Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
26.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5600
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
484.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
484.88
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
425.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
425.02
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
176.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
176.47
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
54.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.52
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.00
|
Trades
|
Will Circle IPO by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
41.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.28
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
66.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.4500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
66.67
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.67
|
Trades
|
USD/TRY (Turkish Lira) above 21 on June 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
36.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.40
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
36.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.24
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Donald Trump? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
32.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.80
|
Trades
|
USD/TRY (Turkish Central Bank buy rate) above 25 on July 3? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 03 2023
|
β
|
32.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.45
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
45.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4400
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
45.45
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.45
|
Trades
|
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
20.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
20.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.25
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
17.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.50
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
17.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
16.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.47
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
36.45
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1318
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
4.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.81
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
β
|
3.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.34
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Huobi Insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
39.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0267
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.06
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
β
|
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.20
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Kendall Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
14.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-1.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.25
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
28.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.0700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
33.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.0600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Turkish Central Bank raise interest rates at its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 22 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? |
Yes |
No |
58.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0513
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump post on Threads by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-4.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.80
|
Trades
|
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
71.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.0700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 26 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
151.52
|
0.00% |
|
0.0330
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
22.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Mission: Impossible' gross over $70m on its 3-day open? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 17 2023
|
β
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.13
|
0.00% |
|
0.6200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner |
Putin |
Wagner |
0.00
|
41.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.2400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
88.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.1136
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-12.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.30
|
Trades
|
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? |
Yes |
No |
142.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0962
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 14 2023
|
β
|
-13.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.66
|
Trades
|
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $30m on its 3-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
β
|
-13.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.80
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.6898
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-15.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.56
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
-16.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.20
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Sunday? |
Yes |
No |
71.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
62.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-22.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.92
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
60.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
β
|
-28.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.20
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
83.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
β
|
-37.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.00
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
172.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3542
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
β
|
-60.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-60.92
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
127.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5007
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
-64.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-64.00
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? |
Yes |
No |
98.49
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7391
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-72.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-72.80
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45.45
|
66.69
|
|
|
917.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,029.48
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45.45
|
66.69
|
|
|
902.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,014.48
|
|