Account
0x2998fb1a927cff418ff3f0834cb48bae85aeb425 Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House control after 2024 election? | Democratic | Republican | 11.75 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5500 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | -6.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.46 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 73.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.32 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 12 2021 | β | 72.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.02 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 70.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.87 | Trades | ||
| Will Nina Turner win the Democratic Nomination in the OH-11 special election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.55 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.55 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | β | 70.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.84 | Trades | ||
| Will President Trump be suspended from Twitter before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 66.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.09 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 63.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.96 | Trades | |||
| Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | β | 53.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.82 | Trades | ||
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | 45.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.65 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 44.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.96 | Trades | ||
| Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 40.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.56 | Trades | |||
| Will Donald Trump tweet announcing that he won the election before November 5th 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 05 2020 | β | 39.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.50 | Trades | ||
| Superbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Chiefs | Bucs | 0.00 | 0.41 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.41 | Mon Feb 08 2021 | β | 37.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.49 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 36.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.14 | Trades | |||
| Will the U.S. Menβs Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | 31.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.72 | Trades | ||
| Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 28.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 01 2024 | β | 25.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.32 | Trades | ||
| What will the margin be in Newsomβs recall election? | Under 10% 10% to 15% Over 15% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | 24.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.76 | Trades | |||||||
| Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | 23.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.91 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say "resign" during his August 3 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | β | 22.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.88 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 | 0.00 | β | 22.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.81 | Trades | |||
| Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | β | 22.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.53 | Trades | ||
| Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 22.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.10 | Trades | ||
| Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | β | 21.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.85 | Trades | ||
| Will Kari Lake win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 09 2024 | β | 21.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.32 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump complete his first term? | Yes | No | 0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | 20.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.75 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | 14.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.87 | Trades | ||
| Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | 14.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.85 | Trades | ||
| Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | 14.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.23 | Trades | ||
| What will the final score points spread be for Super Bowl 55? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 08 2021 | β | 13.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.46 | Trades | ||
| Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | β | 12.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.63 | Trades | ||
| Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 17 2023 | β | 12.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.16 | Trades | ||
| Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | 11.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.77 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | β | 10.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.31 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 16 2023 | β | 8.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.73 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | 8.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.51 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump pardon Edward Snowden? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | 8.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.34 | Trades | ||
| Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | 7.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.80 | Trades | ||
| Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 7.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 23 2021 | β | 6.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.63 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | β | 6.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.58 | Trades | ||
| Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 6.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.21 | Trades | ||
| Who will win 76ers v. Hawks: Conference Semifinal Game 4? | 76ers | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 14 2021 | β | 5.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.80 | Trades | ||
| SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | 4.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.69 | Trades | ||
| Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | β | 4.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.56 | Trades | ||
| Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? | Gavin Newsom Larry Elder Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | 4.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.47 | Trades | |||||||
| Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 14 2023 | β | 4.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.19 | Trades | ||
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 4.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.18 | Trades | ||
| Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 02 2021 | β | 4.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.08 | Trades | ||
| Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 3.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.79 | Trades | ||
| Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 3.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.69 | Trades | ||
| Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 3.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.43 | Trades | ||
| Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 30 2023 | β | 3.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.33 | Trades | ||
| Will Rafael Nadal win the Roland-Garros (French Open)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | β | 3.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.32 | Trades | ||
| Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | β | 2.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.75 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | β | 2.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.71 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 28 2024 | β | 2.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.51 | Trades | ||
| Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 2.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.45 | Trades | ||
| Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 19 2023 | β | 2.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.38 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 2.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.21 | Trades | ||
| Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 2.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.16 | Trades | ||
| Will the Raptors or the Bucks win their February 16th matchup? | Raptors | Bucks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | β | 2.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.07 | Trades | ||
| Will the Nets or the Suns win their February 16th matchup? | Nets | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | β | 2.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | 2.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 by November 17th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 17 2021 | β | 2.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.04 | Trades | ||
| Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | 1.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.88 | Trades | ||
| Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 1.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.85 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.85 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.85 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.83 | Trades | ||
| Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 1.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.82 | Trades | |||
| Will the Chiefs or the Ravens win their NFL week 2 matchup? | Chiefs | Ravens | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 19 2021 | β | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.81 | Trades | ||
| Will 246 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.74 | Trades | ||
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2021 AL East? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 04 2021 | β | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.72 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | β | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.69 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.62 | Trades | ||
| Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.59 | Trades | ||
| Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 1.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.56 | Trades | ||
| Will an official Presidential inauguration take place in-person outside the US Capitol on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | β | 1.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.44 | Trades | ||
| Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 13 2024 | β | 1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.34 | Trades | ||
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 24.19 | 0.00% | 0.9448 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 24.19 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -22.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.33 | Trades | |
| Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 3.86 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.86 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | β | -2.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.31 | Trades | |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.30 | Trades | ||
| Will Argentina presidential election go to a second round? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 23 2023 | β | 1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.30 | Trades | ||
| Will Bola Tinubu be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Feb 25 2023 | β | 1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.27 | Trades | ||
| US military intervention by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | 1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.27 | Trades | ||
| (In-Game Trading) Will the Bills or Chiefs win their week five matchup? | Bills | Chiefs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 10 2021 | β | 1.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.24 | Trades | ||
| Will Princeton University remain the highest ranking national university in the US according to the 2022 US News ranking? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 1.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.23 | Trades | ||
| Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 14 2023 | β | 1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.22 | Trades | ||
| Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 9.17 | 0.00% | 0.8724 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 9.17 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.17 | Trades | |
| Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | 1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.14 | Trades | ||
| Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 15 2023 | β | 1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.11 | Trades | ||
| Will Kevin Hern be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.10 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 14 2023 | β | 1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.08 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 01 2024 | β | 1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.07 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | β | 1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.06 | Trades | ||
| Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 15 2023 | β | 1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.06 | Trades | ||
| Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 9.78 | 0.00% | 0.8988 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 9.78 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -8.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.99 | Trades | |
| Will Peter Thiel win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 11.92 | 0.00% | 0.9172 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 11.92 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | -10.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.99 | Trades | |
| Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.91 | Trades | ||
| Which will sell more album units in its first week of release: Kanyeβs Donda or Drakeβs Certified Lover Boy? | Kanye | Drake | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.89 | Trades | ||
| $2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | 0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.88 | Trades | ||
| Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sat Feb 24 2024 | β | 0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.86 | Trades | ||
| Will year-to-year inflation in the European Union be 4.3% or more in October? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 17 2021 | β | 0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.84 | Trades | ||
| Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 15 2021 | β | 0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.74 | Trades | ||
| Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.71 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.5320 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.67 | Trades | |
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price reach $70,000 before November 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.64 | Trades | ||
| Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | 0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.64 | Trades | ||
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.62 | Trades | ||
| Will Shiba Inu ($SHIB) reach market cap of $50 billion at any point on or before November 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.62 | Trades | ||
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | 0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.61 | Trades | ||
| Will Ron DeSantis endorse Trump for President in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8.60 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 8.60 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.60 | Trades | |
| Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023? | Yes | No | 8.60 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 8.60 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.60 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.60 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | 0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.57 | Trades | ||
| Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? | Yes | No | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.55 | Trades | ||
| Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.18 | 0.00% | 0.7711 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.18 | Sun Jan 14 2024 | β | -1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | |
| Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.41 | Trades | ||
| Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | β | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.39 | Trades | ||
| Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? | Yes | No | 8.37 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9562 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 8.37 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | β | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.37 | Trades | |
| Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | β | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.35 | Trades | ||
| Will Ethereum reach $4500 by November 11th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.35 | Trades | ||
| How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? | 52 or fewer 53-55 56-58 59-61 62 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.33 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Vice President Harris cast 15 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.32 | Trades | ||
| Will Kendall Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 29 2023 | β | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.31 | Trades | ||
| Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.46 | 0.00% | 0.7886 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.46 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -1.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.31 | Trades | |
| Will Bitcoin reach an all-time high by November 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.31 | Trades | ||
| SBF sentenced to life? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.93 | 0.00% | 0.9600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6.93 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | -6.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 | Trades | |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.51 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5.51 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | -5.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 | Trades | |
| Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 17 2021 | β | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2021 Wimbledon? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | β | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.26 | Trades | ||
| Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? | Yes | No | 3.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9225 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.20 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -2.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.23 | Trades | ||
| Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 20 2021 | β | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.22 | Trades | ||
| Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Keiko Fujimori | Pedro Castillo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.22 | Trades | ||
| Will Poland or the United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on Christmas Eve? | Poland | United Kingdom | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | β | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | Trades | ||
| Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? | Yes | No | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.42 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.18 | Trades | ||
| How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 | Trades | |||||||
| Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 | Trades | ||
| Will the Coldplay and BTS single 'My Universe' debut at #1 on the Billboard Global 200 chart? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.16 | Trades | ||
| Will the workers at Amazon's Bessemer facility unionize by May 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 05 2021 | β | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.16 | Trades | ||
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.15 | Trades | ||
| Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.15 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 | Trades | ||
| Will Clubhouse officially announce theyβve been acquired in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 | Trades | ||
| Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.11 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.11 | Sat Jan 14 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 | Trades | |
| Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | β | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 | Trades | ||
| Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 06 2023 | β | -0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | Trades | ||
| Will 'The Witcher: Season 2' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending January 9? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.10 | 0.00% | 0.9101 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.10 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | Trades | |
| Will there be a Senate vacancy in Pennsylvania by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.61 | 0.00% | 0.9400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.61 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -1.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | Trades | |
| Will Chris Cuomo launch a Substack before January 10, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | β | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Trades | ||
| Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | β | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Trades | ||
| Will the Omicron variant be marked as a Variant Of High Consequence by the CDC before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Trades | ||
| Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? | Yes | No | 1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.09 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Trades | |
| Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 07 2024 | β | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 | Trades | ||
| Will Canada sanction India by October 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.08 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.08 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 | Trades | |
| Will Solana (SOL) reach an all-time high by January 14? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 14 2022 | β | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin (BTC) price be closer to $42,069 or $69,420 at noon on January 11? | $42,069 | $69,420 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 11 2022 | β | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Trades | ||
| Will 'The Matrix Resurrections' get a 75% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | β | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Trades | ||
| Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 26 2021 | β | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Trades | ||
| Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 01 2023 | β | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Trades | ||
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Sat Jan 14 2023 | β | -0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the first week of October? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 07 2021 | β | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 29 2024 | β | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | Trades | ||
| Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.12 | 0.00% | 0.9650 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.12 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | β | -1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | Trades | |
| Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? | Dune | Shang-Chi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | β | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | Trades | ||
| Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | Trades | ||
| Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? | Israel | Palestine | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 20 2023 | β | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | Trades | ||
| Will Dean Phillips win the U.S. Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | β | -0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | Trades | ||
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.49 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.49 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | β | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | Trades | ||
| Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | Trades | ||
| Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | Trades | ||
| Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | Trades | ||
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 14 2023 | β | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | Trades | ||
| Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? | Healthcare Workers WHO Joe Biden Anthony Fauci Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Dec 13 2021 | β | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | β | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.16 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 2.57 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0652 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | Trades | |
| Will Elon Musk be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 14 2023 | β | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.18 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 1.44 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1256 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.18 | Trades | |
| Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 05 2024 | β | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.19 | Trades | ||
| Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 05 2024 | β | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | Trades | ||
| Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? | Yes | No | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1801 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.32 | Trades | ||
| Will Tom Wambsgans be CEO at the end of Succession S4? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 29 2023 | β | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.47 | Trades | ||
| Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023? | Yes | No | 2.12 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.2277 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.12 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -2.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.48 | Trades | |
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.55 | 0.00% | 0.3354 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.52 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.55 | Trades | ||
| Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 21 2023 | β | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.56 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D) | Dems/Warnock | Reps/Loeffler | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.59 | Trades | |||
| Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? | Yes | No | 2.29 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | β | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.64 | Trades | |
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.65 | Trades | ||
| Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 21 2023 | β | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.67 | Trades | ||
| Will Conor McGregor win his UFC 257 match on January 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 23 2021 | β | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.68 | Trades | ||
| Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.84 | Trades | ||
| Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | β | -0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.88 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.86 | 0.00% | 0.3209 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.92 | Trades | |
| Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.94 | Trades | |||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | β | -0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.95 | Trades | ||
| Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 3.27 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | -0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.98 | Trades | |
| Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 2.56 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Jazz or the 76ers win their February 15h matchup? | 76ers | Jazz | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 15 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Rockets or the Wizards win their February 15th matchup? | Wizards | Rockets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 15 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Dolphins or the Bills win their NFL week 2 matchup? | Bills | Dolphins | 0.00 | 2.73 | 0.00% | 0.3669 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 19 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be listed for trading on Coinbase by November 18th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.38 | 0.00% | 0.7264 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 3.34 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2993 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? | Yes | No | 2.26 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4427 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot? | Yes | No | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 04 2024 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? | Yes | No | 3.13 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? | Yes | No | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | β | -1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.13 | Trades | |
| Will Trump smile in his mugshot? | Yes | No | 3.05 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.13 | Trades | |
| Will DOJ charge Binance by EoY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.52 | 0.00% | 0.7500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.14 | Trades | |
| Will Vice President Harris cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7355 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.26 | Trades | |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | -1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.30 | Trades | ||
| Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | -1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.50 | Trades | ||
| Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 4.16 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | -1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.54 | Trades | |
| Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.45 | 0.00% | 0.2844 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | β | -1.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.55 | Trades | |
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? | Yes | No | 2.52 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6216 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -1.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.57 | Trades | |
| Will President Biden say βTrumpβ during his August 26 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.75 | 0.00% | 0.6134 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 26 2021 | β | -1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.68 | Trades | |
| Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.42 | 0.00% | 0.4165 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.84 | Trades | |
| Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? | Yes | No | 17.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1212 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -2.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.07 | Trades | |
| Will an American win WSOP main event? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.60 | 0.00% | 0.4500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 17 2023 | β | -2.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.07 | Trades | |
| Who will win Suns v. Nuggets: Conference Semifinal Game 4? | Suns | Nuggets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | β | -2.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.13 | Trades | ||
| Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sothebyβs auction for the United States Constitution? | Yes | No | 2.74 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8403 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | -2.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.30 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | -2.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.48 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.34 | 0.00% | 0.8309 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -2.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.78 | Trades | |
| Who will win 76ers v. Hawks: Conference Semifinal Game 3? | 76ers | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 11 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Jazz v. Clippers: Conference Semifinal Game 4? | Jazz | Clippers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 14 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.22 | 0.00% | 0.8700 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | -3.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.67 | Trades | |
| Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 41.69 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1190 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | -4.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.96 | Trades | |
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 14.59 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3907 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | β | -5.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.70 | Trades | |
| Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | β | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | ||
| SBF guilty of all charges? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 13.54 | 0.00% | 0.4874 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | -6.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.60 | Trades | |
| Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | -7.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10.77 | 0.00% | 0.6811 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -7.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.33 | Trades | |
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 11.58 | 0.00% | 0.6569 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -7.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.61 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.69 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.69 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -8.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.76 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R) | Dems/Ossoff | Reps/Perdue | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.00 | Trades | |||
| Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | -10.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.08 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump pardon a family member before Inauguration Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | -12.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.40 | Trades | ||
| Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -14.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -17.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.00 | Trades | ||
| Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 23.44 | 0.00% | 0.7893 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -18.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -18.50 | Trades | |
| Will Biden drop out of presidential race? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 34.03 | 0.00% | 0.6600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | β | -22.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -22.46 | Trades | |
| Who will win Suns v. Nuggets: Game 1? | Suns | Nuggets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 07 2021 | β | -27.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.06 | 0.00% | 27.7928 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -29.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -29.52 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -31.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -31.94 | Trades | |||
| Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -45.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -45.00 | Trades | |||
| Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election? | Dems | Reps | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | β | -45.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -45.00 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | β | -45.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -45.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | β | -81.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -81.87 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 01 2020 | β | -82.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -82.52 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -94.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -94.21 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | -106.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -106.10 | Trades | ||
| Resolved | 31.26 | 91.75 | 383.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 506.57 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.46 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 31.26 | 91.75 | 377.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 500.11 | ||||||||||||