Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
2023 FIDE World Cup: Will Magnus Carlsen win top 3? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
30.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.18
|
Trades
|
Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
21.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.80
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
16.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.18
|
Trades
|
Will Tadej PogaΔar win the 2023 Tour de France? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
15.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.37
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC reach $32,500 by July 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 14 2023
|
β
|
13.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.91
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
β
|
12.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.25
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
10.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.85
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
8.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.33
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
8.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.29
|
Trades
|
Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz |
Paul |
Diaz |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 05 2023
|
β
|
7.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.32
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
6.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.47
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
6.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.12
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
5.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.70
|
Trades
|
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
β
|
5.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.45
|
Trades
|
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
4.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.48
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 on June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
3.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.59
|
Trades
|
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
β
|
3.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.53
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
3.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.33
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
2.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.58
|
Trades
|
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
2.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.27
|
Trades
|
Boxing: Spence vs. Crawford |
Spence |
Crawford |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
2.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.23
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.8700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
16.06
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-13.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.09
|
Trades
|
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) |
Suozzi |
Pilip |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 13 2024
|
β
|
1.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.47
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
1.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.42
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
1.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.13
|
Trades
|
Opepen floor price over .69 ETH on July 28? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 28 2023
|
β
|
1.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.08
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
1.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.07
|
Trades
|
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.68
|
0.00% |
|
0.8100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.68
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.70
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
0.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.55
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.37
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.37
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.37
|
Trades
|
Will Olivia Chow win the 2023 Toronto mayoral by-election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 26 2023
|
β
|
0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.10
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.10
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? |
Yes |
No |
1.09
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9200
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.09
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 14 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.09
|
Trades
|
Biden cognitive test before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.08
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.08
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Will anyone from the Epstein documents be indicted by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.04
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will Nate Silver win the WSOP main event? |
Yes |
No |
1.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0180
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 17 2023
|
β
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.00
|
1.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Rollbit rug by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.07
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© join a Saudi club this transfer window? |
Yes |
No |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will LeBron say COVID vaccine could've caused Bronny's cardiac arrest? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell still be a Senator on August 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 04 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Kane sign for Bayern Munich? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.37
|
Trades
|
Will Wagner take Moscow by Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 27 2023
|
β
|
-0.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.52
|
Trades
|
Is Obama queer? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.58
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? |
Yes |
No |
1.15
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.72
|
0.00% |
|
0.5800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.1500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.9440
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
12.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
1.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7631
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-1.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.04
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
7.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.04
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
6.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.80
|
0.00% |
|
0.2512
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
-2.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.21
|
Trades
|
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.84
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.6318
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
-7.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.41
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.49
|
0.00% |
|
0.6900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on its second weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-14.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.18
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.48
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-18.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.43
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-24.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.13
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-27.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.84
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.10
|
27.44
|
|
|
51.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.51
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.10
|
27.44
|
|
|
50.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
79.51
|
|