The Thiel Parlay |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
169.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
169.92
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
35.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.02
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
27.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.73
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
11.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.73
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
10.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.38
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
10.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.07
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
5.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.79
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 10 2022
|
β
|
4.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.01
|
Trades
|
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-2.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.38
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say trans in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
10.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
115.55
|
0.00% |
|
0.0342
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.95
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Biden 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
11.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
38.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.1665
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
-6.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.35
|
Trades
|
Will Belgium win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
-6.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.82
|
Trades
|
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
47.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.2100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will βThor: Love and Thunderβ gross more than $145 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
26.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5024
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
β
|
-13.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.09
|
Trades
|
Will βThor: Love and Thunderβ gross more than $190 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
162.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0924
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
89.80
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1922
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-17.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.26
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-20.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.50
|
Trades
|
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
726.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.0289
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-21.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.00
|
Trades
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-22.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.28
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-22.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.31
|
Trades
|
Will 'Thor: Love and Thunder' get a 75% or higher Tomatometer Score? |
Yes |
No |
28.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
β
|
-23.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.00
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
β
|
-197.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-197.23
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.01
|
|
|
-114.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-114.52
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.01
|
|
|
-114.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-114.52
|
|