OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
37.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.50
|
Trades
|
Russian nuke in space in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
14.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.36
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by November 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
|
3.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.97
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.08
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.49 |
0.51 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-128.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-128.24
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
1,504.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,504.86
|
Trades
|
India Election: Modi reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
1,436.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,436.74
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
1,343.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,343.70
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia agree to sell oil to China in Yuan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,063.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,063.79
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
720.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
720.55
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
✅ |
714.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
714.00
|
Trades
|
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
693.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
693.76
|
Trades
|
Hunter Biden arrested before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
670.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
670.28
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
652.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
652.55
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
✅ |
622.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
622.80
|
Trades
|
Will Grayscale win v. SEC? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
569.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
569.70
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
508.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
508.22
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
✅ |
463.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
463.71
|
Trades
|
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 14 2023
|
✅ |
377.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
377.33
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
360.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
360.62
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
313.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
313.62
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
291.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
291.10
|
Trades
|
Do Kwon extradited before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
268.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
268.99
|
Trades
|
Will Kraken IPO by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
258.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
258.22
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia boost oil production in Q4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 17 2024
|
✅ |
247.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
247.99
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
246.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
246.97
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
223.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
223.49
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
223.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
223.00
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
✅ |
212.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
212.12
|
Trades
|
Will Inter Miami make playoffs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
207.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
207.00
|
Trades
|
Yulia Navalnaya arrested in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
204.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
204.35
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
184.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
184.46
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
174.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
174.94
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,020.87
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1528
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
156.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
156.03
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
150.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
150.56
|
Trades
|
Will Do Kwon be extradited to the United States or South Korea? |
United States |
South Korea |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
144.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
144.68
|
Trades
|
Arkham token above $1 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
138.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
138.60
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Merkel in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
455.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2939
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
✅ |
133.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
133.84
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
130.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
130.80
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
128.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
128.24
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
128.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
128.04
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
126.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
126.78
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
125.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
125.55
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
122.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
122.11
|
Trades
|
Will Friend Tech fall off? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 17 2023
|
✅ |
120.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
120.00
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
114.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
114.15
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
110.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
110.87
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
✅ |
98.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
98.79
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
233.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.6335
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
233.27
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-147.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
85.49
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
85.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
85.32
|
Trades
|
Will PiS get over 36% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
79.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
79.80
|
Trades
|
Will Haley beat DeSantis in Iowa? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
79.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
79.68
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
✅ |
73.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
73.55
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
68.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
68.90
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
68.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
68.86
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
65.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.76
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
56.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.55
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
56.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.38
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
48.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.26
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
47.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.40
|
Trades
|
Are the Peruvian Aliens real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
46.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.19
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
46.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.16
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
✅ |
45.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.06
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
44.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.60
|
Trades
|
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
44.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.12
|
Trades
|
Will Traoré remain President of Burkina Faso through August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
44.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ben Armstrong regain control of BitBoy Crypto by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
43.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.45
|
Trades
|
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
39.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.49
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
36.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.95
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
✅ |
34.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.55
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
34.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.40
|
Trades
|
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
33.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.51
|
Trades
|
$BONK all time high before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
32.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.42
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
✅ |
30.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.71
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
28.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.09
|
Trades
|
Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
26.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.61
|
Trades
|
Will a candidate say something racist at the next Republican debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Oct 04 2023
|
✅ |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
24.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.82
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
24.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.80
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
23.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.07
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
22.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.89
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
21.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.34
|
Trades
|
Will Putin be reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 07 2024
|
✅ |
20.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.22
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
19.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.59
|
Trades
|
Will Circle IPO by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
18.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.83
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
✅ |
18.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.82
|
Trades
|
Will Qatar buy Bitcoin by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
18.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.38
|
Trades
|
Will Trudeau announce resignation by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
17.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.18
|
Trades
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.80
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
✅ |
17.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.01
|
Trades
|
Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
16.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.98
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
✅ |
16.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.63
|
Trades
|
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9171
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-183.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.58
|
Trades
|
Another African coup by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.3407
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
25.01
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-8.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.49
|
Trades
|
Will Russia invade Alaska before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
15.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.78
|
Trades
|
Will the UAW strike end by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
15.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.75
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Biden 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
✅ |
15.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.51
|
Trades
|
Will Messi win Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
203.99
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0754
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
15.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.37
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
15.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.26
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
15.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.13
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
15.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.08
|
Trades
|
Will DOJ charge Binance by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
15.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.02
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
✅ |
13.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.81
|
Trades
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? |
Biden |
Haley |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
13.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.56
|
Trades
|
Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 10 2024
|
✅ |
13.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.54
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina presidential election go to a second round? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 23 2023
|
✅ |
13.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.00
|
Trades
|
Will VVD win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
✅ |
12.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.60
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
12.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.58
|
Trades
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
12.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.18
|
Trades
|
Biden to drop out before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
11.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.87
|
Trades
|
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
12.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0942
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
12.37
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.20
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.2866
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.57
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-4.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.10
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker interview Putin? |
Yes |
No |
72.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1523
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
11.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.03
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
10.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.73
|
Trades
|
Will Young Thug be found guilty of racketeering conspiracy? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
10.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.06
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
✅ |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
9.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.67
|
Trades
|
Will the price of wheat close above $1050 on April 29, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 29 2022
|
✅ |
9.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.59
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
9.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.43
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
8.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.98
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
8.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.18
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
✅ |
8.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.17
|
Trades
|
Arévalo inaugurated in Guatemala in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
7.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.75
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
7.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.56
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 12 2022
|
✅ |
7.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.27
|
Trades
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.00
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.00
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
6.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.93
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
6.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.92
|
Trades
|
Will NSC win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
85.51
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
85.51
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
✅ |
-78.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.84
|
Trades
|
Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
6.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.68
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,900 on August 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Aug 19 2022
|
✅ |
6.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.47
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
6.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.18
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
6.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.03
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
✅ |
6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
5.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.73
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
5.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.66
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
✅ |
5.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.28
|
Trades
|
Will Australia's Indigenous Voice referendum pass? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 16 2023
|
✅ |
5.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.20
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
5.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.06
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
✅ |
5.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.03
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2000 again before the merge? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
4.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.84
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.92
|
0.00% |
|
0.1950
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.92
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.76
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
4.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.45
|
Trades
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
3.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.96
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
3.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.43
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.05
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.05
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
3.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.14
|
Trades
|
Will the FDV of OpenSea's token 1 week after launch be above Blur's FDV? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
2.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.92
|
Trades
|
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
2.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.79
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.29
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.29
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.61
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.50
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
2.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.40
|
Trades
|
Will Sergio Massa win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
✅ |
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Remilia's stolen funds be returned this month? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
1.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.98
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.58
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
1.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.56
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
1.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.51
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
1.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.43
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
1.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.15
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.06
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by October 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.99
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
0.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.94
|
Trades
|
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.37
|
0.00% |
|
-0.6380
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
0.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.88
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea announce bankruptcy by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
0.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.88
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.08
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.08
|
Mon Sep 09 2024
|
✅ |
0.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.87
|
Trades
|
Will the FDV of OpenSea's token be above $15b 1 week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
0.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.83
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
✅ |
0.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.60
|
Trades
|
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.58
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.55
|
Trades
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
✅ |
0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
0.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.09
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
1.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0360
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.06
|
Trades
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.06
|
Trades
|
Will Inter Miami win MLS Cup? |
Yes |
No |
5.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 09 2023
|
✅ |
-0.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.21
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.02
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
✅ |
-0.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.49
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
-1.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.75
|
Trades
|
The Thiel Parlay |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-2.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.63
|
Trades
|
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-2.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.91
|
Trades
|
Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
226.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0132
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-3.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.36
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin new all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
✅ |
-3.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.61
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.75
|
Trades
|
Trump contempt of court by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-4.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.50
|
Trades
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
✅ |
-4.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.89
|
Trades
|
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $42.5m on its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
✅ |
-5.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.50
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.35
|
0.00% |
|
1.4382
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 23 2022
|
✅ |
-9.14
|
3.18
|
0.00
|
-5.96
|
Trades
|
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
4.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
2.0102
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
✅ |
-9.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.29
|
Trades
|
Will KO get over 31% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
-9.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.75
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-9.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.88
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
83.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-9.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.96
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.6463
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-10.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.17
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-11.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.26
|
Trades
|
Will Menendez announce resignation by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-12.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.30
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-12.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.79
|
Trades
|
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? |
Yes |
No |
202.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0710
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
-14.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.38
|
Trades
|
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
-20.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.29
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? |
Yes |
No |
350.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0584
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-20.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.45
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-20.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.49
|
Trades
|
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
150.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1427
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 18 2023
|
✅ |
-21.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.40
|
Trades
|
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
894.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.0253
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 22 2024
|
✅ |
-22.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.66
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
-24.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.96
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
133.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.2411
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-32.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.13
|
Trades
|
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? |
Yes |
No |
300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-33.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-33.00
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
✅ |
-34.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.89
|
Trades
|
Will Xi Jinping be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
465.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0808
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
-37.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.55
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
-37.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.84
|
Trades
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
242.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1914
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
-46.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-46.40
|
Trades
|
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $30m on its 3-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
✅ |
-54.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-54.52
|
Trades
|
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
150.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.4188
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-62.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-62.94
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-75.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-75.21
|
Trades
|
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? |
Yu-ih |
Wen-je |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
-82.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-82.91
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
-84.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-84.81
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
900.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1140
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-102.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-102.60
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
369.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.3332
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
✅ |
-123.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-123.06
|
Trades
|
Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
313.13
|
0.00% |
|
0.4649
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
✅ |
-145.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-145.58
|
Trades
|
Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
282.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6221
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
✅ |
-175.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-175.45
|
Trades
|
Will Canada sanction India by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
372.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4967
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-185.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-185.19
|
Trades
|
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-216.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-216.60
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
884.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.2705
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
✅ |
-239.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-239.25
|
Trades
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 14 2024
|
✅ |
-239.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-239.90
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
-321.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-321.57
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-329.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-329.40
|
Trades
|
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,252.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.4557
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-570.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-570.85
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
-931.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-931.04
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.46
|
565.89
|
|
|
13,973.19
|
3.18
|
0.00
|
14,554.72
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-73.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-73.49
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.46
|
565.89
|
|
|
13,899.69
|
3.18
|
0.00
|
14,481.23
|
|