Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
15.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7866
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
12.12
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 26 2024
|
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through June 30? |
Yes |
No |
6.59
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9100
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.59
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.52
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
11.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8860
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
✅ |
79.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
79.24
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
20.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.22
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
20.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.15
|
Trades
|
Fani Willis off Georgia case by Feb 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
12.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.87
|
Trades
|
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) |
Suozzi |
Pilip |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 13 2024
|
✅ |
12.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.56
|
Trades
|
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
12.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.44
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
10.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.64
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
10.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.31
|
Trades
|
Haiti intervention in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
7.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.19
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
7.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.04
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
6.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.90
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
6.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.77
|
Trades
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? |
Biden |
Haley |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
6.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.77
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell endorse Trump before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
6.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.77
|
Trades
|
Biden executive action on US-Mexico border in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
6.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.74
|
Trades
|
Russian nuke in space by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
6.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.50
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Virginia Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
6.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.27
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
6.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.11
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.87
|
0.00% |
|
0.4600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.87
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.87
|
Trades
|
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
5.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.64
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
4.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.24
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
2.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.12
|
Trades
|
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
1.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.27
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.11
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
✅ |
1.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.07
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Ian Miles Cheong be arrested in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
0.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.17
|
Trades
|
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.9695
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.16
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.16
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
0.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.14
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.9770
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.12
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Elon Musk? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.11
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9250
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.08
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.9885
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.02
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.8256
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Donald Trump? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.4057
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.6900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.08
|
25.27
|
|
|
217.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
243.98
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.12
|
0.00
|
|
|
-66.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-53.88
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.20
|
25.27
|
|
|
151.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
190.10
|
|