Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
64.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
64.60
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
✅ |
2.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.44
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
21.36
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.36
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
10.27
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.27
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-4.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.95
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
68.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0906
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-6.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.16
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
111.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
-10.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.50
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.34
|
0.00% |
|
0.2980
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
3.48
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.52
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
70.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1786
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-12.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.50
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
✅ |
-14.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.67
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from June to July 2023? |
Yes |
No |
47.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5076
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 09 2023
|
✅ |
-24.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.25
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
81.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5193
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-42.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.06
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
288.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.1735
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-108.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-108.06
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
35.10
|
|
|
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.90
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
35.10
|
|
|
-153.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-117.95
|
|