Account
0x1414e5d48504470bbab3850ecc5e4278259d53c3 Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 900.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4056 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 08 2024 | ✅ | -365.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -365.00 | Trades | |
| Will Biden drop out of presidential race? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 319.99 | 0.00% | 0.6263 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | ✅ | -200.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.40 | Trades | |
| Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve? | California | Florida | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -136.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -136.69 | Trades | ||
| Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | -110.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -110.27 | Trades | ||
| Will 246 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -106.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -106.99 | Trades | ||
| Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 15 2021 | ✅ | -86.62 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -86.61 | Trades | ||
| Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -64.07 | 5.99 | 0.00 | -58.08 | Trades | ||
| Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam on November 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 08 2021 | ✅ | -55.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -55.30 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -54.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -54.79 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? | Yes | No | 0.02 | 0.00 | 4.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | -50.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.60 | Trades | ||
| Will the Buccaneers beat the Patriots by more than 7.5 points in their week four matchup? | Yes | No | 0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 03 2021 | ✅ | -29.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -29.98 | Trades | ||
| Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | -27.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.61 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | ✅ | -23.92 | 0.16 | 0.00 | -23.75 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -23.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -23.28 | Trades | ||
| (In-Game Trading) Will the Buccaneers beat the Rams by more than 1.5 points in their week three matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 26 2021 | ✅ | -29.02 | 6.17 | 0.00 | -22.86 | Trades | ||
| Will teams from the AFC or NFC win more games in the 2021 NFL Preseason Week 1? | AFC | NFC | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 15 2021 | ✅ | -20.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.86 | Trades | ||
| Will $LINK (Chainlink) be above $27 on July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | -20.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.01 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | ✅ | -12.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.89 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.8% or more from October to November 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 10 2021 | ✅ | -12.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.35 | Trades | ||
| Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by January 9? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.96% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 09 2022 | ✅ | -13.15 | 1.29 | 0.00 | -11.86 | Trades | ||
| Will Texas, Florida, or California have the highest 7-day daily average of COVID-19 cases on April 15, 2021? | Texas Florida California |
0.01 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Apr 15 2021 | ✅ | -10.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.95 | Trades | ||||||
| Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $40 on June 17, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | ✅ | -10.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.81 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on December 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 07 2021 | ✅ | -9.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.51 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say "resign" during his August 3 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | ✅ | -8.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.90 | Trades | ||
| Will 248 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -8.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.85 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on December 23, 12pm ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | ✅ | -8.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.84 | Trades | ||
| Will Poland or the United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on Christmas Eve? | Poland | United Kingdom | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | ✅ | -8.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.25 | Trades | ||
| Will 227.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | -8.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.22 | Trades | ||
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the United States Chess Championship? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 18 2021 | ✅ | -8.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.19 | Trades | ||
| Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1 on May 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | ✅ | -8.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.06 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 120 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -7.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.86 | Trades | ||
| Will the Polygon ($MATIC) Market Cap be above $19 billion on January 9? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 09 2022 | ✅ | -7.26 | 0.05 | 0.00 | -7.22 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | -6.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.84 | Trades | ||
| Will Free Guy gross more than $20M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 17 2021 | ✅ | -5.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.54 | Trades | ||
| Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.45% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | -5.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.41 | Trades | ||
| Will Nicki Minaj get the COVID-19 vaccine by November 29th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | ✅ | -5.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.34 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -5.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.22 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | -4.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.98 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $3,800 on January 12, 12pm ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | ✅ | -4.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.95 | Trades | ||
| Will Iron Finance V2’s TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | -4.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.94 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on January 12, 12pm ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | ✅ | -4.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Eliud Kipchoge win gold in the Men's Marathon at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | ✅ | -4.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -4.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.80 | Trades | ||
| Will 'Eternals' get 90% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 08 2021 | ✅ | -4.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.65 | Trades | ||
| Will Psychonauts 2 get a better or equal 'Metascore' to Psychonauts 1 (87/100) 1 week after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | -4.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.53 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $2000 on April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -3.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.73 | Trades | ||
| Will Venom: Let There Be Carnage gross between $64M and $72M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 04 2021 | ✅ | -3.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.62 | Trades | ||
| Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | -3.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.46 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 1K daily COVID-19 cases in Japan on August 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 28 2021 | ✅ | -3.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.43 | Trades | ||
| Will France or the USA report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 30? | France | USA | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | -2.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.48 | Trades | ||
| Will Allyson Felix win a medal in the Women’s 400M? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 10.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | ✅ | -2.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.25 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -2.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.11 | Trades | ||
| Will 229.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | ✅ | -2.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.03 | Trades | ||
| Will Caeleb Dressel win gold in the Men’s 100M freestyle at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 28 2021 | ✅ | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $63,000 at noon on November 22, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | -1.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.99 | Trades | ||
| Will Hellbound be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 49, 2021 (Nov 29 - Dec 5)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 06 2021 | ✅ | -1.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.98 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.03% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 02 2021 | ✅ | -3.08 | 1.13 | 0.00 | -1.95 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.72 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | -1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.27 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of $TITAN be above $5 on July 1? | Yes | No | 748,424.81 | 0.00 | 33593110.00% | 0.0000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | -1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.16 | Trades | |
| How much will “Dune” gross domestically on opening weekend? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 100.00 | 12.50% | 0.6444 | 0.37 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 63.30 | Mon Oct 25 2021 | ✅ | -64.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.14 | Trades | |
| Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam one month after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 120.26 | 0.00% | 0.0074 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 28 2021 | ✅ | -0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.89 | Trades | |
| Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 16 2021 | ✅ | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.84 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 160 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by May 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 10 2021 | ✅ | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | Trades | ||
| Will 400 million doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by March 25, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 25 2021 | ✅ | -0.56 | 0.16 | 0.00 | -0.40 | Trades | ||
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | -0.20 | 0.03 | 0.00 | -0.17 | Trades | ||
| NFL: Will the Patriots beat the Bills by more than 2.5 points in their December 26 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 26 2021 | ✅ | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | Trades | ||
| Will any US state report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | Trades | ||
| NFL: Will the Packers beat the Seahawks by more than 3.5 points in their November 14th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 14 2021 | ✅ | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.11 | Trades | ||
| Who will win UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya? | Blachowicz | Adesanya | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Mar 06 2021 | ✅ | -0.04 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -0.02 | Trades | ||
| NBA: Will the Suns beat the Cavaliers by more than 6.5 points in their 24th November matchup? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0015 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | |
| Will Germany or Poland report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 18? | Germany | Poland | 0.00 | 1.18 | 0.00% | 0.0002 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | |
| Will NASA conduct a sustained flight of Ingenuity on Mars by April 12? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 12 2021 | ✅ | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | Trades | ||
| Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | ✅ | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Trades | ||
| Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 | Trades | ||
| (In-game Trading) Will the Buccaneers beat the Patriots by more than 7.5 points in their week four matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 03 2021 | ✅ | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 | Trades | ||
| Will Simone Biles win 5 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | ✅ | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.01% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | ✅ | -0.17 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.11 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.15 | Trades | ||
| (In-Game Trading) Will the 49ers beat the Packers by more than 3.5 points in their week three matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 26 2021 | ✅ | -0.01 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.19 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | 0.22 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.23 | Trades | ||
| Will Vice President Harris cast another tie-breaking vote by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.24 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from August to September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Oct 13 2021 | ✅ | 0.24 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.24 | Trades | ||
| Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 0.09 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.25 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $2500 on July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | ✅ | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.29 | Trades | ||
| Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 17 2021 | ✅ | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.26 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.30 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 475K COVID-19 cases in India on any day on or before April 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | Trades | ||
| Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 122.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0026 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.32 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.32 | Trades | ||
| Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.34 | Trades | ||
| Will Tether lose its peg by November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.40 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.42 | Trades | ||
| Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in the conterminous U.S. by December 31st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.44 | Trades | ||
| Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in conterminous U.S. by November 29th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
| NFL: Will the Colts beat the Patriots by more than 2.5 points in their December 18 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.40 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 18 2021 | ✅ | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.55 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on Friday, October 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | ✅ | 0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.57 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 | Trades | ||
| Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? | Dune | Shang-Chi | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | ✅ | -1.48 | 2.23 | 0.00 | 0.75 | Trades | ||
| Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | ✅ | 0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.79 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | ✅ | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | Trades | ||
| Will Germany or United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 24? | Germany | United Kingdom | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | ✅ | 0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.83 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 06 2022 | ✅ | 0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.84 | Trades | ||
| New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | 0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.84 | Trades | ||
| Will the Treasury Department mint the trillion dollar coin by November 5th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 05 2021 | ✅ | 0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.89 | Trades | ||
| Will Naomi Osaka win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.91 | Trades | ||
| Will it be sunny in Washington DC at noon on November 3rd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 03 2021 | ✅ | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 | Trades | ||
| NBA: Who will win the Clippers v. Grizzlies game on November 18th? | Clippers | Grizzlies | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $45 on May 17, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 17 2021 | ✅ | 1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.02 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.61 | 0.00 | 1.12 | Trades | ||
| Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.12 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.69 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 1.13 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.13 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | ✅ | 1.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.15 | Trades | ||
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9127 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | ✅ | -13.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.31 | Trades | |
| Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.31 | Trades | ||
| Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.32 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump’s Facebook or Twitter accounts post by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.41 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by December 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.44 | Trades | ||
| Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 1.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.48 | Trades | ||
| Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 800.00 | 0.00% | 0.9980 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 800.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | ✅ | -798.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.58 | Trades | |
| Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9920 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | ✅ | -198.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.60 | Trades | |
| Will Matthew Stafford have the most passing yards in the 2021 NFL season on November 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 27 2021 | ✅ | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.62 | Trades | ||
| Will Billie Eilish’s “Happier Than Ever” sell more than 400K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | ✅ | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.64 | Trades | ||
| Will Brad McClelland be in the winning couple on Love Island UK Season 7? | Yes | No | 17.57 | 0.00 | 0.21% | -0.0891 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 1.57 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 1.64 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | 1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.68 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 06 2021 | ✅ | -0.01 | 1.86 | 0.00 | 1.85 | Trades | ||
| Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.92 | Trades | ||
| Will $SOL (Solana) be above $33 on July 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 29 2021 | ✅ | 1.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.99 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | ✅ | 1.92 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 2.15 | Trades | ||
| Will Partyround launch on the iOS App Store before September 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.16 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.28 | Trades | ||
| Will weekly jobless claims exceed 400K for the week ending on July 31? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 2.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.38 | Trades | ||
| Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | ✅ | 2.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.39 | Trades | ||
| Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.39 | Trades | ||
| Will a second union vote be approved by the NLRB at the Bessemer Amazon Warehouse before October 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 14 2021 | ✅ | 2.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.40 | Trades | ||
| Will Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 2.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.41 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 23 2021 | ✅ | 2.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.59 | Trades | ||
| Will the Omicron variant be marked as a Variant Of High Consequence by the CDC before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 2.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.61 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | 2.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.69 | Trades | ||
| Will October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 2.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.84 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 23rd be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 2.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.85 | Trades | ||
| Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 2.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.95 | Trades | ||
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2021 AL East? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 04 2021 | ✅ | 2.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.98 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 3.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.06 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 52.0% or higher at the end of November? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | 3.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.19 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 3.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.26 | Trades | ||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416.2 ppm on August 3, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 04 2021 | ✅ | 3.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.45 | Trades | ||
| Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 3.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.59 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach an all-time high by November 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 3.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.67 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | 3.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.71 | Trades | ||
| Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before December 8th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 07 2021 | ✅ | 4.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.02 | Trades | ||
| Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | ✅ | 4.02 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 4.04 | Trades | ||
| Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | ✅ | 4.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.20 | Trades | ||
| Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? | WI | SC | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 4.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.28 | Trades | ||
| Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 4.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.30 | Trades | ||
| Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 4.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.36 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump mention the word “rigged” on his communications platform by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | 4.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.77 | Trades | ||
| Will Ethereum reach $4500 by November 11th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | 4.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.80 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. Women’s Soccer team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 4.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.90 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | ✅ | 4.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.93 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 49.99 | 0.00% | 0.9010 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 49.99 | Mon Aug 02 2021 | ✅ | -45.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.95 | Trades | |
| Will New World be a Top 5 game on Steam two weeks after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.26% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 12 2021 | ✅ | 5.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.02 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | ✅ | 5.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.11 | Trades | ||
| Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 5.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.44 | Trades | ||
| Will Chris Cuomo launch a Substack before January 10, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | ✅ | 5.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.66 | Trades | ||
| Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 6.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.01 | Trades | ||
| Will it be sunny in Washington DC at noon on November 16th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.07 | 10.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 16 2021 | ✅ | 6.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.35 | Trades | ||
| Will Britney Spears’ father James Spears be charged with a crime by Halloween? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | ✅ | 6.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.55 | Trades | ||
| Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 5.55 | 1.11 | 0.00 | 6.67 | Trades | ||
| Will the Polygon ($MATIC) Market Cap be above $15 billion on December 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | ✅ | 7.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.08 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | 7.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.13 | Trades | ||
| Will 231 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.15 | 0.00% | -7.2969 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | ✅ | 8.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.37 | Trades | |
| What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 8.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.37 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 8.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.94 | Trades | ||
| Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 9.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.07 | Trades | ||
| Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 6.86 | 2.59 | 0.00 | 9.45 | Trades | ||
| Will Olivia Jade and Val Chmerkovskiy Win Season 30 of Dancing with the Stars? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | 10.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.12 | Trades | ||
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the NL West division? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 10.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.60 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | -14.09 | 24.83 | 0.00 | 10.73 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price reach $70,000 before November 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 11.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.40 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 17th be higher than the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 10th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | ✅ | 11.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.45 | Trades | ||
| Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on November 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.25% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 07 2021 | ✅ | 11.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.60 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 16 2021 | ✅ | 9.46 | 2.27 | 0.00 | 11.73 | Trades | ||
| Will 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | -0.0490 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 12.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.26 | Trades | |
| Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 23 2021 | ✅ | 12.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.76 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | ✅ | 12.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.78 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 12.86 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 13.08 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | 13.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.13 | Trades | ||
| Will 30 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by November 10th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 10 2021 | ✅ | 13.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.56 | Trades | ||
| NFL: Will the Patriots beat the Browns by more than 3.5 points in their November 14th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 14 2021 | ✅ | 16.02 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 16.09 | Trades | ||
| Will the Buccaneers beat the Bears by more than 12.5 points in their October 24th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 24 2021 | ✅ | 16.53 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 16.54 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 16.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.67 | Trades | ||
| What will the margin be in Newsom’s recall election? | Under 10% 10% to 15% Over 15% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | 17.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.14 | Trades | |||||||
| Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 17.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.83 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 18.54 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 18.93 | Trades | ||
| Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 19.14 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 19.29 | Trades | ||
| Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 19.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.61 | Trades | ||
| Will there be an NFL Scorigami in December 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 19.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.78 | Trades | ||
| Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before the end of the year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 20.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.66 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | 21.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.49 | Trades | ||
| Who will get more votes in the 2021 California recall election: Paffrath, Faulconer, or Cox? | Paffrath Faulconer Cox |
0.00 0.00 0.04 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | 21.85 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 22.02 | Trades | |||||||
| Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 22.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.81 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 23.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.90 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | ✅ | 27.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.58 | Trades | ||
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 30.37 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 30.39 | Trades | ||
| Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.67% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 31.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.19 | Trades | ||
| Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 18 2021 | ✅ | 35.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.48 | Trades | ||
| Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 36.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.52 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.39 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.39 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 35.52 | 0.94 | 0.00 | 36.85 | Trades | ||
| Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | ✅ | 37.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.12 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.2720 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 27.20 | 10.27 | 0.00 | 37.47 | Trades | |
| Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 33.76 | 4.61 | 0.00 | 38.37 | Trades | ||
| Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 38.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.61 | Trades | ||
| Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 38.62 | 2.54 | 0.00 | 41.16 | Trades | ||
| Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 27 2021 | ✅ | 51.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.85 | Trades | ||
| Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 27 2021 | ✅ | 97.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 97.79 | Trades | ||
| Will there be another NFL Scorigami in November 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 116.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 116.12 | Trades | ||
| Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 137.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 137.26 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.57% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | ✅ | 198.67 | 1.16 | 0.00 | 199.83 | Trades | ||
| Resolved | 215.00 | 913.73 | -1,164.03 | 72.61 | 0.00 | 37.30 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 215.00 | 913.73 | -1,164.03 | 72.61 | 0.00 | 37.30 | ||||||||||||