Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-4.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.55
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
33.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1? |
Google |
NVIDIA |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
37.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.63
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
35.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1957
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
35.78
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.78
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Clinton? |
Yes |
No |
27.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7376
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
27.11
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.11
|
Trades
|
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? |
Yes |
No |
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2500
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.66
|
0.00% |
|
0.8052
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
13.66
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.66
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
2.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.35
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Donald Trump? |
Yes |
No |
3.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5800
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
3.45
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.45
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.28
|
0.00% |
|
0.6100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.28
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.28
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.49
|
0.00% |
|
0.6700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.49
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.49
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.0800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia agree to sell oil to China in Yuan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.03
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.03
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
28.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.0140
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will a world leader shit themselves before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-0.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.47
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.19
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.3700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.3000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
2023-24 Detroit Pistons worst NBA team of all time? |
Yes |
No |
15.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1889
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 14 2024
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
341.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0176
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Epstein documents unsealed by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.1785
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-9.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.79
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
32.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
28.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
96.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2063
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70.34
|
18.46
|
|
|
-79.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.60
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-11.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.55
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70.34
|
18.46
|
|
|
-90.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.95
|
|