Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
6.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.4500
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
3.31
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.31
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
23.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.4200
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
4.90
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.10
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
29.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.2743
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
2.10
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.90
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
1,228.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0886
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
69.88
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-108.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-38.99
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
154.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
154.31
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
✅ |
33.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.10
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
19.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.00
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "January 6th" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
✅ |
17.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.53
|
Trades
|
Will Mbappé leave PSG? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.8200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.22
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.22
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.08
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.04
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.21
|
Trades
|
Will Zuck answer the door? |
Yes |
No |
3.40
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
✅ |
-0.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.34
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
-0.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.95
|
Trades
|
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
10.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.53
|
Trades
|
Will $XRP hit $1 by July 20? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0380
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 20 2023
|
✅ |
-1.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.90
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
120.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0160
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.92
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1458
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-8.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.75
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
16.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6140
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1867
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
-14.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.00
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
-14.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.00
|
Trades
|
Will Threads be the most popular app a week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4550
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
✅ |
-18.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.20
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
85.72
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3414
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
-29.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.26
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
3.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
13.9918
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
3.26
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
-45.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.35
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
42.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.1920
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-50.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.21
|
Trades
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
180.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4531
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
✅ |
-81.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-81.70
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.26
|
1.26
|
|
|
-55.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-51.16
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
69.88
|
10.30
|
|
|
-129.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-49.68
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
73.14
|
11.56
|
|
|
-185.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.84
|
|