Account
0x16765daefd25a2e81972b86f2ca58b2d30aa692b Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 254.94 | 0.00% | 0.3858 | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 18.33 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -98.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.03 | Trades | ||
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | 446.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 446.29 | Trades | ||
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | β | 281.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 281.52 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 226.63 | 0.00% | 0.3309 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 226.63 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 151.63 | Trades | |
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 113.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 113.31 | Trades | ||
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | β | 60.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.39 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 46.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 46.69 | Trades | ||
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 30 2022 | β | 41.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.76 | Trades | ||
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | 35.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.25 | Trades | ||
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | 34.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.90 | Trades | ||
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 22 2022 | β | 31.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.08 | Trades | ||
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 30.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.76 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | 25.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.87 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | 25.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.38 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | 24.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.05 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | 18.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.95 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 17.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.57 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | 16.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.28 | Trades | ||
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | 15.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.89 | Trades | ||
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by January 9? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 09 2022 | β | 15.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.12 | Trades | ||
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | β | 13.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.84 | Trades | ||
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | 13.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.59 | Trades | ||
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | 11.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.77 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | 11.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.74 | Trades | ||
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 10.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.72 | Trades | |||
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | 10.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.06 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 9.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.40 | Trades | ||
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | 9.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.05 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 8.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.77 | Trades | ||
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | β | 8.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.59 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | β | 8.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.30 | Trades | ||
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | 8.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.22 | Trades | ||
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 7.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.31 | Trades | ||
Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | β | 7.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.24 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 01 2023 | β | 7.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.05 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | 6.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.07 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | β | 5.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.91 | Trades | ||
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | β | 5.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.90 | Trades | ||
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | 5.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.82 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 5.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.38 | Trades | ||
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | 4.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.90 | Trades | ||
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | 4.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.45 | Trades | ||
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by Noon, November 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 4.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.03 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | 2.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.95 | Trades | ||
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 2.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.41 | Trades | ||
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.64 | Trades | ||
Will @kanyewest tweet again by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -1.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.97 | Trades | ||
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 89.67 | 0.00% | 0.1115 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will Kanye Westβs DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 23 2021 | β | -11.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.18 | Trades | ||
Will Rafael Nadal win the 2022 US Open? | Yes | No | 38.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3155 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 11 2022 | β | -12.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.00 | Trades | |
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -14.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.34 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | ||
What will the βOfficial Editionβ of the United States Constitution sell for at Sothebyβs? | Less than 20m 20-30m More than 30m |
307.56 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | ||||||
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 43.54 | 0.00% | 0.4593 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | -20.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.81 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden say βTrumpβ during his October 21st town hall? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 74.91 | 0.00% | 0.4672 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 21 2021 | β | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.00 | Trades | |
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -46.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -46.88 | Trades | ||
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in the conterminous U.S. by December 31st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 90.18 | 0.00% | 0.8317 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.00 | Trades | |
Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th? | Yes | No | 113.87 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8782 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 15 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 189.69 | 0.00% | 1.0028 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -190.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -190.22 | Trades | |
Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 285.64 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.1650 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -332.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -332.77 | Trades | |
Resolved | 0.01 | 226.64 | 461.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 687.64 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 0.00 | 18.33 | -98.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.03 | ||||||||||||
Total | 0.01 | 244.97 | 362.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 607.62 |