Account
0x1ff2f3c12db9618337fa32079b89b2f550174702 Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? | Yes | No | 12,261.34 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9050 | 0.95 | 0.05 | 11,613.07 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | -11,096.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 516.27 | Trades | ||
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.26 | 0.00% | -231.9444 | 0.14 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 1.08 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 293.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 294.45 | Trades | ||
Trump and Biden both win nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,701.49 | 0.00% | 0.3335 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 850.75 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -567.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 283.25 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 126.66 | 0.00% | -1.0320 | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 121.49 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | 130.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 252.21 | Trades | ||
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 769.78 | 0.00% | 0.8511 | 0.08 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 711.43 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | -655.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.24 | Trades | ||
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | Yes | No | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | 53.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.53 | Trades | |||
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | 18.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.26 | Trades | |||
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? | Yes | No | 400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9510 | 0.99 | 0.01 | 396.58 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | -380.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.18 | Trades | ||
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 11.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.00 | Trades | |||
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | 8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.00 | Trades | |||
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |||
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? | Yes | No | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | -3.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.60 | Trades | ||
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 400.00 | 0.00% | 0.8800 | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 320.05 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -352.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -31.95 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 11,543.12 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7363 | 0.73 | 0.27 | 8,375.49 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | -8,499.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -124.26 | Trades | ||
Was the moon landing faked? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 150.50 | 0.00% | 0.9720 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | -146.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -146.29 | Trades | ||
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 407.28 | 0.00% | 0.8286 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | -337.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -337.48 | Trades | ||
North Korea nuke by December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 600.21 | 0.00% | 0.9101 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | -546.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -546.24 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? | Yes | No | 600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9547 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 01 2024 | -572.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -572.80 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 900.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9403 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 01 2023 | -846.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -846.30 | Trades | ||
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,524.85 | 0.00% | 0.4079 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 05 2024 | -1,029.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,029.87 | Trades | ||
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,285.00 | 0.00% | 0.8985 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | -2,053.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,053.17 | Trades | ||
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? | Yes | No | 5,553.34 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | -5,275.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5,275.67 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 24,028.77 | 0.00% | 0.6615 | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 4,949.25 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -15,894.27 | 0.16 | 0.00 | -10,944.86 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | 38,433.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38,433.29 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,621,479.22 | -10007.32% | 0.9950 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,621,479.22 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -5,593,257.22 | 75.72 | 0.00 | 28,297.72 | Trades | |
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 14 2023 | β | 27,023.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27,023.23 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | 19,952.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19,952.05 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 9,554.05 | 62.77 | 0.00 | 9,616.82 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | 8,264.46 | 61.85 | 0.00 | 8,326.30 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | 6,932.74 | 375.15 | 0.00 | 7,307.88 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 7,180.73 | 6.03 | 0.00 | 7,186.76 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | β | 6,423.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6,423.79 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 5,203.65 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 5,203.79 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | β | 4,428.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,428.81 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | 3,685.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,685.49 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 2,961.28 | 5.22 | 0.00 | 2,966.49 | Trades | ||
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 49,142.29 | 0.69% | 0.9461 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 49,142.29 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -46,492.81 | 19.99 | 0.00 | 2,669.47 | Trades | |
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 2,405.89 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0527 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,405.89 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | 126.86 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 2,532.88 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 1,976.20 | 130.29 | 0.00 | 2,106.50 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | 1,267.91 | 38.49 | 0.00 | 1,306.40 | Trades | ||
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 6,289.89 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8061 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6,289.89 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -5,070.57 | 2.81 | 0.00 | 1,222.12 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.67% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 885.20 | 282.50 | 0.00 | 1,167.70 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 01 2023 | β | 1,156.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,156.36 | Trades | ||
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 1,089.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,089.56 | Trades | |||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.57% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 880.22 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 880.48 | Trades | ||
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 17 2023 | β | 820.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 820.02 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 770.78 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 770.83 | Trades | ||
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | 732.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 732.86 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 713.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 713.46 | Trades | ||
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | 576.15 | 2.42 | 0.00 | 578.58 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 30 2021 | β | 566.73 | 5.89 | 0.00 | 572.62 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 3,774.18 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 0.8488 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,774.18 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -3,203.51 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 570.72 | Trades | |
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 15 2023 | β | 519.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 519.42 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump pardon a family member before Inauguration Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | 511.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 511.41 | Trades | ||
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | 506.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 506.74 | Trades | ||
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | 446.88 | 51.52 | 0.00 | 498.40 | Trades | ||
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 445.49 | 13.09 | 0.00 | 458.58 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 06 2022 | β | 448.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 448.85 | Trades | ||
US military intervention by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 2,492.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.1794 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | 447.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 447.21 | Trades | |
Which party will control the senate? | Republican | Democratic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 446.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 446.39 | Trades | ||
Superbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Chiefs | Bucs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 08 2021 | β | 388.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 388.90 | Trades | ||
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.45% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 364.65 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 364.68 | Trades | ||
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 359.80 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 360.27 | Trades | ||
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | β | 341.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 341.38 | Trades | ||||||
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | β | 339.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 339.49 | Trades | ||
Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 336.83 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 337.18 | Trades | ||
Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou | Fury | Ngannou | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 28 2023 | β | 270.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 270.00 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | 267.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 267.94 | Trades | ||
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | β | 264.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 264.74 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,600.00 | 0.00% | 0.9047 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,600.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | -2,352.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 247.81 | Trades | |
Who will win the Champions League Final: Man City or Chelsea? | Man City | Chelsea | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.33% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 29 2021 | β | 235.12 | 4.91 | 0.00 | 240.03 | Trades | ||
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | β | 236.43 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 238.05 | Trades | ||
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.03% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 176.32 | 58.66 | 0.00 | 234.97 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 28 2021 | β | 229.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 229.36 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 14 2021 | β | 227.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 227.77 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | β | 226.37 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 227.25 | Trades | ||
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8.61 | 0.00% | -25.7193 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 22 2022 | β | 221.55 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 222.19 | Trades | |
Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve? | California | Florida | 0.00 | 518.27 | 0.00% | 0.5795 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 518.27 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -300.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 217.95 | Trades | |
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 20,621.51 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9902 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 20,621.51 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | -20,418.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 202.60 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,043.40 | 0.00% | 0.9371 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,043.40 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | β | -2,851.92 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 191.50 | Trades | |
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,574.02 | 0.00% | -0.0316 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | 176.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 176.39 | Trades | |
Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? | Paul | Woodley | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 29 2021 | β | 176.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 176.38 | Trades | ||
Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? | WI | SC | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | 174.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 174.84 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 32.92 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -5.1700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | β | 170.21 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 171.05 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? | Yes | No | 6,701.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0240 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | β | 161.10 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 161.54 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,432.03 | 0.00% | 0.9558 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,432.03 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | -3,280.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 151.63 | Trades | |
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? | McGregor | Poirier | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | β | -162.87 | 308.48 | 0.00 | 145.61 | Trades | ||
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 142.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 142.70 | Trades | ||
Will China win 38 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 174.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1865 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 174.21 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | -32.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 141.72 | Trades | |
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 139.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 139.00 | Trades | ||
Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 02 2021 | β | 137.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 137.72 | Trades | ||
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,619.97 | 0.00% | 0.9194 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,619.97 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | -1,489.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 130.61 | Trades | |
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 3,201.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9601 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,201.14 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -3,073.56 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 127.59 | Trades | |
Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 14,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9910 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 14,000.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -13,874.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 125.59 | Trades | |
Will France or Germany win their Euro 2020 match? | France | Germany | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 91.38 | 29.35 | 0.00 | 120.73 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 420.73 | 0.00% | 0.7257 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 420.73 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | -305.31 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 115.63 | Trades | |
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 113.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 113.15 | Trades | |||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 43.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -2.5807 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | β | 111.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 111.02 | Trades | |
Will the Czech Republic or Denmark qualify for the Euro 2020 Semifinals? | Czech Republic | Denmark | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.11% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 03 2021 | β | 108.47 | 2.32 | 0.00 | 110.79 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $2500 on July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | β | 108.47 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 108.48 | Trades | ||
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 24 2023 | β | 101.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 101.00 | Trades | ||
Will the Netherlands or the Czech Republic qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | Netherlands | Czech Republic | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 27 2021 | β | 98.69 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 99.14 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | 98.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 98.58 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 1K daily COVID-19 cases in Japan on August 27? | Yes | No | 400.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7544 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 400.99 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 28 2021 | β | -302.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 98.46 | Trades | |
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 96.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 96.68 | Trades | ||
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 14 2023 | β | 93.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 93.10 | Trades | ||
Will 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 90.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.78 | Trades | ||
Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | β | 87.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.13 | Trades | ||
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $33 on July 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 449.99 | 0.00% | 0.8092 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 449.99 | Thu Jul 29 2021 | β | -364.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.87 | Trades | |
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,350.00 | 0.00% | 0.9381 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,350.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -1,266.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.54 | Trades | |
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | β | 81.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81.94 | Trades | ||
Will Billie Eilishβs βHappier Than Everβ sell more than 400K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | β | 81.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81.48 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | 76.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 76.32 | Trades | ||
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 5,624.48 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9880 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,624.48 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -5,557.15 | 5.30 | 0.00 | 72.63 | Trades | |
Will Logan Paul KO, TKO, or retire Floyd Mayweather? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 72.11 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 72.32 | Trades | ||
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? | Yes | No | 341.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7893 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 341.18 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -269.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.90 | Trades | |
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | -33.02 | 103.56 | 0.00 | 70.54 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 119.44 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4186 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 119.44 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.44 | Trades | |
Will Italy win the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | β | 68.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.84 | Trades | ||
Will Real Madrid or Chelsea advance to the Champions League final? | Real Madrid | Chelsea | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 05 2021 | β | 68.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.61 | Trades | ||
Will Alexander Volkanovski or Brian Ortega win their UFC fight on September 25th? | Volkanovski | Ortega | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 25 2021 | β | 68.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.34 | Trades | ||
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 28 2022 | β | 66.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.13 | Trades | ||
Will the Bucks win the 2021 NBA Finals? | Yes | No | 104.91 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3884 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 104.91 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | β | -40.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.16 | Trades | |
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 61.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 61.07 | Trades | ||
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | 56.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.39 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 224,279.60 | -556.16% | 0.9998 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 224,279.60 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -224,234.37 | 8.79 | 0.00 | 54.01 | Trades | |
Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 199.99 | 0.00% | 0.7367 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 199.99 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | β | -147.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.67 | Trades | |
Will 3 or more of Dan Arielyβs papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,398.16 | 0.00% | 0.9657 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,398.16 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -1,350.26 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 48.10 | Trades | |
Will Inter Miami make playoffs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 48.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.00 | Trades | ||
Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 46.01 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 46.06 | Trades | ||
Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | β | 45.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.99 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | β | 43.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.99 | Trades | ||
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | β | 43.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.10 | Trades | ||
Will Clubhouse officially announce theyβve been acquired in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.8314 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -207.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.15 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 2,500.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9834 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.01 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 01 2023 | β | -2,458.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.50 | Trades | |
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 40.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.97 | Trades | ||
Will France or Switzerland qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | France | Switzerland | 0.25 | 0.00 | 11.11% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 28 2021 | β | 38.61 | 1.56 | 0.00 | 40.18 | Trades | ||
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 39.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.58 | Trades | ||
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9644 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,100.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -1,060.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.13 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 38.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.56 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 16 2021 | β | 37.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.73 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | β | 36.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.48 | Trades | ||
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 4? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 14 2021 | β | 36.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.41 | Trades | ||
Will Harry Kane sign for Manchester City on or before August 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | 36.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.13 | Trades | ||
(NBA) Bucks in six? | Yes | No | 45.06 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2219 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 45.06 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.06 | Trades | |
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 199.99 | 0.02% | 0.8374 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 199.99 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -167.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.51 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | β | 32.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.00 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | 31.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.53 | Trades | ||
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 24 2023 | β | 27.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.18 | Trades | ||
Will Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine be the first to receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 27.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.15 | Trades | |||
Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 01 2020 | β | 26.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.13 | Trades | ||
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.33% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | β | 26.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.00 | Trades | ||
Will Floyd Mayweather KO, TKO, or retire Logan Paul? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 25.69 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 25.92 | Trades | ||
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? | Yes | No | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | β | 25.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.83 | Trades | ||
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? | Gavin Newsom Larry Elder Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | 25.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.69 | Trades | |||||||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | β | 24.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.24 | Trades | ||
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | 24.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.00 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump pardon Edward Snowden? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.18 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | 23.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.33 | Trades | ||
Will PNAS retract Dan Arielyβs 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 23.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.32 | Trades | ||
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | 22.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.72 | Trades | ||
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 955.75 | 0.01% | 0.9770 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 955.75 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -933.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.95 | Trades | |
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $40 on June 17, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | β | 21.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.64 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 397.93 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9457 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 397.93 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | -376.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.61 | Trades | |
Will Logan Paul knock down Floyd Mayweather? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 21.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.28 | Trades | ||
Will Harriet Tubman appear on the face of the $20 bill by July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 21.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.13 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? | Yes | No | 671.96 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0311 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 01 2023 | β | 20.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.89 | Trades | |
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 24 2021 | β | 20.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.49 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 17th be higher than the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 10th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | β | 20.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.32 | Trades | ||
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | β | 20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.00 | Trades | ||
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 19.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.97 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.82 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | 19.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.04 | Trades | ||
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? | Israel | Palestine | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 20 2023 | β | 19.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.00 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | 18.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.39 | Trades | ||
Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 17.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.52 | Trades | ||
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 17.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.00 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 01 2023 | β | 15.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.98 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,999.99 | 0.00% | 0.9967 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4,999.99 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | -4,983.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.52 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 16.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.34 | Trades | ||
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.70% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | β | 16.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.23 | Trades | ||
Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 16.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.05 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | 14.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.54 | Trades | ||
ErdoΔan >93Β’ on May 26? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 26 2023 | β | 14.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.49 | Trades | ||
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before December 8th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 99.99 | 0.00% | 0.8560 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 99.99 | Tue Dec 07 2021 | β | -85.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.40 | Trades | |
Will England win the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.85% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | β | 11.45 | 2.88 | 0.00 | 14.33 | Trades | ||
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | β | 14.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.07 | Trades | ||
Will Man City lose this year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 13.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.80 | Trades | ||
Will there be an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) granted for a COVID-19 vaccine before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 13.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.30 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 12.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.64 | Trades | ||
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | β | 11.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.07 | Trades | ||
Will $USDC repeg by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | 10.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.56 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 10.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.18 | Trades | ||
Will the Treasury Department mint the trillion dollar coin by November 5th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 05 2021 | β | 9.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.93 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1750 on March 22nd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.46 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | β | 8.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.40 | Trades | ||
Will the United States win 44 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,999.98 | 0.00% | 0.9972 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,999.98 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | -2,991.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.32 | Trades | |
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | 7.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.40 | Trades | ||
Will the Suns win the 2021 NBA Finals? | Yes | No | 32,564.94 | 0.00 | 48025929.63% | -0.0002 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | β | 7.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.36 | Trades | |
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals) | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 28 2023 | β | 6.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.93 | Trades | ||
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by February 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 99.99 | 0.00% | 0.9332 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 99.99 | Tue Feb 15 2022 | β | -93.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.68 | Trades | |
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from November to December 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 26.31 | 0.01% | 0.7565 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 26.31 | Thu Jan 12 2023 | β | -19.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.41 | Trades | |
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by August 20, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 20 2021 | β | 6.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.19 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Will the USA beat Australia by 10 or more points in the Men's Basketball Tokyo 2020 Olympic Semifinals match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | 6.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.03 | Trades | ||
Will Sweden or Ukraine qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | Sweden | Ukraine | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.29% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 29 2021 | β | -3.97 | 8.97 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 2.04 | 2.76 | 0.00 | 4.80 | Trades | ||
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | 4.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.80 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trumpβs Facebook or Twitter accounts post by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 499.98 | 0.00% | 0.9912 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 499.98 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -495.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.39 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | Trades | ||
Are the Peruvian Aliens real? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | β | 3.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.86 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 0.17 | 3.30 | 0.00 | 3.47 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 700.00 | 0.76% | 0.9953 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 700.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -696.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.29 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9970 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 01 2023 | β | -997.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | Trades | |
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418 ppm on March 22, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.76% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | β | 0.71 | 2.25 | 0.00 | 2.96 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Will the Bills or Chiefs win their week five matchup? | Bills | Chiefs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 10 2021 | β | 0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.64 | Trades | ||
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through June 30? | Yes | No | 15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | -14.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.15 | Trades | |
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by Sep 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9990 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | β | -99.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | Trades | |
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | β | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Trades | ||
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 04 2023 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2022 Australian Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 30 2022 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.27 | 0.00% | 0.0380 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | β | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.24 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | β | -1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.50 | Trades | ||
Will Nick Diaz or Robbie Lawler win their UFC fight on September 25th? | Diaz | Lawler | 3.48 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5164 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 25 2021 | β | -1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.80 | Trades | |
Will the Warriors or the Lakers win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? | Warriors | Lakers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | β | -2.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.24 | Trades | ||
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Adams Garcia Wiley Yang |
0.00 60.00 0.10 0.00 |
0.02% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 60.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | -62.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.50 | Trades | ||||||
Will Belgium or Portugal qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | Belgium | Portugal | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 27 2021 | β | -7.07 | 4.13 | 0.00 | -2.93 | Trades | ||
Will 'Bullet Train' gross more than $32.5 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 08 2022 | β | -3.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.60 | Trades | ||
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | |||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.21 | 83.84% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | β | -6.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.69 | Trades | ||
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | β | -6.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.72 | Trades | ||
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -7.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.22 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -8.22 | 0.22 | 0.00 | -8.00 | Trades | ||
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 | Musk | Zuck | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
Will MbappΓ© join a Saudi club this transfer window? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
Will the NYC Democratic mayoral first round leader also win the primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | -14.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.37 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 389.33 | 0.00% | 0.0464 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 10 2022 | β | -18.05 | 1.75 | 0.00 | -16.31 | Trades | |
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | -504.27 | 484.05 | 0.00 | -20.22 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.40 | 0.00% | 0.1198 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | β | -24.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.00 | Trades | |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 20 2023 | β | -25.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.18 | Trades | ||
Will Croatia or Spain qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | Croatia | Spain | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.09% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 28 2021 | β | -152.48 | 126.83 | 0.00 | -25.64 | Trades | ||
Will England or Denmark qualify for the Euro 2020 Finals? | England | Denmark | 0.00 | 93.73 | 0.00% | 0.3201 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 07 2021 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will the sum of goals in Jamaica v. USA soccer matchup be an even or odd number? | Even | Odd | 0.00 | 58.72 | 0.00% | 0.5109 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 16 2021 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will the Nets or the Bucks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? | Nets | Bucks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.26% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 19 2021 | β | -30.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.73 | Trades | ||
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 3,999.98 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.0199 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,999.98 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -4,079.42 | 37.34 | 0.00 | -42.11 | Trades | |
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | ||
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 15 2023 | β | -55.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | Trades | |
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? | Yes | No | 14.76 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 3.9298 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 28 2023 | β | -58.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -58.01 | Trades | |
Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 03 2021 | β | -76.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -76.74 | Trades | ||
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -80.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.72 | Trades | ||
Who will win the Canada v. Mexico soccer game on November 16? | Canada | Mexico | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.29% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 16 2021 | β | -99.91 | 2.93 | 0.00 | -96.98 | Trades | ||
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 363.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2720 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | -98.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -98.72 | Trades | |
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.87 | 0.00% | 26.7250 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.87 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | -103.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -99.61 | Trades | |
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | -108.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -108.63 | Trades | ||
Will England or Germany qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | England | Germany | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 29 2021 | β | -202.85 | 66.05 | 0.00 | -136.80 | Trades | ||
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -150.00 | Trades | ||
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.7500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 13 2023 | β | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -150.00 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Bidenβs inauguration ceremony in person? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | -150.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -150.30 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | β | -172.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -172.40 | Trades | ||
Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 638.32 | 0.04% | 0.3465 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -221.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -221.15 | Trades | |
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -240.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -240.48 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 982.84 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2491 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | -244.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -244.82 | Trades | |
Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 648.36 | 0.00% | 0.3832 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -248.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -248.48 | Trades | |
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.56% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | -282.44 | 11.50 | 0.00 | -270.95 | Trades | ||
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? | Yes | No | 706.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3852 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -272.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -272.12 | Trades | |
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R) | Dems/Ossoff | Reps/Perdue | 0.00 | 0.32 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -367.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -367.01 | Trades | |||
Will the U.S. Menβs Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.32 | 0.00% | 0.4275 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | -427.67 | 1.51 | 0.00 | -426.16 | Trades | |
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? | 52 or fewer 53-55 56-58 59-61 62 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -575.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -575.00 | Trades | ||||||
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 741.45 | 0.00% | 0.7875 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 27 2022 | β | -583.87 | 0.03 | 0.00 | -583.83 | Trades | |
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 261,416.55 | 0.00% | 0.0026 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 28 2022 | β | -671.17 | 42.75 | 0.00 | -628.43 | Trades | |
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 800.00 | 0.00% | 0.8368 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -669.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -669.44 | Trades | |
Will Belgium or Italy qualify for the Euro 2020 Semifinals? | Belgium | Italy | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9.09% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 02 2021 | β | -793.55 | 114.27 | 0.00 | -679.28 | Trades | ||
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,188.87 | 0.02% | 0.6600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 27 2023 | β | -784.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -784.61 | Trades | |
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -1,109.07 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -1,109.05 | Trades | |||
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | -1,172.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,172.15 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021? | Bitcoin | Tesla | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -1,426.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,426.43 | Trades | ||
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner | Putin | Wagner | 0.00 | 3,738.51 | 0.00% | 0.4143 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -1,548.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,548.98 | Trades | |
Will Iron Finance V2βs TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,998.72 | 0.00% | 0.7939 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | -1,586.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,586.83 | Trades | |
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 18,663.49 | 0.00% | 1.1019 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 18,663.49 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | -20,565.73 | 3.16 | 0.00 | -1,899.08 | Trades | |
Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -4,350.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,350.00 | Trades | ||
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -7,221.10 | 1,495.76 | 0.00 | -5,725.33 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -11,887.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11,887.98 | Trades | ||
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | -13,128.26 | 647.23 | 0.00 | -12,481.03 | Trades | ||
Resolved | 51,017.25 | 5,954,693.14 | -5,857,997.73 | 4,723.60 | 0.00 | 152,436.25 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 20,385.14 | 6,954.05 | -47,741.44 | 0.16 | 0.00 | -20,402.09 | ||||||||||||
Total | 71,402.39 | 5,961,647.19 | -5,905,739.17 | 4,723.76 | 0.00 | 132,034.17 |