Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
22.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
11.36
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.36
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
|
5.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.39
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
10.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8900
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
8.52
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-9.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.03
|
Trades
|
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.9140
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
6.49
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7700
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
45.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Blast airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
23.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.2100
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
33.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.1500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Taiko airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.4500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by November 7? |
Yes |
No |
7.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7000
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.6400
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Swell airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5000
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
16.09
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4500
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-7.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.24
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-9.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.50
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
13.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.7200
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.76
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.3900
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
13.16
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7600
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Russian nuke in space in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Elon get someone pregnant before July? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.24
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? |
Netanyahu |
Sinwar |
0.00
|
13.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.7500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.6000
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
15.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6440
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
29.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3400
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
27.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3600
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Tether Insolvent in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.20
|
0.00% |
|
0.9270
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-14.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.09
|
Trades
|
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
17.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.8698
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
16.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9298
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
21.14
|
0.00% |
|
0.7097
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
23.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.8498
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
33.59
|
0.00% |
|
0.8932
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
CZ sentenced to prison? |
Yes |
No |
16.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6100
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
16.39
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.39
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16.39
|
0.00
|
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.39
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
19.89
|
0.00
|
|
|
-314.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-295.10
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
36.28
|
0.00
|
|
|
-324.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-288.71
|
|