Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
β
|
38.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.82
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
34.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.52
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
38.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.2600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
38.46
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.46
|
Trades
|
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
18.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.57
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
11.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.95
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
45.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.7600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
45.05
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-34.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.81
|
Trades
|
US/Iran declare war before March? |
Yes |
No |
66.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
52.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.0730
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.83
|
Trades
|
Ledger hacker identified by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.45
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.45
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.18
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
7.58
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
21.74
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou |
Fury |
Ngannou |
0.00
|
62.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.0800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 28 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
7.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6400
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates? |
Yes |
No |
28.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-7.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.85
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? |
Yes |
No |
16.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
33.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2956
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
28.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
30.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3301
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.7000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? |
Yes |
No |
66.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
98.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1033
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.12
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
387.24
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0282
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-10.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.93
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
46.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.6500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
57.54
|
0.00% |
|
0.7774
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-44.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-44.73
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
83.96
|
|
|
-131.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-47.50
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
83.96
|
|
|
-136.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-52.50
|
|