Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.87 0.13 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 551.61 0.00 0.00 551.61 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.93 0.07 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 428.54 0.00 0.00 428.54 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? Yes No 67.00 0.00 0.00% -3.5535 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 238.08 0.00 0.00 238.08 Trades
zkSync airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 21.21 0.00% -3.9006 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 82.75 0.00 0.00 82.75 Trades
zkSync airdrop by April? Yes No 75.32 0.00 0.00% -0.9603 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 72.33 0.00 0.00 72.33 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 8,052.91 0.00 0.00% 0.7885 0.79 0.21 6,397.04 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -6,350.06 0.00 0.00 46.98 Trades
Drift airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 450.01 0.00% -0.0622 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 28.00 0.00 0.00 28.00 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 27.98 0.00 0.00 27.98 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 25.62 0.00 0.00 25.63 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 199.99 0.00 0.00% 0.3734 0.48 0.52 95.04 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 -74.68 0.00 0.00 20.36 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 13.00 0.00 0.00 13.00 Trades
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 7.40 0.00 0.00 7.40 Trades
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
US congress stock trading ban by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 0.73 0.00 0.00 0.73 Trades
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? Yes No 0.00 125.78 0.00% 0.9660 0.03 0.97 0.00 122.08 Sun Jun 30 2024 -121.51 0.00 0.00 0.57 Trades
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
House control after 2024 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Girona win La Liga 2023-24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
OpenAI settlement with Elon Musk before July? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -2.10 0.00 0.00 -2.10 Trades
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 -2.28 0.00 0.00 -2.28 Trades
Will Tim Scott win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 20.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1600 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 -3.20 0.00 0.00 -3.20 Trades
Bryan Johnson's functional sperm above 20.0 M/ejac on next test? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Tether Insolvent in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -4.39 0.00 0.00 -4.39 Trades
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -4.53 0.00 0.00 -4.53 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 182.81 0.00% 0.0330 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -6.04 0.00 0.00 -6.04 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by April? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0207 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -6.20 0.00 0.00 -6.20 Trades
Blast airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 230.97 0.00% 0.0389 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -8.98 0.00 0.00 -8.98 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -9.00 0.00 0.00 -9.00 Trades
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? Yes No 191.54 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -9.58 0.00 0.00 -9.58 Trades
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -9.63 0.00 0.00 -9.63 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -9.78 0.00 0.00 -9.78 Trades
Canada federal election in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -12.00 0.00 0.00 -12.00 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -16.00 0.00 0.00 -16.00 Trades
CZ sentenced to prison? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -22.00 0.00 0.00 -22.00 Trades
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -25.45 0.00 0.00 -25.45 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 22 2024 -27.67 0.00 0.00 -27.67 Trades
Will Man City win the Premier League? Yes No 0.00 0.04 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 19 2024 -29.73 0.00 0.00 -29.73 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 10.21 0.00% 3.0749 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -31.39 0.00 0.00 -31.39 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? Yes No 0.00 35.95 0.00% 0.9235 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -33.21 0.00 0.00 -33.21 Trades
Doge ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 399.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0850 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -34.00 0.00 0.00 -34.00 Trades
Solana ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 358.78 0.00 0.00% 0.1030 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -36.96 0.00 0.00 -36.96 Trades
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? Yes No 0.00 44.58 0.00% 0.8949 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -39.89 0.00 0.00 -39.89 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 931.14 0.00 0.00% 0.0655 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -61.01 0.00 0.00 -61.01 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 5.25 0.00 0.00% 12.1838 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -63.91 0.00 0.00 -63.91 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 453.17 0.00% 0.1875 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -84.95 0.00 0.00 -84.95 Trades
Russian nuke in space in 2024? Yes No 0.00 130.39 0.00% 0.8483 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -110.60 0.00 0.00 -110.60 Trades
Ethereum all time high in 2024? Yes No 200.01 0.00 0.00% 0.6600 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -132.01 0.00 0.00 -132.01 Trades
Base airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 153.00 0.00% 0.9455 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -144.67 0.00 0.00 -144.67 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? Yes No 0.00 100.01 0.00% 1.5662 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -156.63 0.00 0.00 -156.63 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3435 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 -171.77 0.00 0.00 -171.77 Trades
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.7412 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -185.31 0.00 0.00 -185.31 Trades
Rabby airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 182.00 0.00% 1.0218 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -185.97 0.00 0.00 -185.97 Trades
Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? Yes No 0.00 204.82 0.00% 0.9466 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -193.88 0.00 0.00 -193.88 Trades
Swell airdrop by June 30? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9567 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -287.00 0.00 0.00 -287.00 Trades
India Election: Modi reelected? Yes No 298.54 0.00 0.00% 0.9716 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 -290.05 0.00 0.00 -290.05 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.7500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -300.00 0.00 0.00 -300.00 Trades
Rainbow airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.7100 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -355.00 0.00 0.00 -355.00 Trades
Puffer airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 620.00 0.00% 0.5726 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -355.00 0.00 0.00 -355.00 Trades
EigenLayer airdrop by April? Yes No 0.00 423.81 0.00% 0.9139 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -387.31 0.00 0.00 -387.31 Trades
Berachain airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 700.00 0.00% 0.6343 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -444.00 0.00 0.00 -444.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by May 1? Yes No 0.00 430.85 0.00% 1.3160 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 -567.01 0.00 0.00 -567.01 Trades
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? Yes No 0.00 1,342.94 0.00% 0.6266 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -841.48 0.00 0.00 -841.48 Trades
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 2,395.99 0.00% 0.6650 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1,593.27 0.00 0.00 -1,593.27 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 2,664.72 0.00% 0.8547 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -2,277.61 0.00 0.00 -2,277.61 Trades
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 6,519.07 0.00 0.00 6,519.07 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 5,832.73 0.00 0.00 5,832.73 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 5,226.20 0.00 0.00 5,226.20 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 5,169.39 0.00 0.00 5,169.39 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? Yes No 0.00 719.14 0.00% -4.6334 0.00 1.00 0.00 719.14 Thu Feb 29 2024 3,332.05 0.00 0.00 4,051.19 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 4,050.54 0.00 0.00 4,050.54 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 4,019.89 0.00 0.00 4,019.89 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 3,882.26 0.00 0.00 3,882.26 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 3,610.17 0.00 0.00 3,610.17 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 3,546.63 0.00 0.00 3,546.63 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 3,317.32 0.00 0.00 3,317.32 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3,149.79 0.00 0.00 3,149.79 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 2,869.15 0.00 0.00 2,869.15 Trades
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 2,372.77 0.00 0.00 2,372.77 Trades
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 2,045.82 0.00 0.00 2,045.82 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 1,867.69 0.00 0.00 1,867.69 Trades
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? Yu-ih Wen-je 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 1,706.50 0.00 0.00 1,706.50 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 1,663.99 0.00 0.00 1,663.99 Trades
Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 818.45 0.00 0.00 818.45 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? Yes No 0.00 855.64 0.00% 0.1145 0.00 1.00 0.00 855.64 Sun Dec 31 2023 -97.96 0.00 0.00 757.68 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? Yes No 0.00 5,310.32 0.00% 0.8716 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,310.32 Thu Aug 31 2023 -4,628.30 0.00 0.00 682.02 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 675.64 0.00 0.00 675.64 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 675.15 0.00 0.00 675.15 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 10,567.79 0.00 0.00% 0.9401 1.00 0.00 10,567.79 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 -9,934.70 0.00 0.00 633.09 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 588.46 0.00 0.00 588.46 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 551.63 0.00 0.00 551.63 Trades
Ethereum all time high by end of March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 512.38 0.00 0.00 512.38 Trades
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 499.46 0.00 0.00 499.46 Trades
GTA 6 release date by end of year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 489.51 0.00 0.00 489.51 Trades
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? Barbie Oppenheimer 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 488.00 0.00 0.00 488.00 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 0.00 760.00 0.00% 0.3918 0.00 1.00 0.00 760.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 -297.80 0.00 0.00 462.20 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? Yes No 0.00 3,032.00 0.00% 0.8626 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,032.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -2,615.52 0.00 0.00 416.48 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 415.60 0.00 0.00 415.60 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 398.27 0.00 0.00 398.27 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 2,501.43 0.00% 0.8552 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,501.43 Tue Oct 31 2023 -2,139.33 0.00 0.00 362.10 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 0.00 1,956.37 0.00% 0.8440 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,956.37 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,651.23 0.00 0.00 305.14 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 0.04 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.04 Sun Dec 31 2023 297.57 0.00 0.00 297.61 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 482.72 0.00 0.00% 0.4337 1.00 0.00 482.72 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 -209.35 0.00 0.00 273.37 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Jul 12 2023 252.93 0.00 0.00 252.94 Trades
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 25 2023 245.36 0.00 0.00 245.36 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 235.07 0.00 0.00 235.08 Trades
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 818.53 0.00% 0.7250 0.00 1.00 0.00 818.53 Mon Mar 04 2024 -593.41 0.00 0.00 225.11 Trades
Will NSC win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 194.01 0.00 0.00 194.01 Trades
USD/TRY (Turkish Lira) above 21 on June 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 09 2023 176.44 0.00 0.00 176.44 Trades
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? Yes No 0.00 1,192.61 0.00% 0.8545 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,192.61 Fri Sep 01 2023 -1,019.10 0.00 0.00 173.51 Trades
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? Yes No 1,092.44 0.00 0.00% 0.8465 1.00 0.00 1,092.44 0.00 Wed Feb 14 2024 -924.77 0.00 0.00 167.67 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 166.50 0.00 0.00 166.50 Trades
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 160.53 0.00 0.00 160.53 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 137.00 0.00 0.00 137.01 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 136.50 0.00 0.00 136.50 Trades
Turkish 2nd round turnout over 87%? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 135.63 0.00 0.00 135.63 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 892.38 0.00 0.00% 0.8556 1.00 0.00 892.38 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -763.54 0.00 0.00 128.84 Trades
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Bernardo Arévalo win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 25 2023 122.11 0.00 0.00 122.11 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from April to May 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 12 2023 122.00 0.00 0.00 122.00 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 120.43 0.00 0.00 120.43 Trades
US bank failure in March? Yes No 0.00 179.62 0.00% 0.3303 0.00 1.00 0.00 179.62 Sun Mar 31 2024 -59.32 0.00 0.00 120.30 Trades
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 105.30 0.00 0.00 105.30 Trades
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 104.13 0.00 0.00 104.13 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 96.99 0.00 0.00 96.99 Trades
Ecuador Presidential Election: Will Luisa González win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 85.25 0.00 0.00 85.25 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 77.22 0.00 0.00 77.23 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? Yes No 523.52 0.00 0.00% -0.1310 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 68.58 0.00 0.00 68.58 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 68.15 0.00 0.00 68.16 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Oct 21 2023 63.48 0.00 0.00 63.49 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 57.11 0.00 0.00 57.11 Trades
Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first? BTC ETH 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 50.66 0.00 0.00 50.66 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 50.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Will Sergio Massa win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 45.00 0.00 0.00 45.00 Trades
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.7931 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 -158.62 0.00 0.00 41.38 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? Yes No 0.00 809.07 0.00% 0.9535 0.00 1.00 0.00 809.07 Thu Feb 29 2024 -771.44 0.00 0.00 37.63 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still at large through February? Yes No 0.00 1,000.43 0.00% -0.0374 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 37.43 0.00 0.00 37.43 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 34.60 0.00 0.00 34.60 Trades
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 55.00 0.00% -0.5900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 32.45 0.00 0.00 32.45 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 0.00 224.53 0.00% 0.8831 0.00 1.00 0.00 224.53 Sun Dec 31 2023 -198.28 0.00 0.00 26.25 Trades
Will Putin be reelected? Yes No 380.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9504 1.00 0.00 380.00 0.00 Tue May 07 2024 -361.14 0.00 0.00 18.86 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 16.00 0.00 0.00 16.00 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 198.93 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 1.00 0.00 198.93 Sun Dec 31 2023 -183.02 0.00 0.00 15.91 Trades
Biden cognitive test before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 15.78 0.00 0.00 15.78 Trades
Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Mar 31 2024 13.32 0.00 0.00 13.33 Trades
Will Trump win Massachusetts Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 11.00 0.00 0.00 11.00 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 800.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0131 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 10.46 0.00 0.00 10.46 Trades
Ansem vs. Barney Ansem Barney 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 19 2024 10.20 0.00 0.00 10.20 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Biden 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 9.71 0.00 0.00 9.71 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 9.65 0.00 0.00 9.65 Trades
Biden to drop out before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 9.45 0.00 0.00 9.45 Trades
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 9.40 0.00 0.00 9.40 Trades
Fed rate cut by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 8.50 0.00 0.00 8.50 Trades
Tensor airdrop by June 30? Yes No 160.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9514 1.00 0.00 160.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -152.23 0.00 0.00 7.77 Trades
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% -0.0070 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 6.99 0.00 0.00 6.99 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Sunday? Yes No 0.00 110.00 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 1.00 0.00 110.00 Sun Oct 22 2023 -103.40 0.00 0.00 6.60 Trades
Hunter Biden arrested before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 6.38 0.00 0.00 6.38 Trades
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 16 2023 5.77 0.00 0.00 5.77 Trades
Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 4.99 0.00 0.00 4.99 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 4.61 0.00 0.00 4.61 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 5,500.01 0.00 0.00% -0.0008 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 4.60 0.00 0.00 4.60 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 4.32 0.00 0.00 4.32 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 3.85 0.00 0.00 3.85 Trades
Yulia Navalnaya arrested in February? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.9810 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -196.20 0.00 0.00 3.80 Trades
Ukraine aid package in February? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Feb 29 2024 3.59 0.00 0.00 3.60 Trades
DOGE all time high by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 2.60 0.00 0.00 2.60 Trades
Ethena airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 700.00 0.00% -0.0034 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 2.40 0.00 0.00 2.40 Trades
US/Iran declare war before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 2.37 0.00 0.00 2.37 Trades
Will Biden say "Putin" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 22.69 0.00 0.00% 0.9031 1.00 0.00 22.69 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -20.49 0.00 0.00 2.20 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 2.16 0.00 0.00 2.16 Trades
Will Trump win Maine Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 19.28 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 19.28 Sat Sep 30 2023 -17.35 0.00 0.00 1.93 Trades
Will PiS get over 36% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 1.82 0.00 0.00 1.82 Trades
SBF reduced sentence because autism? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 28 2024 1.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
SHIB all time high by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.80 Trades
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.61 Trades
Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.40 Trades
Will Argentina presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 1.45 0.00 0.00% 0.8000 1.00 0.00 1.45 0.00 Mon Oct 23 2023 -1.16 0.00 0.00 0.29 Trades
Russian nuke in space by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.21 Trades
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? Biden Haley 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Trump win Minnesota Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson be arrested before April? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Trump win Alabama Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Aevo airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will Trump win Virginia Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will Trump win Tennessee Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.59 Trades
CZ jail before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.60 Trades
Etherfi airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 800.00 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -0.80 0.00 0.00 -0.80 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by end of March? Yes No 1.50 0.00 0.00% 0.5356 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -0.80 0.00 0.00 -0.80 Trades
Will 'Dune: Part Two' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Trump win California Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Trump win Alaska Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Boeing whistleblower foul play determined in March? Yes No 250.01 0.00 0.00% 0.0044 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -1.10 0.00 0.00 -1.10 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -1.18 0.00 0.00 -1.18 Trades
Will Ronna Mcdaniel step down as RNC Chair before Super Tuesday? Yes No 1,500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0010 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -1.50 0.00 0.00 -1.50 Trades
Parcl airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,500.00 0.00% 0.0013 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Biden say "China/Chinese" three or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 10.00 0.00% 0.2000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
SBF sentenced to life? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -2.19 0.00 0.00 -2.19 Trades
Haiti intervention in March? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -2.20 0.00 0.00 -2.20 Trades
OpenAI renamed to ClosedAI in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -2.63 0.00 0.00 -2.63 Trades
Was the Super Bowl rigged? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -2.73 0.00 0.00 -2.73 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 -3.40 0.00 0.00 -3.40 Trades
Will Trump win Colorado Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -3.80 0.00 0.00 -3.80 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -4.13 0.00 0.00 -4.13 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -4.35 0.00 0.00 -4.35 Trades
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -4.48 0.00 0.00 -4.48 Trades
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 -4.80 0.00 0.00 -4.80 Trades
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
TikTok sale announced in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -5.28 0.00 0.00 -5.28 Trades
Will Ian Miles Cheong be arrested in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -7.18 0.00 0.00 -7.18 Trades
Ukraine aid package by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -7.20 0.00 0.00 -7.20 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -8.00 0.00 0.00 -8.00 Trades
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 210.00 0.00% 0.0418 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -8.77 0.00 0.00 -8.77 Trades
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? Yes No 0.00 445.28 0.00% 1.0248 0.00 1.00 0.00 445.28 Sun Mar 31 2024 -456.34 0.00 0.00 -11.06 Trades
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -13.00 0.00 0.00 -13.00 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? Yes No 40.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 04 2023 -15.60 0.00 0.00 -15.60 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? Yes No 25.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 -15.75 0.00 0.00 -15.75 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from April to May 2023? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 12 2023 -17.00 0.00 0.00 -17.00 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 -17.88 0.00 0.00 -17.88 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from April to May 2023? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 12 2023 -19.50 0.00 0.00 -19.50 Trades
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -20.30 0.00 0.00 -20.30 Trades
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 232.98 0.00% 0.0900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 -20.97 0.00 0.00 -20.97 Trades
ETH above $1,600 on Sep 22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 22 2023 -21.00 0.00 0.00 -21.00 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 -25.92 0.00 0.00 -25.92 Trades
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0320 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -32.00 0.00 0.00 -32.00 Trades
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -37.98 0.00 0.00 -37.98 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 -48.13 0.00 0.00 -48.13 Trades
Will Steve Garvey advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -54.00 0.00 0.00 -54.00 Trades
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -57.50 0.00 0.00 -57.50 Trades
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -58.91 0.00 0.00 -58.91 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader through March 1? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.3050 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -61.00 0.00 0.00 -61.00 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -67.96 0.00 0.00 -67.95 Trades
Will VVD win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 198.70 0.00 0.00% 0.3511 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 -69.77 0.00 0.00 -69.77 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 -71.60 0.00 0.00 -71.60 Trades
Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 10 2024 -79.48 0.00 0.00 -79.48 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -86.72 0.00 0.00 -86.72 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 103.02 0.00% 0.9262 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 -95.41 0.00 0.00 -95.41 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? Yes No 150.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7367 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 02 2023 -110.50 0.00 0.00 -110.50 Trades
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 239.02 0.00 0.00% 0.5700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 -136.24 0.00 0.00 -136.24 Trades
Will US attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 -225.24 0.00 0.00 -225.24 Trades
Ethereum all time high by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 -265.34 0.00 0.00 -265.34 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 0.00 425.00 0.00% 0.6700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 -284.75 0.00 0.00 -284.75 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -297.75 0.00 0.00 -297.74 Trades
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 450.00 0.00% 0.7794 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 -350.75 0.00 0.00 -350.75 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 -359.63 0.00 0.00 -359.63 Trades
Will Mbappé leave PSG? Yes No 0.00 6.93 0.00% 66.1784 0.00 1.00 0.00 6.93 Fri Sep 01 2023 -458.61 0.00 0.00 -451.68 Trades
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 -976.37 0.00 0.00 -976.37 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? Yes No 885.15 0.00 0.00% 1.2136 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 -1,074.25 0.00 0.00 -1,074.25 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $16m this weekend? Yes No 2,285.68 0.00 0.00% 0.8716 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 27 2023 -1,992.09 0.00 0.00 -1,992.09 Trades
Resolved 13,599.50 19,539.77 38,775.49 0.00 0.00 71,914.77
Unresolved 6,492.09 122.09 -14,646.87 0.00 0.00 -8,032.69
Total 20,091.59 19,661.86 24,128.63 0.00 0.00 63,882.08