Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7500
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
13.10
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-11.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.85
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
78.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.9573
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
74.80
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
36.08
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
34.65
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.35
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
53.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.9299
|
0.08 |
0.92 |
0.00
|
49.34
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.66
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
25.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1941
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
1.08
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.92
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.52
|
0.00% |
|
0.9050
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
5.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8670
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
17.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.5809
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Shein IPO at a $90b valuation? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.97
|
0.00% |
|
0.7700
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Base airdrop by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
28.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
|
-24.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.46
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on April 30, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
222.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9890
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
|
-219.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-219.56
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
476.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
476.17
|
Trades
|
Instacart market cap >20b? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
123.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
123.73
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
103.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
103.42
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
97.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
97.80
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
81.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
81.00
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
74.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
74.14
|
Trades
|
BTC above $23,456.78 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
73.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
73.08
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
66.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.77
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
49.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.74
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 08 2023
|
β
|
29.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.35
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
27.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.19
|
Trades
|
Binance insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
22.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.83
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
21.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.86
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
29.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3351
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
29.67
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-9.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.73
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
19.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.06
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
17.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.37
|
Trades
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
β
|
17.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.29
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
159.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.8920
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
159.81
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-142.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.26
|
Trades
|
Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
16.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.35
|
Trades
|
Will SBF testify? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
16.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.32
|
Trades
|
Will Max Verstappen win every remaining Grand Prix in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
15.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.75
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
257.79
|
0.00% |
|
0.9397
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
257.79
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-242.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.54
|
Trades
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
24.40
|
0.00% |
|
0.4917
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
24.40
|
|
β
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.40
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
314.59
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9623
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
314.59
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
β
|
-302.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.84
|
Trades
|
Will Shedeur Sanders win the Heisman? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 10 2023
|
β
|
11.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.50
|
Trades
|
Damian Lillard traded before start of season? |
Yes |
No |
35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6743
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
35.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 24 2023
|
β
|
-23.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.40
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
11.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.13
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
25.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5839
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
25.69
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.69
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3700
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
15.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.45
|
Trades
|
Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift |
Killers |
Taylor Swift |
0.00
|
34.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
34.25
|
Mon Oct 23 2023
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.25
|
Trades
|
Will James Harden be traded? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 08 2024
|
β
|
8.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.33
|
Trades
|
Will Aaron Rodgers play again this season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
36.59
|
0.00% |
|
0.8200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
36.59
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.59
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
8.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2390
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
8.37
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.37
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
198.65
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9683
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
198.65
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-192.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.31
|
Trades
|
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
126.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9524
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
126.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-120.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
295.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
295.86
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-289.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.92
|
Trades
|
Parlay: US Bitcoin Spot and ETH Futures ETF this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
88.61
|
0.00% |
|
0.9368
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
88.61
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-83.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.60
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
38.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.8565
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
38.33
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-32.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.50
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
5.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.44
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
185.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.9711
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
185.36
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-180.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.36
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
43.91
|
0.00% |
|
0.8790
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
43.91
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-38.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.31
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea announce bankruptcy by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
114.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.9593
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
114.67
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-110.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.67
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
49.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.9099
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
49.46
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.46
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
54.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.9190
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
54.41
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.41
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.34
|
0.00% |
|
0.6171
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
11.34
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.34
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
104.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9600
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
104.17
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.17
|
Trades
|
SBF guilty of any charges? |
Yes |
No |
145.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9731
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
145.92
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-142.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.92
|
Trades
|
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
38.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.9006
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
38.86
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
-35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.86
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by October 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.9243
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
50.31
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-46.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.81
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
13.70
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.70
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
18.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8093
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
18.53
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.53
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
3.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.52
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
78.52
|
0.00% |
|
0.9552
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
78.52
|
Wed Dec 13 2023
|
β
|
-75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.52
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
48.34
|
0.00% |
|
0.9308
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
48.34
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.34
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
103.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.9687
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
103.23
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.23
|
Trades
|
Celestia token above $2 one week after airdrop? |
Yes |
No |
13.16
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7600
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
13.16
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 06 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.16
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
58.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.9480
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
58.02
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-55.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.02
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
69.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9566
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
69.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-66.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
67.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
67.71
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-65.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.71
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
92.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.9709
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
92.70
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.70
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.55
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
25.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-22.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.50
|
Trades
|
$JTO above $2 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
27.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9100
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
27.47
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 15 2023
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.47
|
Trades
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
60.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
60.42
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-58.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.42
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-12.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.25
|
Trades
|
Will George Santos start an OnlyFans in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
60.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.9650
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
60.10
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-58.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.10
|
Trades
|
Will Russia invade Alaska before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9790
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
100.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-97.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.10
|
Trades
|
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
7.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7100
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
7.04
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.04
|
Trades
|
Will Trudeau announce resignation by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
18.18
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-16.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
61.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.9685
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
61.29
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-59.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.93
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
41.90
|
0.00% |
|
0.9546
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
41.90
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.90
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to life? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.9340
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
26.77
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.77
|
Trades
|
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
41.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.9592
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
41.70
|
Wed Feb 28 2024
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.70
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker interview Putin? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
35.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.9526
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
35.64
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-33.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.69
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-28.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.7800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
6.41
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.41
|
Trades
|
Will Logan Paul refund CryptoZoo investors by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
26.32
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.32
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell remain senator through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.20
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
51.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.9770
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
51.18
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.18
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
26.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9600
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
26.04
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.04
|
Trades
|
Hillary Clinton jail by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.03
|
Trades
|
Was the moon landing faked? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
50.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-49.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.99
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.99
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.9760
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
40.98
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.98
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.88
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.88
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
25.77
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.77
|
Trades
|
Will X start a crypto trading platform this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.9510
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.77
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.77
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis endorse Trump for President in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.75
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.75
|
Trades
|
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.75
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9670
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-19.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.66
|
Trades
|
Will Solana Network go down in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.64
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.64
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.64
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.64
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.61
|
0.00% |
|
0.9760
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
25.61
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.61
|
Trades
|
Will the Kyberswap exploiter's demands be met? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
55.61
|
0.00% |
|
0.9890
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
55.61
|
Fri Dec 15 2023
|
β
|
-55.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.61
|
Trades
|
Will Aaron Rodgers play again by October 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.00
|
Sat Oct 28 2023
|
β
|
-29.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.60
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
55.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.9896
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
55.58
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-55.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.58
|
Trades
|
MH370 black box found by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
New lockdown in US? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.48
|
0.00% |
|
0.9810
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
25.48
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.48
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
20.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9790
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
20.43
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.43
|
Trades
|
Will X start charging all users? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.38
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.9690
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.32
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.32
|
Trades
|
Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.31
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.31
|
Trades
|
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Do Kwon be extradited to the United States or South Korea? |
United States |
South Korea |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.71
|
Trades
|
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden visit Israel by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
6.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Trabucco be federally charged by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
8.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,600 on Sep 22? |
Yes |
No |
21.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6959
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 22 2023
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.83
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.9560
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will Drake's album drop on 9/22? |
Yes |
No |
75.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9370
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 22 2023
|
β
|
-71.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-71.00
|
Trades
|
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
95.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.8883
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-85.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-85.00
|
Trades
|
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
110.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8228
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-91.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-91.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
163.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8719
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-142.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-142.20
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,058.73
|
3,086.42
|
|
|
-2,976.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,168.24
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14.17
|
158.78
|
|
|
-464.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-291.31
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,072.90
|
3,245.20
|
|
|
-3,441.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
876.93
|
|