Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
130.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.6821
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
103.28
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
348.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
451.97
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
164.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
164.50
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
95.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
95.88
|
Trades
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
28.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.66
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
14.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.49
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.08 |
0.92 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.75
|
Trades
|
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tim Scott win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 09 2024
|
|
-3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.75
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
|
-10.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.60
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-15.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.55
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4400
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-22.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
265.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6607
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-175.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-175.68
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,350.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8634
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
-2,029.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,029.10
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
10,381.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10,381.53
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
6,618.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,618.96
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by May 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 19 2023
|
β
|
4,337.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,337.00
|
Trades
|
French Open Final: Djokovic vs. Ruud |
Djokovic |
Ruud |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
4,318.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,318.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
3,553.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,553.71
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
1,997.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,997.50
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
1,487.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,487.17
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 30 2023
|
β
|
1,407.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,407.52
|
Trades
|
Superconductor "Yes" trading between 15Β’ and 65Β’ EOW? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
β
|
1,365.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,365.00
|
Trades
|
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
1,237.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,237.21
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
1,122.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,122.21
|
Trades
|
Will the Nuggets sweep the Heat? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 11 2023
|
β
|
962.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
962.49
|
Trades
|
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
798.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
798.18
|
Trades
|
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
797.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
797.39
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC reach $32,500 by July 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 14 2023
|
β
|
764.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
764.08
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
29.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-24.1531
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
29.45
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
711.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
740.76
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
3,179.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7850
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
3,179.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-2,495.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
683.63
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
677.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
677.08
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be arrested on Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 21 2023
|
β
|
626.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
626.63
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
606.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
606.25
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
5,683.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9016
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5,683.93
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-5,124.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
559.46
|
Trades
|
Will CZ be arrested by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
506.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
506.00
|
Trades
|
Will Macron remain President of France through July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
β
|
501.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
501.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
499.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
499.07
|
Trades
|
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
24.00
|
0.00% |
|
-18.8602
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
24.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
452.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
476.65
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
467.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
467.20
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
420.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
420.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
360.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
360.56
|
Trades
|
Haiti Prime Minister resigns in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
357.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
357.50
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
313.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
313.63
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
299.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
299.15
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,618.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.9375
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
4,618.53
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-4,329.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
288.75
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
250.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
250.50
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
226.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
226.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
156.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
156.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Turkish Central Bank raise interest rates at its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 22 2023
|
β
|
144.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
144.19
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
126.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
126.11
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC reach $30,000 by April 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
118.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
118.00
|
Trades
|
Formula 1: Will Red Bull collect the most points of any constructor at the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 02 2023
|
β
|
118.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
118.00
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
110.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
110.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tom Wambsgans be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
107.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
107.00
|
Trades
|
Will Threads be the most popular app a week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
106.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
106.20
|
Trades
|
TikTok sale announced in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
101.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
101.98
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
813.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.8865
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
813.81
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
-721.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
92.36
|
Trades
|
Will Nuggets v. Heat Finals Series be 5 games long? |
Yes |
No |
75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1900
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
75.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
14.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
89.25
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,339.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9746
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3,339.00
|
Thu Jun 29 2023
|
β
|
-3,254.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
84.78
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 24 2023
|
β
|
80.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.15
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 5? |
Yes |
No |
1,500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9503
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,500.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 05 2023
|
β
|
-1,425.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
74.50
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Conference Finals: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics |
Heat |
Celtics |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
73.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
73.50
|
Trades
|
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
1,355.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9462
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,355.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-1,282.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
72.85
|
Trades
|
Will $XRP hit $1 by July 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 20 2023
|
β
|
70.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.63
|
Trades
|
Turkish 2nd round turnout over 87%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,123.39
|
0.00% |
|
0.9680
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,123.39
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
-2,055.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
67.92
|
Trades
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
63.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
63.38
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.00
|
305.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8392
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
305.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-255.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.05
|
Trades
|
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) |
Suozzi |
Pilip |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 13 2024
|
β
|
48.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.00
|
Trades
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Tue Feb 06 2024
|
β
|
-158.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
42.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Mission: Impossible' gross over $100m on its 5-day open? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
350.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8843
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
350.00
|
Mon Jul 17 2023
|
β
|
-309.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.50
|
Trades
|
Will Lee become a Category 5 hurricane? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
37.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Euler hack victims get any money back? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
36.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.30
|
Trades
|
Will Dillon Danis back out of Logan Paul fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
285.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8770
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
285.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-249.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.05
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
215.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8386
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
215.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
-180.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.70
|
Trades
|
Kate Middleton video appearance in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
32.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8763
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
250.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-219.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.91
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
64.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.4478
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
29.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.10
|
Trades
|
Trump contempt of court by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
27.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.65
|
Trades
|
Kung Fu Panda 4 over $48m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 11 2024
|
β
|
27.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.10
|
Trades
|
Will $USDC repeg by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
26.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.75
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
313.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4163
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
156.50
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-130.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.20
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
512.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9514
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
512.50
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-487.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.93
|
Trades
|
Will CZ be arrested by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,284.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9808
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,284.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-1,259.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.68
|
Trades
|
Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4? |
Yes |
No |
165.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8545
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
165.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 04 2023
|
β
|
-141.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.00
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
23.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.90
|
Trades
|
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? |
Yes |
No |
120.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8093
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
120.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-97.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.89
|
Trades
|
CZ jail before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
20.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.82
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,589.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.9869
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,589.22
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
-1,568.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.81
|
Trades
|
White House cokehead arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9667
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
600.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-580.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 on June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
195.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8979
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
195.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-175.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.90
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
1,045.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9815
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,045.70
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-1,026.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.37
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
19.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.31
|
Trades
|
Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? |
Yes |
No |
600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9700
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
600.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-582.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,500 by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9910
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,000.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-1,982.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.00
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis win the first Republican debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
18.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
16.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.27
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on its second weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9193
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-183.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.15
|
Trades
|
Will EthCC be postponed? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 17 2023
|
β
|
16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump say "beautiful" ten or more times during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
15.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.75
|
Trades
|
Will the Lahaina fire in Maui be fully contained this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 20 2023
|
β
|
15.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.30
|
Trades
|
Biden to drop out before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
14.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.90
|
Trades
|
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
14.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9769
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
600.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-586.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.87
|
Trades
|
SBF reduced sentence because autism? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 28 2024
|
β
|
13.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.64
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,457.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.9916
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,457.58
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-1,445.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.31
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
12.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.07
|
Trades
|
BTC above $26,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
30.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-18.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
550.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9787
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
550.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-538.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.73
|
Trades
|
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
10.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.63
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
185.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9446
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
185.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
β
|
-174.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.25
|
Trades
|
Will Zuck answer the door? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
10.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.10
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
β
|
9.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.57
|
Trades
|
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,350.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9937
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,350.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-1,341.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.50
|
Trades
|
Julian Assange extradited to US before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
8.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.35
|
Trades
|
Will Huobi become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
400.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-392.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.00
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
132.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9408
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
132.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-124.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.82
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9610
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-192.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.80
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9620
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
200.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-192.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.60
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be arrested by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 24 2023
|
β
|
7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.00
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
6.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.90
|
Trades
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? |
Biden |
Haley |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
6.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.72
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
77.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9162
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
77.00
|
Mon May 29 2023
|
β
|
-70.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.45
|
Trades
|
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Newsom appoint a black woman as Feinstein's replacement? |
Yes |
No |
133.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9550
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
133.33
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-127.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9853
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
400.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-394.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.90
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
99.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9446
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
99.92
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
-94.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.53
|
Trades
|
Will Kendall Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
100.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
-95.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1? |
Google |
NVIDIA |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
4.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.66
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson announce he is running for president by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
150.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
150.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-145.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.50
|
Trades
|
Will Trump mention "Joe/Joseph Biden" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
15.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
-10.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.50
|
Trades
|
Haiti intervention in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
4.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.50
|
Trades
|
Will Trump's mugshot be released by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,088.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.9961
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,088.33
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-1,084.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
4.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.12
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in July? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
408.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
408.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-403.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.08
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell still be a Senator on August 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 04 2023
|
β
|
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Peter Obi be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
80.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9536
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
80.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
β
|
-76.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.72
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
3.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.62
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9820
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-196.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.60
|
Trades
|
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.50
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
β
|
3.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.04
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
57.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.9474
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
57.53
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-54.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.03
|
Trades
|
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? |
$1 first |
$2 first |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis |
Paul |
Danis |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
15.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9950
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
500.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-497.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.50
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
25.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-22.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.50
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
2.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.30
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
-198.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Lukas Matsson be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
25.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
-23.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
MH370 black box found by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
1.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.43
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
133.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
133.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-131.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.33
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9890
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
100.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-98.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.10
|
Trades
|
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
League of Legends: Will a South Korean team win The 2023 Mid-Season Invitational? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
β
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Little Mermaid' gross over $120 million on Memorial Day weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 29 2023
|
β
|
0.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.86
|
Trades
|
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
0.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.42
|
Trades
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
0.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.39
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.35
|
Trades
|
NFL: Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots 2023-08-19 |
Packers |
Patriots |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
25.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
-24.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.25
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will SBF plead guilty by August 21? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
45.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9960
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
45.00
|
Mon Aug 21 2023
|
β
|
-44.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.18
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
DOGE all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Trump mention DeSantis more than Biden during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
1.0400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
-10.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
-0.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.45
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.45
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.80
|
Trades
|
Will Trump say "Meatball" during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Meghan Markle & Prince Harry split by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump mention "AI/GPT" during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
-1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.20
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $2 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.60
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Aston Martin beat Mercedes in the 2023 F1 season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
58.22
|
0.00% |
|
1.0462
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
58.22
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
-60.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.69
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
-2.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.73
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 23 2024
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
More hostages in Gaza freed before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-3.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.10
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
850.00
|
0.00% |
|
1.0041
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
850.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-853.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
Will LeBron announce his retirement by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-4.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.10
|
Trades
|
Will Trump say "rape" during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
-4.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.15
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 10 2023
|
β
|
-5.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.37
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-5.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.40
|
Trades
|
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $70 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 26 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 01 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Another African coup by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.30
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
β
|
-6.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.63
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump say "January 6" during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
-7.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.40
|
Trades
|
ETH above $3,000 on March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-8.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.40
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will Max Verstappen win every remaining Grand Prix in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
54.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1931
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
-10.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.50
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-11.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.05
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $65m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-11.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.70
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by September 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.95
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-12.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.70
|
Trades
|
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
-13.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.20
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
-13.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.20
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.01
|
0.00% |
|
1.3623
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
40.01
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-54.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.50
|
Trades
|
Will the WGA strike end by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
130.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1185
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-15.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.40
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
300.02
|
0.00% |
|
1.0533
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
300.02
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-316.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin new all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
220.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0809
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
-17.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.80
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
825.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0221
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-18.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.20
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-18.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.50
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-18.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.95
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0440
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-22.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nuggets v. Heat Finals Series be 7 games long? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
-23.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.00
|
Trades
|
Will Rubiales remain Spanish FA president through Sep 11? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 11 2023
|
β
|
-24.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-24.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.01
|
Trades
|
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
1.8800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-56.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.40
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Aug 25? |
Yes |
No |
7.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
3.8005
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
-29.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.72
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
87.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.4335
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
87.52
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-125.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.94
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Navalny" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-39.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-39.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-41.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-41.45
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
119.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.3482
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-41.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-41.77
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in September? |
Yes |
No |
90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4944
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-44.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-44.50
|
Trades
|
NBA: Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat 2023-06-01 |
Nuggets |
Heat |
0.00
|
220.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-52.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-52.80
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-58.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-58.40
|
Trades
|
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6250
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-62.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-62.50
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
250.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3376
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
-84.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-84.39
|
Trades
|
ErdoΔan >93Β’ on May 26? |
Yes |
No |
294.87
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3485
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 26 2023
|
β
|
-102.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-102.77
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
210.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5462
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-114.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-114.70
|
Trades
|
Will Nuggets v. Heat Finals Series be 6 games long? |
Yes |
No |
375.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3060
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
-114.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-114.75
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
3.1167
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-140.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-140.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Nuggets be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,536.52
|
0.00% |
|
0.0949
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
-145.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-145.74
|
Trades
|
Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
835.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1920
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 30 2023
|
β
|
-160.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-160.32
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
180.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-165.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-165.60
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-184.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-184.00
|
Trades
|
DOGE above 8Β’ on April 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
220.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8636
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
β
|
-190.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-190.00
|
Trades
|
Will LeBron have a Blue checkmark on 4/21? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
250.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 21 2023
|
β
|
-210.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-210.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
-279.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-279.00
|
Trades
|
Ecuador Presidential Election: Will Luisa GonzΓ‘lez win? |
Yes |
No |
485.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6179
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-300.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-300.28
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
703.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5260
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-370.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-370.03
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
335.00
|
0.00% |
|
1.1424
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
β
|
-382.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-382.70
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-442.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-442.28
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,390.40
|
0.00% |
|
1.1996
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,390.40
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-2,867.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-477.01
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? |
Yes |
No |
4,564.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1276
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
-582.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-582.60
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-593.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-593.70
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
β
|
-751.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-751.87
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
888.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.9829
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-873.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-873.00
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 2? |
Yes |
No |
1,500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7580
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 02 2023
|
β
|
-1,137.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,137.00
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? |
Yes |
No |
1,863.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7176
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 16 2023
|
β
|
-1,336.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,336.98
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
3,429.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.1679
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-4,005.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,005.73
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15,562.86
|
29,999.05
|
|
|
-6,455.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39,106.38
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
103.29
|
0.00
|
|
|
-1,614.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,511.42
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15,666.15
|
29,999.05
|
|
|
-8,070.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37,594.96
|
|