Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
|
10.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.81
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
8.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.08
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.18
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.03
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.94
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.47
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
-0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.04
|
Trades
|
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.72
|
0.00% |
|
0.5800
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.8231
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-2.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.98
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
27.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-4.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.05
|
Trades
|
ETH above $4,000 next Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
5.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.20
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
0.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.81
|
Trades
|
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
0.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.80
|
Trades
|
OpenAI Sora public release before May? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.8817
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.12
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.13
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.05
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in March? |
Yes |
No |
3.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0491
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.18
|
Trades
|
BTC above $70,000 next friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
-0.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.84
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
2.19
|
|
|
3.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.98
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.47
|
|
|
9.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.90
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
2.66
|
|
|
13.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.88
|
|