Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
41.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-58.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-58.75
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
2,328.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,328.29
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
✅ |
339.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
339.06
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
165.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
165.54
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 08 2023
|
✅ |
153.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
153.23
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
✅ |
152.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
152.58
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
120.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
120.69
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
119.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
119.53
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
110.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
110.50
|
Trades
|
Fury Vs. KSI |
Fury |
KSI |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
107.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
107.30
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
440.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1787
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
78.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
78.75
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
✅ |
55.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.22
|
Trades
|
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
34.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
29.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.22
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
23.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.20
|
Trades
|
Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
✅ |
21.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.75
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1748
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
13.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.98
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
12.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.67
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Zelensky in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
✅ |
5.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.37
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
✅ |
5.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.25
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
115.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.9746
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
115.15
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-112.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.92
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.31
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
✅ |
2.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.23
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
1.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.17
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
✅ |
0.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.82
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on October 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
✅ |
0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.15
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza on Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
✅ |
0.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of over 100? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
51.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.9990
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
51.56
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
-51.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
✅ |
-0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.06
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
41.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0317
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
✅ |
-1.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.30
|
Trades
|
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.0700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.88
|
Trades
|
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.2200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Josh Giddey's contract be terminated? |
Yes |
No |
0.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 07 2023
|
✅ |
-2.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.04
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Biden 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
✅ |
-2.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.85
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Merkel in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
✅ |
-4.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.50
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
5.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-4.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.97
|
Trades
|
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.83
|
0.00% |
|
0.2400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,600 on Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
53.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.1500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis |
Paul |
Danis |
0.00
|
33.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.2672
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
-8.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.83
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
33.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2656
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-9.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.50
|
Trades
|
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
32.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.3100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Max Verstappen win every remaining Grand Prix in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 02 2023
|
✅ |
-16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
561.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.0396
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
✅ |
-22.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.23
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 8? |
Yes |
No |
39.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 08 2023
|
✅ |
-31.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.26
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 17? |
Yes |
No |
111.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3684
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 17 2023
|
✅ |
-40.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.93
|
Trades
|
Will the first vote to oust McCarthy succeed? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
899.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0489
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-43.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-43.93
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
119.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.4200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.5193
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
✅ |
-52.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-52.10
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
526.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.1160
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
-61.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-61.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-70.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
305.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.4109
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-125.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-125.50
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
166.73
|
|
|
3,131.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,297.99
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-93.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-93.75
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
166.73
|
|
|
3,037.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,204.24
|
|