Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.15
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
6.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.64
|
Trades
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 14 2024
|
✅ |
1.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.67
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
1.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.38
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
1.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.06
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
✅ |
1.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.03
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.44
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
0.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.41
|
Trades
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 06 2024
|
✅ |
0.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.22
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.01
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.21
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
✅ |
0.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.21
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.91
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.91
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-0.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.9820
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.04
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.9750
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.05
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.83
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.83
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-0.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Merkel in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
✅ |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9790
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.02
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Putin be reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 07 2024
|
✅ |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
✅ |
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-0.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.86
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-3.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.17
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-3.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.36
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.02
|
9.86
|
|
|
-4.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.21
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.02
|
9.86
|
|
|
-4.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.11
|
|