Polymarket Whales

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Etherscan
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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 12,261.34 0.00 0.00% 0.9050 0.95 0.05 11,613.07 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -11,096.79 0.00 0.00 516.27 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 1.26 0.00% -231.9444 0.14 0.86 0.00 1.08 Tue Sep 10 2024 293.37 0.00 0.00 294.45 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.00 1,701.49 0.00% 0.3335 0.50 0.50 0.00 850.75 Tue Sep 10 2024 -567.49 0.00 0.00 283.25 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 126.66 0.00% -1.0320 0.04 0.96 0.00 121.49 Sun Dec 31 2023 130.72 0.00 0.00 252.21 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 0.00 769.78 0.00% 0.8511 0.08 0.92 0.00 711.43 Sun Dec 31 2023 -655.19 0.00 0.00 56.24 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 0.27 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 53.53 0.00 0.00 53.53 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 18.26 0.00 0.00 18.26 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9510 0.99 0.01 396.58 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -380.40 0.00 0.00 16.18 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.05 0.95 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 11.00 0.00 0.00 11.00 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 8.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 Trades
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? Yes No 4.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -3.60 0.00 0.00 -3.60 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.8800 0.20 0.80 0.00 320.05 Tue Sep 10 2024 -352.00 0.00 0.00 -31.95 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 11,543.12 0.00 0.00% 0.7363 0.73 0.27 8,375.49 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -8,499.75 0.00 0.00 -124.26 Trades
Was the moon landing faked? Yes No 0.00 150.50 0.00% 0.9720 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -146.29 0.00 0.00 -146.29 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 0.00 407.28 0.00% 0.8286 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -337.48 0.00 0.00 -337.48 Trades
North Korea nuke by December 31? Yes No 0.00 600.21 0.00% 0.9101 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -546.24 0.00 0.00 -546.24 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? Yes No 600.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9547 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 -572.80 0.00 0.00 -572.80 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 900.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9403 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 -846.30 0.00 0.00 -846.30 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 2,524.85 0.00% 0.4079 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 -1,029.87 0.00 0.00 -1,029.87 Trades
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? Yes No 0.00 2,285.00 0.00% 0.8985 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -2,053.17 0.00 0.00 -2,053.17 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? Yes No 5,553.34 0.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -5,275.67 0.00 0.00 -5,275.67 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 24,028.77 0.00% 0.6615 0.79 0.21 0.00 4,949.25 Tue Sep 10 2024 -15,894.27 0.16 0.00 -10,944.86 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 βœ… 38,433.29 0.00 0.00 38,433.29 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 5,621,479.22 -10007.32% 0.9950 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,621,479.22 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… -5,593,257.22 75.72 0.00 28,297.72 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 βœ… 27,023.23 0.00 0.00 27,023.23 Trades
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 βœ… 19,952.05 0.00 0.00 19,952.05 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… 9,554.05 62.77 0.00 9,616.82 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 βœ… 8,264.46 61.85 0.00 8,326.30 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 30 2021 βœ… 6,932.74 375.15 0.00 7,307.88 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… 7,180.73 6.03 0.00 7,186.76 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… 6,423.79 0.00 0.00 6,423.79 Trades
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… 5,203.65 0.14 0.00 5,203.79 Trades
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 βœ… 4,428.81 0.00 0.00 4,428.81 Trades
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 3,685.49 0.00 0.00 3,685.49 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… 2,961.28 5.22 0.00 2,966.49 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? Yes No 0.00 49,142.29 0.69% 0.9461 0.00 1.00 0.00 49,142.29 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -46,492.81 19.99 0.00 2,669.47 Trades
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 2,405.89 0.00 0.00% -0.0527 1.00 0.00 2,405.89 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… 126.86 0.12 0.00 2,532.88 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… 1,976.20 130.29 0.00 2,106.50 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 βœ… 1,267.91 38.49 0.00 1,306.40 Trades
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 6,289.89 0.00 0.00% 0.8061 1.00 0.00 6,289.89 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -5,070.57 2.81 0.00 1,222.12 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? Yes No 0.06 0.00 0.67% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… 885.20 282.50 0.00 1,167.70 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 βœ… 1,156.36 0.00 0.00 1,156.36 Trades
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 1,089.56 0.00 0.00 1,089.56 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.57% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 880.22 0.25 0.00 880.48 Trades
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 17 2023 βœ… 820.02 0.00 0.00 820.02 Trades
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… 770.78 0.05 0.00 770.83 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 732.86 0.00 0.00 732.86 Trades
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 βœ… 713.46 0.00 0.00 713.46 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 βœ… 576.15 2.42 0.00 578.58 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 βœ… 566.73 5.89 0.00 572.62 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 3,774.18 0.00 0.01% 0.8488 1.00 0.00 3,774.18 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -3,203.51 0.06 0.00 570.72 Trades
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 βœ… 519.42 0.00 0.00 519.42 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon a family member before Inauguration Day? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 22 2021 βœ… 511.41 0.00 0.00 511.41 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 506.74 0.00 0.00 506.74 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 βœ… 446.88 51.52 0.00 498.40 Trades
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… 445.49 13.09 0.00 458.58 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 06 2022 βœ… 448.85 0.00 0.00 448.85 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 2,492.63 0.00 0.00% -0.1794 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 447.21 0.00 0.00 447.21 Trades
Which party will control the senate? Republican Democratic 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 βœ… 446.39 0.00 0.00 446.39 Trades
Superbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Chiefs Bucs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 08 2021 βœ… 388.90 0.00 0.00 388.90 Trades
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.45% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 βœ… 364.65 0.03 0.00 364.68 Trades
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… 359.80 0.47 0.00 360.27 Trades
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? Jeff Bezos
Elon Musk
Other		 0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00 		Sat Feb 27 2021 βœ… 341.38 0.00 0.00 341.38 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 βœ… 339.49 0.00 0.00 339.49 Trades
Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.10 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… 336.83 0.35 0.00 337.18 Trades
Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou Fury Ngannou 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 28 2023 βœ… 270.00 0.00 0.00 270.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 βœ… 267.94 0.00 0.00 267.94 Trades
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 16 2021 βœ… 264.74 0.00 0.00 264.74 Trades
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? Yes No 0.00 2,600.00 0.00% 0.9047 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,600.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… -2,352.19 0.00 0.00 247.81 Trades
Who will win the Champions League Final: Man City or Chelsea? Man City Chelsea 0.00 0.00 8.33% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 29 2021 βœ… 235.12 4.91 0.00 240.03 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 02 2021 βœ… 236.43 1.62 0.00 238.05 Trades
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.03% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 βœ… 176.32 58.66 0.00 234.97 Trades
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 28 2021 βœ… 229.36 0.00 0.00 229.36 Trades
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 14 2021 βœ… 227.77 0.00 0.00 227.77 Trades
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 08 2021 βœ… 226.37 0.87 0.00 227.25 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.61 0.00% -25.7193 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 βœ… 221.55 0.63 0.00 222.19 Trades
Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve? California Florida 0.00 518.27 0.00% 0.5795 0.00 1.00 0.00 518.27 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -300.31 0.00 0.00 217.95 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? Yes No 20,621.51 0.00 0.00% 0.9902 1.00 0.00 20,621.51 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -20,418.91 0.00 0.00 202.60 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,043.40 0.00% 0.9371 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,043.40 Tue Nov 01 2022 βœ… -2,851.92 0.01 0.00 191.50 Trades
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? Yes No 0.00 5,574.02 0.00% -0.0316 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 βœ… 176.39 0.00 0.00 176.39 Trades
Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? Paul Woodley 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 29 2021 βœ… 176.38 0.00 0.00 176.38 Trades
Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? WI SC 0.00 0.00 0.01% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 βœ… 174.84 0.00 0.00 174.84 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? Yes No 32.92 0.00 0.00% -5.1700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 02 2021 βœ… 170.21 0.84 0.00 171.05 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 6,701.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0240 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 βœ… 161.10 0.44 0.00 161.54 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,432.03 0.00% 0.9558 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,432.03 Thu Sep 01 2022 βœ… -3,280.40 0.00 0.00 151.63 Trades
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? McGregor Poirier 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 10 2021 βœ… -162.87 308.48 0.00 145.61 Trades
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 142.70 0.00 0.00 142.70 Trades
Will China win 38 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 174.21 0.00 0.00% 0.1865 1.00 0.00 174.21 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 βœ… -32.49 0.00 0.00 141.72 Trades
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 139.00 0.00 0.00 139.00 Trades
Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 02 2021 βœ… 137.72 0.00 0.00 137.72 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,619.97 0.00% 0.9194 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,619.97 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -1,489.36 0.00 0.00 130.61 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 3,201.14 0.00 0.00% 0.9601 1.00 0.00 3,201.14 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -3,073.56 0.01 0.00 127.59 Trades
Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? Yes No 0.00 14,000.00 0.00% 0.9910 0.00 1.00 0.00 14,000.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… -13,874.40 0.00 0.00 125.59 Trades
Will France or Germany win their Euro 2020 match? France Germany 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… 91.38 29.35 0.00 120.73 Trades
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 420.73 0.00% 0.7257 0.00 1.00 0.00 420.73 Mon Aug 09 2021 βœ… -305.31 0.21 0.00 115.63 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 113.15 0.00 0.00 113.15 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 43.02 0.00 0.00% -2.5807 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… 111.02 0.00 0.00 111.02 Trades
Will the Czech Republic or Denmark qualify for the Euro 2020 Semifinals? Czech Republic Denmark 0.00 0.00 11.11% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 03 2021 βœ… 108.47 2.32 0.00 110.79 Trades
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $2500 on July 22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 4.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 βœ… 108.47 0.01 0.00 108.48 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 βœ… 101.00 0.00 0.00 101.00 Trades
Will the Netherlands or the Czech Republic qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? Netherlands Czech Republic 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 27 2021 βœ… 98.69 0.45 0.00 99.14 Trades
Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 01 2021 βœ… 98.58 0.00 0.00 98.58 Trades
Will there be more than 1K daily COVID-19 cases in Japan on August 27? Yes No 400.99 0.00 0.00% 0.7544 1.00 0.00 400.99 0.00 Sat Aug 28 2021 βœ… -302.52 0.00 0.00 98.46 Trades
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… 96.68 0.00 0.00 96.68 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 βœ… 93.10 0.00 0.00 93.10 Trades
Will 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 90.78 0.00 0.00 90.78 Trades
Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 βœ… 87.13 0.00 0.00 87.13 Trades
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $33 on July 29? Yes No 0.00 449.99 0.00% 0.8092 0.00 1.00 0.00 449.99 Thu Jul 29 2021 βœ… -364.12 0.00 0.00 85.87 Trades
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,350.00 0.00% 0.9381 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,350.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -1,266.46 0.00 0.00 83.54 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 07 2021 βœ… 81.94 0.00 0.00 81.94 Trades
Will Billie Eilish’s β€œHappier Than Ever” sell more than 400K album units in its first week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 06 2021 βœ… 81.48 0.00 0.00 81.48 Trades
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 βœ… 76.32 0.00 0.00 76.32 Trades
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 5,624.48 0.00 0.00% 0.9880 1.00 0.00 5,624.48 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -5,557.15 5.30 0.00 72.63 Trades
Will Logan Paul KO, TKO, or retire Floyd Mayweather? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… 72.11 0.21 0.00 72.32 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? Yes No 341.18 0.00 0.00% 0.7893 1.00 0.00 341.18 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -269.28 0.00 0.00 71.90 Trades
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.90 0.10 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… -33.02 103.56 0.00 70.54 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? Yes No 119.44 0.00 0.00% 0.4186 1.00 0.00 119.44 0.00 Wed Nov 24 2021 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 69.44 Trades
Will Italy win the Euro 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 11 2021 βœ… 68.84 0.00 0.00 68.84 Trades
Will Real Madrid or Chelsea advance to the Champions League final? Real Madrid Chelsea 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 05 2021 βœ… 68.61 0.00 0.00 68.61 Trades
Will Alexander Volkanovski or Brian Ortega win their UFC fight on September 25th? Volkanovski Ortega 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 25 2021 βœ… 68.34 0.00 0.00 68.34 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 28 2022 βœ… 66.13 0.00 0.00 66.13 Trades
Will the Bucks win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 104.91 0.00 0.00% 0.3884 1.00 0.00 104.91 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 βœ… -40.75 0.00 0.00 64.16 Trades
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 βœ… 61.07 0.00 0.00 61.07 Trades
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 βœ… 56.39 0.00 0.00 56.39 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 224,279.60 -556.16% 0.9998 0.00 1.00 0.00 224,279.60 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… -224,234.37 8.79 0.00 54.01 Trades
Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving? Yes No 0.00 199.99 0.00% 0.7367 0.00 1.00 0.00 199.99 Thu Nov 25 2021 βœ… -147.32 0.00 0.00 52.67 Trades
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 1,398.16 0.00% 0.9657 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,398.16 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -1,350.26 0.20 0.00 48.10 Trades
Will Inter Miami make playoffs? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 48.00 0.00 0.00 48.00 Trades
Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 46.01 0.05 0.00 46.06 Trades
Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 26 2021 βœ… 45.99 0.00 0.00 45.99 Trades
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 01 2021 βœ… 43.99 0.00 0.00 43.99 Trades
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 βœ… 43.10 0.00 0.00 43.10 Trades
Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.8314 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -207.85 0.00 0.00 42.15 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? Yes No 2,500.01 0.00 0.00% 0.9834 1.00 0.00 2,500.01 0.00 Tue Aug 01 2023 βœ… -2,458.51 0.00 0.00 41.50 Trades
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 40.97 0.00 0.00 40.97 Trades
Will France or Switzerland qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? France Switzerland 0.25 0.00 11.11% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 28 2021 βœ… 38.61 1.56 0.00 40.18 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 39.58 0.00 0.00 39.58 Trades
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,100.00 0.00% 0.9644 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,100.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -1,060.87 0.00 0.00 39.13 Trades
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… 38.56 0.00 0.00 38.56 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 16 2021 βœ… 37.73 0.00 0.00 37.73 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 16 2021 βœ… 36.48 0.00 0.00 36.48 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 4? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 14 2021 βœ… 36.41 0.00 0.00 36.41 Trades
Will Harry Kane sign for Manchester City on or before August 31, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 βœ… 36.13 0.00 0.00 36.13 Trades
(NBA) Bucks in six? Yes No 45.06 0.00 0.00% 0.2219 1.00 0.00 45.06 0.00 Tue Jul 20 2021 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 35.06 Trades
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? Yes No 0.00 199.99 0.02% 0.8374 0.00 1.00 0.00 199.99 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -167.47 0.00 0.00 32.51 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 βœ… 32.00 0.00 0.00 32.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 22 2021 βœ… 31.53 0.00 0.00 31.53 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 βœ… 27.18 0.00 0.00 27.18 Trades
Will Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine be the first to receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 27.15 0.00 0.00 27.15 Trades
Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 01 2020 βœ… 26.13 0.00 0.00 26.13 Trades
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on June 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.33% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 10 2021 βœ… 26.00 0.00 0.00 26.00 Trades
Will Floyd Mayweather KO, TKO, or retire Logan Paul? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… 25.69 0.23 0.00 25.92 Trades
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? Yes No 0.25 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 20 2021 βœ… 25.82 0.00 0.00 25.83 Trades
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? Gavin Newsom
Larry Elder
Other		 0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00 		βœ… 25.69 0.00 0.00 25.69 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… 24.24 0.00 0.00 24.24 Trades
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… 24.00 0.00 0.00 24.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon Edward Snowden? Yes No 0.00 0.18 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.18 Fri Jan 22 2021 βœ… 23.14 0.00 0.00 23.33 Trades
Will PNAS retract Dan Ariely’s 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… 23.32 0.00 0.00 23.32 Trades
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 βœ… 22.72 0.00 0.00 22.72 Trades
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 955.75 0.01% 0.9770 0.00 1.00 0.00 955.75 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -933.80 0.00 0.00 21.95 Trades
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $40 on June 17, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 17 2021 βœ… 21.64 0.00 0.00 21.64 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? Yes No 397.93 0.00 0.00% 0.9457 1.00 0.00 397.93 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 βœ… -376.31 0.00 0.00 21.61 Trades
Will Logan Paul knock down Floyd Mayweather? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… 21.28 0.00 0.00 21.28 Trades
Will Harriet Tubman appear on the face of the $20 bill by July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… 21.13 0.00 0.00 21.13 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 671.96 0.00 0.00% -0.0311 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 βœ… 20.89 0.00 0.00 20.89 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 24 2021 βœ… 20.49 0.00 0.00 20.49 Trades
Will the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 17th be higher than the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 10th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 βœ… 20.32 0.00 0.00 20.32 Trades
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 19.97 0.00 0.00 19.97 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.82 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 19.04 0.00 0.00 19.04 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 βœ… 19.00 0.00 0.00 19.00 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 βœ… 18.39 0.00 0.00 18.39 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… 17.52 0.00 0.00 17.52 Trades
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 17.00 0.00 0.00 17.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 βœ… 15.98 0.00 0.00 16.98 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 4,999.99 0.00% 0.9967 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,999.99 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… -4,983.47 0.00 0.00 16.52 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.07% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 16.34 0.00 0.00 16.34 Trades
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.70% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 20 2021 βœ… 16.23 0.00 0.00 16.23 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 βœ… 16.05 0.00 0.00 16.05 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… 14.54 0.00 0.00 14.54 Trades
Erdoğan >93Β’ on May 26? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 26 2023 βœ… 14.49 0.00 0.00 14.49 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before December 8th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 99.99 0.00% 0.8560 0.00 1.00 0.00 99.99 Tue Dec 07 2021 βœ… -85.59 0.00 0.00 14.40 Trades
Will England win the Euro 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.85% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 11 2021 βœ… 11.45 2.88 0.00 14.33 Trades
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 βœ… 14.07 0.00 0.00 14.07 Trades
Will Man City lose this year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 13.80 0.00 0.00 13.80 Trades
Will there be an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) granted for a COVID-19 vaccine before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 βœ… 13.30 0.00 0.00 13.30 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… 12.64 0.00 0.00 12.64 Trades
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 10 2021 βœ… 11.07 0.00 0.00 11.07 Trades
Will $USDC repeg by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 10.56 0.00 0.00 10.56 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 10.18 0.00 0.00 10.18 Trades
Will the Treasury Department mint the trillion dollar coin by November 5th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 05 2021 βœ… 9.93 0.00 0.00 9.93 Trades
Will ETH be above $1750 on March 22nd, 2021? Yes No 0.46 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.46 0.00 Mon Mar 22 2021 βœ… 8.94 0.00 0.00 9.40 Trades
Will the United States win 44 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 2,999.98 0.00% 0.9972 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,999.98 Sun Aug 08 2021 βœ… -2,991.66 0.00 0.00 8.32 Trades
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… 7.40 0.00 0.00 7.40 Trades
Will the Suns win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 32,564.94 0.00 48025929.63% -0.0002 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 βœ… 7.36 0.00 0.00 7.36 Trades
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 βœ… 6.93 0.00 0.00 6.93 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by February 15th? Yes No 0.00 99.99 0.00% 0.9332 0.00 1.00 0.00 99.99 Tue Feb 15 2022 βœ… -93.31 0.00 0.00 6.68 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from November to December 2022? Yes No 0.00 26.31 0.01% 0.7565 0.00 1.00 0.00 26.31 Thu Jan 12 2023 βœ… -19.90 0.00 0.00 6.41 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 20, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 20 2021 βœ… 6.19 0.00 0.00 6.19 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Will the USA beat Australia by 10 or more points in the Men's Basketball Tokyo 2020 Olympic Semifinals match? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 βœ… 6.03 0.00 0.00 6.03 Trades
Will Sweden or Ukraine qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? Sweden Ukraine 0.00 0.00 14.29% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 29 2021 βœ… -3.97 8.97 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… 2.04 2.76 0.00 4.80 Trades
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… 4.80 0.00 0.00 4.80 Trades
Will Donald Trump’s Facebook or Twitter accounts post by September 1? Yes No 0.00 499.98 0.00% 0.9912 0.00 1.00 0.00 499.98 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… -495.59 0.00 0.00 4.39 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 4.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Are the Peruvian Aliens real? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… 3.86 0.00 0.00 3.86 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… 0.17 3.30 0.00 3.47 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 700.00 0.76% 0.9953 0.00 1.00 0.00 700.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… -696.71 0.00 0.00 3.29 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9970 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 βœ… -997.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418 ppm on March 22, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 4.76% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 22 2021 βœ… 0.71 2.25 0.00 2.96 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Will the Bills or Chiefs win their week five matchup? Bills Chiefs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 10 2021 βœ… 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.64 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through June 30? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9900 1.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -14.85 0.00 0.00 0.15 Trades
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by Sep 30? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9990 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -99.90 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 βœ… 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2022 Australian Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 30 2022 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 6.27 0.00% 0.0380 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… -0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.24 Trades
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 17 2021 βœ… -1.50 0.00 0.00 -1.50 Trades
Will Nick Diaz or Robbie Lawler win their UFC fight on September 25th? Diaz Lawler 3.48 0.00 0.00% 0.5164 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 25 2021 βœ… -1.80 0.00 0.00 -1.80 Trades
Will the Warriors or the Lakers win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Warriors Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 19 2021 βœ… -2.24 0.00 0.00 -2.24 Trades
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? Adams
Garcia
Wiley
Yang		 0.00
60.00
0.10
0.00 		0.02% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
60.00
0.00
0.00 		Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… -62.50 0.00 0.00 -2.50 Trades
Will Belgium or Portugal qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? Belgium Portugal 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 27 2021 βœ… -7.07 4.13 0.00 -2.93 Trades
Will 'Bullet Train' gross more than $32.5 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 βœ… -3.60 0.00 0.00 -3.60 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.21 83.84% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 18 2021 βœ… -6.69 0.00 0.00 -6.69 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 βœ… -6.72 0.00 0.00 -6.72 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… -7.22 0.00 0.00 -7.22 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -8.22 0.22 0.00 -8.00 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will MbappΓ© join a Saudi club this transfer window? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will the NYC Democratic mayoral first round leader also win the primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… -14.37 0.00 0.00 -14.37 Trades
Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022? Yes No 0.00 389.33 0.00% 0.0464 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 βœ… -18.05 1.75 0.00 -16.31 Trades
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 βœ… -504.27 484.05 0.00 -20.22 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier? Yes No 0.00 200.40 0.00% 0.1198 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 βœ… -24.00 0.00 0.00 -24.00 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 βœ… -25.18 0.00 0.00 -25.18 Trades
Will Croatia or Spain qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? Croatia Spain 0.00 0.00 9.09% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 28 2021 βœ… -152.48 126.83 0.00 -25.64 Trades
Will England or Denmark qualify for the Euro 2020 Finals? England Denmark 0.00 93.73 0.00% 0.3201 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 07 2021 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will the sum of goals in Jamaica v. USA soccer matchup be an even or odd number? Even Odd 0.00 58.72 0.00% 0.5109 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 16 2021 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will the Nets or the Bucks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? Nets Bucks 0.00 0.00 5.26% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 19 2021 βœ… -30.74 0.00 0.00 -30.73 Trades
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 3,999.98 0.00 0.00% 1.0199 1.00 0.00 3,999.98 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -4,079.42 37.34 0.00 -42.11 Trades
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 01 2021 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 βœ… -55.00 0.00 0.00 -55.00 Trades
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 14.76 0.00 0.00% 3.9298 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 βœ… -58.01 0.00 0.00 -58.01 Trades
Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 03 2021 βœ… -76.74 0.00 0.00 -76.74 Trades
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… -80.72 0.00 0.00 -80.72 Trades
Who will win the Canada v. Mexico soccer game on November 16? Canada Mexico 0.00 0.00 14.29% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 16 2021 βœ… -99.91 2.93 0.00 -96.98 Trades
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? Yes No 363.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2720 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -98.72 0.00 0.00 -98.72 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 3.87 0.00% 26.7250 0.00 1.00 0.00 3.87 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -103.49 0.00 0.00 -99.61 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 15 2021 βœ… -108.63 0.00 0.00 -108.63 Trades
Will England or Germany qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? England Germany 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 29 2021 βœ… -202.85 66.05 0.00 -136.80 Trades
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 28 2021 βœ… -150.00 0.00 0.00 -150.00 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.7500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 βœ… -150.00 0.00 0.00 -150.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 βœ… -150.30 0.00 0.00 -150.30 Trades
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 11 2021 βœ… -172.40 0.00 0.00 -172.40 Trades
Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 638.32 0.04% 0.3465 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -221.15 0.00 0.00 -221.15 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -240.48 0.00 0.00 -240.48 Trades
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? Yes No 982.84 0.00 0.00% 0.2491 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 βœ… -244.82 0.00 0.00 -244.82 Trades
Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 648.36 0.00% 0.3832 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -248.48 0.00 0.00 -248.48 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 2.56% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 15 2021 βœ… -282.44 11.50 0.00 -270.95 Trades
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? Yes No 706.41 0.00 0.00% 0.3852 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -272.12 0.00 0.00 -272.12 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R) Dems/Ossoff Reps/Perdue 0.00 0.32 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -367.01 0.00 0.00 -367.01 Trades
Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 1,000.32 0.00% 0.4275 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 βœ… -427.67 1.51 0.00 -426.16 Trades
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? 52 or fewer
53-55
56-58
59-61
62 or more		 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Mon Mar 01 2021 βœ… -575.00 0.00 0.00 -575.00 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? Yes No 0.00 741.45 0.00% 0.7875 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 27 2022 βœ… -583.87 0.03 0.00 -583.83 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? Yes No 0.00 261,416.55 0.00% 0.0026 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 βœ… -671.17 42.75 0.00 -628.43 Trades
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 800.00 0.00% 0.8368 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -669.45 0.00 0.00 -669.44 Trades
Will Belgium or Italy qualify for the Euro 2020 Semifinals? Belgium Italy 0.01 0.00 9.09% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 02 2021 βœ… -793.55 114.27 0.00 -679.28 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,188.87 0.02% 0.6600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 27 2023 βœ… -784.61 0.00 0.00 -784.61 Trades
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -1,109.07 0.02 0.00 -1,109.05 Trades
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… -1,172.15 0.00 0.00 -1,172.15 Trades
Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021? Bitcoin Tesla 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 01 2021 βœ… -1,426.43 0.00 0.00 -1,426.43 Trades
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner Putin Wagner 0.00 3,738.51 0.00% 0.4143 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -1,548.98 0.00 0.00 -1,548.98 Trades
Will Iron Finance V2’s TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 1,998.72 0.00% 0.7939 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 βœ… -1,586.83 0.00 0.00 -1,586.83 Trades
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 18,663.49 0.00% 1.1019 0.00 1.00 0.00 18,663.49 Tue Oct 05 2021 βœ… -20,565.73 3.16 0.00 -1,899.08 Trades
Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 01 2021 βœ… -4,350.00 0.00 0.00 -4,350.00 Trades
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… -7,221.10 1,495.76 0.00 -5,725.33 Trades
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… -11,887.98 0.00 0.00 -11,887.98 Trades
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 βœ… -13,128.26 647.23 0.00 -12,481.03 Trades
Resolved 51,017.25 5,954,693.14 -5,857,997.73 4,723.60 0.00 152,436.25
Unresolved 20,385.14 6,954.05 -47,741.44 0.16 0.00 -20,402.09
Total 71,402.39 5,961,647.19 -5,905,739.17 4,723.76 0.00 132,034.17