 | Trades | ||
Will Texas, Florida, or California have the highest 7-day daily average of COVID-19 cases on April 15, 2021? | Texas Florida California |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Apr 15 2021 | β | 33.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.08 | Trades | ||||||
Will USA qualify from Group B? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | 32.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.75 | Trades | ||
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 32.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.73 | Trades | |||
Will Cherelle Parker win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary? | Yes | No | 60.87 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4748 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 60.87 | 0.00 | Mon May 15 2023 | β | -28.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.97 | Trades | |
Will Rebecca Rhynhart win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 15 2023 | β | 31.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.00 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | 29.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.33 | Trades | ||
World Cup: Friday - Will Switzerland beat Serbia? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 02 2022 | β | 27.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.63 | Trades | ||
Will Sumar win over 13.5% of votes in the 2023 Spanish general election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 22 2023 | β | 26.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.71 | Trades | ||
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 07 2023 | β | 25.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.98 | Trades | ||
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | 25.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.67 | Trades | ||
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Croatia beat Morocco? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 23 2022 | β | 25.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.26 | Trades | ||
Will a team win Super Bowl LVII by 14 or more points? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 08 2023 | β | 24.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.89 | Trades | ||
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 24.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.72 | Trades | ||
Will PredictIt still allow trading through April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | 23.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.01 | Trades | ||
Will Argentina win the 2021 Copa America? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | β | 22.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.41 | Trades | ||
World Cup: Thursday - Will Switzerland beat Cameroon? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 24 2022 | β | 22.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.24 | Trades | ||
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 22.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.08 | Trades | ||
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | 20.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.75 | Trades | ||
Will Nancy Pelosi be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Jan 03 2023 | β | 20.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.36 | Trades | ||
Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 20.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.15 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | 19.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.81 | Trades | ||
Oscars 2022: Will CODA win Best Picture? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 27 2022 | β | 18.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.62 | Trades | ||
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 18.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.51 | Trades | ||
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 17.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.50 | Trades | |||
Will the Kansas "Value Them Both" anti-abortion amendment pass? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 02 2022 | β | 17.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.17 | Trades | ||
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | β | 16.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.34 | Trades | ||
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 10 2022 | β | 15.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.99 | Trades | ||
Will there be a two-point conversion attempt in Super Bowl LVII? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 08 2023 | β | 15.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.83 | Trades | ||
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Belgium beat Canada? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 23 2022 | β | 15.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.71 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 35.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5682 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 35.20 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.20 | Trades | |
Will Cate Blanchett win the Oscar for Best Actress in a Leading Role? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.7000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Sun Mar 12 2023 | β | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.00 | Trades | |
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | β | 14.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.95 | Trades | ||
Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021? | Bezos | Musk | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | 14.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.43 | Trades | ||
Will the price of wheat close above $1050 on April 29, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 29 2022 | β | 14.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.28 | Trades | ||
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 14.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.16 | Trades | ||
Will Italy or Spain qualify for the Euro 2020 Finals? | Italy | Spain | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 06 2021 | β | 13.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.99 | Trades | ||
Will Michelle Yeoh win the Oscar for Best Actress in a Leading Role? | Yes | No | 43.48 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 43.48 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 12 2023 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.48 | Trades | |
World Cup: Friday - Will Senegal beat Qatar? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 25 2022 | β | 12.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.94 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1500 on March 7th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 07 2021 | β | 12.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.63 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 01 2020 | β | 12.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.46 | Trades | ||
World Cup: Thursday - Will Portugal beat Ghana? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 24 2022 | β | 12.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.30 | Trades | ||
World Cup: Friday - Will Brazil beat Cameroon? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 02 2022 | β | 12.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.24 | Trades | ||
Formula 1: Will Red Bull collect the most points of any constructor at the 2023 Monaco Grand Prix? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 26 2023 | β | 11.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.92 | Trades | ||
Will Germany qualify from Group E? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | 11.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.81 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 03 2021 | β | 11.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.69 | Trades | ||
Will Japan qualify from Group E? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | 11.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.30 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 24? | Yes | No | 36.23 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 36.23 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 24 2023 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.23 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | 11.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.21 | Trades | ||
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | β | 10.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.76 | Trades | ||
Will Vice President Harris cast another tie-breaking vote by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | β | 10.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.72 | Trades | ||
Will a McLaren car finish top 3 in the French Grand Prix? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | β | 10.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.66 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 30.79 | 0.00% | 0.6614 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 30.79 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -20.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.42 | Trades | |
Will Senegal qualify from Group A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | 10.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.37 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 16 2021 | β | 10.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.11 | Trades | ||
Superbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Chiefs | Bucs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 08 2021 | β | 9.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.94 | Trades | ||
Oscars 2022: Will Will Smith win Best Actor? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 27 2022 | β | 9.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.82 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? | Democrat | Republican | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | 9.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.81 | Trades | ||
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 13 2024 | β | 9.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.79 | Trades | ||
New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | 9.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.16 | Trades | ||
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Keiko Fujimori | Pedro Castillo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 9.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.01 | Trades | ||
Will there be an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) granted for a COVID-19 vaccine before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 8.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.93 | Trades | ||
Will Maya Wiley win second place in the 2021 NYC Democratic Primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 8.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.77 | Trades | |||
Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 8.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.76 | Trades | |||
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 8.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.01 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 7.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.58 | Trades | ||
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 17 2021 | β | 7.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.57 | Trades | ||
Will Belgium qualify from Group F? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | 6.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.81 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 26.67 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 26.67 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.67 | Trades | |
Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | 6.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.44 | Trades | ||
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 6.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.41 | Trades | ||
Will the price of $ETH be above $1200 on November 28? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 28 2022 | β | 6.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.29 | Trades | ||
Will Serbia qualify from Group G? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 14.11 | 0.00% | 0.5668 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 14.11 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.11 | Trades | |
Governor: Will a Democrat (Grisham) or Republican (Ronchetti) win in New Mexico? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | 5.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.86 | Trades | ||
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | β | 5.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.80 | Trades | ||
Will 400 million doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by March 25, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 25 2021 | β | 5.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.76 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | 5.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.70 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 5.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.29 | Trades | ||
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture? | Yes | No | 79.17 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9347 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 79.17 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | -74.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.17 | Trades | |
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 5.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.17 | Trades | ||
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | 5.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.09 | Trades | ||
What will the price of $ETH be on June 22? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 4.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.64 | Trades | ||
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 23 2021 | β | 4.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.64 | Trades | ||
Will KKE win over 7% of votes? | Yes | No | 12.31 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 12.31 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 24 2023 | β | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.31 | Trades | |
Will Australia qualify from Group D? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | 4.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.05 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | 3.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 48.91 | 0.00% | 0.9200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 48.91 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | β | -45.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.91 | Trades | |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 30 2022 | β | 3.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.73 | Trades | ||
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 02 2022 | β | 3.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.64 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | 3.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.55 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be shown during the Super Bowl LVII broadcast? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 23.53 | 0.00% | 0.8500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 23.53 | Thu Feb 09 2023 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.53 | Trades | |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 14 2022 | β | 3.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.38 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 3.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.29 | Trades | ||
World Cup: Monday - Will South Korea beat Ghana? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 28 2022 | β | 3.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.12 | Trades | ||
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 2.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.98 | Trades | ||
Will the Czech Republic or Denmark qualify for the Euro 2020 Semifinals? | Czech Republic | Denmark | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 03 2021 | β | 2.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.24 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $2000 on April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 2.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.22 | Trades | ||
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 2.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.14 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | 2.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.06 | Trades | ||
Will AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.78 | Trades | ||
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | β | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.74 | Trades | ||
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.67 | Trades | ||
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.63 | Trades | ||
Will Brazil qualify from Group G? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | 1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.31 | Trades | ||
Will Portugal qualify from Group H? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | 1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.09 | Trades | ||
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 20.83 | 0.00% | 0.9600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 20.83 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.83 | Trades | |
Will Penny Mordaunt be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.76 | Trades | ||
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | 0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.72 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? | Democrat | Republican | 62.68 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9995 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 62.68 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -62.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | Trades | |
Will England qualify from Group B? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | Trades | ||
Will Iran qualify from Group B? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.11 | Trades | ||
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | Trades | ||
Will Johnson and Johnson's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.24 | Trades | ||
World Cup: Thursday - Will Brazil beat Serbia? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 24 2022 | β | -1.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.49 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | ||
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 33.33 | 0.00% | 0.0600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 05 2024 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
Will any NBA Topshot sell for more than $300,000 by March 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 12.27 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1630 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Mar 20 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars? | Nomadland The Trial of the Chicago 7 Minari Promising Young Woman Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | -2.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.86 | Trades | ||||||
Will Travis Kelce score the first touchdown in Super Bowl LVII? | Yes | No | 16.67 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 08 2023 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 12.47 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2405 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 02 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
Will Morocco qualify from Group F? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.45 | 0.00% | 0.6735 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? | Yes | No | 4.31 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6961 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
Will "The Fabelmans" win the Oscar for Best Picture | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -3.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.26 | Trades | ||
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? | Yes | No | 16.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | |
Will Kari Lake be certified as winner of the Arizona gubernatorial election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | β | -4.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.94 | Trades | ||
Will any player score 2 or more receiving touchdowns in Super Bowl LVII? | Yes | No | 7.94 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 08 2023 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? | Yes | No | 13.51 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) | Suozzi | Pilip | 0.00 | 29.41 | 0.00% | 0.1700 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 13 2024 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? | Yes | No | 29.56 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1691 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will Poland qualify from Group C? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 9.27 | 0.00% | 0.5393 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will Uruguay qualify from Group H? | Yes | No | 6.68 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7482 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Spain beat Costa Rica? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 32.44 | 0.00% | 0.1541 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 23 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will $USDC repeg by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 31.25 | 0.00% | 0.1600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Formula 1: Will Mercedes or Aston Martin collect more points at the 2023 Monaco Grand Prix? | Mercedes | Aston Martin | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.1000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 26 2024 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? | 1k | 2k | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 20 2022 | β | -5.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.01 | Trades | ||
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | -5.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.22 | Trades | ||
Will "All Quiet on the Western Front" win the Oscar for Best Picture? | Yes | No | 115.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | -5.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.75 | Trades | |
Will Moriah Mills leak a sex tape with Zion Williamson? | Yes | No | 66.67 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | β | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | |
Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election? | Yes | No | 10.43 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5751 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | β | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | |
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? | Yes | No | 122.47 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0490 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | β | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | |
Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | -6.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.25 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -6.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.71 | Trades | ||
World Cup: Sunday - Will Belgium beat Morocco? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 27 2022 | β | -6.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.94 | Trades | ||
Will Denmark qualify from Group D? | Yes | No | 8.86 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7897 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -7.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.00 | Trades | |
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 125.05 | 0.00% | 0.0640 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 04 2023 | β | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.00 | Trades | |
Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | β | -8.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.69 | Trades | ||
Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | β | -8.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.72 | Trades | ||
World Cup: Saturday - France vs. England | France | England | 0.00 | 29.27 | 0.00% | 0.3074 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 10 2022 | β | -9.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.00 | Trades | |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? | Yes | No | 45.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 13 2023 | β | -9.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.00 | Trades | |
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 58.82 | 0.00% | 0.1572 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | β | -9.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.25 | Trades | |
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -9.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.62 | Trades | ||
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 166.67 | 0.00% | 0.0600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Will the margin of victory be 5.0% or greater? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 19.61 | 0.00% | 0.5100 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 04 2023 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? | Yes | No | 26.32 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 25 2023 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? | Yes | No | 29.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 58.82 | 0.00% | 0.1700 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 15 2024 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump pardon Edward Snowden? | Yes | No | 63.79 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1568 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? | Yes | No | 102.46 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0976 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? | 52 or fewer 53-55 56-58 59-61 62 or more |
0.00 26.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||||||
Will Kygo's Nifty Gateway drop generate over $5M in total sales? | Yes | No | 18.81 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5315 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 25 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? | Yes | No | 109.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0915 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will Croatia qualify from Group F? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 24.96 | 0.00% | 0.4006 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will Canada qualify from Group F? | Yes | No | 42.83 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2335 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 20.00 | 0.00% | 0.5000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? | Yes | No | 240.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0416 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? | Yes | No | 72.89 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1372 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? | Yes | No | 50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 15 2024 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 98.81 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1113 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 15 2022 | β | -11.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.00 | Trades | |
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | β | -11.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.32 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE be above 15c on April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.82 | 0.00% | 0.1190 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | -12.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.00 | Trades | |
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on April 25, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | β | -12.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.01 | Trades | ||
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 26 2023 | β | -12.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.83 | Trades | ||
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 329.89 | 0.00% | 0.0394 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -13.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.00 | Trades | |
QB Scramble Parlay | Yes | No | 82.50 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1576 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 08 2023 | β | -13.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.00 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 576.46 | 0.00% | 0.0236 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | β | -13.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.61 | Trades | |
Binance insolvent in 2023? | Yes | No | 116.67 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -14.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.00 | Trades | |
Will Belgium or Italy qualify for the Euro 2020 Semifinals? | Belgium | Italy | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 02 2021 | β | -14.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.59 | Trades | ||
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? | Yes | No | 118.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1270 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? | Yes | No | 21.43 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
Will VOX win over 13.5% of votes in the 2023 Spanish general election? | Yes | No | 41.67 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 22 2023 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
Will ETH hit $2,500 by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 44.12 | 0.00% | 0.3400 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 21.39 | 0.00% | 0.7012 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of June 2022? | Yes | No | 87.93 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1706 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
Will the 2022 World Cup winner be from South America? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 23.24 | 0.00% | 0.6454 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
Will Roman Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? | Yes | No | 75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 29 2023 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election? | Dems | Reps | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | ||
Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -16.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.69 | Trades | |||
Will Ghana qualify from Group H? | Yes | No | 43.51 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3850 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -16.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.75 | Trades | |
World Cup: Saturday - Will Argentina beat Mexico? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 40.49 | 0.00% | 0.4259 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 26 2022 | β | -17.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.25 | Trades | |
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -19.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.37 | Trades | ||
CA-22 House: Will a Democrat (Salas) or Republican (Valadao) win? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -19.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.68 | Trades | ||
World Cup Final: France vs. Argentina | France | Argentina | 38.46 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 76.92 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 27.40 | 0.00% | 0.7300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 52.56 | 0.00% | 0.3805 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 92.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2173 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 19 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
World Cup: Monday - Brazil vs. South Korea | Brazil | South Korea | 0.00 | 156.66 | 0.00% | 0.1277 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 05 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? | Yes | No | 67.74 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -21.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21.00 | Trades | |
World Cup: Thursday - Will Germany beat Costa Rica? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 166.76 | 0.00% | 0.1259 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 01 2022 | β | -21.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21.00 | Trades | |
Will Uruguay win the 2022 World Cup? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | β | -22.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -22.36 | Trades | ||
Will N.D. win over 42% of votes? | Yes | No | 44.44 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 24 2023 | β | -24.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.00 | Trades | |
Will PiS get over 36% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? | Yes | No | 30.12 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 14 2023 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 42.12 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5936 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 101.59 | 0.00% | 0.2461 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
World Cup: Friday - Will Netherlands beat Ecuador? | Yes | No | 45.37 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5511 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 25 2022 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -25.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.20 | Trades | ||
Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) become law by Dec 31? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -26.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -26.62 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will an Independent (McMullin) or Republican (Lee) win in Utah? | Independent | Republican | 249.17 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1124 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -28.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -28.00 | Trades | |
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 107.28 | 0.00% | 0.2796 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 23 2023 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVII? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 40.21 | 0.00% | 0.7462 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 12 2023 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 86.55 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3466 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | ||
Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 36.00 | 0.00% | 0.8333 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 235.90 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1272 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 46.22 | 0.00% | 0.6491 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 14 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will Saudi Arabia qualify from Group C? | Yes | No | 51.32 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5845 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
World Cup: Friday - Will England beat USA? | Yes | No | 47.81 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6274 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 25 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
World Cup: Tuesday - Portugal vs. Switzerland | Portugal | Switzerland | 0.00 | 88.93 | 0.00% | 0.3373 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 108.04 | 0.00% | 0.2777 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Turkish 2nd round turnout over 87%? | Yes | No | 75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 28 2023 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -33.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -33.98 | Trades | ||
Will Austin Butler win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? | Yes | No | 70.83 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | -34.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -34.00 | Trades | |
World Cup 3rd Place: Croatia vs. Morocco | Croatia | Morocco | 0.00 | 127.78 | 0.00% | 0.2739 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 17 2022 | β | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.00 | Trades | |
Golden Globes: Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win Best Picture - Musical or Comedy? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 93.20 | 0.00% | 0.3755 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 11 2023 | β | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.00 | Trades | |
Will Nina Turner win the Democratic Nomination in the OH-11 special election? | Yes | No | 41.53 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8428 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | β | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.00 | Trades | |
Will PP win over 33.5% of votes in the 2023 Spanish general election? | Yes | No | 52.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 22 2023 | β | -37.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -37.00 | Trades | |
NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 66.30 | 0.00% | 0.5581 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 13 2024 | β | -37.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -37.00 | Trades | |
Will Mexico qualify from Group C? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -38.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -38.55 | Trades | ||
Will Helen Gym win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary? | Yes | No | 132.50 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2943 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 15 2023 | β | -39.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.00 | Trades | |
Will 'The Little Mermaid' gross over $120 million on Memorial Day weekend? | Yes | No | 57.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 29 2023 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 131.84 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3034 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | |
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Germany beat Japan? | Yes | No | 57.54 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6951 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 23 2022 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | |
World Cup: Friday - Will Uruguay beat Ghana? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 88.01 | 0.00% | 0.4545 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 02 2022 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | |
World Cup: Tuesday - Morocco vs. Spain | Morocco | Spain | 0.00 | 51.51 | 0.00% | 0.7765 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | |
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 213.77 | 0.00% | 0.2105 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -45.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -45.00 | Trades | |
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? | Yes | No | 84.54 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5323 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 16 2022 | β | -45.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -45.00 | Trades | |
Will Syriza win >31% of votes in the Greek election? (first round) | Yes | No | 105.94 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4323 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 20 2023 | β | -45.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -45.80 | Trades | |
Will Argentina qualify from Group C? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 123.37 | 0.00% | 0.3898 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -48.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -48.09 | Trades | |
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner | Putin | Wagner | 0.00 | 294.12 | 0.00% | 0.1700 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Will Chadwick Boseman win Best Actor at the 2021 Oscars? | Yes | No | 53.98 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9262 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Oscars 2022: Will Jessica Chastain win Best Actress? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 105.21 | 0.00% | 0.4753 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 27 2022 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
World Cup: Sunday - Will Japan beat Costa Rica? | Yes | No | 71.53 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6990 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 27 2022 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
World Cup: Monday - Japan vs. Croatia | Japan | Croatia | 129.72 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3854 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 05 2022 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | β | -53.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -53.36 | Trades | ||
Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -53.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -53.72 | Trades | |||
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 105.80 | 0.00% | 0.5293 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -56.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -56.00 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 98.72 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5875 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 02 2021 | β | -58.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -58.00 | Trades | |
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? | Yes | No | 162.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3694 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | -60.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -60.00 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 216.49 | 0.00% | 0.2772 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -60.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -60.00 | Trades | |
World Cup: Saturday - Will Poland beat Saudi Arabia? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 124.25 | 0.00% | 0.4829 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 26 2022 | β | -60.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -60.00 | Trades | |
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? | Yes | No | 93.75 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 16 2023 | β | -60.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -60.00 | Trades | |
Will there be a major upset in the World Cup group stage qualification? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 512.88 | 0.00% | 0.1171 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | β | -60.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -60.07 | Trades | |
Will Trump complete his first term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | -61.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -61.11 | Trades | ||
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 85.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7559 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | -65.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -65.00 | Trades | |
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 109.02 | 0.00% | 0.6188 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -67.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -67.46 | Trades | |
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 120.58 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5888 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 31 2023 | β | -71.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -71.00 | Trades | |
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -72.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -72.87 | Trades | ||
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -72.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -72.99 | Trades | ||
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? | Yes | No | 112.47 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6668 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | β | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.00 | Trades | |
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Democratic | Republican | 294.66 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.2567 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 294.66 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -370.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.64 | Trades | |
Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? | WI | SC | 0.00 | 106.31 | 0.00% | 0.7525 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.00 | Trades | |
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LVII? | Yes | No | 157.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 12 2023 | β | -85.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -85.00 | Trades | |
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 480.50 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2289 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | -110.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -110.00 | Trades | |
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? | Yes | No | 219.83 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5686 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 02 2021 | β | -125.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -125.00 | Trades | |
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 210.45 | 0.00% | 0.7032 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -148.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -148.00 | Trades | ||
Will Italy win the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 246.65 | 0.00% | 0.6944 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | β | -171.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -171.27 | Trades | |
Resolved | 943.92 | 525.54 | -582.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 886.77 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 26.17 | 162.18 | -366.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -177.65 | ||||||||||||
Total | 970.09 | 687.72 | -948.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 709.12 |