Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Peter Thiel win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 20.97 0.00% 0.9486 0.02 0.98 0.00 20.58 Tue Sep 10 2024 -19.89 0.00 0.00 0.68 Trades
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.64 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 5.51 0.00% 0.9500 0.03 0.97 0.00 5.32 Tue Sep 10 2024 -5.23 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.49 0.00% 0.05 0.95 0.00 0.47 Sat Aug 10 2024 -0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 1.12 0.00% 0.9650 0.04 0.96 0.00 1.07 Sat Aug 10 2024 -1.08 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will Dean Phillips win the U.S. Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -0.97 0.00 0.00 -0.97 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 5.45 0.00% 0.2844 0.92 0.08 0.00 0.42 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1.55 0.00 0.00 -1.13 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 4.16 0.00 0.00% 0.3700 0.07 0.93 0.27 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1.54 0.00 0.00 -1.27 Trades
Will Kari Lake win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 19.78 0.00% 0.9221 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 -18.24 0.00 0.00 -18.24 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? Yes No 24.36 0.00 0.00% 0.9606 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -23.40 0.00 0.00 -23.40 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? Yes No 0.00 41.50 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -37.35 0.00 0.00 -37.35 Trades
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… 73.32 0.00 0.00 73.32 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 12 2021 βœ… 72.02 0.00 0.00 72.02 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 70.87 0.00 0.00 70.87 Trades
Will Nina Turner win the Democratic Nomination in the OH-11 special election? Yes No 0.00 0.55 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.55 Tue Aug 03 2021 βœ… 70.29 0.00 0.00 70.84 Trades
Will President Trump be suspended from Twitter before April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… 66.09 0.00 0.00 66.09 Trades
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 63.96 0.00 0.00 63.96 Trades
Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 20 2020 βœ… 53.82 0.00 0.00 53.82 Trades
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 βœ… 44.96 0.00 0.00 44.96 Trades
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 40.56 0.00 0.00 40.56 Trades
Will Donald Trump tweet announcing that he won the election before November 5th 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 05 2020 βœ… 39.50 0.00 0.00 39.50 Trades
Superbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Chiefs Bucs 0.00 0.41 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.41 Mon Feb 08 2021 βœ… 37.08 0.00 0.00 37.49 Trades
Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 36.14 0.00 0.00 36.14 Trades
Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.40 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.40 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 βœ… 31.32 0.00 0.00 31.72 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 28.05 0.00 0.00 28.05 Trades
What will the margin be in Newsom’s recall election? Under 10%
10% to 15%
Over 15%
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0.00
0.00% 0.00
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1.00
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βœ… 24.76 0.00 0.00 24.76 Trades
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 βœ… 23.91 0.00 0.00 23.91 Trades
Will President Biden say "resign" during his August 3 speech + Q&A? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 03 2021 βœ… 22.88 0.00 0.00 22.88 Trades
Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.68 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.68 0.00 βœ… 22.14 0.00 0.00 22.81 Trades
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 20 2020 βœ… 22.53 0.00 0.00 22.53 Trades
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 22.10 0.00 0.00 22.10 Trades
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 08 2021 βœ… 21.85 0.00 0.00 21.85 Trades
Will Trump complete his first term? Yes No 0.57 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.57 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 βœ… 20.18 0.00 0.00 20.75 Trades
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 βœ… 14.87 0.00 0.00 14.87 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 14.85 0.00 0.00 14.85 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 14.23 0.00 0.00 14.23 Trades
What will the final score points spread be for Super Bowl 55? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 08 2021 βœ… 13.46 0.00 0.00 13.46 Trades
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 βœ… 12.63 0.00 0.00 12.63 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 17 2023 βœ… 12.16 0.00 0.00 12.16 Trades
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 11.77 0.00 0.00 11.77 Trades
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 βœ… 10.31 0.00 0.00 10.31 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 16 2023 βœ… 8.73 0.00 0.00 8.73 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 22 2021 βœ… 8.51 0.00 0.00 8.51 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon Edward Snowden? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 22 2021 βœ… 8.34 0.00 0.00 8.34 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 7.80 0.00 0.00 7.80 Trades
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 7.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 Trades
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 23 2021 βœ… 6.63 0.00 0.00 6.63 Trades
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 10 2021 βœ… 6.58 0.00 0.00 6.58 Trades
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 βœ… 6.21 0.00 0.00 6.21 Trades
Who will win 76ers v. Hawks: Conference Semifinal Game 4? 76ers Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 14 2021 βœ… 5.80 0.00 0.00 5.80 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 βœ… 4.56 0.00 0.00 4.56 Trades
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? Gavin Newsom
Larry Elder
Other
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
βœ… 4.47 0.00 0.00 4.47 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 βœ… 4.19 0.00 0.00 4.19 Trades
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… 4.18 0.00 0.00 4.18 Trades
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 02 2021 βœ… 4.08 0.00 0.00 4.08 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 4.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 3.79 0.00 0.00 3.79 Trades
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 3.69 0.00 0.00 3.69 Trades
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 3.43 0.00 0.00 3.43 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 βœ… 3.33 0.00 0.00 3.33 Trades
Will Rafael Nadal win the Roland-Garros (French Open)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 13 2021 βœ… 3.32 0.00 0.00 3.32 Trades
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? Jeff Bezos
Elon Musk
Other
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 1.00
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0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sat Feb 27 2021 βœ… 2.75 0.00 0.00 2.75 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 02 2021 βœ… 2.71 0.00 0.00 2.71 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 28 2024 βœ… 2.51 0.00 0.00 2.51 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 2.45 0.00 0.00 2.45 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 βœ… 2.38 0.00 0.00 2.38 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… 2.21 0.00 0.00 2.21 Trades
Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 2.16 0.00 0.00 2.16 Trades
Will the Raptors or the Bucks win their February 16th matchup? Raptors Bucks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 16 2021 βœ… 2.07 0.00 0.00 2.07 Trades
Will the Nets or the Suns win their February 16th matchup? Nets Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 16 2021 βœ… 2.05 0.00 0.00 2.05 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 2.05 0.00 0.00 2.05 Trades
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by November 17th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 17 2021 βœ… 2.04 0.00 0.00 2.04 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 1.88 0.00 0.00 1.88 Trades
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 1.85 0.00 0.00 1.85 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.85 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.85 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… 0.98 0.00 0.00 1.83 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 1.82 0.00 0.00 1.82 Trades
Will the Chiefs or the Ravens win their NFL week 2 matchup? Chiefs Ravens 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 19 2021 βœ… 1.81 0.00 0.00 1.81 Trades
Will 246 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 1.74 0.00 0.00 1.74 Trades
Will the New York Yankees win the 2021 AL East? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 04 2021 βœ… 1.72 0.00 0.00 1.72 Trades
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 βœ… 1.69 0.00 0.00 1.69 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 βœ… 1.62 0.00 0.00 1.62 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 1.59 0.00 0.00 1.59 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 1.56 0.00 0.00 1.56 Trades
Will an official Presidential inauguration take place in-person outside the US Capitol on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 βœ… 1.44 0.00 0.00 1.44 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 βœ… 1.34 0.00 0.00 1.34 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 0.00 24.19 0.00% 0.9448 0.00 1.00 0.00 24.19 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -22.86 0.00 0.00 1.33 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 3.86 0.00 0.00% 0.6600 1.00 0.00 3.86 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 βœ… -2.55 0.00 0.00 1.31 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 1.30 0.00 0.00 1.30 Trades
Will Argentina presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 23 2023 βœ… 1.30 0.00 0.00 1.30 Trades
Will Bola Tinubu be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 25 2023 βœ… 1.27 0.00 0.00 1.27 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 1.27 0.00 0.00 1.27 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Will the Bills or Chiefs win their week five matchup? Bills Chiefs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 10 2021 βœ… 1.24 0.00 0.00 1.24 Trades
Will Princeton University remain the highest ranking national university in the US according to the 2022 US News ranking? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 1.23 0.00 0.00 1.23 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 βœ… 1.22 0.00 0.00 1.22 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 0.00 9.17 0.00% 0.8724 0.00 1.00 0.00 9.17 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -8.00 0.00 0.00 1.17 Trades
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 1.14 0.00 0.00 1.14 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 βœ… 1.11 0.00 0.00 1.11 Trades
Will Kevin Hern be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 1.10 0.00 0.00 1.10 Trades
Will Joe Biden be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 βœ… 1.08 0.00 0.00 1.08 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 βœ… 1.07 0.00 0.00 1.07 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… 1.06 0.00 0.00 1.06 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 βœ… 1.06 0.00 0.00 1.06 Trades
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.00 9.78 0.00% 0.8988 0.00 1.00 0.00 9.78 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -8.79 0.00 0.00 0.99 Trades
Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… 0.91 0.00 0.00 0.91 Trades
Which will sell more album units in its first week of release: Kanye’s Donda or Drake’s Certified Lover Boy? Kanye Drake 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 0.89 0.00 0.00 0.89 Trades
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 28 2021 βœ… 0.88 0.00 0.00 0.88 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Feb 24 2024 βœ… 0.85 0.00 0.00 0.86 Trades
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? Yes No 0.00 3.85 0.00% 0.7800 0.00 1.00 0.00 3.85 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.85 Trades
Will year-to-year inflation in the European Union be 4.3% or more in October? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 17 2021 βœ… 0.84 0.00 0.00 0.84 Trades
Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 15 2021 βœ… 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.74 Trades
Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… 0.71 0.00 0.00 0.71 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? Yes No 1.26 0.00 0.00% -0.5320 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 0.67 0.00 0.00 0.67 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price reach $70,000 before November 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.64 Trades
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 0.62 0.00 0.00 0.62 Trades
Will Shiba Inu ($SHIB) reach market cap of $50 billion at any point on or before November 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… 0.62 0.00 0.00 0.62 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 βœ… 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.61 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis endorse Trump for President in 2023? Yes No 0.00 8.60 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 8.60 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 Trades
Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023? Yes No 8.60 0.00 0.00% 0.9300 1.00 0.00 8.60 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.60 Trades
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 βœ… 0.57 0.00 0.00 0.57 Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.95 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.95 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.40 0.00 0.00 0.55 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 2.18 0.00% 0.7711 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.18 Sun Jan 14 2024 βœ… -1.68 0.00 0.00 0.50 Trades
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.41 Trades
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 βœ… 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.39 Trades
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? Yes No 8.37 0.00 0.00% 0.9562 1.00 0.00 8.37 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 βœ… -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.37 Trades
Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 25 2021 βœ… 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.35 Trades
Will Ethereum reach $4500 by November 11th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 βœ… 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.35 Trades
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? 52 or fewer
53-55
56-58
59-61
62 or more
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mon Mar 01 2021 βœ… 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.33 Trades
Will Vice President Harris cast 15 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.32 Trades
Will Kendall Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 βœ… 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.31 Trades
Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021? Yes No 0.00 1.46 0.00% 0.7886 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.46 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -1.15 0.00 0.00 0.31 Trades
Will Bitcoin reach an all-time high by November 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.31 Trades
SBF sentenced to life? Yes No 0.00 6.93 0.00% 0.9600 0.00 1.00 0.00 6.93 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -6.65 0.00 0.00 0.28 Trades
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 17 2021 βœ… 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.27 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2021 Wimbledon? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 11 2021 βœ… 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.26 Trades
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? Yes No 3.20 0.00 0.00% 0.9225 1.00 0.00 3.20 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -2.95 0.00 0.00 0.25 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.23 Trades
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 20 2021 βœ… 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.22 Trades
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? Keiko Fujimori Pedro Castillo 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.22 Trades
Will Poland or the United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on Christmas Eve? Poland United Kingdom 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 25 2021 βœ… 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.20 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.42 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.42 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.24 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? 0
1
2
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.33
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
βœ… 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.17 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.17 Trades
Will the Coldplay and BTS single 'My Universe' debut at #1 on the Billboard Global 200 chart? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 βœ… 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.16 Trades
Will the workers at Amazon's Bessemer facility unionize by May 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 05 2021 βœ… 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.16 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.85 0.00 0.00 0.15 Trades
Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.15 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 βœ… 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.12 Trades
Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.12 Trades
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 1.11 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.11 Sat Jan 14 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 Trades
Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 26 2021 βœ… 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.11 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 βœ… -0.90 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will 'The Witcher: Season 2' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending January 9? Yes No 0.00 1.10 0.00% 0.9101 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.10 Wed Jan 12 2022 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will there be a Senate vacancy in Pennsylvania by EOY? Yes No 0.00 1.61 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.61 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -1.51 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will Chris Cuomo launch a Substack before January 10, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 10 2022 βœ… 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 βœ… 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 βœ… 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 16 2021 βœ… 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Will the Omicron variant be marked as a Variant Of High Consequence by the CDC before 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 1.09 0.00 0.00% 0.9200 1.00 0.00 1.09 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 07 2024 βœ… 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.08 Trades
Will Canada sanction India by October 31? Yes No 0.00 1.08 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.08 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 Trades
Will Solana (SOL) reach an all-time high by January 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 14 2022 βœ… 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.06 Trades
Will Bitcoin (BTC) price be closer to $42,069 or $69,420 at noon on January 11? $42,069 $69,420 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 11 2022 βœ… 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.06 Trades
Will 'The Matrix Resurrections' get a 75% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 25 2021 βœ… 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.06 Trades
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 26 2021 βœ… 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.06 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 βœ… 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.06 Trades
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 βœ… 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.06 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 βœ… -0.95 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the first week of October? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 07 2021 βœ… 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 βœ… 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? Dune Shang-Chi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 21 2021 βœ… 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 βœ… 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 βœ… 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 βœ… -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.08 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 βœ… -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.14 Trades
Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? Healthcare Workers
WHO
Joe Biden
Anthony Fauci
Other
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mon Dec 13 2021 βœ… -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.14 Trades
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 20 2021 βœ… -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.16 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? Yes No 2.57 0.00 0.00% 0.0652 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 βœ… -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.17 Trades
Will Elon Musk be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 βœ… -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.18 Trades
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? Yes No 1.44 0.00 0.00% 0.1256 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.18 Trades
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 βœ… -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.19 Trades
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 βœ… -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.23 Trades
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? Yes No 1.78 0.00 0.00% 0.1801 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.32 Trades
Will Tom Wambsgans be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 0.67 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 βœ… -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.47 Trades
Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023? Yes No 2.12 0.00 0.00% 1.2277 1.00 0.00 2.12 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -2.60 0.00 0.00 -0.48 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1.55 0.00% 0.3354 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 βœ… -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.52 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… -0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.55 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 βœ… -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.56 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D) Dems/Warnock Reps/Loeffler 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.59 Trades
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? Yes No 2.29 0.00 0.00% 0.2800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 βœ… -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.64 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… -0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.65 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 βœ… -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.67 Trades
Will Conor McGregor win his UFC 257 match on January 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 23 2021 βœ… -0.68 0.00 0.00 -0.68 Trades
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -0.84 0.00 0.00 -0.84 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 βœ… -0.88 0.00 0.00 -0.88 Trades
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2.86 0.00% 0.3209 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -0.92 0.00 0.00 -0.92 Trades
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -0.94 0.00 0.00 -0.94 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 08 2021 βœ… -0.95 0.00 0.00 -0.95 Trades
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? Yes No 3.27 0.00 0.00% 0.3000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -0.98 0.00 0.00 -0.98 Trades
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? Yes No 2.56 0.00 0.00% 0.3900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the Jazz or the 76ers win their February 15h matchup? 76ers Jazz 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 15 2021 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the Rockets or the Wizards win their February 15th matchup? Wizards Rockets 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 15 2021 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the Dolphins or the Bills win their NFL week 2 matchup? Bills Dolphins 0.00 2.73 0.00% 0.3669 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 19 2021 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be listed for trading on Coinbase by November 18th? Yes No 0.00 1.38 0.00% 0.7264 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021? Yes No 3.34 0.00 0.00% 0.2993 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? Yes No 2.26 0.00 0.00% 0.4427 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot? Yes No 4.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? Yes No 3.13 0.00 0.00% 0.3200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 1.79 0.00 0.00% 0.6300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 βœ… -1.13 0.00 0.00 -1.13 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 3.05 0.00 0.00% 0.3700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -1.13 0.00 0.00 -1.13 Trades
Will DOJ charge Binance by EoY? Yes No 0.00 1.52 0.00% 0.7500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -1.14 0.00 0.00 -1.14 Trades
Will Vice President Harris cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? Yes No 1.71 0.00 0.00% 0.7355 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -1.26 0.00 0.00 -1.26 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 28 2021 βœ… -1.30 0.00 0.00 -1.30 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 βœ… -1.50 0.00 0.00 -1.50 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? Yes No 2.52 0.00 0.00% 0.6216 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… -1.57 0.00 0.00 -1.57 Trades
Will President Biden say β€œTrump” during his August 26 speech + Q&A? Yes No 0.00 2.75 0.00% 0.6134 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 26 2021 βœ… -1.68 0.00 0.00 -1.68 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? Yes No 0.00 4.42 0.00% 0.4165 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -1.84 0.00 0.00 -1.84 Trades
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? Yes No 17.08 0.00 0.00% 0.1212 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -2.07 0.00 0.00 -2.07 Trades
Will an American win WSOP main event? Yes No 0.00 4.60 0.00% 0.4500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 17 2023 βœ… -2.07 0.00 0.00 -2.07 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Nuggets: Conference Semifinal Game 4? Suns Nuggets 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 13 2021 βœ… -2.13 0.00 0.00 -2.13 Trades
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? Yes No 2.74 0.00 0.00% 0.8403 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 βœ… -2.30 0.00 0.00 -2.30 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… -2.48 0.00 0.00 -2.48 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? Yes No 0.00 3.34 0.00% 0.8309 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -2.78 0.00 0.00 -2.78 Trades
Who will win 76ers v. Hawks: Conference Semifinal Game 3? 76ers Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 11 2021 βœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Who will win Jazz v. Clippers: Conference Semifinal Game 4? Jazz Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 14 2021 βœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 4.22 0.00% 0.8700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -3.67 0.00 0.00 -3.67 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? Yes No 41.69 0.00 0.00% 0.1190 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -4.96 0.00 0.00 -4.96 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? Yes No 14.59 0.00 0.00% 0.3907 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 04 2021 βœ… -5.70 0.00 0.00 -5.70 Trades
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 21 2021 βœ… -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
SBF guilty of all charges? Yes No 0.00 13.54 0.00% 0.4874 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -6.60 0.00 0.00 -6.60 Trades
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 βœ… -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 10.77 0.00% 0.6811 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -7.33 0.00 0.00 -7.33 Trades
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? Yes No 0.00 11.58 0.00% 0.6569 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… -7.61 0.00 0.00 -7.61 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.69 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.69 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… -8.45 0.00 0.00 -7.76 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R) Dems/Ossoff Reps/Perdue 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -8.00 0.00 0.00 -8.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 22 2021 βœ… -10.08 0.00 0.00 -10.08 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon a family member before Inauguration Day? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 22 2021 βœ… -12.40 0.00 0.00 -12.40 Trades
Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 01 2021 βœ… -14.00 0.00 0.00 -14.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 01 2021 βœ… -17.00 0.00 0.00 -17.00 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 23.44 0.00% 0.7893 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -18.50 0.00 0.00 -18.50 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Nuggets: Game 1? Suns Nuggets 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 07 2021 βœ… -27.00 0.00 0.00 -27.00 Trades
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? Yes No 0.00 1.06 0.00% 27.7928 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… -29.52 0.00 0.00 -29.52 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.41 0.59 0.00 0.00 βœ… -31.94 0.00 0.00 -31.94 Trades
Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -45.00 0.00 0.00 -45.00 Trades
Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election? Dems Reps 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 20 2020 βœ… -45.00 0.00 0.00 -45.00 Trades
Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 20 2020 βœ… -45.00 0.00 0.00 -45.00 Trades
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 16 2021 βœ… -81.87 0.00 0.00 -81.87 Trades
Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 01 2020 βœ… -82.52 0.00 0.00 -82.52 Trades
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… -94.21 0.00 0.00 -94.21 Trades
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… -106.10 0.00 0.00 -106.10 Trades
Resolved 31.26 75.56 327.17 0.00 0.00 433.99
Unresolved 0.27 27.86 -109.08 0.00 0.00 -80.95
Total 31.53 103.42 218.09 0.00 0.00 353.04