Hamas still holding hostages through end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
6.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
-1.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.94
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
1,914.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,914.82
|
Trades
|
Will Faze Banksβ share price be >10 ETH this month? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
837.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
837.20
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
364.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
364.42
|
Trades
|
Rollbit rug by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
294.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
294.41
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
β
|
284.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
284.28
|
Trades
|
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
237.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
237.57
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
7.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-27.0210
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
212.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
212.98
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
4,253.59
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4632
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
2,126.79
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-1,970.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
156.61
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
β
|
133.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
133.86
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
100.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
100.71
|
Trades
|
Will Milady flip Azuki by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-21.1775
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
84.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
88.78
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
63.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
63.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,888.74
|
0.00% |
|
0.9819
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,888.74
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-2,836.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.30
|
Trades
|
White House cokehead arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
43.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.20
|
Trades
|
Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first? |
SBF |
Bitboy |
0.00
|
7.51
|
0.00% |
|
-5.5237
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
41.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.46
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
35.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.57
|
Trades
|
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
β
|
24.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.64
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
23.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.89
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
23.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.40
|
Trades
|
Will Canada sanction India by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
18.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.60
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
119.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.8480
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
119.18
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-101.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.12
|
Trades
|
Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
468.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.9691
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
468.38
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-453.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.45
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
10.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.50
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
10.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.23
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea announce a token by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
117.24
|
0.00% |
|
0.9207
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
117.24
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-107.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.30
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
7.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.14
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
6.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.56
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
6.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.35
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by September 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
6.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.25
|
Trades
|
Will CZ be arrested by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
6.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.20
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in July? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
5.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.88
|
Trades
|
MetaMask airdrop by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
4.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.98
|
Trades
|
Will DOJ charge Binance by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
3.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.23
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea announce a token by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
2.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.76
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
2.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.15
|
Trades
|
Will a human have a Neuralink chip implanted by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Opepen floor price over .69 ETH on July 28? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 28 2023
|
β
|
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
SBF guilty of any charges? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,000 on July 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 08 2022
|
β
|
1.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.29
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by May 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 19 2023
|
β
|
0.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.41
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from October to November 2022? |
Yes |
No |
1.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-1.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.44
|
Trades
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-1.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.51
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.68
|
Trades
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 15 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.80
|
Trades
|
Milady Floor above 3 ETH on September 22? |
Yes |
No |
5.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7490
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 22 2023
|
β
|
-4.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.41
|
Trades
|
Will an FTX acquisition of Robinhood be announced by September 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 20 2022
|
β
|
-5.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.10
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
206.60
|
0.00% |
|
0.1743
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 22 2022
|
β
|
-36.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-36.00
|
Trades
|
Will Newsom appoint a black woman as Feinstein's replacement? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0090
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.00
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-49.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-49.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-49.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-49.37
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
123.48
|
0.00% |
|
0.5588
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
-69.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-69.00
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
β
|
-81.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-81.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
326.28
|
0.00% |
|
0.2513
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
-82.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-82.00
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,130.81
|
3,593.56
|
|
|
-1,159.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,564.69
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-1.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.94
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,130.81
|
3,593.56
|
|
|
-1,161.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,562.74
|
|