Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2020
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-20.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.20
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5730
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
|
-28.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.65
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
139.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
139.80
|
Trades
|
Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
53.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
53.35
|
Trades
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
27.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.05
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
17.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first? |
$2000 |
$2500 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
β
|
16.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.50
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-19.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.20
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.03
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.03
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
7.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.36
|
Trades
|
Will 'Wonka' gross over $35m over its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 17 2023
|
β
|
2.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.80
|
Trades
|
CZ jail in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.15
|
Trades
|
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
β
|
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.22
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-3.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.30
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-5.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.73
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
Will any Republican congressman come out as gay before March? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-9.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.19
|
Trades
|
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 15 2023
|
β
|
-20.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.50
|
Trades
|
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
-23.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.18
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-23.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.50
|
Trades
|
Will the GΓ€vle Goat be destroyed in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
106.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2343
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-24.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.84
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
167.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1950
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
β
|
-32.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.64
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
30.03
|
|
|
83.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
113.71
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-50.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.85
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
30.03
|
|
|
32.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
62.86
|
|