Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 50,000.01 0.00% 0.8937 0.05 0.95 0.00 47,734.62 Sat Aug 10 2024 -44,683.28 0.00 0.00 3,051.34 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 9,559.39 0.00% 0.8200 0.04 0.96 0.00 9,169.27 Sun Dec 31 2023 -7,838.70 0.00 0.00 1,330.57 Trades
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.02 0.98 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 273.59 0.00 0.00 273.59 Trades
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 1,833.00 0.00% 0.8035 0.08 0.92 0.00 1,681.21 Sat Aug 10 2024 -1,472.88 0.00 0.00 208.33 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 3,831.49 0.00% 0.8600 0.09 0.91 0.00 3,500.83 Tue Sep 10 2024 -3,295.08 0.00 0.00 205.75 Trades
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 70.13 0.00% -0.4141 0.04 0.96 0.00 67.44 Sat Aug 10 2024 29.04 0.00 0.00 96.48 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 31.49 0.00 0.00 31.49 Trades
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.48 0.00% -3.1429 0.03 0.97 0.00 6.26 Sat Aug 10 2024 20.36 0.00 0.00 26.63 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 3,908.59 0.00% 0.8480 0.15 0.85 0.00 3,333.40 Tue Sep 10 2024 -3,314.50 0.00 0.00 18.90 Trades
Will there be a Senate vacancy in Pennsylvania by EOY? Yes No 0.00 212.11 0.00% 0.9100 0.04 0.96 0.00 204.26 Sun Dec 31 2023 -193.02 0.00 0.00 11.24 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.08 0.92 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 8.04 0.00 0.00 8.05 Trades
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 5.32 0.00% 0.4382 0.01 0.99 0.00 5.27 Tue Sep 10 2024 -2.33 0.00 0.00 2.94 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.05 0.95 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 11.76 0.00 0.00% 0.9150 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 -10.76 0.00 0.00 -10.76 Trades
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? Yes No 74.26 0.00 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -63.12 0.00 0.00 -63.12 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.01% 0.13 0.87 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1,561.47 172.22 0.00 -1,389.24 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 98,359.79 0.00 0.00% 0.7488 0.73 0.27 71,947.16 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -73,653.96 295.02 0.00 -1,411.78 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 14,075.93 0.00 0.00% 0.6271 0.50 0.50 7,037.96 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -8,827.08 0.00 0.00 -1,789.11 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 305,215.27 0.00% 0.5437 0.75 0.25 0.00 75,796.27 Tue Sep 10 2024 -165,950.80 9,891.73 0.00 -80,262.79 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ 107,376.26 0.00 0.00 107,376.26 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 7.84 0.00% -10056.5282 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 78,889.28 10,976.51 0.00 89,865.79 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 154,912.58 0.00 0.00% 0.7087 1.00 0.00 154,912.58 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -109,785.00 1,960.79 0.00 47,088.38 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 01 2023 ✅ 31,042.36 0.00 0.00 31,042.36 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 6.75 0.00 0.00% -3318.0224 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 22,394.28 1,428.35 0.00 23,822.63 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 33,353.29 0.00 0.00% 0.6236 1.00 0.00 33,353.29 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -20,798.23 1,318.43 0.00 13,873.49 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? Yes No 0.00 196,650.45 0.00% 0.9444 0.00 1.00 0.00 196,650.45 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ -185,712.12 203.71 0.00 11,142.04 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ 10,200.00 0.00 0.00 10,200.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 5.70 0.00% -1006.0861 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 ✅ 5,732.54 42.11 0.00 5,774.65 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.99 0.00% -1370.2846 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 5,464.97 108.35 0.00 5,573.32 Trades
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 2.84 0.00% -1867.4506 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 ✅ 5,294.39 181.20 0.00 5,475.59 Trades
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 213k for the week ending on September 10? Yes No 4.43 0.00 0.00% -913.4305 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 ✅ 4,048.45 60.74 0.00 4,109.19 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on August 31? Yes No 5.45 0.00 0.00% -673.7086 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 ✅ 3,671.14 229.73 0.00 3,900.87 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 16,694.09 0.00 0.00% 0.7818 1.00 0.00 16,694.09 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 ✅ -13,051.64 50.97 0.00 3,693.42 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022? Yes No 7,952.88 0.00 0.00% 0.6335 1.00 0.00 7,952.88 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 ✅ -5,038.50 347.33 0.00 3,261.71 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? Democrat Republican 23,573.53 0.00 0.00% 0.8808 1.00 0.00 23,573.53 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -20,763.30 263.12 0.00 3,073.35 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? Yes No 84,728.23 0.00 0.00% 0.9664 1.00 0.00 84,728.23 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 ✅ -81,883.40 0.00 0.00 2,844.83 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? Yes No 341,812.87 0.00 0.00% 0.9941 1.00 0.00 341,812.87 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 ✅ -339,807.28 0.00 0.00 2,005.60 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.65 0.00% -422.0155 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 1,541.65 235.26 0.00 1,776.91 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? Democrat Republican 25,864.62 0.00 0.00% 0.9438 1.00 0.00 25,864.62 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -24,410.98 319.70 0.00 1,773.34 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.54 0.00% -391.4258 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 1,384.28 330.17 0.00 1,714.45 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 0.00 40,936.11 0.00% 0.9594 0.00 1.00 0.00 40,936.11 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -39,275.99 26.57 0.00 1,686.69 Trades
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? Yes No 0.00 36,746.99 0.00% 0.9604 0.00 1.00 0.00 36,746.99 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -35,290.41 126.21 0.00 1,582.79 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2000 again before the merge? Yes No 0.00 7,104.95 0.00% 0.7968 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,104.95 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -5,661.26 138.51 0.00 1,582.20 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 550.18 0.00 0.00% 0.0058 1.00 0.00 550.18 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ -3.17 1,008.74 0.00 1,555.74 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 20,168.45 0.00% 0.9422 0.00 1.00 0.00 20,168.45 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ -19,002.28 18.70 0.00 1,184.86 Trades
Will 'Bullet Train' gross more than $32.5 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 3,083.53 0.00% 0.6232 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,083.53 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -1,921.70 10.28 0.00 1,172.11 Trades
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? Yes No 10,081.22 0.00 0.00% 0.8918 1.00 0.00 10,081.22 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -8,990.14 0.00 0.00 1,091.08 Trades
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 53,901.77 0.00% 0.9823 0.00 1.00 0.00 53,901.77 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -52,949.88 33.29 0.00 985.18 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? Democrat Republican 9,307.79 0.00 0.00% 0.9457 1.00 0.00 9,307.79 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -8,802.35 467.65 0.00 973.09 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 2,100.55 0.00 0.00% 0.5824 1.00 0.00 2,100.55 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -1,223.30 66.92 0.00 944.16 Trades
NFL Sunday: Raiders vs. Cardinals Raiders Cardinals 0.00 208.62 0.00% -3.4475 0.00 1.00 0.00 208.62 Sun Sep 18 2022 ✅ 719.23 3.78 0.00 931.63 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 4,038.32 0.00 0.00% 0.7751 1.00 0.00 4,038.32 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -3,130.00 0.00 0.00 908.32 Trades
What will the price of $DYDX be on September 29, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.99 0.01 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 29 2021 ✅ 870.75 0.00 0.00 870.75 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 11,633.73 0.00 0.00% 0.9295 1.00 0.00 11,633.73 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 ✅ -10,814.01 6.06 0.00 825.78 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? Yes No 7,969.92 0.00 0.00% 0.9837 1.00 0.00 7,969.92 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 ✅ -7,840.11 635.08 0.00 764.89 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $8.25 or more on September 19, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 1,157.21 0.00% 0.3757 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,157.21 Mon Sep 19 2022 ✅ -434.72 16.55 0.00 739.04 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 37,486.35 0.00 0.00% 0.9813 1.00 0.00 37,486.35 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -36,786.72 15.60 0.00 715.23 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 0.00 53,809.86 0.00% 0.9876 0.00 1.00 0.00 53,809.86 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -53,143.89 0.00 0.00 665.97 Trades
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 576.00 0.00 0.00 576.00 Trades
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 9,880.70 0.00% 0.9547 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,880.70 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -9,432.66 122.50 0.00 570.53 Trades
Chicago Mayor Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 0.00 8,189.96 0.00% 0.9334 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,189.96 Tue Apr 04 2023 ✅ -7,644.75 0.00 0.00 545.21 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 15,710.60 0.00 0.00% 0.9667 1.00 0.00 15,710.60 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -15,187.54 0.80 0.00 523.86 Trades
Will Brazil win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 3.90 0.00 0.00% -133.1367 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ 519.53 0.01 0.00 519.53 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Mills) or Republican (LePage) win in Maine? Democrat Republican 3,758.64 0.00 0.00% 0.8640 1.00 0.00 3,758.64 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -3,247.54 6.57 0.00 517.67 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price reach $70,000 before November 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 ✅ 513.70 0.00 0.00 513.71 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hofmeister) or Republican (Stitt) win in Oklahoma? Democrat Republican 0.00 9,175.73 0.00% 0.9462 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,175.73 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -8,682.28 19.69 0.00 513.15 Trades
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 02 2021 ✅ 109.09 403.06 0.00 512.14 Trades
Senate: Will an Independent (McMullin) or Republican (Lee) win in Utah? Independent Republican 0.00 34,314.80 0.00% 0.9859 0.00 1.00 0.00 34,314.80 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -33,830.76 27.65 0.00 511.69 Trades
Will $MATIC reach $1 by July 31? Yes No 3.91 0.00 0.00% -127.4285 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 498.80 12.08 0.00 510.88 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Walz) or Republican (Jensen) win in Minnesota? Democrat Republican 19,923.24 0.00 0.00% 0.9770 1.00 0.00 19,923.24 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -19,465.08 9.92 0.00 468.07 Trades
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? Yes No 0.00 5.63 0.01% -61.8677 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 ✅ 348.11 112.29 0.00 460.40 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Grisham) or Republican (Ronchetti) win in New Mexico? Democrat Republican 24,073.03 0.00 0.00% 0.9811 1.00 0.00 24,073.03 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -23,617.67 4.90 0.00 460.26 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 0.00 19,902.05 0.00% 0.9792 0.00 1.00 0.00 19,902.05 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ -19,488.98 28.74 0.00 441.81 Trades
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? Yes No 0.00 8,477.12 0.00% 0.9501 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,477.12 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -8,054.22 14.90 0.00 437.80 Trades
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day? Democrats Republicans 0.00 12,488.52 0.00% 0.9667 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,488.52 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -12,072.43 2.79 0.00 418.89 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 347.18 0.00 0.00 347.18 Trades
Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1? Yes No 0.00 4,464.91 0.00% 0.9264 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,464.91 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ -4,136.11 17.90 0.00 346.70 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 11,925.35 0.00 0.00% 0.9716 1.00 0.00 11,925.35 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 ✅ -11,587.17 3.29 0.00 341.47 Trades
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 13,284.49 0.00% 0.9752 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,284.49 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -12,955.25 1.02 0.00 330.25 Trades
NFL Sunday: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Chiefs Buccaneers 3,992.84 0.00 0.02% 0.9218 1.00 0.00 3,992.84 0.00 Sun Oct 02 2022 ✅ -3,680.68 6.21 0.00 318.37 Trades
NFL Thursday: Commanders vs. Bears Commanders Bears 9,057.56 0.00 0.02% 0.9903 1.00 0.00 9,057.56 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 ✅ -8,969.40 227.79 0.00 315.94 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from October to November 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,388.63 0.02% 0.9728 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,388.63 Tue Dec 13 2022 ✅ -3,296.30 219.91 0.00 312.24 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 4,850.72 0.00% 1.0273 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,850.72 Wed Nov 02 2022 ✅ -4,983.00 437.26 0.00 304.98 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.22 0.00% 141.1674 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -595.71 899.58 0.00 303.86 Trades
The Thiel Parlay Yes No 0.00 7,758.63 0.00% 0.9735 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,758.63 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -7,552.64 92.73 0.00 298.72 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? Yes No 36,642.04 0.00 0.00% 0.9945 1.00 0.00 36,642.04 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ -36,440.28 88.55 0.00 290.31 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 ✅ 275.78 0.00 0.00 275.78 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 720.52 0.00% 0.6488 0.00 1.00 0.00 720.52 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ -467.47 14.56 0.00 267.61 Trades
Will the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average be 7% or higher on October 6? Yes No 0.00 15,917.11 0.00% 0.9843 0.00 1.00 0.00 15,917.11 Thu Oct 06 2022 ✅ -15,667.01 12.97 0.00 263.07 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? Yes No 9,464.78 0.00 0.00% 0.9735 1.00 0.00 9,464.78 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -9,213.61 9.09 0.00 260.26 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? Yes No 16,339.55 0.00 0.00% 1.0027 1.00 0.00 16,339.55 0.00 Thu Dec 01 2022 ✅ -16,383.63 282.98 0.00 238.90 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? Democrat Republican 0.70 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 178.35 59.99 0.00 238.34 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? Yes No 0.00 10,244.00 0.00% 0.9775 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,244.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -10,013.18 0.00 0.00 230.82 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on October 7? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 07 2022 ✅ 200.93 14.59 0.00 215.52 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 193.05 0.00 0.00 193.06 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 18,391.95 0.00% 0.9896 0.00 1.00 0.00 18,391.95 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -18,200.10 0.09 0.00 191.94 Trades
Will Croatia win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 2,096.10 0.02% 0.9090 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,096.10 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -1,905.32 0.00 0.00 190.78 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ 182.91 0.00 0.00 182.91 Trades
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 178.87 0.00 0.00 178.87 Trades
Will the price of ETH be above $1400 on September 23? Yes No 0.00 18,152.19 0.00% 0.9903 0.00 1.00 0.00 18,152.19 Fri Sep 23 2022 ✅ -17,975.87 0.01 0.00 176.33 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.00 18,592.53 0.03% 0.9907 0.00 1.00 0.00 18,592.53 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -18,419.96 0.00 0.00 172.57 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,892.38 0.00% 0.9430 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,892.38 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -2,727.64 0.00 0.00 164.74 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 8,348.09 0.00 0.00% 0.9804 1.00 0.00 8,348.09 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ -8,184.27 0.00 0.00 163.83 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 255k for the week ending on July 23? Yes No 0.00 3.80 0.00% -39.9860 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 ✅ 152.07 11.36 0.00 163.43 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of CryptoPunks be on October 1, 2021? Long Short 1,637.28 0.00 0.00% 0.6414 0.74 0.26 1,211.42 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 ✅ -1,050.22 0.00 0.00 161.20 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 7,488.16 0.00 0.00% 0.9817 1.00 0.00 7,488.16 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -7,350.88 19.41 0.00 156.69 Trades
Will PredictIt create a new market by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 5,000.00 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -4,850.00 0.00 0.00 150.00 Trades
NFL Monday: Cowboys vs. Giants Cowboys Giants 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 26 2022 ✅ 142.17 3.97 0.00 146.14 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Franken) or Republican (Grassley) win in Iowa? Democrat Republican 0.00 8,394.14 0.00% 0.9833 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,394.14 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -8,254.28 0.00 0.00 139.85 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (O'Rourke) or Republican (Abbott) win in Texas? Democrat Republican 0.00 2,198.44 0.00% 0.9366 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,198.44 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -2,059.14 0.00 0.00 139.30 Trades
NFL Thursday: Colts vs. Broncos Colts Broncos 1,250.43 0.00 0.02% 0.8976 1.00 0.00 1,250.43 0.00 Thu Oct 06 2022 ✅ -1,122.38 7.08 0.00 135.13 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 8, 2022? Yes No 0.00 621.03 0.00% 0.8640 0.00 1.00 0.00 621.03 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -536.57 48.67 0.00 133.13 Trades
Will Morocco win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 2,398.03 0.01% 0.9446 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,398.03 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -2,265.15 0.00 0.00 132.88 Trades
UFC 277: Who will win - Pena vs Nunes Pena Nunes 0.00 5,548.48 0.00% 0.9780 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,548.48 Sat Jul 30 2022 ✅ -5,426.63 2.37 0.00 124.22 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 994.54 0.00% 0.8759 0.00 1.00 0.00 994.54 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -871.10 0.12 0.00 123.56 Trades
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30? Yes No 0.00 5,745.39 0.00% 0.9789 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,745.39 Wed Nov 30 2022 ✅ -5,624.15 0.57 0.00 121.80 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 555.73 0.00% 0.7809 0.00 1.00 0.00 555.73 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -433.94 0.00 0.00 121.78 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? Yes No 0.00 16,998.05 0.00% 0.9928 0.00 1.00 0.00 16,998.05 Thu Nov 04 2021 ✅ -16,876.46 0.00 0.00 121.59 Trades
NFL: Who will win Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Dallas Cowboys, scheduled for September 11, 8:20 PM ET? Buccaneers Cowboys 5.32 0.00 0.02% 4.4888 1.00 0.00 5.32 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 ✅ -23.88 135.44 0.00 116.88 Trades
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 ✅ 114.30 0.00 0.00 114.30 Trades
Will France win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 1,531.37 0.00% 0.9259 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,531.37 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -1,417.85 0.00 0.00 113.52 Trades
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? Yes No 0.00 51,894.76 0.00% 0.9978 0.00 1.00 0.00 51,894.76 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -51,782.38 0.00 0.00 112.38 Trades
Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through 2022? Yes No 17,991.58 0.00 0.00% 0.9938 1.00 0.00 17,991.58 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -17,880.00 0.00 0.00 111.58 Trades
NFL Sunday: Packers vs. Buccaneers Packers Buccaneers 207.14 0.00 0.00% 0.4890 1.00 0.00 207.14 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 ✅ -101.29 2.35 0.00 108.20 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 108.00 0.00 0.00 108.00 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Christ) or Republican (DeSantis) win in Florida? Democrat Republican 0.00 2,675.09 0.00% 0.9606 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,675.09 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -2,569.68 0.93 0.00 106.34 Trades
World Cup: Wednesday - France vs. Morocco France Morocco 594.89 0.00 0.00% 0.8213 1.00 0.00 594.89 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -488.60 0.00 0.00 106.29 Trades
Will there be a Mega Millions jackpot winner on July 29? Yes No 0.00 6.43 0.00% -15.9935 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 29 2022 ✅ 102.87 3.31 0.00 106.18 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 6,734.68 0.00% 0.9845 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,734.68 Wed Nov 02 2022 ✅ -6,630.41 1.86 0.00 106.14 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31? Yes No 0.00 39,995.72 0.00% 0.9974 0.00 1.00 0.00 39,995.72 Sat Jan 07 2023 ✅ -39,890.93 0.00 0.00 104.78 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 120 ETH on October 15? Yes No 0.00 7,920.69 0.00% 0.9868 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,920.69 Fri Oct 15 2021 ✅ -7,816.39 0.00 0.00 104.30 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,831.51 0.00% 0.9732 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,831.51 Tue Nov 01 2022 ✅ -2,755.59 25.57 0.00 101.49 Trades
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? Yes No 996.71 0.00 0.00% 0.9000 1.00 0.00 996.71 0.00 Fri Feb 17 2023 ✅ -897.04 0.00 0.00 99.67 Trades
Will Portugal win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 1,046.14 0.00% 0.9094 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,046.14 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -951.35 0.00 0.00 94.80 Trades
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? Yes No 0.00 10.49 0.00% -8.8692 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 93.06 0.00 0.00 93.06 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Argentina vs. Croatia Argentina Croatia 3,298.33 0.00 0.02% 0.9718 1.00 0.00 3,298.33 0.00 Tue Dec 13 2022 ✅ -3,205.38 0.00 0.00 92.95 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Welch) or Republican (Malloy) win in Vermont? Democrat Republican 22,596.64 0.00 0.00% 0.9959 1.00 0.00 22,596.64 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -22,504.91 0.51 0.00 92.23 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress? Yes No 6.84 0.00 0.00% -13.4638 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 03 2023 ✅ 92.14 0.00 0.00 92.14 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election? Yes No 0.00 5.10 0.00% -14.1405 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 72.17 19.18 0.00 91.35 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 7,995.51 0.00% 0.9890 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,995.51 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -7,907.29 0.00 0.00 88.23 Trades
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the first week of October? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 07 2021 ✅ 83.87 0.00 0.00 83.87 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? Yes No 0.00 12,389.57 0.00% 0.9935 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,389.57 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -12,308.97 0.00 0.00 80.60 Trades
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? Yes No 4,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9800 1.00 0.00 4,000.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -3,920.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 ✅ 75.07 0.01 0.00 75.08 Trades
Will England win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 594.56 0.00% 0.8784 0.00 1.00 0.00 594.56 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -522.25 0.00 0.00 72.31 Trades
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.59 0.00% -10.6726 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ 70.36 0.00 0.00 70.36 Trades
Will Fetterman and Oz debate on October 25? Yes No 895.44 0.00 0.00% 0.9242 1.00 0.00 895.44 0.00 Tue Oct 25 2022 ✅ -827.53 0.00 0.00 67.91 Trades
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the ‘second week’ of October? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 14 2021 ✅ 65.31 0.00 0.00 65.31 Trades
Will George Santos remain in Congress through March 31? Yes No 750.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9167 1.00 0.00 750.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -687.50 0.00 0.00 62.50 Trades
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? Yes No 0.00 6,010.00 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,010.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -5,949.90 0.00 0.00 60.10 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? Yes No 109.33 0.00 0.00% 0.4573 1.00 0.00 109.33 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ -50.00 0.00 0.00 59.33 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.00 11,491.92 0.00% 0.9950 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,491.92 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -11,434.71 0.00 0.00 57.21 Trades
Will Biden say "Twitter" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.8625 0.00 1.00 0.00 400.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 ✅ -345.00 0.00 0.00 55.00 Trades
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? Yes No 0.00 10,136.52 0.00% 0.9946 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,136.52 ✅ -10,081.63 0.00 0.00 54.89 Trades
Champions League: Who will win the Inter vs. Bayern game on September 7? Inter Bayern 0.00 7,147.38 0.00% 0.9924 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,147.38 Wed Sep 07 2022 ✅ -7,093.18 0.48 0.00 54.68 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 ✅ 53.61 0.00 0.00 53.61 Trades
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6,244.56 0.38% 0.9915 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,244.56 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -6,191.70 0.00 0.00 52.86 Trades
Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,376.70 0.06% 0.9617 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,376.70 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -1,323.98 0.00 0.00 52.72 Trades
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? Yes No 0.00 5,000.00 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ -4,950.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -950.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 555.56 0.00% 0.9100 0.00 1.00 0.00 555.56 Mon May 01 2023 ✅ -505.56 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,996.96 0.00% 0.9833 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,996.96 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -2,947.00 0.00 0.00 49.96 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $87.50 or more on September 19, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 340.30 0.00% 0.9620 0.00 1.00 0.00 340.30 Mon Sep 19 2022 ✅ -327.37 35.65 0.00 48.58 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Demings) or Republican (Rubio) win in Florida? Democrat Republican 0.00 20,198.63 0.00% 0.9977 0.00 1.00 0.00 20,198.63 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -20,151.18 0.00 0.00 47.46 Trades
Will Biden say "Trump" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 1,199.00 0.00% 0.9608 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,199.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 ✅ -1,152.04 0.00 0.00 46.96 Trades
Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod? Do Kwon Sensei Algod 4.39 0.00 0.00% -10.4752 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 14 2023 ✅ 46.01 0.00 0.00 46.01 Trades
Will Spain win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 5,343.86 0.00% 0.9916 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,343.86 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -5,298.79 0.00 0.00 45.07 Trades
NFL Sunday: Dolphins vs. Ravens Dolphins Ravens 0.00 4.01 0.02% -10.8021 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 18 2022 ✅ 43.34 0.40 0.00 43.74 Trades
NFL Monday: Vikings vs. Eagles Vikings Eagles 0.00 8,186.23 0.02% 0.9953 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,186.23 Mon Sep 19 2022 ✅ -8,147.95 4.95 0.00 43.24 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 343.66 0.00% 1.0094 0.00 1.00 0.00 343.66 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ -346.88 45.98 0.00 42.76 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 11,538.07 0.00% 0.9963 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,538.07 Wed Nov 02 2022 ✅ -11,495.55 0.00 0.00 42.52 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 22? Yes No 0.00 7.58 0.00% -5.5143 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 22 2022 ✅ 41.83 0.11 0.00 41.93 Trades
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person before 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,890.14 0.00% 0.9860 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,890.14 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -2,849.66 0.00 0.00 40.49 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on Friday, October 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 16 2021 ✅ 40.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? Yes No 0.00 10,990.79 0.00% 0.9965 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,990.79 Tue Aug 30 2022 ✅ -10,952.59 0.02 0.00 38.23 Trades
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,495.39 0.00% 0.9895 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,495.39 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -3,458.54 0.00 0.00 36.85 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 ✅ 33.31 0.00 0.00 33.31 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 16 2021 ✅ 32.38 0.00 0.00 32.38 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,553.08 0.00% 0.9793 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,553.08 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -1,520.96 0.00 0.00 32.12 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42% or higher on Election Day? Yes No 0.00 9,994.54 0.00% 0.9968 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,994.54 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -9,962.94 0.00 0.00 31.60 Trades
Will Penny Mordaunt be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.00 5,442.11 0.00% 0.9946 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,442.11 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -5,412.95 1.34 0.00 30.51 Trades
Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) become law by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 2,995.70 0.00% 0.9902 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,995.70 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -2,966.22 0.00 0.00 29.48 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 286.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9000 1.00 0.00 286.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -257.40 0.00 0.00 28.60 Trades
Will there be a new (1,073rd) NFL Scorigami in September 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ 27.96 0.00 0.00 27.97 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 29, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 4.50 0.00% -5.9681 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 29 2022 ✅ 26.86 0.79 0.00 27.64 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 10.43 0.00% -2.5774 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ 26.88 0.00 0.00 26.88 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Murray) or Republican (Smiley) win in Washington? Democrat Republican 17,998.10 0.00 0.00% 0.9986 1.00 0.00 17,998.10 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -17,972.51 0.00 0.00 25.59 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 37.0% or higher on July 28? Yes No 1,194.25 0.00 0.00% 0.9797 1.00 0.00 1,194.25 0.00 Fri Jul 29 2022 ✅ -1,169.98 0.00 0.00 24.27 Trades
Will João Doria win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 6,957.41 0.00% 0.9966 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,957.41 Sun Oct 30 2022 ✅ -6,933.58 0.00 0.00 23.83 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ -35.38 58.95 0.00 23.56 Trades
Will Britney Spears’ father James Spears be charged with a crime by Halloween? Yes No 0.00 5,847.54 0.00% 0.9962 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,847.54 Sun Oct 31 2021 ✅ -5,825.31 0.00 0.00 22.23 Trades
Will Sergio Moro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 ✅ 22.21 0.00 0.00 22.21 Trades
Will Netherlands win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 365.63 0.00% 0.9397 0.00 1.00 0.00 365.63 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -343.57 0.00 0.00 22.06 Trades
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,100.00 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,100.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -2,079.00 0.00 0.00 21.00 Trades
Will Twitter vote "Yes" on Musk's poll to reinstate @realDonaldTrump? Yes No 0.00 6.90 0.00% -2.9952 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 19 2022 ✅ 20.67 0.00 0.00 20.67 Trades
Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY? Yes No 0.00 2,695.54 0.00% 0.9924 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,695.54 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -2,675.15 0.00 0.00 20.39 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.9600 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 ✅ -480.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? Yes No 0.00 170.06 0.00% 0.8909 0.00 1.00 0.00 170.06 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -151.50 1.03 0.00 19.59 Trades
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.9075 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 ✅ -181.50 0.00 0.00 18.50 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 2,997.82 0.00 0.00% 0.9939 1.00 0.00 2,997.82 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ -2,979.50 0.00 0.00 18.32 Trades
Will it be sunny in Washington DC at noon on November 3rd? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 03 2021 ✅ 17.94 0.01 0.00 17.96 Trades
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24? Yes No 0.00 4,657.53 0.00% 0.9970 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,657.53 Thu Sep 29 2022 ✅ -4,643.62 2.99 0.00 16.89 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 1,992.40 0.00% 0.9917 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,992.40 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -1,975.94 0.00 0.00 16.46 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bills vs. Dolphins Bills Dolphins 0.00 407.60 0.00% 0.9736 0.00 1.00 0.00 407.60 Sun Sep 25 2022 ✅ -396.83 4.24 0.00 15.01 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023? Yes No 745.87 0.00 0.00% 0.9805 1.00 0.00 745.87 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -731.35 0.00 0.00 14.51 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 15.44 0.00 0.00% 0.1210 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 ✅ -1.87 15.71 0.00 13.84 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 897.18 0.00% 0.9862 0.00 1.00 0.00 897.18 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -884.81 0.00 0.00 12.38 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 02 2021 ✅ 12.25 0.00 0.00 12.25 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022? Yes No 0.00 10,802.62 0.00% 0.9989 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,802.62 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ -10,791.19 0.00 0.00 11.44 Trades
Will Kari Lake be certified as winner of the Arizona gubernatorial election? Yes No 7.03 0.00 0.02% -1.5498 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 ✅ 10.90 0.00 0.00 10.90 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Pelicans by more than 11.5 points in their November 2nd matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 02 2021 ✅ 10.52 0.00 0.00 10.52 Trades
Prop 27: Will California legalize online sports betting? Yes No 0.00 4,995.59 0.00% 0.9979 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,995.59 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -4,985.14 0.00 0.00 10.46 Trades
Will Belgium win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 7.00 0.00 0.00% -1.4781 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ 10.35 0.00 0.00 10.35 Trades
NFL Thursday: Saints vs. Cardinals Saints Cardinals 0.00 1,941.26 0.00% 0.9961 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,941.26 Thu Oct 20 2022 ✅ -1,933.76 2.81 0.00 10.32 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 1,898.11 0.00% 0.9948 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,898.11 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -1,888.16 0.00 0.00 9.95 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? Yes No 484.69 0.00 0.00% 0.9800 1.00 0.00 484.69 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -475.00 0.00 0.00 9.69 Trades
Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,893.22 0.00% 0.9976 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,893.22 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ -3,883.73 0.01 0.00 9.49 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? Yes No 1,365.89 0.00 0.00% 0.9933 1.00 0.00 1,365.89 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -1,356.76 0.04 0.00 9.17 Trades
Will Artemis or Starship reach space first? Artemis Starship 8,992.89 0.00 0.00% 0.9990 1.00 0.00 8,992.89 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -8,984.23 0.00 0.00 8.66 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Gara) or Republican (Dunleavy) win in Alaska? Democrat Republican 0.00 4,377.60 0.00% 0.9981 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,377.60 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -4,369.44 0.00 0.00 8.16 Trades
NFL Sunday: Ravens vs. Giants Ravens Giants 0.00 3.62 0.02% -1.2109 0.00 1.00 0.00 3.62 Sun Oct 16 2022 ✅ 4.38 0.11 0.00 8.11 Trades
MI-07 House: Will a Democrat (Slotkin) or Republican (Barrett) win? Democrat Republican 1,997.25 0.00 0.00% 0.9960 1.00 0.00 1,997.25 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -1,989.36 0.00 0.00 7.89 Trades
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? Yes No 5.67 0.00 0.00% 2.6207 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -14.87 22.72 0.00 7.86 Trades
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023? Yes No 0.00 5,999.80 0.00% 0.9987 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,999.80 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -5,991.94 0.00 0.00 7.86 Trades
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? Yes No 802.65 0.00 0.00% 0.9908 1.00 0.00 802.65 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -795.29 0.00 0.00 7.36 Trades
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? Yes No 0.00 999.90 0.00% 0.9928 0.00 1.00 0.00 999.90 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -992.74 0.00 0.00 7.16 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 ✅ 7.01 0.00 0.00 7.01 Trades
Who will win Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennady Golovkin 3 on September 17? Alvarez Golovkin 0.00 3.27 0.00% 5.0954 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 17 2022 ✅ -16.65 23.46 0.00 6.81 Trades
OH-09 House: Will a Democrat (Kaptur) or Republican (Majewski) win? Democrat Republican 4,998.43 0.00 0.00% 0.9988 1.00 0.00 4,998.43 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -4,992.19 0.00 0.00 6.24 Trades
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? Yes No 6.42 0.00 0.00% -0.9404 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 6.04 0.00 0.00 6.04 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 0.00 8,993.23 0.00% 0.9993 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,993.23 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ -8,987.22 0.00 0.00 6.02 Trades
NFL Sunday: Jets vs. Packers Jets Packers 5.17 0.00 0.02% -0.0780 1.00 0.00 5.17 0.00 Sun Oct 16 2022 ✅ 0.40 0.04 0.00 5.61 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through June 30, 2023? Yes No 521.50 0.00 0.00% 0.9895 1.00 0.00 521.50 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -516.02 0.00 0.00 5.48 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from August to September 2022? Yes No 0.00 29.96 0.00% 0.8343 0.00 1.00 0.00 29.96 Thu Oct 13 2022 ✅ -25.00 0.00 0.00 4.96 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6,998.90 0.00% 0.9994 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,998.90 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -6,994.39 0.00 0.00 4.51 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' gross more than $50 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,995.54 0.00% 0.9979 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,995.54 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ -1,991.40 0.00 0.00 4.14 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.9197 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ -45.98 0.00 0.00 4.02 Trades
Will Biden mention "Russia/Putin" 10 or more times during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9600 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 ✅ -96.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first? SBF Bitboy 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 3.77 0.00 0.00 3.77 Trades
CA-22 House: Will a Democrat (Salas) or Republican (Valadao) win? Democrat Republican 6.66 0.00 0.00% -0.5260 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 3.50 0.00 0.00 3.50 Trades
[Flagged to Resolve at 0.32/0.68] NFL Sunday: Seahawks vs. Saints Seahawks Saints 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.32 0.68 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 09 2022 ✅ -0.52 3.83 0.00 3.31 Trades
Will an election for the Israeli Knesset occur before August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,892.99 0.01% 0.9983 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,892.99 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ -1,889.71 0.00 0.00 3.27 Trades
Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 0.00 2,180.14 0.00% 0.9985 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,180.14 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ -2,176.91 0.00 0.00 3.23 Trades
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 ✅ 3.07 0.00 0.00 3.07 Trades
Will Nexo become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 0.00 599.90 0.00% 0.9949 0.00 1.00 0.00 599.90 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -596.86 0.00 0.00 3.04 Trades
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 17 2023 ✅ 3.01 0.00 0.00 3.01 Trades
Will Uruguay win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 6.16 0.00 0.00% -0.4865 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ 3.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by September 30? Yes No 0.00 4,995.50 0.00% 0.9994 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,995.50 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ -4,992.53 0.00 0.00 2.96 Trades
NFL Thursday: Titans vs. Packers Titans Packers 0.00 1.26 0.02% -1.6996 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 17 2022 ✅ 2.15 0.80 0.00 2.95 Trades
Will PredictIt still allow trading through April 30? Yes No 132.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9800 1.00 0.00 132.99 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ -130.33 0.00 0.00 2.66 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 5.13 0.00 0.00% -0.1122 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 10 2022 ✅ 0.58 1.98 0.00 2.56 Trades
Will Japan win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 195.08 0.02% 0.9869 0.00 1.00 0.00 195.08 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -192.54 0.00 0.00 2.55 Trades
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 599.90 0.00% 0.9958 0.00 1.00 0.00 599.90 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -597.39 0.00 0.00 2.51 Trades
Will the high temperature in New York's Central Park be 60°F or higher on November 2, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,999.00 0.00% 0.9992 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,999.00 Wed Nov 03 2021 ✅ -2,996.58 0.00 0.00 2.42 Trades
Will Eric Schmitt win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ 2.40 0.00 0.00 2.40 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 ✅ 2.11 0.00 0.00 2.11 Trades
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 0.00 649.97 0.00% 0.9968 0.00 1.00 0.00 649.97 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -647.92 0.00 0.00 2.05 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from September to October 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,994.66 0.00% 0.9996 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,994.66 Thu Nov 10 2022 ✅ -4,992.67 0.00 0.00 1.98 Trades
World Cup Final: France vs. Argentina France Argentina 0.00 4,702.30 0.00% 0.9996 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,702.30 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -4,700.41 0.00 0.00 1.89 Trades
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022? Bitcoin Ethereum 4,999.90 0.00 0.00% 0.9997 1.00 0.00 4,999.90 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -4,998.21 0.00 0.00 1.69 Trades
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Tue Dec 13 2022 ✅ -99.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.38 0.00% 52.8876 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -231.69 232.61 0.00 0.92 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bengals vs. Ravens Bengals Ravens 0.00 6,001.79 0.02% 1.0002 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,001.79 Sun Oct 09 2022 ✅ -6,002.85 1.56 0.00 0.49 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from October to November 2022? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Tue Dec 13 2022 ✅ -14.85 0.00 0.00 0.15 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from October to November 2022? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Tue Dec 13 2022 ✅ -14.85 0.00 0.00 0.15 Trades
NFL Sunday: Eagles vs. Cardinals Eagles Cardinals 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 09 2022 ✅ 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 56.81 0.00 0.00% 0.0176 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Who will win Jake Paul vs. Hasim Rahman Jr.? Jake Paul Hasim Rahman Jr. 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 06 2022 ✅ -1.02 0.00 0.00 -1.02 Trades
Will Fratelli D'italia or Partito Democratico win more seats in the Italian Chamber in the 2022 election? Partito Democratico Fratelli D'Italia 4.43 0.00 0.00% 1.4757 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 26 2022 ✅ -6.53 4.65 0.00 -1.88 Trades
What will the price of Avalanche (AVAX) be at noon on November 19, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.67 0.33 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 19 2021 ✅ -2.12 0.00 0.00 -2.12 Trades
Will U.S. 30 year Treasury bond yield close above 3% on August 19, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4.41 0.00% 0.9189 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 19 2022 ✅ -4.05 1.70 0.00 -2.35 Trades
NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. Eagles Cowboys Eagles 4.19 0.00 0.02% 1.0359 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 16 2022 ✅ -4.34 1.41 0.00 -2.93 Trades
NFL Sunday: 49ers vs. Broncos 49ers Broncos 23.46 0.00 0.02% 0.3578 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 ✅ -8.39 5.46 0.00 -2.93 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43.0% or higher on September 15? Yes No 4.70 0.00 0.00% 0.8224 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 ✅ -3.86 0.82 0.00 -3.04 Trades
What will the price of $MATIC be on October 10, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.60 0.40 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 10 2021 ✅ -4.69 0.00 0.00 -4.69 Trades
Will the price of Polygon ($MATIC) be above $0.75 on October 7? Yes No 0.00 4.56 0.00% 3.9934 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 07 2022 ✅ -18.22 10.16 0.00 -8.06 Trades
NFL Monday: Rams vs. 49ers Rams 49ers 5.46 0.00 0.02% 3.0841 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 ✅ -16.83 5.50 0.00 -11.33 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6? Yes No 0.00 0.76 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 07 2022 ✅ -13.64 0.83 0.00 -12.81 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.00 24,653.50 0.00% 1.0050 0.00 1.00 0.00 24,653.50 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -24,777.94 111.43 0.00 -13.01 Trades
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 105.29 0.00% 1.3404 0.00 1.00 0.00 105.29 Tue Nov 01 2022 ✅ -141.13 22.53 0.00 -13.31 Trades
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 999.79 0.00% 1.0172 0.00 1.00 0.00 999.79 Thu Dec 15 2022 ✅ -1,017.03 0.00 0.00 -17.24 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $10 or more on August 29, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 89.74 0.00 0.00% 0.2315 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 29 2022 ✅ -20.78 0.35 0.00 -20.43 Trades
Will 'Nope' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yeah Nope 5.47 0.00 0.00% 4.1159 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 25 2022 ✅ -22.52 1.92 0.00 -20.60 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from September to October 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,967.96 0.00% 1.0069 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,967.96 Thu Nov 10 2022 ✅ -5,002.43 12.10 0.00 -22.37 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on July 29? Yes No 1,388.61 0.00 0.00% 1.0455 1.00 0.00 1,388.61 0.00 Fri Jul 29 2022 ✅ -1,451.83 37.58 0.00 -25.64 Trades
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes No 496.51 0.00 0.00% 1.0687 1.00 0.00 496.51 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -530.64 7.26 0.00 -26.86 Trades
Champions League: Who will win the Napoli vs. Liverpool game on September 7? Napoli Liverpool 4,507.11 0.00 0.00% 1.0064 1.00 0.00 4,507.11 0.00 Wed Sep 07 2022 ✅ -4,536.11 0.45 0.00 -28.55 Trades
Will 'Black Adam' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4.54 0.00% 7.4486 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 24 2022 ✅ -33.83 2.05 0.00 -31.77 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3.80 0.00% 9.4417 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ -35.86 1.49 0.00 -34.37 Trades
Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1? Yes No 6.61 0.00 0.00% 6.0256 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 03 2022 ✅ -39.81 2.46 0.00 -37.35 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on October 21? Yes No 75.97 0.00 0.00% 0.6351 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 21 2022 ✅ -48.25 7.23 0.00 -41.01 Trades
UFC 277: Who will win - Moreno vs Kara-France Moreno Kara-France 4,550.72 0.00 0.00% 1.0098 1.00 0.00 4,550.72 0.00 Sat Jul 30 2022 ✅ -4,595.42 2.65 0.00 -42.06 Trades
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2022 US Open? Yes No 0.00 3.55 0.00% 14.4598 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 ✅ -51.31 3.10 0.00 -48.20 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,970.00 0.00% 1.0219 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,970.00 Thu Nov 10 2022 ✅ -5,078.90 59.92 0.00 -48.98 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be 75 ETH or above on August 19? Yes No 5.60 0.00 0.00% 10.0514 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 19 2022 ✅ -56.29 2.56 0.00 -53.73 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 22, 2022? Yes No 5.88 0.00 0.00% 10.3346 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 22 2022 ✅ -60.75 6.35 0.00 -54.40 Trades
Will natural gas close above $7 on July 22, 2022? Yes No 94.49 0.00 0.00% 1.7306 1.00 0.00 94.49 0.00 Fri Jul 22 2022 ✅ -163.52 5.10 0.00 -63.93 Trades
NFL Thursday: Chargers vs. Chiefs Chargers Chiefs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 ✅ -66.98 1.40 0.00 -65.58 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $85.00 or more on September 26, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 4.61 0.00 0.00% 20.1569 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 26 2022 ✅ -93.01 25.76 0.00 -67.24 Trades
Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.69 0.00% 11.0446 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ -73.88 2.05 0.00 -71.83 Trades
NFL Monday: Raiders vs. Chiefs Raiders Chiefs 1.13 0.00 0.02% 83.2522 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 10 2022 ✅ -93.96 0.98 0.00 -92.98 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Argentina vs. Netherlands Argentina Netherlands 0.00 253.30 0.00% 0.3948 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 09 2022 ✅ -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will ‘Nope’ gross more than $60 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 3.97 0.00 0.00% 31.8016 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 25 2022 ✅ -126.13 14.67 0.00 -111.46 Trades
NFL Sunday: Browns vs. Falcons Browns Falcons 0.53 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 02 2022 ✅ -116.32 2.97 0.00 -113.35 Trades
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? Yes No 0.00 3.15 0.00% 45.6763 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 ✅ -143.95 30.14 0.00 -113.81 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bills vs. Chiefs Bills Chiefs 0.00 8.41 0.02% 15.4052 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 16 2022 ✅ -129.50 1.60 0.00 -127.90 Trades
Will 'Bullet Train' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 6,983.14 0.00% 1.0192 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,983.14 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -7,117.21 6.15 0.00 -127.91 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' gross more than $30 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 944.56 0.00% 1.1417 0.00 1.00 0.00 944.56 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ -1,078.44 5.11 0.00 -128.78 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 23,390.32 0.00% 1.0086 0.00 1.00 0.00 23,390.32 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -23,591.55 72.35 0.00 -128.88 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on November 8? Yes No 1.08 0.00 0.00% 123.5165 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -133.48 2.39 0.00 -131.09 Trades
NFL Sunday: Broncos vs. Raiders Broncos Raiders 6.50 0.00 0.02% 22.0477 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 02 2022 ✅ -143.20 1.26 0.00 -141.94 Trades
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 5.12 0.00 0.00% 45.9590 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -235.22 92.21 0.00 -143.01 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 5? Yes No 0.00 990.36 0.00% 1.1816 0.00 1.00 0.00 990.36 Fri Aug 05 2022 ✅ -1,170.19 25.02 0.00 -154.81 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from September to October 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,825.06 0.00% 1.0328 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,825.06 Thu Nov 10 2022 ✅ -4,983.17 0.00 0.00 -158.11 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 10 2022 ✅ -173.74 6.21 0.00 -167.53 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - Portugal vs. Morocco Portugal Morocco 1.04 0.00 0.02% 211.6729 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 10 2022 ✅ -220.66 0.00 0.00 -220.66 Trades
NFL Sunday: Giants vs. Packers Giants Packers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 09 2022 ✅ -231.63 0.00 0.00 -231.63 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - France vs. England France England 0.00 561.29 0.00% 0.4454 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 10 2022 ✅ -250.00 0.00 0.00 -250.00 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 567.59 0.00% 1.5511 0.00 1.00 0.00 567.59 Mon Aug 15 2022 ✅ -880.37 54.00 0.00 -258.78 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $8.00 or more on September 26, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 4.50 0.00 0.00% 62.8716 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 26 2022 ✅ -283.19 18.11 0.00 -265.08 Trades
NFL Thursday: Dolphins vs. Bengals Dolphins Bengals 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 29 2022 ✅ -305.08 17.57 0.00 -287.51 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.69 0.00% 40.9095 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 16 2022 ✅ -355.61 54.29 0.00 -301.32 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 6.55 0.00% 48.6095 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 ✅ -318.35 11.56 0.00 -306.79 Trades
NFL: Who will win Green Bay Packers v. Minnesota Vikings, scheduled for September 11, 4:25 PM ET? Packers Vikings 0.00 1,775.38 0.02% 1.2906 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,775.38 Sun Sep 11 2022 ✅ -2,291.28 108.44 0.00 -407.45 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? Yes No 6.65 0.00 0.00% 86.0964 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ -572.59 129.87 0.00 -442.72 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.90 0.00% 816.3009 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -3,179.89 2,720.05 0.00 -459.84 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from June to July 2022? Yes No 4.48 0.00 0.00% 119.0507 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 10 2022 ✅ -532.93 61.00 0.00 -471.93 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Julius Baer Generation Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.03 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 ✅ -538.53 23.45 0.00 -515.08 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? Higher Lower 6.72 0.00 0.00% 95.7383 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -643.43 67.53 0.00 -575.91 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 1,337.44 0.00% 1.5726 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,337.44 Mon Sep 12 2022 ✅ -2,103.29 135.35 0.00 -630.51 Trades
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day? Yes No 0.00 3.25 0.00% 207.3791 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -673.54 34.07 0.00 -639.46 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13? Yes No 0.00 8,016.26 0.00% 1.0813 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,016.26 Thu Aug 18 2022 ✅ -8,667.89 5.18 0.00 -646.45 Trades
NFL Thursday: Steelers vs. Browns Steelers Browns 4.71 0.00 0.02% 147.0092 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 22 2022 ✅ -692.22 9.80 0.00 -682.42 Trades
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.53 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -776.10 9.07 0.00 -767.03 Trades
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? Yes No 0.00 3.68 0.00% 211.4680 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -778.62 0.00 0.00 -778.62 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 1.44 0.00 0.00% 552.7069 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ -794.21 1.18 0.00 -793.03 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? Democrat Republican 0.00 12,946.17 0.00% 1.0690 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,946.17 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -13,839.60 96.51 0.00 -796.92 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Sisolak) or Republican (Lombardo) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.00 13,559.55 0.00% 1.0889 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,559.55 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -14,765.15 393.60 0.00 -812.00 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 8, 2022? Yes No 4.07 0.00 0.00% 251.1925 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -1,022.30 57.61 0.00 -964.69 Trades
Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 16.28 0.00 0.00% 61.4987 1.00 0.00 16.28 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -1,000.99 0.00 0.00 -984.71 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kotek) or Republican (Drazan) win in Oregon? Democrat Republican 6,382.85 0.00 0.00% 1.1870 1.00 0.00 6,382.85 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -7,576.53 167.14 0.00 -1,026.53 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from August to September 2022? Yes No 0.00 5.62 0.00% 204.7549 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 ✅ -1,149.80 40.02 0.00 -1,109.79 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 1.95 0.00 0.00% 659.1141 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -1,282.81 128.65 0.00 -1,154.16 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 23 2022 ✅ -1,272.31 39.40 0.00 -1,232.91 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? Yes No 58,970.87 0.00 0.00% 1.0257 1.00 0.00 58,970.87 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 ✅ -60,487.51 169.45 0.00 -1,347.19 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4.23 0.00% 335.6875 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 ✅ -1,419.22 38.27 0.00 -1,380.95 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 57.05 0.01% 38.1710 0.00 1.00 0.00 57.05 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ -2,177.59 435.75 0.00 -1,684.79 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $9 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 606.14 0.00% 4.2635 0.00 1.00 0.00 606.14 Mon Sep 12 2022 ✅ -2,584.29 115.86 0.00 -1,862.29 Trades
Will $MATIC reach 1$ by August 15? Yes No 0.00 10.31 0.00% 181.5740 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 ✅ -1,872.36 7.48 0.00 -1,864.87 Trades
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 23,371.18 0.00 0.00% 1.1098 1.00 0.00 23,371.18 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -25,937.39 108.69 0.00 -2,457.52 Trades
Will EUR be worth more than USD again before November? Yes No 0.00 5.30 0.00% 534.2467 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 31 2022 ✅ -2,833.49 216.37 0.00 -2,617.12 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,187.84 0.00% 0.8670 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 ✅ -2,763.94 0.00 0.00 -2,763.94 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 9,925.99 0.05% 0.3465 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 ✅ -3,439.30 194.37 0.00 -3,244.92 Trades
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 205k for the week ending on September 17? Yes No 4,127.16 0.00 0.00% 1.8345 1.00 0.00 4,127.16 0.00 Thu Sep 22 2022 ✅ -7,571.35 104.22 0.00 -3,339.97 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 1.71 0.00 0.00% 2277.5257 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 ✅ -3,892.63 249.77 0.00 -3,642.86 Trades
Will there be 750,000 or more total ETH burned before November 4th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 991,933.26 46.76% 0.0060 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 03 2021 ✅ -5,956.71 0.00 0.00 -5,956.71 Trades
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.00 6.95 0.00% 1479.0909 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -10,281.35 236.39 0.00 -10,044.97 Trades
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9? Democrats Republicans 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 09 2022 ✅ -12,804.83 21.86 0.00 -12,782.98 Trades
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? Yes No 0.00 7.10 0.00% 1857.2385 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -13,187.39 183.29 0.00 -13,004.10 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.06 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 ✅ -20,815.59 138.93 0.00 -20,676.66 Trades
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 5.62 0.00% 10237.7033 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -57,541.36 678.14 0.00 -56,863.22 Trades
Resolved 1,144,120.39 1,179,392.55 -2,100,828.81 32,419.80 0.00 255,103.93
Unresolved 78,985.13 141,498.87 -310,504.48 10,358.98 0.00 -79,661.51
Total 1,223,105.52 1,320,891.42 -2,411,333.29 42,778.78 0.00 175,442.42