Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
26,089.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26,089.06
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 on June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
679.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
679.79
|
Trades
|
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
31.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.08
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-45.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.82
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
179.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
179.71
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
5,574.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1089
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
-607.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-607.18
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
196.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
-5.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.88
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
1,474.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,474.32
|
Trades
|
Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou |
Fury |
Ngannou |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 28 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
26,515.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0146
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
-386.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-386.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,522.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
-110.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-110.54
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
762.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
762.29
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.00
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
900.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1367
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-123.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-123.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,250.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0484
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-60.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-60.50
|
Trades
|
Celestia token above $5 one week after airdrop? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0380
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 06 2023
|
β
|
-19.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.00
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
1,587.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,587.13
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
4,235.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6160
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4,235.50
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
-2,609.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,626.23
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
6,314.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2334
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
-1,473.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,473.90
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
3,316.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1179
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
-391.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-391.15
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
2,811.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4035
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
-1,134.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,134.53
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
147.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
147.22
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
117.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.7853
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
117.16
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
-92.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.16
|
Trades
|
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
201.48
|
0.00% |
|
0.9480
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
201.48
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
-191.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.48
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
125.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
125.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.00
|
Trades
|
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 18 2023
|
β
|
131.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
131.48
|
Trades
|
Will Sergio Massa win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
133.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
133.73
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
66.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.07
|
Trades
|
Will βThe Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakesβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'The Marvels'? |
Yes |
No |
125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
β
|
8.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.48
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
131.58
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
OpenAI board out by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
58.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.18
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
1,267.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2019
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
-256.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-256.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.24
|
0.00% |
|
0.2154
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
β
|
-21.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.59
|
Trades
|
Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
27.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.05
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
25.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.86
|
Trades
|
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,880.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.2434
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-701.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-701.00
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0520
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
520.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
520.00
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-53.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-53.09
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9,139.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.2305
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-2,106.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,106.77
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
735.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.2718
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
735.89
|
Sat Dec 02 2023
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
535.89
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,998.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.1856
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-741.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-741.95
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2786
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-278.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-278.60
|
Trades
|
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
130.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
130.37
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-108.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-108.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
684.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.3008
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-206.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-206.00
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
2,688.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2548
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-685.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-685.09
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8,603.08
|
0.00% |
|
0.2533
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2,179.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,179.58
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' flop? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-39.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-39.75
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
150.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
150.14
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12,421.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.0988
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1,227.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,227.22
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,458.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.0366
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-90.00
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,766.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.0406
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-71.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-71.81
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-17.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.09
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-6.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.28
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
β
|
-127.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-127.02
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
-22.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.61
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4,235.52
|
1,179.54
|
|
|
15,577.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20,992.78
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4,235.52
|
1,179.54
|
|
|
15,577.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20,992.78
|
|