Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 170.04 0.00 0.00 170.04 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 125.55 0.00 0.00 125.55 Trades
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 37.50 0.00 0.00 37.50 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 15.25 0.00 0.00 15.26 Trades
Will Young Thug be found guilty of racketeering conspiracy? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 10.06 0.00 0.00 10.06 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 7.55 0.00 0.00 7.55 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 6.18 0.00 0.00 6.18 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.03 0.97 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 4.45 0.00 0.00 4.45 Trades
Fed rate cut by November 7? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 07 2024 3.97 0.00 0.00 3.97 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 3.96 0.00 0.00 3.96 Trades
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.08 0.92 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 0.94 0.00 0.00 0.94 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.08 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 0.79 0.00 0.00 0.79 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1.08 0.00 0.00 -1.08 Trades
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -6.22 0.00 0.00 -6.22 Trades
Russian nuke in space in 2024? Yes No 0.00 42.07 0.00% 0.5200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -21.88 0.00 0.00 -21.88 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 1,088.13 0.00 0.00% 0.4679 0.42 0.58 454.31 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 -509.09 0.00 0.00 -54.77 Trades
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -75.21 0.00 0.00 -75.21 Trades
Will Circle IPO by June? Yes No 0.00 248.59 0.00% 0.9397 0.50 0.50 0.00 124.30 Sun Jun 30 2024 -233.61 0.00 0.00 -109.31 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? Yes No 0.00 216.59 0.00% 0.9636 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -208.71 0.00 0.00 -208.71 Trades
Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? Yes No 0.00 352.52 0.00% 0.9580 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -337.71 0.00 0.00 -337.71 Trades
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? Yes No 463.80 0.00 0.00% 0.7810 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -362.22 0.00 0.00 -362.22 Trades
Will Kraken IPO by June? Yes No 0.00 507.42 0.00% 0.9101 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -461.78 0.00 0.00 -461.78 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 1,504.86 0.00 0.00 1,504.86 Trades
India Election: Modi reelected? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 1,436.74 0.00 0.00 1,436.74 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 1,343.70 0.00 0.00 1,343.70 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia agree to sell oil to China in Yuan in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 1,063.79 0.00 0.00 1,063.79 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 720.55 0.00 0.00 720.55 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 714.00 0.00 0.00 714.00 Trades
Hunter Biden arrested before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 670.28 0.00 0.00 670.28 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 652.55 0.00 0.00 652.55 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 622.80 0.00 0.00 622.80 Trades
Will Grayscale win v. SEC? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 569.70 0.00 0.00 569.70 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 508.22 0.00 0.00 508.22 Trades
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 15 2023 463.71 0.00 0.00 463.71 Trades
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 14 2023 377.33 0.00 0.00 377.33 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 360.62 0.00 0.00 360.62 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 313.62 0.00 0.00 313.62 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 291.10 0.00 0.00 291.10 Trades
Do Kwon extradited before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 268.99 0.00 0.00 268.99 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia boost oil production in Q4? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 17 2024 247.99 0.00 0.00 247.99 Trades
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 246.97 0.00 0.00 246.97 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 223.49 0.00 0.00 223.49 Trades
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 29 2023 212.12 0.00 0.00 212.12 Trades
Will Inter Miami make playoffs? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 207.00 0.00 0.00 207.00 Trades
Yulia Navalnaya arrested in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 204.35 0.00 0.00 204.35 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 184.46 0.00 0.00 184.46 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 174.94 0.00 0.00 174.94 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 1,020.87 0.00% -0.1528 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 156.03 0.00 0.00 156.03 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 150.55 0.00 0.00 150.56 Trades
Will Do Kwon be extradited to the United States or South Korea? United States South Korea 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 144.68 0.00 0.00 144.68 Trades
Arkham token above $1 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 138.60 0.00 0.00 138.60 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Merkel in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 455.44 0.00 0.00% -0.2939 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 133.84 0.00 0.00 133.84 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 130.79 0.00 0.00 130.80 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 128.24 0.00 0.00 128.24 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 128.04 0.00 0.00 128.04 Trades
North Korea nuke by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Mar 31 2024 126.78 0.00 0.00 126.78 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 122.11 0.00 0.00 122.11 Trades
Will Friend Tech fall off? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 17 2023 120.00 0.00 0.00 120.00 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 114.15 0.00 0.00 114.15 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 110.87 0.00 0.00 110.87 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 98.79 0.00 0.00 98.79 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 233.27 0.00% 0.6335 0.00 1.00 0.00 233.27 Thu Nov 30 2023 -147.78 0.00 0.00 85.49 Trades
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 85.32 0.00 0.00 85.32 Trades
Will PiS get over 36% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 79.80 0.00 0.00 79.80 Trades
Will Haley beat DeSantis in Iowa? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 79.68 0.00 0.00 79.68 Trades
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 73.55 0.00 0.00 73.55 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 68.90 0.00 0.00 68.90 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 68.86 0.00 0.00 68.86 Trades
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 65.76 0.00 0.00 65.76 Trades
Fed rate cut by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 56.55 0.00 0.00 56.55 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 56.37 0.00 0.00 56.38 Trades
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 48.26 0.00 0.00 48.26 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 47.40 0.00 0.00 47.40 Trades
Are the Peruvian Aliens real? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Sep 30 2023 46.18 0.00 0.00 46.19 Trades
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Nov 30 2023 46.16 0.00 0.00 46.16 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 44.60 0.00 0.00 44.60 Trades
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 44.12 0.00 0.00 44.12 Trades
Will Traoré remain President of Burkina Faso through August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 44.00 0.00 0.00 44.00 Trades
Will Ben Armstrong regain control of BitBoy Crypto by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 43.44 0.00 0.00 43.45 Trades
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 39.49 0.00 0.00 39.49 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 34.55 0.00 0.00 34.55 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 34.40 0.00 0.00 34.40 Trades
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 33.51 0.00 0.00 33.51 Trades
$BONK all time high before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 32.42 0.00 0.00 32.42 Trades
Will US attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 30.71 0.00 0.00 30.71 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 28.08 0.00 0.00 28.09 Trades
Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 26.61 0.00 0.00 26.61 Trades
Will a candidate say something racist at the next Republican debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Oct 04 2023 25.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 24.82 0.00 0.00 24.82 Trades
Will SAG end strike by Sep 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Sep 30 2023 24.79 0.00 0.00 24.80 Trades
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 23.07 0.00 0.00 23.07 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 22.89 0.00 0.00 22.89 Trades
Military intervention in Niger by October 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 21.34 0.00 0.00 21.34 Trades
Will Putin be reelected? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 07 2024 20.22 0.00 0.00 20.22 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 19.59 0.00 0.00 19.59 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 18.81 0.00 0.00 18.82 Trades
Will Qatar buy Bitcoin by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 18.38 0.00 0.00 18.38 Trades
Will Trudeau announce resignation by EoY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 17.17 0.00 0.00 17.18 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.80 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 17.01 0.00 0.00 17.01 Trades
Fed rate cut by June 12? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 12 2024 16.63 0.00 0.00 16.63 Trades
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.9171 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -183.42 0.00 0.00 16.58 Trades
Another African coup by October 31? Yes No 0.00 25.01 0.00% 0.3407 0.00 1.00 0.00 25.01 Tue Oct 31 2023 -8.52 0.00 0.00 16.49 Trades
Will Russia invade Alaska before March? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Feb 29 2024 15.77 0.00 0.00 15.78 Trades
Will the UAW strike end by October 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 15.75 0.00 0.00 15.75 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Biden 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Feb 07 2024 15.50 0.00 0.00 15.51 Trades
Will Messi win Ballon d'Or? Yes No 0.00 203.99 0.00% -0.0754 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 15.37 0.00 0.00 15.37 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 15.12 0.00 0.00 15.13 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 15.08 0.00 0.00 15.08 Trades
Will DOJ charge Binance by EoY? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 15.01 0.00 0.00 15.02 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 13.81 0.00 0.00 13.81 Trades
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? Biden Haley 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Nov 05 2024 13.56 0.00 0.00 13.56 Trades
Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 10 2024 13.54 0.00 0.00 13.54 Trades
Will Argentina presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 23 2023 13.00 0.00 0.00 13.00 Trades
Will VVD win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 12.60 0.00 0.00 12.60 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 12.58 0.00 0.00 12.58 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 12.18 0.00 0.00 12.18 Trades
Biden to drop out before April? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Mar 31 2024 11.86 0.00 0.00 11.87 Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? Yes No 12.37 0.00 0.00% 0.0942 1.00 0.00 12.37 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1.16 0.00 0.00 11.20 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 15.57 0.00% 0.2866 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.57 Thu Nov 30 2023 -4.46 0.00 0.00 11.10 Trades
Will Tucker interview Putin? Yes No 72.42 0.00 0.00% -0.1523 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 11.03 0.00 0.00 11.03 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Jan 01 2023 10.72 0.00 0.00 10.73 Trades
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 16 2023 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 9.67 0.00 0.00 9.67 Trades
Will the price of wheat close above $1050 on April 29, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 9.59 0.00 0.00 9.59 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 9.43 0.00 0.00 9.43 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Jun 30 2024 8.98 0.00 0.00 8.98 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 8.18 0.00 0.00 8.18 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 29 2023 8.17 0.00 0.00 8.17 Trades
Arévalo inaugurated in Guatemala in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 7.75 0.00 0.00 7.75 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 12? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri Aug 12 2022 7.27 0.00 0.00 7.27 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 7.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 7.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 Trades
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 6.93 0.00 0.00 6.93 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 6.92 0.00 0.00 6.92 Trades
Will NSC win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 85.51 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 1.00 0.00 85.51 Wed Nov 22 2023 -78.67 0.00 0.00 6.84 Trades
Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 6.67 0.00 0.00 6.68 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,900 on August 19? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Aug 19 2022 6.46 0.00 0.00 6.47 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 6.03 0.00 0.00 6.03 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 6.00 0.00 0.00 6.00 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 6.00 0.00 0.00 6.00 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 5.73 0.00 0.00 5.73 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 5.66 0.00 0.00 5.66 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Sep 30 2022 5.27 0.00 0.00 5.28 Trades
Will Australia's Indigenous Voice referendum pass? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 16 2023 5.20 0.00 0.00 5.20 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Mon Apr 01 2024 5.05 0.00 0.00 5.06 Trades
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 25 2023 5.03 0.00 0.00 5.03 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2000 again before the merge? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Jan 01 2023 4.84 0.00 0.00 4.84 Trades
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 5.92 0.00% 0.1950 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.92 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1.15 0.00 0.00 4.76 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Jan 01 2023 3.43 0.00 0.00 3.43 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February? Yes No 0.00 0.05 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.05 Wed Jan 31 2024 3.09 0.00 0.00 3.14 Trades
Will the FDV of OpenSea's token 1 week after launch be above Blur's FDV? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 2.92 0.00 0.00 2.92 Trades
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 2.79 0.00 0.00 2.79 Trades
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.29 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.29 Sun Dec 31 2023 2.32 0.00 0.00 2.61 Trades
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 2.50 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 2.40 0.00 0.00 2.40 Trades
Will Sergio Massa win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
US bank failure in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will Remilia's stolen funds be returned this month? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 1.98 0.00 0.00 1.98 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 1.58 0.00 0.00 1.58 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Jul 31 2022 1.55 0.00 0.00 1.56 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 1.51 0.00 0.00 1.51 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 1.43 0.00 0.00 1.43 Trades
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 1.15 0.00 0.00 1.15 Trades
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 1.06 0.00 0.00 1.06 Trades
North Korea missile test by October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 0.99 0.00 0.00 0.99 Trades
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 1.37 0.00% -0.6380 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 0.88 0.00 0.00 0.88 Trades
Will OpenSea announce bankruptcy by March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 0.88 0.00 0.00 0.88 Trades
Will the FDV of OpenSea's token be above $15b 1 week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 0.83 0.00 0.00 0.83 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.60 Trades
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.58 Trades
Will US attack Iran in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 0.55 0.00 0.00 0.55 Trades
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.12 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.06 Trades
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? Yes No 1.55 0.00 0.00% 0.0360 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.06 Trades
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.06 Trades
Will Inter Miami win MLS Cup? Yes No 5.21 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 09 2023 -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.21 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.02 Sat Feb 24 2024 -0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.49 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 0.43 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 -1.75 0.00 0.00 -1.75 Trades
The Thiel Parlay Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Nov 08 2022 -2.64 0.00 0.00 -2.63 Trades
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -2.91 0.00 0.00 -2.91 Trades
Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022? Yes No 226.90 0.00 0.00% 0.0132 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -3.36 0.00 0.00 -3.36 Trades
Bitcoin new all time high by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 -3.61 0.00 0.00 -3.61 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -3.75 0.00 0.00 -3.75 Trades
Trump contempt of court by September 30? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 -4.50 0.00 0.00 -4.50 Trades
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 -4.90 0.00 0.00 -4.89 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $42.5m on its 5-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 06 2023 -5.50 0.00 0.00 -5.50 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 23? Yes No 0.00 6.35 0.00% 1.4382 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 23 2022 -9.14 3.18 0.00 -5.96 Trades
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 4.62 0.00 0.00% 2.0102 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 -9.29 0.00 0.00 -9.29 Trades
Will KO get over 31% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 -9.75 0.00 0.00 -9.75 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -9.88 0.00 0.00 -9.88 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 0.00 83.00 0.00% 0.1200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -9.96 0.00 0.00 -9.96 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2023? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
North Korea missile test by August 31? Yes No 0.00 15.73 0.00% 0.6463 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 -10.17 0.00 0.00 -10.17 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 -11.26 0.00 0.00 -11.26 Trades
Will Menendez announce resignation by EoY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -12.30 0.00 0.00 -12.30 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -12.79 0.00 0.00 -12.79 Trades
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? Yes No 202.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0710 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 -14.38 0.00 0.00 -14.38 Trades
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 -20.29 0.00 0.00 -20.29 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? Yes No 350.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0584 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -20.45 0.00 0.00 -20.45 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -20.49 0.00 0.00 -20.49 Trades
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? Yes No 0.00 150.00 0.00% 0.1427 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 18 2023 -21.40 0.00 0.00 -21.40 Trades
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday? Yes No 0.00 894.17 0.00% 0.0253 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 22 2024 -22.66 0.00 0.00 -22.66 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 -24.96 0.00 0.00 -24.96 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 133.26 0.00% 0.2411 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -32.13 0.00 0.00 -32.13 Trades
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -33.00 0.00 0.00 -33.00 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 -34.89 0.00 0.00 -34.89 Trades
Will Xi Jinping be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 465.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0808 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 -37.55 0.00 0.00 -37.55 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 -37.84 0.00 0.00 -37.84 Trades
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? Yes No 242.42 0.00 0.00% 0.1914 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 -46.40 0.00 0.00 -46.40 Trades
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $30m on its 3-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 06 2023 -54.52 0.00 0.00 -54.52 Trades
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 150.29 0.00% 0.4188 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -62.94 0.00 0.00 -62.94 Trades
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? Yu-ih Wen-je 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 -82.91 0.00 0.00 -82.91 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 -84.81 0.00 0.00 -84.81 Trades
North Korea nuke by December 31? Yes No 900.08 0.00 0.00% 0.1140 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -102.60 0.00 0.00 -102.60 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? Yes No 0.00 369.33 0.00% 0.3332 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 -123.06 0.00 0.00 -123.06 Trades
Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday? Yes No 0.00 313.13 0.00% 0.4649 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 -145.58 0.00 0.00 -145.58 Trades
Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 282.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6221 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 -175.45 0.00 0.00 -175.45 Trades
Will Canada sanction India by October 31? Yes No 372.88 0.00 0.00% 0.4967 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 -185.19 0.00 0.00 -185.19 Trades
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -216.60 0.00 0.00 -216.60 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 884.56 0.00% 0.2705 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 -239.25 0.00 0.00 -239.25 Trades
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 14 2024 -239.90 0.00 0.00 -239.90 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 -321.57 0.00 0.00 -321.57 Trades
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,252.75 0.00% 0.4557 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -570.85 0.00 0.00 -570.85 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 -931.04 0.00 0.00 -931.04 Trades
Resolved 12.45 565.81 12,910.26 3.18 0.00 13,491.69
Unresolved 454.31 124.31 -1,831.27 0.00 0.00 -1,252.65
Total 466.76 690.11 11,078.99 3.18 0.00 12,239.04