Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 1,920.49 0.00 0.00 1,920.49 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 1,758.30 0.00 0.00 1,758.30 Trades
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? Yes No 0.00 358.37 0.00% -1.5830 0.00 1.00 0.00 358.37 Tue Nov 02 2021 567.32 0.00 0.00 925.70 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 08 2022 789.83 0.00 0.00 789.83 Trades
Will Gustavo Petro win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 933.97 0.00 0.00% 0.2518 1.00 0.00 933.97 0.00 Sun May 29 2022 -235.13 1.59 0.00 700.44 Trades
Will Labor win more seats than the Liberal-Nationals in the 2022 Australian Federal Election? Yes No 2,706.24 0.00 0.00% 0.7551 1.00 0.00 2,706.24 0.00 Sat May 21 2022 -2,043.44 0.00 0.00 662.80 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 568.28 0.00 0.00 568.28 Trades
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 472.18 0.00 0.00 472.18 Trades
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 440.94 0.00 0.00 440.94 Trades
Will Basquiat’s “Versus Medici” sell for more than $50 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.93 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.93 Wed May 12 2021 424.72 0.00 0.00 425.65 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 402.11 0.00 0.00 402.11 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 24, 2022? Yes No 0.00 690.59 0.02% 0.4423 0.00 1.00 0.00 690.59 Tue May 24 2022 -305.43 0.00 0.00 385.16 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? Democrat Republican 0.70 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 377.34 0.00 0.00 377.34 Trades
Will Rodolfo Hernández win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 785.19 0.00% 0.5504 0.00 1.00 0.00 785.19 Sun May 29 2022 -432.13 1.66 0.00 354.72 Trades
Will PAW Patrol: The Movie and The Protege have a combined domestic opening weekend gross of over 17M? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 23 2021 323.05 0.00 0.00 323.05 Trades
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? Yes No 492.60 0.00 0.00% 0.3451 1.00 0.00 492.60 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -170.00 0.00 0.00 322.60 Trades
Will there be 750,000 or more total ETH burned before November 4th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 03 2021 312.93 0.00 0.00 312.93 Trades
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 1,080.16 0.00 0.00% 0.7551 1.00 0.00 1,080.16 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 -815.60 6.44 0.00 271.00 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 262.56 0.04 0.00 262.60 Trades
Will OpenTable’s “Seated diners from online, phone, and walk-in reservations” data point for the United States exceed its 2019 baseline by 7% or more by November 1, 2021? Yes No 240.51 0.00 0.00% -0.0875 1.00 0.00 240.51 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 21.05 0.00 0.00 261.56 Trades
Will Keith Haring’s “Untitled” sell for more than $6 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 260.42 0.00 0.00 260.42 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of CryptoPunks be on September 21, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.46 0.54 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 21 2021 247.71 0.00 0.00 247.71 Trades
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $2 on its 1st day of trading? Yes No 0.00 48.57 0.00% -3.9819 0.00 1.00 0.00 48.57 Sun Jan 01 2023 193.39 0.00 0.00 241.96 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 513.45 0.00 0.00% 0.5327 1.00 0.00 513.45 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 -273.52 0.00 0.00 239.92 Trades
Will 246 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 224.72 0.00 0.00 224.72 Trades
Will the Air Quality Index in Los Angeles be 65 or higher on November 18th? Yes No 1,850.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8791 1.00 0.00 1,850.00 0.00 Fri Nov 19 2021 -1,626.27 0.00 0.00 223.73 Trades
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 213.44 0.00 0.00 213.44 Trades
Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 452.49 0.00 0.00% 0.5295 1.00 0.00 452.49 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 -239.60 0.00 0.00 212.89 Trades
Will total value locked in DeFi be $105 billion or higher on December 7th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 07 2021 210.94 0.00 0.00 210.94 Trades
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? Yes No 0.00 692.48 0.00% 0.6964 0.00 1.00 0.00 692.48 Fri Dec 31 2021 -482.25 0.01 0.00 210.24 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 473.38 0.00 0.00% 0.5619 1.00 0.00 473.38 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -266.00 0.00 0.00 207.38 Trades
Tails Never Fails Parlay Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 08 2023 203.03 0.00 0.00 203.03 Trades
Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 201.01 0.00 0.00 201.01 Trades
Will Mehmet Oz win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 400.32 0.00 0.00% 0.5004 1.00 0.00 400.32 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 -200.32 0.00 0.00 200.00 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 0.00 414.94 0.00% -0.4818 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 199.93 0.00 0.00 199.93 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 18 2021 198.64 0.00 0.00 198.64 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 1.0% from February to March 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 12 2022 196.58 0.00 0.00 196.58 Trades
Will there be 850,000 or more total ETH burned before November 10th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 207.98 0.00% 0.0618 0.00 1.00 0.00 207.98 Wed Nov 10 2021 -12.84 0.00 0.00 195.14 Trades
Will “meta” be included in Facebook’s new name? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 31 2021 192.48 0.00 0.00 192.48 Trades
Will Poland or the United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on Christmas Eve? Poland United Kingdom 0.00 92.40 0.00% -1.0736 0.00 1.00 0.00 92.40 Sat Dec 25 2021 99.19 0.00 0.00 191.59 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 08 2022 190.46 0.00 0.00 190.46 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of Blitmaps be on September 21, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 21 2021 189.38 0.00 0.00 189.38 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? Yes No 0.02 0.00 4.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 10 2021 189.30 0.00 0.00 189.30 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022? Yes No 430.93 0.00 0.00% 0.5634 1.00 0.00 430.93 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 -242.77 0.00 0.00 188.16 Trades
Will Piet Mondrian’s “Composition: No. II” sell for more than $30 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 185.01 0.00 0.00 185.01 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 527.24 0.00% 0.6529 0.00 1.00 0.00 527.24 Wed Jun 15 2022 -344.22 0.00 0.00 183.01 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 414 ppm on November 13, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2.65 0.00% -68.8561 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 13 2021 182.40 0.00 0.00 182.40 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 0.00 680.71 0.00% 0.7345 0.00 1.00 0.00 680.71 Tue Dec 06 2022 -500.00 0.00 0.00 180.71 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31? Yes No 0.00 926.04 0.00% 0.8145 0.00 1.00 0.00 926.04 Sat Jan 07 2023 -754.25 0.00 0.00 171.79 Trades
Will Donda 2 be available for download on stemplayer.com on 2/22/22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 171.14 0.00 0.00 171.14 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 120 ETH on October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 169.65 0.00 0.00 169.65 Trades
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 160.06 0.00 0.00 160.06 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of Chain Runners be on December 2? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 02 2021 159.00 0.00 0.00 159.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Sep 21 2022 155.58 0.00 0.00 155.59 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 344.10 0.00% 0.5531 0.00 1.00 0.00 344.10 Sun May 01 2022 -190.31 0.00 0.00 153.79 Trades
Will 248 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 668.55 0.00% 0.7775 0.00 1.00 0.00 668.55 Sat Jan 01 2022 -519.81 0.00 0.00 148.74 Trades
Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 139.47 0.00 0.00 139.47 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the UK be greater than 44,000 on November 8? Yes No 0.00 0.00 7.69% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 12 2021 137.58 0.00 0.00 137.58 Trades
Will Kathy Barnette win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 319.20 0.01% 0.5714 0.00 1.00 0.00 319.20 Tue May 17 2022 -182.39 0.00 0.00 136.80 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 24 2021 133.50 0.00 0.00 133.50 Trades
Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? Yes No 251.98 0.00 0.00% 0.4718 1.00 0.00 251.98 0.00 Sat Nov 27 2021 -118.88 0.00 0.00 133.10 Trades
Will Pablo Picasso’s “Nu couché à la libellule” sell for more than HK$68M at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 131.45 0.00 0.00 131.45 Trades
Will ‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross $200 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 261.21 0.00% 0.5011 0.00 1.00 0.00 261.21 Mon May 09 2022 -130.91 0.00 0.00 130.31 Trades
Will 227.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? Yes No 0.00 421.59 0.00% 0.6909 0.00 1.00 0.00 421.59 Mon Nov 15 2021 -291.29 0.00 0.00 130.30 Trades
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? Yes No 94.34 0.00 0.00% -0.3812 1.00 0.00 94.34 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 35.96 0.00 0.00 130.30 Trades
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 237.03 0.00% 0.4618 0.00 1.00 0.00 237.03 Wed Jun 01 2022 -109.46 0.00 0.00 127.57 Trades
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? Yes No 0.00 37.03 0.00% -2.3938 0.00 1.00 0.00 37.03 88.64 0.08 0.00 125.75 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,095.14 0.00% 0.8874 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,095.14 Thu Jun 30 2022 -971.84 0.00 0.00 123.30 Trades
Will Vice President Harris cast another tie-breaking vote by July 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 120.37 0.00 0.00 120.37 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Sisolak) or Republican (Lombardo) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.00 472.07 0.00% 0.7497 0.00 1.00 0.00 472.07 Tue Nov 15 2022 -353.90 0.00 0.00 118.18 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 19 2021 117.60 0.00 0.00 117.60 Trades
Will Eric Greitens win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 252.79 0.00% 0.5729 0.00 1.00 0.00 252.79 Tue Aug 02 2022 -144.81 0.00 0.00 107.97 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from June to July 2022? Yes No 0.00 77.11 0.00% -0.3638 0.00 1.00 0.00 77.11 Wed Aug 10 2022 28.05 0.00 0.00 105.15 Trades
Will October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 104.18 0.18 0.00 104.36 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from June to July 2022? Yes No 0.00 43.12 0.00% -1.3782 0.00 1.00 0.00 43.12 Wed Aug 10 2022 59.42 0.00 0.00 102.54 Trades
Will there be over 220,000 encounters at the US-Mexico border in August 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 102.19 0.00 0.00 102.19 Trades
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 101.31 0.00 0.00 101.31 Trades
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? Yes No 291.43 0.00 0.00% 0.6537 1.00 0.00 291.43 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 -190.50 0.00 0.00 100.94 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31? Yes No 15.10 0.00 0.00% -5.6060 1.00 0.00 15.10 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 84.68 0.00 0.00 99.78 Trades
Will total sales exceed $20M for the Cryptopunks auction at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 11 2021 99.49 0.00 0.00 99.49 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 98.75 0.00 0.00 98.75 Trades
Will OpenSea have more than $4.5 billion in volume in February 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 97.94 0.00 0.00 97.94 Trades
Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 94.89 0.00 0.00 94.89 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 295.85 0.00 0.00% 0.6801 1.00 0.00 295.85 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 -201.21 0.00 0.00 94.64 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross between $120 million and $160 million on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 92.30 0.00 0.00 92.30 Trades
Will Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) flip CryptoPunks by January 10, 2022? Yes No 381.63 0.00 0.00% 0.7589 1.00 0.00 381.63 0.00 Mon Jan 10 2022 -289.60 0.00 0.00 92.03 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 85 ETH on December 16, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 16 2021 91.02 0.00 0.00 91.02 Trades
Will Marc Chagall’s “Les trois bouquets” sell for more than $1 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 14 2021 90.39 0.00 0.00 90.39 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 89.40 0.00 0.00 89.40 Trades
Will F9 gross more than $62M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 29 2021 85.25 0.00 0.00 85.25 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from April to May 2022? Yes No 192.01 0.00 0.00% 0.5575 1.00 0.00 192.01 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 -107.04 0.00 0.00 84.97 Trades
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 153.15 2.63% 0.4505 0.00 1.00 0.00 153.15 Wed Sep 01 2021 -68.99 0.00 0.00 84.16 Trades
SBF reduced sentence because autism? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 28 2024 83.33 0.00 0.00 83.33 Trades
Will $UST be above $0.10 on May 17, 2022? Yes No 0.18 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 82.56 0.00 0.00 82.56 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by Noon, November 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 80.93 0.00 0.00 80.93 Trades
Will the floor price of Moonbirds be 30 ETH or more on May 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 53.98 0.00% -0.4778 0.00 1.00 0.00 53.98 Sun May 15 2022 25.79 0.00 0.00 79.77 Trades
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in conterminous U.S. by November 29th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 78.66 0.00 0.00 78.66 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 310K for the week ending on September 11? Yes No 26.83 0.00 0.00% -1.8896 1.00 0.00 26.83 0.00 Thu Sep 16 2021 50.70 0.00 0.00 77.53 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 16 2021 76.53 0.00 0.00 76.53 Trades
Will the Boeing CST-100 Starliner Spacecraft successfully dock with the ISS before August 6? Yes No 0.00 0.40 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.40 Fri Aug 06 2021 75.83 0.00 0.00 76.23 Trades
Will $DOGE be available to trade on Coinbase by July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.85% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 68.17 4.82 0.00 72.99 Trades
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.00 171.00 0.00% 0.5748 0.00 1.00 0.00 171.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -98.29 0.00 0.00 72.71 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from August to September 2022? Yes No 105.34 0.00 0.00% 0.3133 1.00 0.00 105.34 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 -33.00 0.00 0.00 72.34 Trades
Red Parlay Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 08 2023 71.95 0.00 0.00 71.95 Trades
Will van Gogh’s “Le pont de Trinquetaille” sell for more than $35 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 71.04 0.00 0.00 71.04 Trades
Will more than 2.05 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on Friday, October 22nd? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 23 2021 69.50 0.00 0.00 69.50 Trades
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 68.77 0.00 0.00 68.77 Trades
Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 68.09 0.56 0.00 68.65 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416.2 ppm on August 3, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 9.09% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 04 2021 67.95 0.00 0.00 67.95 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? Yes No 0.00 289.58 0.00% 0.7666 0.00 1.00 0.00 289.58 Wed Aug 31 2022 -222.00 0.00 0.00 67.58 Trades
Will The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It gross more than $25M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 08 2021 67.44 0.00 0.00 67.44 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 02 2021 67.23 0.00 0.00 67.23 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on May 20, 2022? Yes No 108.53 0.00 0.00% 0.3853 1.00 0.00 108.53 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 -41.82 0.00 0.00 66.71 Trades
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar? Cisneros Cuellar 0.00 134.24 0.00% 0.5133 0.00 1.00 0.00 134.24 Tue May 24 2022 -68.91 0.00 0.00 65.34 Trades
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 62.37 0.00 0.00 62.37 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of Loot (for Adventurers) be on September 21, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.12 0.88 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 21 2021 61.91 0.00 0.00 61.91 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on June 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 10 2021 61.62 0.00 0.00 61.62 Trades
Will Cy Twombly’s “Untitled (Rome)” sell for more than $45 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 61.38 0.00 0.00 61.38 Trades
Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 61.32 0.00 0.00 61.32 Trades
Will the National Anthem at the Superbowl LVI be longer than 100 seconds? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 60.90 0.00 0.00 60.90 Trades
Will Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be listed for trading on Coinbase by November 18th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 60.38 0.00 0.00 60.38 Trades
Will Roy Lichtenstein’s “Interior: Perfect Pitcher” sell for more than $30 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 60.12 0.00 0.00 60.12 Trades
Will PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS be Top 3 in Peak Players on Steam on November 22, 5PM ET? Yes No 226.60 0.00 16.67% 0.7370 1.00 0.00 226.60 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 -167.01 0.00 0.00 59.60 Trades
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.4% or more in December? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 07 2022 59.57 0.00 0.00 59.57 Trades
Will Germany or Poland report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 18? Germany Poland 149.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6073 1.00 0.00 149.00 0.00 Fri Nov 19 2021 -90.49 0.00 0.00 58.51 Trades
Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? Yes No 0.00 577.86 0.01% 0.8988 0.00 1.00 0.00 577.86 Sun Jul 31 2022 -519.37 0.00 0.00 58.50 Trades
Will 'The Matrix Resurrections' get a 75% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 295.53 0.00% 0.8059 0.00 1.00 0.00 295.53 Sat Dec 25 2021 -238.18 0.00 0.00 57.35 Trades
Will Italy have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, France, and Spain on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 56.98 0.00 0.00 56.98 Trades
Will inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 56.92 0.00 0.00 56.92 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 02 2021 51.48 4.08 0.00 55.57 Trades
Will USD Coin (USDC) have a market cap of $52 billion or higher on February 8, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 09 2022 54.95 0.00 0.00 54.95 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on May 19, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 19 2021 54.58 0.00 0.00 54.58 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 50 ETH on December 22, 2021? Yes No 90.69 0.00 0.00% 0.4410 1.00 0.00 90.69 0.00 Wed Dec 22 2021 -40.00 0.00 0.00 50.69 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.9% from May to June 2022? Yes No 0.00 4.47 0.00% -8.4501 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 37.80 11.84 0.00 49.64 Trades
Will @DonaldJTrumpJr post more than 70 new tweets by November 8th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 08 2021 48.83 0.00 0.00 48.83 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of CryptoPunks be on October 1, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.74 0.26 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 48.72 0.00 0.00 48.72 Trades
Will more than 3.45 million people travel via New York City subway on any day before December 1? Yes No 22.53 0.00 0.00% -2.1120 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 47.59 0.00 0.00 47.59 Trades
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 46.39 0.56 0.00 46.95 Trades
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 46.29 0.00 0.00 46.29 Trades
Will Jeff Koons' “Pancakes” sell for more than $1.5 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 45.78 0.00 0.00 45.78 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 06 2021 45.10 0.00 0.00 45.10 Trades
Will 'Top Gun: Maverick' get a 95% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 92.17 0.00 0.00% 0.5425 1.00 0.00 92.17 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 -50.00 0.00 0.00 42.17 Trades
Will Donald Trump mention the word “rigged” on his communications platform by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 41.53 0.00 0.00 41.53 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen or Hikaru Nakamura win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? Carlsen Nakamura 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 40.72 0.00 0.00 40.72 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift have a higher Google Trends 7-day rank in the US on March 3? Kim Kardashian Taylor Swift 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 40.10 0.00 0.00 40.10 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 42% or higher on July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 9.09% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 16 2021 39.24 0.00 0.00 39.24 Trades
Will the price of Wolf Game Wool ($WOOL) be above 10 cents at noon on December 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 38.79 0.00 0.00 38.79 Trades
Will the Wormhole hacker return 69% or more of the exploited funds by February 9th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 09 2022 38.62 0.00 0.00 38.62 Trades
Will there be more than 217 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.67% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 38.40 0.00 0.00 38.40 Trades
Will the Nets or the Bucks win their season opener? Nets Bucks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 19 2021 38.11 0.00 0.00 38.11 Trades
Will the Omicron variant be marked as a Variant Of High Consequence by the CDC before 2022? Yes No 0.00 328.38 0.00% 0.8891 0.00 1.00 0.00 328.38 Sat Jan 01 2022 -291.97 0.21 0.00 36.61 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? Yes No 5.91 0.00 0.00% -5.1470 1.00 0.00 5.91 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 30.43 0.00 0.00 36.34 Trades
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? Yes No 400.25 0.00 0.00% 0.9140 1.00 0.00 400.25 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 -365.84 1.62 0.00 36.03 Trades
Will the price of $BCH (Bitcoin Cash) or $BNB (Binance Coin) be higher on November 25th? Bitcoin Cash Binance Coin 0.00 95.39 0.00% 0.6290 0.00 1.00 0.00 95.39 Thu Nov 25 2021 -60.00 0.00 0.00 35.39 Trades
GRAMMYs 2022: Will "Sour" by Olivia Rodrigo win Album of the Year? Yes No 0.00 1.45 0.00% -22.7328 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.45 Sun May 01 2022 33.04 0.00 0.00 34.49 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 33.32 0.00 0.00 33.32 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 52 ETH on May 26? Yes No 0.00 62.67 0.00% 0.4787 0.00 1.00 0.00 62.67 Thu May 26 2022 -30.00 0.00 0.00 32.67 Trades
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 05 2021 32.60 0.00 0.00 32.60 Trades
Will ‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross $180 million or less on its opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 182.68 0.00% 0.8221 0.00 1.00 0.00 182.68 Mon May 09 2022 -150.17 0.00 0.00 32.51 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 32.23 0.00 0.00 32.23 Trades
Will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating on January 21 be 41.2% or less? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 22 2022 32.15 0.00 0.00 32.15 Trades
Will the price of wheat close above $1070 on May 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 10.08 0.01% -3.1899 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 32.14 0.00 0.00 32.14 Trades
Will UST (Terra USD) fall below 90 cents by July 30, 2022? Yes No 51.47 0.00 0.00% 0.3886 1.00 0.00 51.47 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 -20.00 0.00 0.00 31.47 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 1,116.13 0.00 0.00% 0.9727 1.00 0.00 1,116.13 0.00 Wed Jun 22 2022 -1,085.67 0.00 0.00 30.47 Trades
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 30.42 0.00 0.00 30.42 Trades
Will Alireza Firouzja or Anish Giri win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? Firouzja Giri 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 29.96 0.00 0.00 29.96 Trades
Will Lindsey Graham vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 29.89 0.00 0.00 29.89 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 658.07 0.00% 0.9561 0.00 1.00 0.00 658.07 Thu Sep 01 2022 -629.18 0.84 0.00 29.73 Trades
Will the NYC Democratic mayoral first round leader also win the primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 29.60 0.00 0.00 29.60 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? Yes No 95.62 0.00 0.00% -0.3091 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 29.56 0.00 0.00 29.56 Trades
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 29.33 0.00 0.00 29.33 Trades
Will OpenSea have more than $6.5 billion in volume in January 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 02 2022 28.44 0.00 0.00 28.44 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 37.0% or higher on July 28? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 29 2022 26.97 0.00 0.00 26.97 Trades
Will Joe Biden’s disapproval rating be 48% or higher on or before September 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 8.33% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 16 2021 26.39 0.00 0.00 26.39 Trades
Will 100 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by May 1? Yes No 12.72 0.00 0.00% -1.0522 1.00 0.00 12.72 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 13.38 0.00 0.00 26.10 Trades
Will the floor price of Moonbirds be 15 ETH or more on April 27? Yes No 45.71 0.00 0.00% 0.4375 1.00 0.00 45.71 0.00 Wed Apr 27 2022 -20.00 0.00 0.00 25.71 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 41.5% or higher on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 07 2022 25.06 0.00 0.00 25.06 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 25.02 0.00 0.00 25.02 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 24.96 0.00 0.00 24.96 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by March 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 2.44% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 24.92 0.00 0.00 24.92 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be above 75,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 24.57 0.00 0.00 24.57 Trades
Will the floor price of Goblintowns be above 1 ETH on June 3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 03 2022 24.42 0.00 0.00 24.42 Trades
Will Psychonauts 2 get a better or equal 'Metascore' to Psychonauts 1 (87/100) 1 week after release? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 24.36 0.00 0.00 24.36 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on Friday, October 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 16 2021 24.25 0.00 0.00 24.25 Trades
Will Alito deliver the final majority opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization? Yes No 6.02 0.00 0.01% -2.9920 1.00 0.00 6.02 0.00 Wed Aug 03 2022 18.00 0.00 0.00 24.02 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 47.12 0.00 0.00% 0.4924 1.00 0.00 47.12 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -23.20 0.00 0.00 23.92 Trades
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? Yes No 0.00 260.57 0.00% 0.9091 0.00 1.00 0.00 260.57 Sun Aug 01 2021 -236.88 0.00 0.00 23.69 Trades
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.57% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 17 2021 23.68 0.00 0.00 23.68 Trades
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? Yes No 56.61 0.00 0.00% 0.5829 1.00 0.00 56.61 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -33.00 0.00 0.00 23.61 Trades
Will Jalen Brunson join the Knicks for the 2022-23 NBA season? Yes No 328.93 0.00 0.00% 0.9285 1.00 0.00 328.93 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -305.41 0.00 0.00 23.51 Trades
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 32M global streams for the week ending on February 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 18 2022 23.26 0.00 0.00 23.26 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 75 ETH on November 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 22.74 0.00 0.00 22.74 Trades
Will MetaMask airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 297.00 0.00% 0.9260 0.00 1.00 0.00 297.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 -275.03 0.00 0.00 21.97 Trades
Will the City of Ottawa cease its state of emergency by March 2, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 21.66 0.00 0.00 21.66 Trades
Will $UST be above $0.50 on May 17, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue May 17 2022 21.55 0.00 0.00 21.57 Trades
Will Madison Cawthorn win the Republican nomination for the NC-11 House election? Yes No 0.00 8.08 0.00% -1.6605 0.00 1.00 0.00 8.08 Tue May 17 2022 13.41 0.00 0.00 21.49 Trades
NBA: Will the Pacers beat the Pelicans by more than 7.5 points in their November 20th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 20 2021 21.39 0.00 0.00 21.39 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on February 20: Bernard Arnault or Jeff Bezos? Bernard Arnault Jeff Bezos 0.00 0.00 0.47% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 20 2022 21.31 0.00 0.00 21.31 Trades
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 21.03 0.00 0.00 21.03 Trades
Will France or the USA report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 30? France USA 80.36 0.00 0.00% 0.7411 1.00 0.00 80.36 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 -59.56 0.00 0.00 20.81 Trades
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 15 2021 20.79 0.00 0.00 20.79 Trades
Will 'The Batman' get 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.67% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 20.55 0.00 0.00 20.55 Trades
Will a second union vote be approved by the NLRB at the Bessemer Amazon Warehouse before October 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 14 2021 20.34 0.00 0.00 20.34 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 135 ETH on May 5? Yes No 0.00 33.99 0.00% 0.4119 0.00 1.00 0.00 33.99 Thu May 05 2022 -14.00 0.00 0.00 19.99 Trades
Will the AAA average US gas price still be above $4 on March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 19.75 0.00 0.00 19.75 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by August 31? Yes No 0.00 52.26 0.00% 0.6314 0.00 1.00 0.00 52.26 Wed Aug 31 2022 -33.00 0.00 0.00 19.26 Trades
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? 40,999 or fewer
41,000-65,999
66,000-99,999
100,000 or more
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sat May 15 2021 19.15 0.00 0.00 19.15 Trades
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 29.0M global streams for the week ending on March 10, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 11 2022 19.01 0.00 0.00 19.01 Trades
Will Jane Timken win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 455.26 0.00% 0.9589 0.00 1.00 0.00 455.26 Tue May 03 2022 -436.56 0.00 0.00 18.70 Trades
Will the Ukrainian Government receive more than $25M in Crypto donations by March 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 18.55 0.00 0.00 18.55 Trades
Will daily volume on Opensea drop below $20M by June 15? Yes No 84.25 0.00 0.00% 0.7833 1.00 0.00 84.25 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 -66.00 0.00 0.00 18.25 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 419 ppm on June 16, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 16 2021 18.22 0.03 0.00 18.25 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 260K for the week ending on November 27? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 02 2021 18.10 0.00 0.00 18.10 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be 111 ETH or more on April 23? Yes No 36.05 0.00 0.00% 0.4993 1.00 0.00 36.05 0.00 Sat Apr 23 2022 -18.00 0.00 0.00 18.05 Trades
Will the USA or European Union report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 16? USA European Union 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 17 2021 18.01 0.00 0.00 18.01 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 417 ppm on January 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 10 2022 17.60 0.00 0.00 17.60 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416 ppm on Christmas Eve? Yes No 0.00 334.80 0.00% -0.0507 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 16.96 0.00 0.00 16.96 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 16.64 0.00 0.00 16.64 Trades
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 76.59 0.00 0.00% 0.7834 1.00 0.00 76.59 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -60.00 0.00 0.00 16.59 Trades
Will Donovan Mitchell get traded to the Knicks? Yes No 0.00 1,260.77 0.00% 0.9869 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,260.77 Sat Dec 31 2022 -1,244.28 0.00 0.00 16.49 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 15.86 0.00 0.00 15.86 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before December 8th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 180.00 0.00% 0.9130 0.00 1.00 0.00 180.00 Tue Dec 07 2021 -164.34 0.00 0.00 15.65 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen or Daniil Dubov win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? Carlsen Dubov 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 15.49 0.00 0.00 15.49 Trades
Will $ENS (Ethereum Name Service) be above $50 on November 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 25 2021 15.28 0.00 0.00 15.28 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.00 93.52 0.03% 0.8370 0.00 1.00 0.00 93.52 Sat Dec 31 2022 -78.28 0.00 0.00 15.24 Trades
Will Fabiano Caruana win the United States Chess Championship? Yes No 7.51 0.00 0.00% -2.0146 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 18 2021 15.14 0.00 0.00 15.14 Trades
Will 'Jackass Forever' get 80% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 07 2022 15.11 0.00 0.00 15.11 Trades
Will $UST be above $0.75 on May 17, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2.11 0.00% -6.1195 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.11 Tue May 17 2022 12.93 0.00 0.00 15.04 Trades
Which cryptocurrency will perform better in November 2021: Bitcoin or Ethereum? Bitcoin Ethereum 0.00 44.75 0.00% 0.6703 0.00 1.00 0.00 44.75 Wed Dec 01 2021 -30.00 0.00 0.00 14.75 Trades
Will Dogecoin (DOGE) price be $0.19 or more at noon on December 21, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 21 2021 14.50 0.00 0.00 14.50 Trades
How much ETH will be burned one month after EIP-1559 was implemented? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.78 0.22 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 05 2021 14.46 0.00 0.00 14.46 Trades
Will the price of wheat close above $1200 on March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 14.40 0.00 0.00 14.40 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? Yes No 7.07 0.00 0.00% -0.9451 1.00 0.00 7.07 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 6.69 0.00 0.00 13.76 Trades
Will Kyrie Irving play in an NBA game by October 31? Yes No 0.00 1,154.90 0.00% 0.9885 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,154.90 Sun Oct 31 2021 -1,141.64 0.00 0.00 13.26 Trades
Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 3.13 0.00% -3.1466 0.00 1.00 0.00 3.13 Wed Sep 01 2021 9.85 0.00 0.00 12.98 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Grizzlies by more than 7.5 points in their May 7, 8:35 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 11.00 0.00% -1.1746 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 07 2022 12.92 0.00 0.00 12.92 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 46.86 0.00% 0.7255 0.00 1.00 0.00 46.86 Tue Nov 15 2022 -34.00 0.00 0.00 12.86 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 90 ETH on June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 12.51 0.00 0.00 12.51 Trades
Who will win the Pacers v. Hornets game on October 20th? Pacers Hornets 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Oct 20 2021 12.41 0.00 0.00 12.41 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.0% or higher on May 18? Yes No 0.00 169.69 0.01% 0.9274 0.00 1.00 0.00 169.69 Thu May 19 2022 -157.37 0.00 0.00 12.31 Trades
Will there be another (1072nd) NFL Scorigami in December 2021? Yes No 0.00 35.15 0.00% 0.6524 0.00 1.00 0.00 35.15 Fri Dec 31 2021 -22.94 0.00 0.00 12.22 Trades
Will MrBeast's next Youtube video get over 50M views in its first week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 12.19 0.00 0.00 12.19 Trades
Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8: Denmark or France? Denmark France 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 12.00 0.00 0.00 12.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 52.0% or higher at the end of November? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.9780 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 -244.51 6.46 0.00 11.94 Trades
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022? Bitcoin Ethereum 51.80 0.00 0.00% 0.7722 1.00 0.00 51.80 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -40.00 0.00 0.00 11.80 Trades
Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election? Lee Jae-myung Yoon Seok-youl 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 09 2022 11.62 0.00 0.00 11.62 Trades
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the ‘21-’22 Superbowl? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 11.62 0.00 0.00 11.62 Trades
Will the US hit its highest recorded gas price per gallon according to AAA by March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 11.05 0.40 0.00 11.45 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.83 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.83 Sun Jul 31 2022 10.40 0.00 0.00 11.24 Trades
What rating will theneedledrop give Drake’s "Certified Lover Boy"? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.33 0.68 0.00 0.00 11.18 0.00 0.00 11.18 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by February 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 15 2022 11.18 0.00 0.00 11.18 Trades
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 28 2022 10.84 0.00 0.00 10.84 Trades
Will an ENS domain sell for more than 1.55m by October 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 31 2021 10.84 0.00 0.00 10.84 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by April 1st, 2022? Yes No 430.31 0.00 0.00% -0.0252 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 10.83 0.00 0.00 10.83 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,323.68 0.00% 0.9958 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,323.68 Wed Jun 01 2022 -1,318.07 5.09 0.00 10.71 Trades
Will August 2021 average global temperature be the highest August temperature on record? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 10.62 0.00 0.00 10.62 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 10.35 0.00 0.00 10.35 Trades
Will 'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 10.11 0.00 0.00 10.11 Trades
Will Vicky Hartzler win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 96.37 0.00% 0.8956 0.00 1.00 0.00 96.37 Tue Aug 02 2022 -86.31 0.00 0.00 10.06 Trades
NBA: Will the Wizards beat the Cavaliers by more than 3.5 points in their November 10th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 10 2021 10.05 0.00 0.00 10.05 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 10.04 0.00 0.00 10.04 Trades
Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Tue Feb 21 2023 -490.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will a team from North America get out of groups at the 2021 LoL Worlds? Yes No 0.00 0.00 11.11% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 06 2021 9.96 0.01 0.00 9.97 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? Yes No 0.00 70.86 0.00% -0.1406 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 9.96 0.00 0.00 9.96 Trades
Will US attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 0.00 260.00 0.00% 0.9620 0.00 1.00 0.00 260.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 -250.12 0.00 0.00 9.88 Trades
Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 46, 2021 (Nov 15 - Nov 21)? Yes No 0.00 29.10 0.00% -0.3375 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 9.82 0.00 0.00 9.82 Trades
NBA: Who will win Knicks vs. Pistons, scheduled for March 27, 3:40 PM ET? Knicks Pistons 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 9.78 0.00 0.00 9.78 Trades
Will there be more than 215 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.25% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 9.68 0.00 0.00 9.68 Trades
Will Kanye West mention Pete Davidson as "Skete" again on Instagram before March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 9.66 0.00 0.00 9.66 Trades
Will the Coldplay and BTS single 'My Universe' debut at #1 on the Billboard Global 200 chart? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 9.51 0.00 0.00 9.51 Trades
Will ‘Thor: Love and Thunder’ gross more than $145 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 424.19 0.01% 0.9776 0.00 1.00 0.00 424.19 Mon Jul 11 2022 -414.71 0.02 0.00 9.50 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 9.41 0.00 0.00 9.41 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? Yes No 0.00 445.34 0.01% 0.9789 0.00 1.00 0.00 445.34 Fri Jul 01 2022 -435.94 0.00 0.00 9.40 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 9.27 0.00 0.00 9.27 Trades
Will Osmosis suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 131.99 0.00% 0.9298 0.00 1.00 0.00 131.99 Thu Mar 31 2022 -122.73 0.00 0.00 9.26 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be over 100 ETH on February 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 9.24 0.00 0.00 9.24 Trades
Will the price of Polygon (MATIC) be above $1.75 on April 8th, 2022? Yes No 0.00 19.19 0.00% 0.5212 0.00 1.00 0.00 19.19 Fri Apr 08 2022 -10.00 0.00 0.00 9.19 Trades
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? Yes No 0.00 49.08 0.00% 0.8150 0.00 1.00 0.00 49.08 Mon Apr 01 2024 -40.00 0.00 0.00 9.08 Trades
Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? Healthcare Workers
WHO
Joe Biden
Anthony Fauci
Other
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mon Dec 13 2021 9.03 0.00 0.00 9.03 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Zelensky in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 38.96 0.00 0.00% 0.7700 1.00 0.00 38.96 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -30.00 0.00 0.00 8.96 Trades
Will ‘Elvis’ gross more than $38 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 27 2022 8.87 0.00 0.00 8.87 Trades
Will OpenSea have more than $4.25 billion in volume in January 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 02 2022 8.85 0.00 0.00 8.85 Trades
NHL: Will the Stars beat the Ducks by more than 1.5 goals in their March 29 matchup (10 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 29 2022 8.61 0.00 0.00 8.61 Trades
Will UST (Terra USD) fall below 85 cents by July 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 87.70 0.00% -0.0974 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 8.54 0.00 0.00 8.54 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 07 2021 8.40 0.00 0.00 8.40 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 360K for the week ending on July 17? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 8.39 0.00 0.00 8.39 Trades
Will Pablo Picasso's “Homme à la pipe” (Lot 58C) sell for more than $20m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 74.37 0.00% 0.8874 0.00 1.00 0.00 74.37 Thu Nov 11 2021 -66.00 0.00 0.00 8.37 Trades
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.9730 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 -291.88 0.13 0.00 8.24 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? Democrat Republican 138.18 0.00 0.00% 0.9408 1.00 0.00 138.18 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -130.00 0.00 0.00 8.18 Trades
Will Pablo Picasso’s “Femme dans un fauteuil” sell for more than $20 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 8.10 0.00 0.00 8.10 Trades
Will 'Eternals' get 90% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 08 2021 8.02 0.00 0.00 8.02 Trades
WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 -92.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 Trades
Will OpenSea airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 181.95 0.00% 0.9560 0.00 1.00 0.00 181.95 Thu Mar 31 2022 -173.95 0.00 0.00 8.00 Trades
Will “The Suicide Squad” gross more than $37.5M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.16 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.16 Tue Aug 10 2021 7.68 0.00 0.00 7.84 Trades
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 806.52 0.00% 0.9904 0.00 1.00 0.00 806.52 Wed Jun 01 2022 -798.81 0.00 0.00 7.72 Trades
Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 7.71 0.00 0.00 7.71 Trades
Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 18 2021 7.71 0.00 0.00 7.71 Trades
Will ‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ gross more than $220 million domestically in its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 390.87 0.00% 0.9808 0.00 1.00 0.00 390.87 Sun Nov 13 2022 -383.37 0.00 0.00 7.50 Trades
Will 'Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore' gross $53 million or more on opening weekend in the United States? Yes No 0.00 21.21 0.00% 0.6483 0.00 1.00 0.00 21.21 Mon Apr 18 2022 -13.75 0.00 0.00 7.46 Trades
Will Larva Lab’s 104 Cryptopunks sell for $25M or more at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 23 2022 7.38 0.00 0.00 7.38 Trades
Will there be another (1071st) NFL Scorigami in November 2021? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.9755 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 -292.63 0.00 0.00 7.36 Trades
Will Youtube bring back the dislike count by January 11, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.67% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 11 2022 7.26 0.00 0.00 7.26 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? Yes No 0.00 308.16 0.69% 0.9767 0.00 1.00 0.00 308.16 Fri Oct 01 2021 -300.98 0.00 0.00 7.18 Trades
Will any Knicks game have greater than 20% attendance before the NBA season ends? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 17 2021 7.14 0.00 0.00 7.14 Trades
Which will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8: the USA or the European Union? USA European Union 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 7.13 0.00 0.00 7.13 Trades
World Chess Championship 2021: Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win a game? Yes No 6.56 0.00 0.00% -1.0728 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 14 2021 7.04 0.00 0.00 7.04 Trades
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 359.18 0.01% 0.9806 0.00 1.00 0.00 359.18 Mon Aug 01 2022 -352.20 0.00 0.00 6.98 Trades
Will Vincent van Gogh's “Jeune homme au bleuet” (Lot 20C) sell for more than $7m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 21.89 0.00 0.00% 0.6854 1.00 0.00 21.89 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -15.00 0.00 0.00 6.89 Trades
Will Space Jam: A New Legacy or Black Widow gross more domestically on the July 16-18 weekend? Space Jam Black Widow 0.00 0.26 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 20 2021 6.81 0.00 0.00 6.81 Trades
Will the price of Wolf Game Wool ($WOOL) be above 10 cents at noon on December 7th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 07 2021 6.74 0.00 0.00 6.74 Trades
Will Vice President Harris cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? Yes No 0.00 32.30 0.00% 0.7929 0.00 1.00 0.00 32.30 Fri Dec 31 2021 -25.61 0.00 0.00 6.69 Trades
Will OpenSea have more volume in February ‘22 than it did in January ‘22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 9.09% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 6.68 0.00 0.00 6.68 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say trans in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 26.67 0.00% 0.7500 0.00 1.00 0.00 26.67 Wed Feb 07 2024 -20.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on March 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 20 2022 6.62 0.00 0.00 6.62 Trades
What will the price of $ADA be on October 1, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.53 0.47 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 6.56 0.00 0.00 6.56 Trades
Will @kanyewest tweet again by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 327.95 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 327.95 Fri Jul 01 2022 -321.40 0.00 0.00 6.55 Trades
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.00 25.59 0.00% 0.7462 0.00 1.00 0.00 25.59 Sat Dec 31 2022 -19.10 0.00 0.00 6.50 Trades
Will there be more than 219 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 6.43 0.00 0.00 6.43 Trades
Will the Polygon ($MATIC) Market Cap be above $15 billion on December 25? Yes No 2.95 0.00 0.00% -1.1581 1.00 0.00 2.95 0.00 Sat Dec 25 2021 3.42 0.00 0.00 6.37 Trades
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 27 2021 6.36 0.00 0.00 6.36 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 8, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1.33 0.00% -3.7547 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.33 Mon Aug 08 2022 4.98 0.00 0.00 6.31 Trades
Will $ETH be above $2500 on May 20? Yes No 0.00 2.06 0.00% -2.0455 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.06 Fri May 20 2022 4.22 0.00 0.00 6.29 Trades
Will President Biden say “Trump” during his October 21st town hall? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 21 2021 6.07 0.09 0.00 6.16 Trades
Will Miles Bridges play an NBA game in the 2022-23 regular season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 09 2023 6.05 0.00 0.00 6.05 Trades
Chess: Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2022 Candidates Tournament? Yes No 0.00 15.98 0.00% 0.6257 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.98 Tue Jul 05 2022 -10.00 0.00 0.00 5.98 Trades
Will there be more than 10,000 Monkeypox cases in the USA by August 1, 2022? Yes No 35.30 0.00 0.00% -0.1675 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 5.91 0.00 0.00 5.91 Trades
Will the Progressive Conservative Party win a majority in the 2022 Ontario General Election? Yes No 899.08 0.00 0.00% 0.9935 1.00 0.00 899.08 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 -893.20 0.00 0.00 5.89 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 04 2021 5.85 0.00 0.00 5.85 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 100 ETH on May 25? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 25 2022 5.74 0.00 0.00 5.74 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by February 28, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 20.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 28 2022 5.71 0.00 0.00 5.71 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 5.65 0.00 0.00 5.65 Trades
Will the floor price of goblintown.wtf be above 2 ETH on June 13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 13 2022 5.48 0.00 0.00 5.48 Trades
Will the Pistons beat the Magic by more than 5.5 points in their October 30th matchup? Yes No 700.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9922 1.00 0.00 700.00 0.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 -694.53 0.00 0.00 5.47 Trades
Will Tether lose its peg by November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 5.31 0.00 0.00 5.31 Trades
Will Pablo Picasso's “Femme accroupie en costume turc II (Jacqueline)” (Lot 44C) sell for more than $30m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 25.29 0.00% 0.7909 0.00 1.00 0.00 25.29 Thu Nov 11 2021 -20.00 0.00 0.00 5.29 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 18, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 18 2022 5.24 0.00 0.00 5.24 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 20,000 by May 31? Yes No 0.00 926.82 0.00% 0.9944 0.00 1.00 0.00 926.82 Tue Jun 07 2022 -921.61 0.01 0.00 5.22 Trades
What will the price of Avalanche (AVAX) be at noon on November 19, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.67 0.33 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 19 2021 5.22 0.00 0.00 5.22 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Will the Celtics get more points than the Warriors in the 3rd quarter of Game 5? Celtics Warriors 5.36 0.00 0.01% 0.0409 1.00 0.00 5.36 0.00 Mon Jun 13 2022 -0.22 0.00 0.00 5.14 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 110 ETH on May 19? Yes No 0.00 4.42 0.00% -0.1358 0.00 1.00 0.00 4.42 Thu May 19 2022 0.60 0.00 0.00 5.02 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Will England beat USA? Yes No 4.69 0.00 0.02% -1.0649 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 25 2022 4.99 0.00 0.00 4.99 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? Yes No 289.57 0.00 0.00% 0.9829 1.00 0.00 289.57 0.00 Thu Dec 01 2022 -284.61 0.00 0.00 4.96 Trades
Will Banksy’s “Love is in the Air” sell for more than $5 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 4.95 0.00 0.00 4.95 Trades
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 154.99 0.00% 0.9684 0.00 1.00 0.00 154.99 Sun May 29 2022 -150.10 0.00 0.00 4.89 Trades
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 50M global streams for the week ending on November 18? Yes No 0.00 900.00 0.00% 0.9946 0.00 1.00 0.00 900.00 Fri Nov 19 2021 -895.11 0.00 0.00 4.89 Trades
Will the Canadian "Emergencies Act" be revoked by March 7, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 4.82 0.00 0.00 4.82 Trades
Will there be more than 213 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 4.82 0.00 0.00 4.82 Trades
Will Girl with Balloon (by Banksy) sell for £500k or more at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 217.25 0.01% 0.9778 0.00 1.00 0.00 217.25 Tue Apr 26 2022 -212.44 0.00 0.00 4.81 Trades
Will Ottawa cease to be in a state of emergency before February 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 4.74 0.00 0.00 4.74 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Walz) or Republican (Jensen) win in Minnesota? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 4.72 0.00 0.00 4.72 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on May 26, 2022? Yes No 9.71 0.00 0.00% 0.5149 1.00 0.00 9.71 0.00 Thu May 26 2022 -5.00 0.00 0.00 4.71 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 659.45 0.00% 0.9931 0.00 1.00 0.00 659.45 Tue Nov 01 2022 -654.89 0.00 0.00 4.56 Trades
Will natural gas close above $9 on June 10, 2022? Yes No 0.00 12.35 0.00% 0.6477 0.00 1.00 0.00 12.35 Fri Jun 10 2022 -8.00 0.00 0.00 4.35 Trades
Will the Air Quality Index in Los Angeles be 60 or higher on November 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 02 2021 4.30 0.00 0.00 4.30 Trades
Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 4.25 0.00 0.00 4.25 Trades
Will Declan Rice sign for Chelsea on or before August 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 4.23 0.00 0.00 4.23 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 4.16 0.00 0.00 4.16 Trades
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 9, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 09 2022 4.15 0.00 0.00 4.15 Trades
Will Jeff Bartos win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 1.59 0.01% -1.5134 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.59 Tue May 17 2022 2.40 0.00 0.00 3.99 Trades
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.70% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 20 2021 3.40 0.55 0.00 3.95 Trades
Will 'Morbius' get a 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 13.30 0.00 0.00% -0.2967 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 04 2022 3.95 0.00 0.00 3.95 Trades
Will @elonmusk post more than 70 new tweets by June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 17 2021 3.87 0.00 0.00 3.87 Trades
NBA: Who will win Suns vs. Mavericks, scheduled for May 4, 10:00 PM ET? Suns Mavericks 214.70 0.00 0.00% 0.9823 1.00 0.00 214.70 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 -210.89 0.00 0.00 3.81 Trades
Will OpenSea have more than $3.5 billion in volume in January 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 02 2022 3.80 0.00 0.00 3.80 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 96.80 0.00% 0.9614 0.00 1.00 0.00 96.80 Wed Nov 02 2022 -93.06 0.00 0.00 3.74 Trades
Will ‘Jurassic World Dominion’ gross more than $180 million domestically in its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 996.23 0.00% 0.9963 0.00 1.00 0.00 996.23 Sun Jun 12 2022 -992.52 0.00 0.00 3.71 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 3.68 0.00 0.00 3.68 Trades
NBA: Will Kevin Durant score more than 585 points in the NBA 2021/22 Regular Season by November 29th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 3.51 0.00 0.00 3.51 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 3.42 0.00 0.00 3.42 Trades
Will Britney Spears’ father James Spears be charged with a crime by Halloween? Yes No 0.00 502.84 0.00% 0.9933 0.00 1.00 0.00 502.84 Sun Oct 31 2021 -499.45 0.00 0.00 3.39 Trades
MLB: Who will win Tampa Bay Rays vs. Oakland Athletics, scheduled for May 4, 3:37 PM ET? Tampa Bay Rays Oakland Athletics 470.41 0.00 0.01% 0.9928 1.00 0.00 470.41 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 -467.04 0.00 0.00 3.37 Trades
NHL: Will the Jets beat the Coyotes by more than 1.5 goals in their March 27, 7:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 3.35 0.00 0.00 3.35 Trades
Will the FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game between Anish Giri and Magnus Carlsen end in a draw? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 3.29 0.00 0.00 3.29 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 75 ETH on December 23, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 23 2021 3.28 0.00 0.00 3.28 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 300,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 10.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 3.20 0.00 0.00 3.20 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 02 2022 3.15 0.00 0.00 3.15 Trades
Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 3.15 0.00 0.00 3.15 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 373K for the week ending on July 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 11.11% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 3.10 0.00 0.00 3.10 Trades
Will the floor price of Azuki be 26 ETH or more on May 15? Yes No 32.39 0.00 0.00% -0.0956 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 15 2022 3.10 0.00 0.00 3.10 Trades
Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve? California Florida 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 3.08 0.00 0.00 3.08 Trades
Will CryptoPunks flip Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) by August 1? Yes No 0.00 30.57 0.00% 0.8992 0.00 1.00 0.00 30.57 Mon Aug 01 2022 -27.49 0.00 0.00 3.08 Trades
Will Sergio Moro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 0.32 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.32 Sun Oct 30 2022 2.76 0.00 0.00 3.08 Trades
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 3.05 0.00 0.00 3.05 Trades
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 3.04 0.00 0.00 3.04 Trades
Will the Bucks beat the Spurs by more than 6.5 points in their October 30th matchup? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.9925 0.00 1.00 0.00 400.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 -396.99 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 02 2022 2.95 0.00 0.00 2.95 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $5 Billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.00 45.69 0.00% 0.4377 0.50 0.50 0.00 22.84 Sat Dec 31 2022 -20.00 0.00 0.00 2.84 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 4, 2022 be higher than on February 11, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 18 2022 2.81 0.00 0.00 2.81 Trades
Will “Bananas” by Basquiat & Warhol sell for more than $6M at Phillips? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 23 2021 2.75 0.00 0.00 2.75 Trades
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4910 existing exoplanets by February 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 11 2022 2.71 0.00 0.00 2.71 Trades
Will @richerd sell Cryptopunk 6046 for 2500 ETH or more by October 22nd? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 22 2021 2.70 0.00 0.00 2.70 Trades
Will 'Lightyear' gross more than $90 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 293.87 0.00% 0.9908 0.00 1.00 0.00 293.87 Mon Jun 20 2022 -291.18 0.00 0.00 2.69 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian announce she’s pregnant by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Jul 31 2022 2.64 0.00 0.00 2.65 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Feb 29 2024 2.63 0.00 0.00 2.65 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be under 69 ETH on 4/20/2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 2.63 0.00 0.00 2.63 Trades
Will David Perdue win the Republican nomination for the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial race? Yes No 0.00 494.94 0.00% 0.9947 0.00 1.00 0.00 494.94 Tue May 24 2022 -492.32 0.00 0.00 2.63 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Kissinger in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 32.61 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 1.00 0.00 32.61 Wed Feb 07 2024 -30.00 0.00 0.00 2.61 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.63 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 2.57 0.00 0.00 2.57 Trades
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the NBA ‘21-’22 Championship? Yes No 10.36 0.00 0.00% -0.2453 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 19 2022 2.54 0.00 0.00 2.54 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Kings v. Pacers game on November 7th? Kings Pacers 0.00 595.10 0.00% 0.9957 0.00 1.00 0.00 595.10 Sun Nov 07 2021 -592.56 0.00 0.00 2.54 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by March 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 9.09% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 2.53 0.00 0.00 2.53 Trades
Will there be a named tropical system (storm, hurricane) Alex that forms by May 31, 2022? Yes No 6.88 0.00 0.00% -0.3589 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 2.47 0.00 0.00 2.47 Trades
UEFA Champions League: Will Manchester Utd or Atletico qualify to the quarterfinals? Manchester Atlético 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 2.47 0.00 0.00 2.47 Trades
Was the Super Bowl rigged? Yes No 0.00 352.47 0.00% 0.9930 0.00 1.00 0.00 352.47 Thu Feb 29 2024 -350.00 0.00 0.00 2.47 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 50,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 2.41 0.00 0.00 2.41 Trades
What will the outcome of Elon Musk’s November 6th Twitter Poll be? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 07 2021 2.38 0.00 0.00 2.38 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.46 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 2.36 0.00 0.00 2.36 Trades
Will the Academy strip Will Smith’s Oscar by April 30? Yes No 3.31 0.00 0.00% -0.7076 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 2.35 0.00 0.00 2.35 Trades
Serie A: Will the goal difference in Roma v. Inter Milan be more or less than 1? More Less 1,633.70 0.00 0.00% 0.9986 1.00 0.00 1,633.70 0.00 Sat Dec 04 2021 -1,631.36 0.00 0.00 2.34 Trades
Will the price of wheat close above $1050 on April 29, 2022? Yes No 55.03 0.00 0.01% 0.9576 1.00 0.00 55.03 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 -52.69 0.00 0.00 2.33 Trades
Who will win UFC 267: Błachowicz vs Teixeira? Błachowicz Teixeira 0.00 599.50 0.00% 0.9961 0.00 1.00 0.00 599.50 Sat Oct 30 2021 -597.17 0.00 0.00 2.33 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 2.32 0.00 0.00 2.32 Trades
Who will win UFC 268: Gaethje vs Chandler? Gaethje Chandler 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 06 2021 2.31 0.00 0.00 2.31 Trades
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 2.24 0.00 0.00 2.24 Trades
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? Yes No 62.24 0.00 0.00% 0.9640 1.00 0.00 62.24 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 -60.00 0.00 0.00 2.24 Trades
UFC 271: Who will win - Israel Adesanya or Robert Whittaker? Adesanya Whittaker 0.00 0.00 11.11% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 12 2022 2.22 0.00 0.00 2.22 Trades
Will New World be a Top 5 game on Steam two weeks after release? Yes No 0.00 0.00 5.26% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 12 2021 2.17 0.00 0.00 2.17 Trades
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 2.15 0.00 0.00 2.15 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $130 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 412.29 0.00 0.00% 0.9949 1.00 0.00 412.29 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 -410.17 0.00 0.00 2.12 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 11 be higher than on February 18? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 2.12 0.00 0.00 2.12 Trades
Will Lebron James play against the New York Knicks on Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 23 2021 2.11 0.00 0.00 2.11 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 440.00 0.01% 0.9952 0.00 1.00 0.00 440.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 -437.89 0.00 0.00 2.10 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 2.05 0.00 0.00 2.05 Trades
Will Nina Turner win the Democratic Nomination in the OH-11 special election? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 03 2021 2.03 0.00 0.00 2.03 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418.5 ppm on July 22, 2021? Yes No 0.00 12.64 0.00% 0.8399 0.00 1.00 0.00 12.64 Fri Jul 23 2021 -10.62 0.00 0.00 2.02 Trades
Will an earthquake with magnitude 8.0 or above occur anywhere on Earth before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 375.99 0.00% 0.9948 0.00 1.00 0.00 375.99 Wed Jun 01 2022 -374.02 0.00 0.00 1.97 Trades
NBA: Who will win Thunder vs. Trail Blazers, scheduled for March 28 (10 PM ET)? Thunder Trail Blazers 299.97 0.00 0.00% 0.9935 1.00 0.00 299.97 0.00 Mon Mar 28 2022 -298.01 0.00 0.00 1.96 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 94.16 0.00% 0.9793 0.00 1.00 0.00 94.16 Wed Nov 02 2022 -92.20 0.00 0.00 1.95 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 1.93 0.00 0.00 1.93 Trades
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 1.92 0.00 0.00 1.92 Trades
Will Ben Simmons play in the 76ers’ season opener? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Oct 20 2021 1.90 0.00 0.00 1.90 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before the end of the year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 1.86 0.00 0.00 1.86 Trades
Will the floor price of Doodles be 17 ETH or more on April 17? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 17 2022 1.82 0.00 0.00 1.82 Trades
Will 'Envolver' by Anitta be the #1 song on the Spotify Global Charts by April 14, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 1.80 0.00 0.00 1.80 Trades
World Cup: Thursday - Will Brazil beat Serbia? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 24 2022 1.78 0.00 0.00 1.78 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Spurs vs. Lakers, scheduled for March 7 (8.30 PM ET)? Spurs Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 1.77 0.00 0.00 1.77 Trades
Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12: France, Italy, USA or Spain? France
USA
Italy
Spain
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Fri Jan 14 2022 1.75 0.00 0.00 1.75 Trades
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2.40 0.00% 0.2830 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.40 Fri Dec 31 2021 -0.68 0.00 0.00 1.72 Trades
Will the price of lumber be above $1,150 as of market close on February 7, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 1.71 0.00 0.00 1.71 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs, 1st Round: Who will win Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves? Grizzlies Timberwolves 0.00 6.07 0.00% -0.2785 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 1.69 0.00 0.00 1.69 Trades
NHL: Who will win Oilers vs. Kings, scheduled for May 6, 10:00 PM ET? Oilers Kings 0.00 6.66 0.01% -0.2530 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 06 2022 1.68 0.00 0.00 1.68 Trades
Will the Ravens beat the Bengals by more than 6.5 points in their October 24th matchup? Yes No 0.00 942.00 0.00% 0.9982 0.00 1.00 0.00 942.00 Sun Oct 24 2021 -940.33 0.00 0.00 1.67 Trades
NHL: Will the Sharks beat the Ducks by more than 1.5 goals in their March 26, 10:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 26 2022 1.56 0.00 0.00 1.56 Trades
Superbowl LVI: Who will win Rams v. Bengals? Rams Bengals 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 1.55 0.00 0.00 1.55 Trades
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,500 on November 24th, 12pm ET? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 24 2021 1.53 0.00 0.00 1.53 Trades
Will the high temperature in New York's Central Park be 60°F or higher on November 15th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 16 2021 1.52 0.00 0.00 1.52 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 100 ETH on Valentine's Day? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 14 2022 1.49 0.00 0.00 1.49 Trades
Will Elden Ring be in the top 5 most played games on Steam on April 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 11.46 0.00% 0.8730 0.00 1.00 0.00 11.46 Mon Apr 25 2022 -10.00 0.00 0.00 1.46 Trades
Will Ed Ruscha's “Ripe” (Lot 37C) sell for more than $22m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 401.45 0.00% 0.9964 0.00 1.00 0.00 401.45 Thu Nov 11 2021 -400.00 0.00 0.00 1.45 Trades
Will 'The Matrix Resurrections' get a 85% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 25 2021 1.44 0.00 0.00 1.44 Trades
Will a Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States in September? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 1.41 0.01 0.00 1.43 Trades
(In-game Trading) Will the Suns beat the Nuggets by more than 6.5 points in their October 20th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Oct 20 2021 1.42 0.00 0.00 1.42 Trades
NBA: Will the Nets beat the Hawks by more than 4.5 points in their November 3rd matchup? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9986 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 0.00 Wed Nov 03 2021 -998.60 0.00 0.00 1.40 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Will the 76ers beat the Hawks by more than 3.5 points in their October 30th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 11.11% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 1.39 0.00 0.00 1.39 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.012 by June 12? Yes No 0.00 194.53 0.00% 0.9929 0.00 1.00 0.00 194.53 Sun Jun 12 2022 -193.15 0.00 0.00 1.39 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 96.84 0.00% 0.9857 0.00 1.00 0.00 96.84 Wed Nov 02 2022 -95.46 0.00 0.00 1.38 Trades
NFL: Will the Steelers beat the Lions by more than 8.5 points in their November 14th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 14 2021 1.37 0.00 0.00 1.37 Trades
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? Yes No 0.00 195.03 0.00% 0.9930 0.00 1.00 0.00 195.03 Fri Jun 10 2022 -193.67 0.00 0.00 1.36 Trades
NBA: Will the Knicks beat the Magic by more than 11.5 points in their November 17th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 17 2021 1.33 0.00 0.00 1.33 Trades
Will the bill making Daylight Savings Time permanent be signed into law by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 238.23 0.01% 0.9945 0.00 1.00 0.00 238.23 Sat Apr 30 2022 -236.92 0.00 0.00 1.32 Trades
NBA: Who will win Pelicans vs. Lakers, scheduled for March 27, 7:10 PM ET? Pelicans Lakers 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 1.32 0.00 0.00 1.32 Trades
NBA: Will the Clippers beat the Kings by more than 7.5 points in their December 1 matchup? Yes No 0.00 299.99 0.00% 0.9956 0.00 1.00 0.00 299.99 Wed Dec 01 2021 -298.69 0.00 0.00 1.31 Trades
Will Maya Wiley win second place in the 2021 NYC Democratic Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.30 0.00 0.00 1.30 Trades
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in February? Yes No 0.00 41.28 0.00% 0.9690 0.00 1.00 0.00 41.28 Thu Feb 29 2024 -40.00 0.00 0.00 1.28 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Mavericks by more than 5.5 points in their May 2, 10:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 993.51 0.00 0.00% 0.9987 1.00 0.00 993.51 0.00 Mon May 02 2022 -992.24 0.00 0.00 1.27 Trades
NBA: Will the 76ers beat the Hornets by more than 6.5 points in their December 6 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 06 2021 1.26 0.00 0.00 1.26 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on February 20: Mark Zuckerberg or Larry Page? Mark Zuckerberg Larry Page 0.00 0.00 0.01% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 20 2022 1.24 0.00 0.00 1.24 Trades
Will Paul Cezanne's “L'Estaque aux toits rouges” (Lot 10C) sell for more than $55m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9877 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -98.76 0.00 0.00 1.23 Trades
NBA: Will the sum of points in Hawks v 76ers be greater than 213.5? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9988 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Fri Dec 03 2021 -998.78 0.00 0.00 1.22 Trades
NBA: Will the Celtics beat the Timberwolves by more than 6.5 points in their March 27, 6:10 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 1.21 0.00 0.00 1.21 Trades
NBA: Will the Hawks beat the Pacers by more than 7.5 points in their March 28 (7 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 599.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9980 1.00 0.00 599.99 0.00 Mon Mar 28 2022 -598.81 0.00 0.00 1.18 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.8% or higher on March 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Mar 30 2022 1.17 0.00 0.00 1.18 Trades
Will the Jazz beat the Bulls by more than 3.5 points in their October 30th matchup? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.9971 0.00 1.00 0.00 400.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 -398.82 0.00 0.00 1.17 Trades
NBA: Will the 76ers beat the Clippers by more than 5.5 points in their March 25, 10:40 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 1.16 0.00 0.00 1.16 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6.99 0.00% 0.8478 0.00 1.00 0.00 6.99 Sat Jan 01 2022 -5.93 0.09 0.00 1.15 Trades
Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY? Yes No 0.00 41.13 0.00% 0.9725 0.00 1.00 0.00 41.13 Sat Dec 31 2022 -40.00 0.00 0.00 1.13 Trades
NFL: Will the Chargers beat the Patriots by more than 4.5 points in their October 31st matchup? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.9972 0.00 1.00 0.00 400.00 Sun Oct 31 2021 -398.87 0.00 0.00 1.12 Trades
Will a barrel of crude oil close at $100 or more on May 4, 2022? Yes No 215.95 0.00 0.00% 0.9950 1.00 0.00 215.95 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 -214.87 0.00 0.00 1.09 Trades
Will Chelsea get 2nd place in the 2021-22 English Premier League? Yes No 0.00 7.30 0.02% 0.8532 0.00 1.00 0.00 7.30 Sun May 22 2022 -6.23 0.00 0.00 1.07 Trades
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021? Yes No 0.00 133.00 0.00% 0.9920 0.00 1.00 0.00 133.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -131.93 0.00 0.00 1.07 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 385K for the week ending on August 7? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 12 2021 1.07 0.00 0.00 1.07 Trades
NFL: Will the Buccaneers beat the Falcons by more than 12.5 points in their December 5 matchup? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9974 1.00 0.00 400.00 0.00 Sun Dec 05 2021 -398.95 0.00 0.00 1.04 Trades
Will João Doria win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 1.04 0.00 0.00 1.04 Trades
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2021 Canadian federal election? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.04 0.00 0.00 1.04 Trades
NBA: Will the Nets beat the Pistons by more than 11.5 points in their October 31st matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 31 2021 1.03 0.00 0.00 1.03 Trades
NBA: Will the Pacers beat the Spurs by more than 3.5 points in their November 1st matchup? Yes No 700.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9985 1.00 0.00 700.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 -698.98 0.00 0.00 1.02 Trades
NBA: Will the 76ers beat the Trail Blazers by more than 5.5 points in their November 1st matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 1.01 0.00 0.00 1.01 Trades
2022 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs, Round 1: Who will win Oilers vs. Kings? Oilers Kings 0.00 5.73 0.00% -0.1687 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 15 2022 0.97 0.00 0.00 0.97 Trades
NBA: Will the Raptors beat the Lakers by more than 2.5 points in their March 14 (10.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 14 2022 0.96 0.00 0.00 0.96 Trades
NFL: Will the Dolphins beat the Giants by more than 6.5 points in their December 5 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 05 2021 0.96 0.00 0.00 0.96 Trades
Will Ghana qualify from Group H? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 0.95 0.00 0.00 0.95 Trades
Who will win the Hawks v. Wizards game on October 28th? Hawks Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 28 2021 0.95 0.00 0.00 0.95 Trades
NBA: Will the Pelicans beat the Thunder by more than 4.5 points in their November 10th matchup? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.9969 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.00 Wed Nov 10 2021 -299.06 0.00 0.00 0.94 Trades
Will Nicki Minaj get the COVID-19 vaccine by November 29th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 0.93 0.00 0.00 0.93 Trades
Will Andrej Babis win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 3.89 0.00% 0.7712 0.00 1.00 0.00 3.89 Sat Jan 14 2023 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.89 Trades
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $45 on May 17, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 17 2021 0.89 0.00 0.00 0.89 Trades
Who will win the Colts v. 49ers game on October 24th? Colts 49ers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 24 2021 0.87 0.00 0.00 0.87 Trades
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on June 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.33% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 10 2021 0.87 0.00 0.00 0.87 Trades
NHL: Will the Hurricanes beat the Capitals by more than 1.5 goals in their March 28, 7:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 399.97 0.00 0.00% 0.9978 1.00 0.00 399.97 0.00 Mon Mar 28 2022 -399.11 0.00 0.00 0.86 Trades
Will Arsenal get 2nd place in the 2021-22 English Premier League? Yes No 0.00 83.35 0.02% 0.9898 0.00 1.00 0.00 83.35 Sun May 22 2022 -82.51 0.00 0.00 0.85 Trades
MLB: Who will win San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for May 25, 4:11 PM ET? San Diego Padres Milwaukee Brewers 0.00 290.43 0.01% 0.9972 0.00 1.00 0.00 290.43 Wed May 25 2022 -289.61 0.00 0.00 0.83 Trades
Will Messi sign a contract to stay with FC Barcelona by September 1? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.9959 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 -199.18 0.00 0.00 0.82 Trades
NBA: Will the Clippers beat the Lakers by more than 1.5 points in their December 3 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 03 2021 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.80 Trades
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Spurs by more than 2.5 points in their November 12th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 12 2021 0.78 0.01 0.00 0.79 Trades
Who will win the Canada v. Mexico soccer game on November 16? Canada Mexico 1,000.00 0.00 14.29% 0.9992 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 0.00 Tue Nov 16 2021 -999.22 0.00 0.00 0.78 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Knicks by more than 4.5 points in their November 5th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 05 2021 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.74 Trades
NBA: Will the Nets beat the Magic by more than 9.5 points in their November 10th matchup? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9976 1.00 0.00 300.00 0.00 Wed Nov 10 2021 -299.26 0.00 0.00 0.73 Trades
What will the price of $ADA be on August 27, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 11.11% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 27 2021 0.72 0.00 0.00 0.72 Trades
NFL: Will the Chargers beat the Texans by more than 10.5 points in their December 26 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 26 2021 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.70 Trades
Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.9972 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Thu Nov 25 2021 -249.30 0.00 0.00 0.69 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 0.69 0.00 0.00 0.69 Trades
NFL: Will the Vikings beat the Lions by more than 7.5 points in their December 5 matchup? Yes No 0.00 700.00 0.00% 0.9991 0.00 1.00 0.00 700.00 Sun Dec 05 2021 -699.34 0.00 0.00 0.66 Trades
Will a team from a minor region reach the 2021 LoL Worlds group stage? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 09 2021 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.65 Trades
Will Danuse Nerudova win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.64 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.25% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 17 2021 0.62 0.00 0.00 0.62 Trades
NHL: Will the Avalanche beat the Wild by more than 1.5 goals in their March 27, 6:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.61 Trades
Will Free Guy gross more than $20M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 17 2021 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.60 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 20, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? Yes No 0.00 213.28 0.00% 0.9972 0.00 1.00 0.00 213.28 Fri Aug 20 2021 -212.69 0.00 0.00 0.59 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 375K for the week ending on August 14? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 19 2021 0.57 0.00 0.00 0.58 Trades
Will the Braves or Dodgers win their NLCS matchup? Braves Dodgers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 24 2021 0.57 0.00 0.00 0.57 Trades
Will the Jaguars beat the Cowboys by more than 3.5 points in their NFL preseason matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 29 2021 0.55 0.00 0.00 0.55 Trades
Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 0.52 0.00 0.00 0.52 Trades
NFL: Will the Rams beat the 49ers by more than 3.5 points in their November 15th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.51 Trades
Will Brazil qualify from Group G? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.51 Trades
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 60M global weekly streams for period Nov 4 - Nov 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 12 2021 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 Trades
NBA: Will the Nets beat the Hornets by more than 6.5 points in their March 27, 7:40 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.48 Trades
Chargers (-3.5) v. Cowboys Spread Chargers Cowboys 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 19 2021 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.47 Trades
Buccaneers (-12) v. Falcons Spread Buccaneers Falcons 320.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9985 1.00 0.00 320.00 0.00 Sun Sep 19 2021 -319.53 0.00 0.00 0.47 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 30.46 0.00% 0.9850 0.00 1.00 0.00 30.46 Tue Sep 10 2024 -30.00 0.00 0.00 0.46 Trades
Will Joe Rogan win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 30.32 0.00% 0.9850 0.00 1.00 0.00 30.32 Tue Sep 10 2024 -29.86 0.00 0.00 0.46 Trades
NFL: Will the Cardinals beat the Panthers by more than 10.5 points in their November 14th matchup? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.9985 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.00 Sun Nov 14 2021 -299.56 0.00 0.00 0.44 Trades
Will Anthony Joshua or Oleksandr Usyk win their boxing match? Joshua Usyk 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 25 2021 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.41 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.76% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.41 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Will the Jets or Falcons win their week five matchup? Jets Falcons 0.00 400.00 4.35% 0.9990 0.00 1.00 0.00 400.00 Sun Oct 10 2021 -399.61 0.00 0.00 0.39 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the Thunder by more than 9.5 points in their November 15th matchup? Yes No 299.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9987 1.00 0.00 299.99 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 -299.62 0.00 0.00 0.38 Trades
NBA: Will the Blazers beat the Cavaliers by more than 3.5 points in their November 3rd matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 03 2021 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.37 Trades
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 20 2021 0.33 0.01 0.00 0.34 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 10.33 0.00% 0.9680 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.33 Tue Sep 10 2024 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 Trades
Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.32 Trades
Africa Cup of Nations: Will Senegal win the tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 06 2022 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.30 Trades
NHL: Will the Oilers beat the Coyotes by more than 2.5 goals in their March 28, 9:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 499.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9994 1.00 0.00 499.99 0.00 Mon Mar 28 2022 -499.69 0.00 0.00 0.30 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.29 Trades
Will the Bucks win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.29 Trades
Will $ETH hit 3 digits (sub $1000) by June 30? Yes No 659.22 0.00 0.00% 0.9996 1.00 0.00 659.22 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 -658.94 0.00 0.00 0.28 Trades
What will the price of $DOGE be on June 26? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 26 2021 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.28 Trades
Will the Heat beat the Pacers by more than 4.5 points in their October 23rd matchup? Yes No 0.00 450.00 0.00% 0.9994 0.00 1.00 0.00 450.00 Sat Oct 23 2021 -449.72 0.00 0.00 0.27 Trades
Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 16 speech + Q&A? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 16 2021 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.27 Trades
NBA: Will the Grizzlies beat the Warriors by more than 10.5 points in their March 28 (8 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 599.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9996 1.00 0.00 599.99 0.00 Mon Mar 28 2022 -599.72 0.00 0.00 0.27 Trades
Will Cy Twombly's “Duino” (Lot 66C) sell for more than $12m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.27 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.21 Trades
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.21 Trades
Will the Indexed Finance hacker return 90% or more of the exploited funds by October 26th? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 26 2021 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.20 Trades
NBA: Who will win Mavericks vs. Jazz, scheduled for March 27, 7:40 PM ET? Mavericks Jazz 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.20 Trades
Will Robert Leshner or Anthony Pompliano win in their CryptoChamps chess match? Leshner Pompliano 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 13 2021 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.19 Trades
Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.03 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.16 Trades
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 10 2021 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.14 Trades
Will Kawhi Leonard Sign with the Clippers for the NBA 2021-22 season on or before October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.13 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.13 Trades
Which will sell more album units in its first week of release: Kanye’s Donda or Drake’s Certified Lover Boy? Kanye Drake 0.00 0.00 5.56% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.11 Trades
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 10 2021 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.11 Trades
Who will win Jake Paul vs. Hasim Rahman Jr.? Jake Paul Hasim Rahman Jr. 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 06 2022 -0.16 0.24 0.00 0.08 Trades
Will France or Germany win their Euro 2020 match? France Germany 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.07 Trades
Who will win 76ers v. Hawks: Conference Semifinal Game 7? 76ers Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 20 2021 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.07 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.06 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 6.87 0.00 0.00% -0.0085 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.06 Trades
Will Croatia or the Czech Republic win their Euro 2020 match? Croatia Czech Republic 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 18 2021 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Will the Yankees or Red Sox win the AL Wild Card game on October 5th? Yankees Red Sox 0.00 0.00 5.26% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Spotify: Which song will be streamed more in the week ending on Feb 17: "Bussin" or "MAMIII"? Bussin MAMIII 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 17 2022 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 06 2022 -0.02 0.05 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will the 49ers beat the Raiders by more than 5.5 points in their NFL preseason matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 29 2021 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will the Gorgosaurus skeleton sell for more than $6 million at Sotheby's? Yes No 0.00 44.01 0.00% 0.9999 0.00 1.00 0.00 44.01 Thu Jul 28 2022 -44.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will the Suns or the Lakers win their Game 3 NBA Playoff matchup? Suns Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 27 2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on January 28, 2022 be higher than on February 4, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 10.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 11 2022 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 18 be higher than on February 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 10.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 04 2022 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will the Packers beat the Bears by more than 4.5 points in their week six matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 17 2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Pelicans by more than 8.5 points in their November 8th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 08 2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 08 2022 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will US inflation be more than 0.2% from December 2022 to January 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 14 2023 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Western Conference Finals Game 1? Suns Clippers 0.00 0.00 8.33% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 20 2021 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Ashleigh Barty win the 2021 Wimbledon? Yes No 0.00 0.01 11.11% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 10 2021 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen or Fabiano Caruana win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? Carlsen Caruana 0.00 0.00 16.67% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Who will win the Suns v. Trail Blazers game on October 23rd? Suns Trail Blazers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 23 2021 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NHL: Will the Lightning beat the Hurricanes by more than 1.5 goals in their March 29 matchup (7 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 29 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win the 76ers v. Nets on October 22nd? 76ers Nets 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 22 2021 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NHL: Will the Kings beat the Kraken by more than 1.5 goals in their March 28, 10:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 28 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
(In-Game Trading)Will the Hawks beat the Pistons by more than 10.5 points in their matchup on October 25th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 14.29% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 25 2021 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
(In-Game Trading, Low Fee Promotion) Who will win the Trail Blazers v. Clippers game on October 25th? Trail Blazers Clippers 0.00 0.00 9.09% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 25 2021 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win 76ers vs. Bucks, scheduled for March 29 (7 PM ET)? 76ers Bucks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 29 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nuggets vs. Hornets, scheduled for March 28, 7:00 PM ET? Nuggets Hornets 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 28 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Juventus or Chelsea win their Champions League match on September 29? Juventus Chelsea 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 29 2021 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win the Suns v. Lakers on October 22nd? Suns Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 22 2021 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
(In-Game Trading)Will the Nuggets beat the Cavaliers by more than 10.5 points in their October 25th matchup? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 25 2021 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
(In-Game Trading)Who will win the Celtics v. Hornets game on October 25th? Celtics Hornets 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 25 2021 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Lakers by more than 11.5 points in their March 29 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 29 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will inflation be 0.8% or more from October to November 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 10 2021 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs, Round 2: Who will win Suns vs. Mavericks? Suns Mavericks 6.16 0.00 0.00% 0.0000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 16 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? Yes No 2.84 0.00 0.00% 0.0001 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? Yes No 5.37 0.00 0.00% 0.0001 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 100 ETH on July 18? Yes No 4.65 0.00 0.00% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 18 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will $UST be above $0.99 on May 17, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will Germany be the Group F winner in the Euro 2020? Yes No 0.05 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 Trades
What will the price of $MATIC be on September 3, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.59 0.41 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 03 2021 -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.04 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Wizards v. Grizzlies game on November 5th? Wizards Grizzlies 0.00 0.22 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 05 2021 -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.05 Trades
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 26 2021 -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.06 Trades
Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021? Yes No 0.00 5.53 0.00% 1.0830 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.53 Fri Dec 31 2021 -5.99 0.34 0.00 -0.12 Trades
Will $UST be above $0.90 on May 17, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.12 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.14 Trades
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Pelicans by more than 7.5 points in their December 3 matchup? Yes No 123,118.35 0.00 8.61% 0.0000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 03 2021 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs, Round 2: Who will win Celtics vs. Bucks? Celtics Bucks 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 16 2022 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will the Spurs or the Grizzlies win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Spurs Grizzlies 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 19 2021 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will J. Michelle Childs be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.21 Trades
What will the price of Terra ($LUNA) be at noon on November 19, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.33 0.67 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 19 2021 -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.31 Trades
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 -0.35 0.02 0.00 -0.33 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 11.91 0.00% 1.0439 0.00 1.00 0.00 11.91 Tue May 31 2022 -12.43 0.00 0.00 -0.52 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $100 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.64 Trades
Will Harriet Tubman appear on the face of the $20 bill by July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 -0.66 0.00 0.00 -0.66 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Wizards by more than 7.5 points in their March 27, 6:10 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 -0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.70 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of Bored Apes be on October 1, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.49 0.51 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 -0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.75 Trades
Will Kendrick Lamar release 'Mr. Morale & the Big Steppers' (or another new album) by May 13, 2022? Yes No 495.80 0.00 0.01% 1.0016 1.00 0.00 495.80 0.00 Fri May 13 2022 -496.61 0.00 0.00 -0.81 Trades
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? Yes No 3.07 0.00 0.00% 0.3261 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2021 St. Louis Rapid and Blitz Chess Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 16 2021 -1.03 0.00 0.00 -1.03 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 364K for the week ending on July 3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 08 2021 -1.09 0.00 0.00 -1.09 Trades
Will 'Top Gun: Maverick' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 -1.19 0.00 0.00 -1.19 Trades
Will Elden Ring be in the top 5 most played games on Steam on March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 -1.49 0.00 0.00 -1.49 Trades
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before March 4, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 04 2022 -1.68 0.00 0.00 -1.68 Trades
Will Doodles or CloneX have higher floor price on June 10? Doodles CloneX 0.00 13.99 0.00% 0.1259 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 -1.76 0.00 0.00 -1.76 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 1.0065 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -301.95 0.00 0.00 -1.95 Trades
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by January 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 09 2022 -1.97 0.00 0.00 -1.97 Trades
Which movie will gross more domestically on opening weekend: Venom 2 or No Time to Die? Venom 2 No Time to Die 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 11 2021 -2.03 0.00 0.00 -2.03 Trades
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? Yes No 0.00 5.84 0.00% 0.3926 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 14 2022 -2.29 0.00 0.00 -2.29 Trades
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? Yes No 9.57 0.00 0.00% 0.2419 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 16 2022 -2.31 0.00 0.00 -2.31 Trades
Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 20 speech? Yes No 0.00 13.90 0.00% 0.1942 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 20 2021 -2.70 0.00 0.00 -2.70 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by May 17th? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 -2.73 0.00 0.00 -2.73 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 -2.77 0.00 0.00 -2.77 Trades
Will OpenSea have more volume in March ‘22 than it did in February ‘22? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 02 2022 -2.88 0.00 0.00 -2.88 Trades
Will Elon Musk tweet “Doge” or “Dogecoin” before March 19, 2022? Yes No 0.00 256.66 0.00% 0.0117 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 18 2022 -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Petr Pavel win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 9.36 0.00% 0.3204 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 90 ETH on July 25? Yes No 68,911.33 0.00 0.00% 0.0000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 25 2022 -3.33 0.07 0.00 -3.25 Trades
NHL: Will the Jets beat the Canadiens by more than 1.5 goals in their April 11 matchup (7 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 -3.56 0.00 0.00 -3.56 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of March 2022? Yes No 0.00 221.99 0.00% 1.0161 0.00 1.00 0.00 221.99 Thu Mar 31 2022 -225.56 0.00 0.00 -3.57 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be over 100 ETH on April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 -3.66 0.00 0.00 -3.66 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 -3.78 0.00 0.00 -3.78 Trades
Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.01% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 14 2022 -3.85 0.00 0.00 -3.85 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? Yes No 0.00 21.52 0.00% 0.1859 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will Venom: Let There Be Carnage gross between $64M and $72M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 04 2021 -4.03 0.00 0.00 -4.03 Trades
Will 'Sonic the Hedgehog 2' gross $50 million or more on opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 -4.21 0.00 0.00 -4.21 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 -4.84 0.00 0.00 -4.84 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 400k or more by January 8? Yes No 0.00 307.06 0.00% 0.0163 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Daniel Goldman win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election? Yes No 0.00 8.20 0.00% 0.6101 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 23 2022 -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Anish Giri or Ian Nepomniachtchi win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? Giri Nepomniachtchi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 -5.12 0.00 0.00 -5.12 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of Bored Apes be on September 21, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.39 0.61 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 21 2021 -5.50 0.00 0.00 -5.50 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? Yes No 0.00 47.41 0.00% 0.1181 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 -5.60 0.00 0.00 -5.60 Trades
Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 -5.69 0.00 0.00 -5.69 Trades
BAYC Metaverse: Will the floor price of Otherdeed be above 3.5 ETH on May 9? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 -5.81 0.00 0.00 -5.81 Trades
Will Facebook report having more than 3.6 billion Monthly Active People in Q2 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 -5.93 0.00 0.00 -5.93 Trades
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 21.97 0.00% 0.2731 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 903.40 0.00% 0.0073 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -6.60 0.00 0.00 -6.60 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 -6.81 0.00 0.00 -6.81 Trades
Will Hellbound be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 49, 2021 (Nov 29 - Dec 5)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 06 2021 -6.88 0.00 0.00 -6.88 Trades
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 31.5M global streams for the week ending on February 24? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 -7.45 0.00 0.00 -7.45 Trades
Will the floor price of 'We Are All Going to Die' be above 1 ETH on June 14? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 14 2022 -7.74 0.00 0.00 -7.74 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by May 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 07 2022 -7.81 0.00 0.00 -7.81 Trades
What will be the average price for a NYC unrestricted taxi medallion in August 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.64 0.36 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 -7.99 0.00 0.00 -7.99 Trades
How much will “Dune” gross domestically on opening weekend? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.37 0.63 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 25 2021 -8.17 0.00 0.00 -8.17 Trades
Will total value locked in DeFi be $115 billion or higher on November 27th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 27 2021 -9.58 0.00 0.00 -9.58 Trades
Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics: Will Russia have any medals stripped for doping? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 -9.59 0.00 0.00 -9.59 Trades
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 -9.73 0.00 0.00 -9.73 Trades
Will Adrian Ghenie's "The Collector I" sell for more than HK$65M at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 -9.86 0.00 0.00 -9.86 Trades
NBA: Will the sum of points in Raptors v Wizards be an even or an odd number? Even Odd 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 05 2021 -9.99 0.00 0.00 -9.99 Trades
Will Willem do Kooning's “Untitled VII” (Lot 40C) sell for more than $12m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -9.99 0.00 0.00 -9.99 Trades
Will Harvard get fewer applicants this year? Yes No 0.00 34.48 0.00% 0.2900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will the FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game between Magnus Carlsen and Alireza Firouzja end in a draw? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index be above 200 for July 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 06 2021 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Molnupiravir before 2022? Yes No 0.00 79.80 0.00% 0.1253 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 114.14 0.00 0.00% 0.0876 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Rihanna's last song of the Super Bowl LVII Halftime Show be "Diamonds"? Yes No 0.00 17.90 0.00% 0.5587 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 09 2023 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January? Yes No 20.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Sequoia Capital's Youtube memo sell for more than 100 ETH? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 1.0206 1.00 0.00 500.00 0.00 Tue Dec 07 2021 -510.29 0.00 0.00 -10.29 Trades
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 -10.35 0.00 0.00 -10.35 Trades
Will Kanye West release 'Donda 2' (or another new album) by 2/22/22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 -10.69 0.00 0.00 -10.69 Trades
Will President Biden visit Saudi Arabia before July 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 -10.99 0.00 0.00 -10.99 Trades
Will Matt Dolan win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 96.55 0.00 0.00% 0.1139 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
Will ‘Nope’ gross more than $60 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 24.09 0.00 0.00% 0.4566 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 25 2022 -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 38.0% or higher on July 21? Yes No 31.96 0.00 0.00% 0.3441 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 21 2022 -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 8, 2022? Yes No 20.81 0.00 0.00% 0.5286 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
Will Josh Mandel win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 31.88 0.00 0.00% 0.3585 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 -11.43 0.00 0.00 -11.43 Trades
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 48.97 0.00% 0.2348 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 -11.50 0.00 0.00 -11.50 Trades
Will France have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, Italy, and Spain on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 1,151.39 0.00% 0.0101 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 -11.60 0.00 0.00 -11.60 Trades
Will Larva Lab’s 104 Cryptopunks sell for $20M or more at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 23 2022 -12.01 0.00 0.00 -12.01 Trades
Will Penny Mordaunt be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 90.23 0.00 0.00% 0.1385 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -12.50 0.00 0.00 -12.50 Trades
Will Ethereum's price have a 10% or more daily change on any day in April 2022? Yes No 0.00 327.23 0.00% 1.0406 0.00 1.00 0.00 327.23 Sat Apr 30 2022 -340.52 0.00 0.00 -13.29 Trades
Will the floor price of Chain Runners be above 1.25 ETH on December 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 02 2021 -13.42 0.00 0.00 -13.42 Trades
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? Keiko Fujimori Pedro Castillo 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 -14.18 0.00 0.00 -14.18 Trades
Will UST (Terra USD) fall below 88 cents by July 30, 2022? Yes No 101.05 0.00 0.00% 1.1424 1.00 0.00 101.05 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 -115.44 0.00 0.00 -14.39 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $140 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 1,048.56 0.00 0.00% 1.0137 1.00 0.00 1,048.56 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 -1,062.97 0.00 0.00 -14.41 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 348K for the week ending on August 21? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 26 2021 -14.58 0.00 0.00 -14.58 Trades
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam on November 8? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 08 2021 -15.19 0.23 0.00 -14.97 Trades
NBA: Who will win Bulls vs. Wizards, scheduled for March 29 (7 PM ET)? Bulls Wizards 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 29 2022 -15.93 0.00 0.00 -15.93 Trades
Will the Kansas "Value Them Both" anti-abortion amendment pass? Yes No 29.65 0.00 0.00% 0.5396 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 -16.00 0.00 0.00 -16.00 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross $160 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 -16.92 0.00 0.00 -16.92 Trades
Will ‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ gross between $180-$220 million domestically in its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 28.57 0.00% 0.5949 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 13 2022 -17.00 0.00 0.00 -17.00 Trades
Will ‘Thor: Love and Thunder’ gross more than $190 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 996.58 0.01% 1.0171 0.00 1.00 0.00 996.58 Mon Jul 11 2022 -1,013.63 0.00 0.00 -17.05 Trades
Will Olivia Jade and Val Chmerkovskiy Win Season 30 of Dancing with the Stars? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 -17.23 0.00 0.00 -17.23 Trades
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? Yes No 0.00 422.97 0.00% 1.0411 0.00 1.00 0.00 422.97 Mon Sep 20 2021 -440.33 0.00 0.00 -17.37 Trades
Will Manchester United F.C. announce their new manager by December 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 02 2021 -17.61 0.00 0.00 -17.61 Trades
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the ‘second week’ of October? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 14 2021 -18.20 0.00 0.00 -18.20 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.5% or higher on May 28? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 29 2022 -18.94 0.00 0.00 -18.94 Trades
Will the price of natural gas close at $7.00 or more on April 29, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 -19.00 0.00 0.00 -19.00 Trades
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? Gavin Newsom
Larry Elder
Other
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-19.52 0.00 0.00 -19.52 Trades
Will Charles Herbster win the Republican gubernatorial nomination in the 2022 Nebraska election on May 10? Yes No 0.00 23.36 0.00% 1.8395 0.00 1.00 0.00 23.36 Tue May 10 2022 -42.98 0.00 0.00 -19.61 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 -19.63 0.00 0.00 -19.63 Trades
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 -19.87 0.00 0.00 -19.87 Trades
Will Eric Schmitt win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 50.08 0.00% 0.3984 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 -19.95 0.00 0.00 -19.95 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? Yes No 56.63 0.00 0.00% 0.3532 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $12 million domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 77.50 0.00% 0.2581 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 27 2023 -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will $UST be above $0.30 on May 17, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 -21.09 0.00 0.00 -21.09 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -21.70 0.00 0.00 -21.70 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 34.15 0.00% 0.6441 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -22.00 0.00 0.00 -22.00 Trades
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? Yes No 0.00 37.93 0.00% 0.5800 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 15 2022 -22.00 0.00 0.00 -22.00 Trades
Will 'Nope' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yeah Nope 47.38 0.00 0.00% 0.4643 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 25 2022 -22.00 0.00 0.00 -22.00 Trades
Who will get more Gold Medals at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics: USA or China? USA China 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 -22.09 0.00 0.00 -22.09 Trades
Will more than 3.30 million people travel via New York City subway on any day before November 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 20 2021 -22.46 0.00 0.00 -22.46 Trades
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on Halloween? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 31 2021 -23.04 0.00 0.00 -23.04 Trades
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 2.63% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 -24.81 0.00 0.00 -24.81 Trades
Will there be fewer than 300K daily COVID cases in India by May 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 -25.45 0.00 0.00 -25.45 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 139.75 0.00% 0.1861 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 -26.00 0.00 0.00 -26.00 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by August 31? Yes No 243.14 0.00 0.00% 0.1069 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 -26.00 0.00 0.00 -26.00 Trades
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 45M global streams for the week ending on November 25? Yes No 749.99 0.00 0.00% 1.0371 1.00 0.00 749.99 0.00 Fri Nov 26 2021 -777.83 0.00 0.00 -27.84 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 39.43 0.00% 0.7101 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 -28.00 0.00 0.00 -28.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? Yes No 77.15 0.00 0.00% 0.3629 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 -28.00 0.00 0.00 -28.00 Trades
Will Katie Britt win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 145.09 0.00% 0.1946 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 24 2022 -28.24 0.00 0.00 -28.24 Trades
Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 20 2021 -29.07 0.00 0.00 -29.07 Trades
Will PNAS retract Dan Ariely’s 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 -29.51 0.00 0.00 -29.51 Trades
Will Sequoia Capital's Youtube memo sell for more than 25 ETH? Yes No 346.41 0.00 0.00% 1.0861 1.00 0.00 346.41 0.00 Tue Dec 07 2021 -376.22 0.00 0.00 -29.81 Trades
UEFA Champions League: Will the sum of goals in Chelsea v. Juventus be 3 or more? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 23 2021 -29.99 0.00 0.00 -29.99 Trades
Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 0.00 271.88 0.00% 0.1103 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
What will the price of Ethereum ($ETH) be on March 10, 2022? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.30 0.70 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 -30.18 0.00 0.00 -30.18 Trades
Will Truth Social be the #1 Free Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on May 10? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 10 2022 -30.22 0.00 0.00 -30.22 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 103.06 0.00% 0.3019 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 -31.11 0.00 0.00 -31.11 Trades
Will 'Vikings: Valhalla: Season 1' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending March 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 22 2022 -33.46 0.00 0.00 -33.46 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross $120 million or less on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 -39.08 0.00 0.00 -39.08 Trades
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 -39.92 0.00 0.00 -39.92 Trades
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2021 Speed Chess Championship Main Event? Yes No 0.00 66.70 0.00% 0.5997 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 19 2021 -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 30.8M global streams for the week ending on March 3? Yes No 77.60 0.00 0.00% 0.5155 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 04 2022 -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will 30 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by November 10th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 10 2021 -41.30 0.00 0.00 -41.30 Trades
How much will “In the Heights” gross domestically on opening weekend? Under $22M
$22M-$29M
Over $29M
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Tue Jun 15 2021 -41.43 0.03 0.00 -41.40 Trades
Will @elonmusk's tweet count be over 17,600 on May 5 (12 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 88.18 0.00% 0.4763 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 -42.00 0.00 0.00 -42.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from April to May 2022? Yes No 0.00 755.29 0.00% 0.0565 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 -42.65 0.00 0.00 -42.65 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 -43.61 0.00 0.00 -43.61 Trades
What will the margin be in Newsom’s recall election? Under 10%
10% to 15%
Over 15%
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-43.62 0.00 0.00 -43.62 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August? Yes No 149.55 0.00 0.00% 0.2942 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 -44.00 0.00 0.00 -44.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.8% or higher on March 22? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 23 2022 -46.85 0.00 0.00 -46.85 Trades
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $1 on its 1st day of trading? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -48.36 0.00 0.00 -48.36 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Licorice Pizza win Best Original Screenplay? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 -48.89 0.00 0.00 -48.89 Trades
Will the Ethereum ($ETH) Market Cap be above $520 billion on December 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 09 2021 -49.97 0.00 0.00 -49.97 Trades
Will the price of $UMA be above $8.00 on March 17, 2022? Yes No 78.85 0.00 0.00% 0.6341 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 17 2022 -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will 'The Witcher: Season 2' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending January 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 -50.56 0.00 0.00 -50.56 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil reach $150 by March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 -51.58 0.00 0.00 -51.58 Trades
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 278.36 0.00 0.00% 0.1881 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -52.35 0.00 0.00 -52.35 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 55 ETH on December 23, 2021? Yes No 162.56 0.00 0.00% 0.3267 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 23 2021 -53.11 0.00 0.00 -53.11 Trades
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 -54.47 0.00 0.00 -54.47 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? Yes No 93.95 0.00 0.00% 0.6067 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -57.00 0.00 0.00 -57.00 Trades
Will Elon get someone pregnant before July? Yes No 368.14 0.00 0.00% 0.1555 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -57.24 0.00 0.00 -57.24 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 69 ETH on December 23, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 23 2021 -57.59 0.00 0.00 -57.59 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? Yes No 27.68 0.00 0.00% 2.1203 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 -58.68 0.00 0.00 -58.68 Trades
Will ‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ gross less than $180 million domestically in its opening weekend? Yes No 435.19 0.00 0.00% 0.1356 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 13 2022 -59.00 0.00 0.00 -59.00 Trades
What will the “Official Edition” of the United States Constitution sell for at Sotheby’s? Less than 20m
20-30m
More than 30m
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Thu Nov 18 2021 -59.81 0.00 0.00 -59.81 Trades
Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15? Yes No 0.00 164.41 0.00% 0.3649 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 -60.00 0.00 0.00 -60.00 Trades
Will ‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross between $180 million and $200 million on its opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 -60.36 0.00 0.00 -60.36 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace launch before 2022? Yes No 646.13 0.00 0.00% 0.0960 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 -62.00 0.00 0.00 -62.00 Trades
Will Ketanji Jackson Brown receive 53 or more votes in favor of her confirmation to the U.S. Supreme Court? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -64.47 0.00 0.00 -64.47 Trades
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 30.5M global streams for the week ending on March 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 -66.35 0.00 0.00 -66.35 Trades
What will the price of $SOL be on November 1, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 -68.41 0.00 0.00 -68.41 Trades
Will Shang-Chi gross more than $52M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 06 2021 -68.62 0.00 0.00 -68.62 Trades
2022 French Legislative Election: Will Macron's party win an outright majority? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 20 2022 -69.72 0.00 0.00 -69.72 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 75.64 0.00% 1.9332 0.00 1.00 0.00 75.64 Fri Dec 31 2021 -146.23 0.04 0.00 -70.55 Trades
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? Yes No 0.00 109.25 0.00% 0.6659 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 -72.75 0.00 0.00 -72.75 Trades
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 -73.33 0.21 0.00 -73.11 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from June to July 2022? Yes No 1,151.62 0.00 0.00% 0.0639 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 10 2022 -73.58 0.00 0.00 -73.58 Trades
Will Wayne Thiebaud’s “Winding River” sell for more than $8M at Phillips? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 23 2021 -76.00 0.00 0.00 -76.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from March to April 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 -76.30 0.00 0.00 -76.30 Trades
Will Federico Gutiérrez win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 29 2022 -76.49 0.00 0.00 -76.49 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 23 2021 -77.72 0.00 0.00 -77.72 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -80.12 0.00 0.00 -80.12 Trades
Will Basquiat’s “Untitled (One Eyed Man or Xerox Face)” sell for more than HK$170M at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 -80.21 0.00 0.00 -80.21 Trades
World Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws? More Less 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 14 2021 -80.82 0.00 0.00 -80.82 Trades
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam one month after release? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 28 2021 -81.05 0.00 0.00 -81.05 Trades
Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 15 2021 -82.22 0.00 0.00 -82.22 Trades
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? Yes No 0.83 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 -82.99 0.00 0.00 -82.99 Trades
Will 'Jurassic World Dominion' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 594.15 0.00% 1.1398 0.00 1.00 0.00 594.15 Tue Jun 14 2022 -677.20 0.00 0.00 -83.04 Trades
Will Robert Colescott’s “George Washington Carver Crossing the Delaware” sell for more than $12 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 -84.49 0.00 0.00 -84.49 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.5% or higher on December 12th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 13 2021 -92.61 0.00 0.00 -92.61 Trades
Will David McCormick win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 368.42 0.00 0.00% 0.2527 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 -93.12 0.00 0.00 -93.12 Trades
Will Kyrie Irving play any home games during the 2021-2022 NBA regular season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 -93.51 0.00 0.00 -93.51 Trades
Will Lost Ark be #1 for peak players on Steam on February 25? Yes No 255.57 0.00 0.00% 0.3729 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 -95.31 0.00 0.00 -95.31 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 600,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 -98.74 0.00 0.00 -98.74 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? Yes No 370.09 0.00 0.00% 0.2702 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 199.39 0.00% 0.5136 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -102.41 2.03 0.00 -100.38 Trades
Will the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 17th be higher than the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 10th? Yes No 0.00 0.12 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 -103.54 0.00 0.00 -103.54 Trades
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25? Yes No 210.10 0.00 0.00% 0.4998 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 -105.00 0.00 0.00 -105.00 Trades
Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? Dune Shang-Chi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 21 2021 -105.42 0.00 0.00 -105.42 Trades
Will PSG or Manchester City win their Champions League match on September 28? PSG Man City 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 28 2021 -107.10 0.00 0.00 -107.10 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 15? Yes No 0.00 599.00 0.00% 1.1839 0.00 1.00 0.00 599.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 -709.18 0.00 0.00 -110.18 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 9, 2022? Yes No 0.00 208.92 0.00% 0.5313 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 09 2022 -111.00 0.00 0.00 -111.00 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 -114.84 0.00 0.00 -114.84 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? Democrat Republican 0.00 752.57 0.00% 0.1531 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -115.26 0.00 0.00 -115.26 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 -122.92 0.00 0.00 -122.92 Trades
Will @Snowden tweet count be over 6,700 on December 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 -123.69 0.00 0.00 -123.69 Trades
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 -123.79 0.00 0.00 -123.79 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 02 2021 -125.04 0.00 0.00 -125.04 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by July 15? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 15 2022 -129.22 0.00 0.00 -129.22 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.3% or less on January 26? Yes No 0.00 274.74 0.00% 0.4804 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 26 2022 -132.00 0.00 0.00 -132.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 27? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 28 2021 -133.63 0.00 0.00 -133.63 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 -148.31 0.00 0.00 -148.31 Trades
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in the conterminous U.S. by December 31st? Yes No 1,066.29 0.00 0.00% 1.1396 1.00 0.00 1,066.29 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 -1,215.09 0.00 0.00 -148.81 Trades
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.01% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 13 2021 -151.48 0.00 0.00 -151.48 Trades
Will 'Eternals' get 85% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? Yes No 0.00 150.00 0.00% 2.0243 0.00 1.00 0.00 150.00 Mon Nov 08 2021 -303.64 0.00 0.00 -153.64 Trades
Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? WI SC 200.00 0.00 0.01% 1.8199 1.00 0.00 200.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 -363.99 0.01 0.00 -163.97 Trades
Will there be more than 1K daily COVID-19 cases in Japan on August 27? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 28 2021 -165.98 0.82 0.00 -165.16 Trades
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 5.71 0.00% 29.5662 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 -168.89 0.00 0.00 -168.89 Trades
Will George Condo’s “Reclining Blue Form” sell for more than $3.5 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 -169.54 0.00 0.00 -169.54 Trades
Will 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1? Yes No 0.00 600.82 0.00% 0.3052 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 -183.34 0.00 0.00 -183.34 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from March to April 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 -187.85 0.00 0.00 -187.85 Trades
Will Miso Robotics expand its restaurant partnerships in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 12.50% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -189.39 0.00 0.00 -189.39 Trades
Will 18 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by November 4th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 04 2021 -190.81 0.00 0.00 -190.81 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 -193.24 0.11 0.00 -193.13 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 85 ETH on November 15? Yes No 356.46 0.00 0.00% 1.5587 1.00 0.00 356.46 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 -555.61 0.01 0.00 -199.14 Trades
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -203.29 0.00 0.00 -203.29 Trades
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? Yes No 0.00 1,738.64 0.00% 0.1222 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 -212.40 0.00 0.00 -212.40 Trades
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -236.16 0.00 0.00 -236.16 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup? Yes No 295,052.38 0.00 764606305.88% 0.0008 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 -243.72 0.00 0.00 -243.72 Trades
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -249.11 0.00 0.00 -249.11 Trades
Will Germany or United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 24? Germany United Kingdom 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 25 2021 -256.43 0.00 0.00 -256.43 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 24 2021 -258.56 0.00 0.00 -258.56 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? Yes No 437.42 0.00 0.00% 0.5963 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 07 2022 -260.82 0.00 0.00 -260.82 Trades
Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 360.00 0.00% 0.7681 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 -276.51 0.00 0.00 -276.51 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 -313.97 0.00 0.00 -313.97 Trades
Will Black Widow gross more than $87.5M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.22 0.00 6.25% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 13 2021 -317.78 0.00 0.00 -317.78 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 16 2021 -346.40 0.03 0.00 -346.37 Trades
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 -349.90 0.00 0.00 -349.90 Trades
Will Uniswap be live on Polygon before 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -394.91 0.00 0.00 -394.91 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 14 2021 -402.57 0.00 0.00 -402.57 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? Yes No 0.00 952.17 0.00% 0.4548 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 -433.00 0.00 0.00 -433.00 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 -594.87 0.00 0.00 -594.87 Trades
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by November 17th? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 17 2021 -596.29 0.00 0.00 -596.29 Trades
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 4.0636 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Fri Jul 23 2021 -812.71 0.00 0.00 -612.71 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 1,685.39 0.00% 0.4762 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -802.65 0.00 0.00 -802.65 Trades
Will year-to-year inflation in the European Union be 4.3% or more in October? Yes No 0.00 0.00 9.09% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 17 2021 -900.18 0.00 0.00 -900.18 Trades
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 2,922.74 0.00 0.00% 0.6683 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -1,953.21 0.00 0.00 -1,953.21 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 3,835.17 0.00% 0.6625 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -2,540.70 0.00 0.00 -2,540.70 Trades
Resolved 32,409.74 43,105.98 -68,171.33 51.72 0.00 7,396.12
Unresolved 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Total 32,409.74 43,105.98 -68,171.33 51.72 0.00 7,396.12