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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 322,151.96 18.08% 0.5101 0.43 0.57 0.00 184,296.93 Tue Sep 10 2024 -164,343.77 9,661.82 32.88 29,647.86 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? Yes No 0.00 87,003.89 42.54% 0.8992 0.05 0.95 0.00 82,354.09 Fri Jan 06 2023 -78,234.45 188.91 1.35 4,309.89 Trades
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? Yes No 0.00 17,755.31 0.00% 0.9183 0.01 0.99 0.00 17,541.08 Sun Jan 01 2023 -16,305.15 126.21 0.00 1,362.13 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 0.00 27,443.95 0.00% 0.9434 0.01 0.99 0.00 27,048.01 Sat Dec 31 2022 -25,889.92 26.57 0.00 1,184.67 Trades
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? Yes No 7,590.08 0.00 0.00% 0.8581 0.99 0.01 7,532.44 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -6,513.20 0.00 0.00 1,019.24 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? Yes No 145,140.56 0.00 1.63% 0.9685 0.98 0.02 141,553.67 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 -140,575.42 32.88 0.41 1,011.54 Trades
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? Yes No 0.00 7,782.77 0.00% 0.9468 0.01 0.99 0.00 7,690.55 Sat Dec 31 2022 -7,368.85 14.90 0.00 336.60 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 0.00 13,508.20 0.00% 0.9720 0.01 0.99 0.00 13,398.58 Fri Jan 06 2023 -13,129.87 28.74 0.00 297.45 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from October to November 2022? Yes No 605.80 0.00 0.00% 0.1170 0.44 0.56 265.98 0.00 Tue Dec 13 2022 -70.88 35.54 0.00 230.63 Trades
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? Yes No 0.00 999.98 0.00% 0.7922 0.08 0.92 0.00 924.42 Sat Dec 31 2022 -792.17 0.00 0.00 132.26 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 10,496.22 0.00 0.00% 0.9609 0.97 0.03 10,193.51 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -10,085.94 15.60 0.00 123.17 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 10,904.90 98.50% 0.3241 0.67 0.33 0.00 3,585.27 Thu Dec 15 2022 -3,534.27 0.00 64.62 115.62 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? Yes No 1,373.51 0.00 0.00% 0.8652 0.94 0.06 1,291.59 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -1,188.37 9.09 0.00 112.31 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.00 1,530.23 0.00% 0.9378 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,528.70 Tue Jan 03 2023 -1,435.07 0.00 0.00 93.62 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 134.30 0.00 0.00% 0.4422 0.95 0.05 127.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 -59.39 19.41 0.00 87.03 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,899.95 0.00% 0.9331 0.02 0.98 0.00 1,852.72 Sat Dec 31 2022 -1,772.77 0.00 0.00 79.96 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 832.46 0.00 38.76% 0.5155 0.45 0.55 372.92 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -429.10 71.66 40.88 56.37 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.00 7,999.94 0.00% 0.9846 0.01 0.99 0.00 7,931.69 Sat Dec 31 2022 -7,876.88 0.00 0.00 54.80 Trades
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 999.98 0.00% 0.7901 0.16 0.84 0.00 836.29 Sat Aug 10 2024 -790.12 0.00 0.00 46.17 Trades
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 6,988.78 0.00% 0.9607 0.03 0.97 0.00 6,756.82 Sat Dec 31 2022 -6,714.21 1.02 0.00 43.62 Trades
Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,399.94 0.00% 0.9623 0.01 0.99 0.00 1,389.09 Sat Dec 31 2022 -1,347.22 0.00 0.00 41.87 Trades
Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through 2022? Yes No 3,999.95 0.00 0.00% 0.9810 0.99 0.01 3,954.27 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -3,924.10 0.00 0.00 30.16 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,899.92 0.00% 0.9831 0.01 0.99 0.00 2,874.97 Sun Jan 01 2023 -2,850.83 0.00 0.00 24.15 Trades
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,999.94 0.00% 0.9859 0.01 0.99 0.00 3,964.74 Sat Dec 31 2022 -3,943.67 0.00 0.00 21.07 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,599.90 0.00% 0.9372 0.06 0.94 0.00 1,509.36 Sat Dec 31 2022 -1,499.48 0.00 0.00 9.88 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31? Yes No 0.00 1,999.95 0.00% 0.9784 0.02 0.98 0.00 1,966.54 Sat Jan 07 2023 -1,956.73 0.00 0.00 9.81 Trades
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,499.90 0.00% 0.9867 0.01 0.99 0.00 2,475.60 Sat Dec 31 2022 -2,466.58 0.00 0.00 9.02 Trades
Will Kari Lake be certified as winner of the Arizona gubernatorial election? Yes No 0.00 1,499.86 0.02% 0.9927 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,497.70 Wed Mar 01 2023 -1,488.96 0.00 0.00 8.74 Trades
Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod? Do Kwon Sensei Algod 0.00 1,899.95 0.00% 0.9758 0.02 0.98 0.00 1,862.58 Tue Mar 14 2023 -1,853.93 0.00 0.00 8.64 Trades
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person before 2023? Yes No 0.00 999.94 0.00% 0.9758 0.02 0.98 0.00 984.34 Sat Dec 31 2022 -975.72 0.00 0.00 8.63 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 1,899.88 0.00% 0.9948 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,896.44 Wed Dec 14 2022 -1,889.92 0.00 0.00 6.52 Trades
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? Yes No 999.95 0.00 0.00% 0.9719 0.98 0.02 975.50 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -971.87 0.00 0.00 3.63 Trades
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 16.47 0.00% 0.6566 0.14 0.86 0.00 14.22 Sat Aug 10 2024 -10.82 0.00 0.00 3.40 Trades
Will Morocco win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 198.97 0.01% 0.9749 0.01 0.99 0.00 196.88 Sun Dec 18 2022 -193.99 0.00 0.00 2.90 Trades
Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 299.98 0.00% 0.8292 0.17 0.83 0.00 248.95 Sun Dec 18 2022 -248.76 0.00 0.00 0.20 Trades
Will France win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.18 0.82 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Spain win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.12 0.88 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Japan win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 198.99 0.00% 0.9872 0.01 0.99 0.00 196.02 Sun Dec 18 2022 -196.45 0.00 0.00 -0.43 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 898.96 0.00% 0.9862 0.02 0.98 0.00 881.29 Wed Dec 14 2022 -886.58 0.00 0.00 -5.29 Trades
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? Yes No 0.00 399.88 0.00% 0.9733 0.07 0.93 0.00 373.05 Sat Dec 31 2022 -389.19 9.07 0.00 -7.07 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 1,999.96 0.00% 0.9789 0.03 0.97 0.00 1,949.27 Sat Dec 31 2022 -1,957.84 0.00 0.00 -8.56 Trades
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? Yes No 49.21 0.00 0.00% 0.4064 0.08 0.92 3.91 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 -20.00 0.00 0.00 -16.09 Trades
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes No 499.86 0.00 0.00% 1.0683 0.97 0.03 487.34 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -533.99 7.26 0.00 -39.38 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -243.62 72.35 0.00 -171.26 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? Yes No 0.00 4,278.61 51.41% 0.3536 0.72 0.28 0.00 1,176.96 Tue Dec 06 2022 -1,512.95 132.29 9.64 -194.06 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 14,961.27 0.00 58.42% 0.2598 0.23 0.77 3,500.15 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 -3,886.97 98.51 76.78 -211.53 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 2,771.94 26.93% 0.6936 0.52 0.48 0.00 1,323.23 Sat Aug 10 2024 -1,922.53 176.83 47.55 -374.92 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 1,697.81 0.00 4.79% 0.9804 0.73 0.27 1,239.17 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 -1,664.46 26.00 0.13 -399.16 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 1,214.15 0.00 0.00% 1.0577 0.06 0.94 70.98 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 -1,284.24 128.65 0.00 -1,084.61 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 3,502.26 81.52% 1.2951 0.89 0.11 0.00 380.43 Tue Nov 15 2022 -4,535.92 2,427.46 32.47 -1,695.57 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 4.10 0.00% -19224.8049 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 78,889.28 10,976.51 0.00 89,865.79 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 154,912.58 0.00 0.00% 0.7087 1.00 0.00 154,912.58 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -109,785.00 1,960.79 0.00 47,088.38 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 4.46 0.00 0.00% -5026.6418 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 22,394.28 1,428.35 0.00 23,822.63 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 33,353.29 0.00 0.00% 0.6236 1.00 0.00 33,353.29 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -20,798.23 1,318.43 0.00 13,873.49 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.99 0.00% -1370.2846 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 5,464.97 108.35 0.00 5,573.32 Trades
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 2.84 0.00% -1867.4506 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 βœ… 5,294.39 181.20 0.00 5,475.59 Trades
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 213k for the week ending on September 10? Yes No 4.43 0.00 0.00% -913.4305 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 βœ… 4,048.45 60.74 0.00 4,109.19 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on August 31? Yes No 5.45 0.00 0.00% -673.7086 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 βœ… 3,671.14 229.73 0.00 3,900.87 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022? Yes No 7,952.88 0.00 0.00% 0.6335 1.00 0.00 7,952.88 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 βœ… -5,038.50 347.33 0.00 3,261.71 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? Democrat Republican 23,578.48 0.00 0.00% 0.8808 1.00 0.00 23,578.48 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -20,768.24 263.12 0.00 3,073.35 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? Yes No 84,728.23 0.00 0.00% 0.9664 1.00 0.00 84,728.23 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -81,883.40 0.00 0.00 2,844.83 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.00 1.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 1,541.65 235.26 0.00 1,776.91 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? Democrat Republican 25,868.34 0.00 0.00% 0.9438 1.00 0.00 25,868.34 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -24,414.70 319.70 0.00 1,773.34 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.54 0.00% -391.4258 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 1,384.28 330.17 0.00 1,714.45 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2000 again before the merge? Yes No 0.00 7,104.95 0.00% 0.7968 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,104.95 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -5,661.26 138.51 0.00 1,582.20 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 550.18 0.00 0.00% 0.0058 1.00 0.00 550.18 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 βœ… -3.17 1,008.74 0.00 1,555.75 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 20,168.45 0.00% 0.9422 0.00 1.00 0.00 20,168.45 Wed Sep 21 2022 βœ… -19,002.28 18.70 0.00 1,184.86 Trades
Will 'Bullet Train' gross more than $32.5 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 3,083.53 0.00% 0.6232 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,083.53 Mon Aug 08 2022 βœ… -1,921.70 10.28 0.00 1,172.11 Trades
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 53,901.77 0.00% 0.9823 0.00 1.00 0.00 53,901.77 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -52,949.88 33.29 0.00 985.18 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? Democrat Republican 9,307.79 0.00 0.00% 0.9457 1.00 0.00 9,307.79 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -8,802.35 467.65 0.00 973.09 Trades
NFL Sunday: Raiders vs. Cardinals Raiders Cardinals 0.00 208.62 0.00% -3.4475 0.00 1.00 0.00 208.62 Sun Sep 18 2022 βœ… 719.23 3.78 0.00 931.63 Trades
What will the price of $DYDX be on September 29, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.99 0.01 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 29 2021 βœ… 870.75 0.00 0.00 870.75 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 11,633.73 0.00 0.00% 0.9295 1.00 0.00 11,633.73 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 βœ… -10,814.01 6.06 0.00 825.78 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? Yes No 7,969.92 0.00 0.00% 0.9837 1.00 0.00 7,969.92 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 βœ… -7,840.11 635.08 0.00 764.89 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $8.25 or more on September 19, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 1,157.21 0.00% 0.3757 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,157.21 Mon Sep 19 2022 βœ… -434.72 16.55 0.00 739.04 Trades
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 9,880.70 0.00% 0.9547 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,880.70 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -9,432.66 122.50 0.00 570.53 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 15,714.31 0.00 0.00% 0.9667 1.00 0.00 15,714.31 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -15,191.25 0.80 0.00 523.86 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Mills) or Republican (LePage) win in Maine? Democrat Republican 3,762.34 0.00 0.00% 0.8642 1.00 0.00 3,762.34 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -3,251.25 6.57 0.00 517.67 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price reach $70,000 before November 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… 513.70 0.00 0.00 513.71 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hofmeister) or Republican (Stitt) win in Oklahoma? Democrat Republican 0.00 9,175.73 0.00% 0.9462 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,175.73 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -8,682.28 19.69 0.00 513.15 Trades
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 02 2021 βœ… 109.09 403.06 0.00 512.14 Trades
Senate: Will an Independent (McMullin) or Republican (Lee) win in Utah? Independent Republican 0.00 34,314.80 0.00% 0.9859 0.00 1.00 0.00 34,314.80 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -33,830.76 27.65 0.00 511.69 Trades
Will $MATIC reach $1 by July 31? Yes No 3.91 0.00 0.00% -127.4285 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… 498.80 12.08 0.00 510.88 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Walz) or Republican (Jensen) win in Minnesota? Democrat Republican 19,926.95 0.00 0.00% 0.9770 1.00 0.00 19,926.95 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -19,468.80 9.92 0.00 468.07 Trades
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? Yes No 0.00 5.63 0.01% -61.8677 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 βœ… 348.11 112.29 0.00 460.40 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Grisham) or Republican (Ronchetti) win in New Mexico? Democrat Republican 24,076.74 0.00 0.00% 0.9811 1.00 0.00 24,076.74 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -23,621.38 4.90 0.00 460.26 Trades
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day? Democrats Republicans 0.00 12,488.52 0.00% 0.9667 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,488.52 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -12,072.43 2.79 0.00 418.89 Trades
Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1? Yes No 0.00 4,464.91 0.00% 0.9264 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,464.91 Mon Aug 01 2022 βœ… -4,136.11 17.90 0.00 346.70 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 11,927.59 0.00 0.00% 0.9716 1.00 0.00 11,927.59 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 βœ… -11,589.41 3.29 0.00 341.47 Trades
NFL Sunday: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Chiefs Buccaneers 3,992.84 0.00 0.02% 0.9218 1.00 0.00 3,992.84 0.00 Sun Oct 02 2022 βœ… -3,680.68 6.21 0.00 318.37 Trades
NFL Thursday: Commanders vs. Bears Commanders Bears 9,057.56 0.00 0.02% 0.9903 1.00 0.00 9,057.56 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 βœ… -8,969.40 227.79 0.00 315.94 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 4,850.72 0.00% 1.0273 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,850.72 Wed Nov 02 2022 βœ… -4,983.00 437.26 0.00 304.98 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.22 0.00% 141.1674 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -595.71 899.58 0.00 303.86 Trades
The Thiel Parlay Yes No 0.00 7,758.63 0.00% 0.9735 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,758.63 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -7,552.64 92.73 0.00 298.72 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? Yes No 36,642.04 0.00 0.00% 0.9945 1.00 0.00 36,642.04 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 βœ… -36,440.28 88.55 0.00 290.31 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 275.78 0.00 0.00 275.78 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 720.52 0.00% 0.6488 0.00 1.00 0.00 720.52 Mon Aug 01 2022 βœ… -467.47 14.56 0.00 267.61 Trades
Will the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average be 7% or higher on October 6? Yes No 0.00 15,917.11 0.00% 0.9843 0.00 1.00 0.00 15,917.11 Thu Oct 06 2022 βœ… -15,667.01 12.97 0.00 263.07 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? Yes No 16,339.55 0.00 0.00% 1.0027 1.00 0.00 16,339.55 0.00 Thu Dec 01 2022 βœ… -16,383.63 282.98 0.00 238.90 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? Democrat Republican 0.70 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 178.35 59.99 0.00 238.34 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on October 7? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 07 2022 βœ… 200.93 14.59 0.00 215.52 Trades
Will the price of ETH be above $1400 on September 23? Yes No 0.00 18,152.19 0.00% 0.9903 0.00 1.00 0.00 18,152.19 Fri Sep 23 2022 βœ… -17,975.87 0.01 0.00 176.33 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 8,348.09 0.00 0.00% 0.9804 1.00 0.00 8,348.09 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 βœ… -8,184.27 0.00 0.00 163.83 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 255k for the week ending on July 23? Yes No 0.00 3.80 0.00% -39.9860 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 βœ… 152.07 11.36 0.00 163.43 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of CryptoPunks be on October 1, 2021? Long Short 1,637.28 0.00 0.00% 0.6414 0.74 0.26 1,211.42 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -1,050.22 0.00 0.00 161.20 Trades
NFL Monday: Cowboys vs. Giants Cowboys Giants 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 26 2022 βœ… 142.17 3.97 0.00 146.14 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Franken) or Republican (Grassley) win in Iowa? Democrat Republican 0.00 8,399.08 0.00% 0.9833 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,399.08 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -8,259.23 0.00 0.00 139.85 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (O'Rourke) or Republican (Abbott) win in Texas? Democrat Republican 0.00 2,199.55 0.00% 0.9367 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,199.55 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -2,060.25 0.00 0.00 139.30 Trades
NFL Thursday: Colts vs. Broncos Colts Broncos 1,250.43 0.00 0.02% 0.8976 1.00 0.00 1,250.43 0.00 Thu Oct 06 2022 βœ… -1,122.38 7.08 0.00 135.13 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 8, 2022? Yes No 0.00 621.03 0.00% 0.8640 0.00 1.00 0.00 621.03 Mon Aug 08 2022 βœ… -536.57 48.67 0.00 133.13 Trades
UFC 277: Who will win - Pena vs Nunes Pena Nunes 0.00 5,548.48 0.00% 0.9780 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,548.48 Sat Jul 30 2022 βœ… -5,426.63 2.37 0.00 124.22 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 997.61 0.00% 0.8763 0.00 1.00 0.00 997.61 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -874.17 0.12 0.00 123.56 Trades
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30? Yes No 0.00 5,745.39 0.00% 0.9789 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,745.39 Wed Nov 30 2022 βœ… -5,624.15 0.57 0.00 121.80 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? Yes No 0.00 16,998.05 0.00% 0.9928 0.00 1.00 0.00 16,998.05 Thu Nov 04 2021 βœ… -16,876.46 0.00 0.00 121.59 Trades
NFL: Who will win Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Dallas Cowboys, scheduled for September 11, 8:20 PM ET? Buccaneers Cowboys 5.32 0.00 0.02% 4.4888 1.00 0.00 5.32 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 βœ… -23.88 135.44 0.00 116.88 Trades
NFL Sunday: Packers vs. Buccaneers Packers Buccaneers 207.14 0.00 0.00% 0.4890 1.00 0.00 207.14 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 βœ… -101.29 2.35 0.00 108.20 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Christ) or Republican (DeSantis) win in Florida? Democrat Republican 0.00 2,675.09 0.00% 0.9606 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,675.09 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -2,569.68 0.93 0.00 106.34 Trades
Will there be a Mega Millions jackpot winner on July 29? Yes No 0.00 6.43 0.00% -15.9935 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 29 2022 βœ… 102.87 3.31 0.00 106.18 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 6,734.68 0.00% 0.9845 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,734.68 Wed Nov 02 2022 βœ… -6,630.41 1.86 0.00 106.14 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 120 ETH on October 15? Yes No 0.00 7,920.69 0.00% 0.9868 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,920.69 Fri Oct 15 2021 βœ… -7,816.39 0.00 0.00 104.30 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,834.14 0.00% 0.9732 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,834.14 Tue Nov 01 2022 βœ… -2,758.22 25.57 0.00 101.49 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Welch) or Republican (Malloy) win in Vermont? Democrat Republican 22,600.32 0.00 0.00% 0.9959 1.00 0.00 22,600.32 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -22,508.60 0.51 0.00 92.23 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election? Yes No 0.00 5.10 0.00% -14.1405 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 72.17 19.18 0.00 91.35 Trades
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the first week of October? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 07 2021 βœ… 83.87 0.00 0.00 83.87 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… 75.07 0.01 0.00 75.08 Trades
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.59 0.00% -10.6726 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 βœ… 70.36 0.00 0.00 70.36 Trades
Will Fetterman and Oz debate on October 25? Yes No 895.44 0.00 0.00% 0.9242 1.00 0.00 895.44 0.00 Tue Oct 25 2022 βœ… -827.53 0.00 0.00 67.91 Trades
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the β€˜second week’ of October? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 14 2021 βœ… 65.31 0.00 0.00 65.31 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? Yes No 109.33 0.00 0.00% 0.4573 1.00 0.00 109.33 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 59.33 Trades
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? Yes No 0.00 10,136.52 0.00% 0.9946 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,136.52 βœ… -10,081.63 0.00 0.00 54.89 Trades
Champions League: Who will win the Inter vs. Bayern game on September 7? Inter Bayern 0.00 7,147.38 0.00% 0.9924 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,147.38 Wed Sep 07 2022 βœ… -7,093.18 0.48 0.00 54.68 Trades
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6,244.56 0.38% 0.9915 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,244.56 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -6,191.70 0.00 0.00 52.86 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,996.96 0.00% 0.9833 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,996.96 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -2,947.00 0.00 0.00 49.96 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $87.50 or more on September 19, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 340.30 0.00% 0.9620 0.00 1.00 0.00 340.30 Mon Sep 19 2022 βœ… -327.37 35.65 0.00 48.58 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Demings) or Republican (Rubio) win in Florida? Democrat Republican 0.00 20,199.89 0.00% 0.9977 0.00 1.00 0.00 20,199.89 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -20,152.43 0.00 0.00 47.46 Trades
NFL Sunday: Dolphins vs. Ravens Dolphins Ravens 0.00 4.01 0.02% -10.8021 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 18 2022 βœ… 43.34 0.40 0.00 43.74 Trades
NFL Monday: Vikings vs. Eagles Vikings Eagles 0.00 8,186.23 0.02% 0.9953 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,186.23 Mon Sep 19 2022 βœ… -8,147.95 4.95 0.00 43.24 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 343.66 0.00% 1.0094 0.00 1.00 0.00 343.66 Thu Sep 01 2022 βœ… -346.88 45.98 0.00 42.76 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 11,538.07 0.00% 0.9963 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,538.07 Wed Nov 02 2022 βœ… -11,495.55 0.00 0.00 42.52 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 22? Yes No 0.00 7.58 0.00% -5.5143 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 22 2022 βœ… 41.83 0.11 0.00 41.93 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on Friday, October 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 16 2021 βœ… 40.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? Yes No 0.00 10,990.79 0.00% 0.9965 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,990.79 Tue Aug 30 2022 βœ… -10,952.59 0.02 0.00 38.23 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 βœ… 33.31 0.00 0.00 33.31 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 16 2021 βœ… 32.38 0.00 0.00 32.38 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42% or higher on Election Day? Yes No 0.00 9,998.96 0.00% 0.9968 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,998.96 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -9,967.36 0.00 0.00 31.60 Trades
Will Penny Mordaunt be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.00 5,442.11 0.00% 0.9946 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,442.11 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -5,412.95 1.34 0.00 30.51 Trades
Will there be a new (1,073rd) NFL Scorigami in September 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 βœ… 27.96 0.00 0.00 27.97 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 29, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 4.50 0.00% -5.9681 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 29 2022 βœ… 26.86 0.79 0.00 27.64 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 10.43 0.00% -2.5774 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 βœ… 26.88 0.00 0.00 26.88 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Murray) or Republican (Smiley) win in Washington? Democrat Republican 17,999.58 0.00 0.00% 0.9986 1.00 0.00 17,999.58 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -17,974.00 0.00 0.00 25.59 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 37.0% or higher on July 28? Yes No 1,194.25 0.00 0.00% 0.9797 1.00 0.00 1,194.25 0.00 Fri Jul 29 2022 βœ… -1,169.98 0.00 0.00 24.27 Trades
Will JoΓ£o Doria win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 6,957.41 0.00% 0.9966 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,957.41 Sun Oct 30 2022 βœ… -6,933.58 0.00 0.00 23.83 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 βœ… -35.38 58.95 0.00 23.56 Trades
Will Britney Spears’ father James Spears be charged with a crime by Halloween? Yes No 0.00 5,847.54 0.00% 0.9962 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,847.54 Sun Oct 31 2021 βœ… -5,825.31 0.00 0.00 22.23 Trades
Will Sergio Moro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 βœ… 22.21 0.00 0.00 22.21 Trades
Will Twitter vote "Yes" on Musk's poll to reinstate @realDonaldTrump? Yes No 0.00 6.90 0.00% -2.9952 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 19 2022 βœ… 20.67 0.00 0.00 20.67 Trades
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? Yes No 0.00 170.06 0.00% 0.8909 0.00 1.00 0.00 170.06 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -151.50 1.03 0.00 19.59 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 2,997.82 0.00 0.00% 0.9939 1.00 0.00 2,997.82 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 βœ… -2,979.50 0.00 0.00 18.32 Trades
Will it be sunny in Washington DC at noon on November 3rd? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 03 2021 βœ… 17.94 0.01 0.00 17.96 Trades
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24? Yes No 0.00 4,657.53 0.00% 0.9970 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,657.53 Thu Sep 29 2022 βœ… -4,643.62 2.99 0.00 16.89 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bills vs. Dolphins Bills Dolphins 0.00 407.60 0.00% 0.9736 0.00 1.00 0.00 407.60 Sun Sep 25 2022 βœ… -396.83 4.24 0.00 15.01 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023? Yes No 745.87 0.00 0.00% 0.9805 1.00 0.00 745.87 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -731.35 0.00 0.00 14.51 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 15.44 0.00 0.00% 0.1210 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 βœ… -1.87 15.71 0.00 13.84 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 02 2021 βœ… 12.25 0.00 0.00 12.25 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022? Yes No 0.00 10,804.89 0.00% 0.9989 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,804.89 Fri Sep 30 2022 βœ… -10,793.46 0.00 0.00 11.44 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Pelicans by more than 11.5 points in their November 2nd matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 02 2021 βœ… 10.52 0.00 0.00 10.52 Trades
Prop 27: Will California legalize online sports betting? Yes No 0.00 4,995.59 0.00% 0.9979 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,995.59 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -4,985.14 0.00 0.00 10.46 Trades
Will Belgium win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 7.00 0.00 0.00% -1.4781 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 βœ… 10.35 0.00 0.00 10.35 Trades
NFL Thursday: Saints vs. Cardinals Saints Cardinals 0.00 1,941.26 0.00% 0.9961 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,941.26 Thu Oct 20 2022 βœ… -1,933.76 2.81 0.00 10.32 Trades
Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,893.22 0.00% 0.9976 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,893.22 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… -3,883.73 0.01 0.00 9.49 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? Yes No 1,365.89 0.00 0.00% 0.9933 1.00 0.00 1,365.89 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -1,356.76 0.04 0.00 9.17 Trades
Will Artemis or Starship reach space first? Artemis Starship 8,992.89 0.00 0.00% 0.9990 1.00 0.00 8,992.89 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -8,984.23 0.00 0.00 8.66 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Gara) or Republican (Dunleavy) win in Alaska? Democrat Republican 0.00 4,377.60 0.00% 0.9981 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,377.60 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -4,369.44 0.00 0.00 8.16 Trades
NFL Sunday: Ravens vs. Giants Ravens Giants 0.00 3.62 0.02% -1.2109 0.00 1.00 0.00 3.62 Sun Oct 16 2022 βœ… 4.38 0.11 0.00 8.11 Trades
MI-07 House: Will a Democrat (Slotkin) or Republican (Barrett) win? Democrat Republican 1,997.25 0.00 0.00% 0.9960 1.00 0.00 1,997.25 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -1,989.36 0.00 0.00 7.89 Trades
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? Yes No 5.67 0.00 0.00% 2.6207 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -14.87 22.72 0.00 7.86 Trades
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? Yes No 802.65 0.00 0.00% 0.9908 1.00 0.00 802.65 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -795.29 0.00 0.00 7.36 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… 7.01 0.00 0.00 7.01 Trades
Who will win Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennady Golovkin 3 on September 17? Alvarez Golovkin 0.00 3.27 0.00% 5.0954 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 17 2022 βœ… -16.65 23.46 0.00 6.81 Trades
OH-09 House: Will a Democrat (Kaptur) or Republican (Majewski) win? Democrat Republican 4,998.43 0.00 0.00% 0.9988 1.00 0.00 4,998.43 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -4,992.19 0.00 0.00 6.24 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 0.00 8,993.23 0.00% 0.9993 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,993.23 Fri Sep 30 2022 βœ… -8,987.22 0.00 0.00 6.02 Trades
NFL Sunday: Jets vs. Packers Jets Packers 5.17 0.00 0.02% -0.0780 1.00 0.00 5.17 0.00 Sun Oct 16 2022 βœ… 0.40 0.04 0.00 5.61 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from August to September 2022? Yes No 0.00 29.96 0.00% 0.8343 0.00 1.00 0.00 29.96 Thu Oct 13 2022 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 4.96 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' gross more than $50 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,995.54 0.00% 0.9979 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,995.54 Mon Aug 01 2022 βœ… -1,991.40 0.00 0.00 4.14 Trades
CA-22 House: Will a Democrat (Salas) or Republican (Valadao) win? Democrat Republican 6.66 0.00 0.00% -0.5260 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 3.50 0.00 0.00 3.50 Trades
[Flagged to Resolve at 0.32/0.68] NFL Sunday: Seahawks vs. Saints Seahawks Saints 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.32 0.68 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 09 2022 βœ… -0.52 3.83 0.00 3.31 Trades
Will an election for the Israeli Knesset occur before August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,892.99 0.01% 0.9983 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,892.99 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… -1,889.71 0.00 0.00 3.27 Trades
Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 0.00 2,180.14 0.00% 0.9985 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,180.14 Fri Sep 30 2022 βœ… -2,176.91 0.00 0.00 3.23 Trades
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 βœ… 3.07 0.00 0.00 3.07 Trades
Will Uruguay win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 6.16 0.00 0.00% -0.4865 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 βœ… 3.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by September 30? Yes No 0.00 4,995.50 0.00% 0.9994 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,995.50 Fri Sep 30 2022 βœ… -4,992.53 0.00 0.00 2.96 Trades
NFL Thursday: Titans vs. Packers Titans Packers 0.00 1.26 0.02% -1.6996 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 17 2022 βœ… 2.15 0.80 0.00 2.95 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 5.13 0.00 0.00% -0.1122 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 10 2022 βœ… 0.58 1.98 0.00 2.56 Trades
Will the high temperature in New York's Central Park be 60Β°F or higher on November 2, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,999.00 0.00% 0.9992 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,999.00 Wed Nov 03 2021 βœ… -2,996.58 0.00 0.00 2.42 Trades
Will Eric Schmitt win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 βœ… 2.40 0.00 0.00 2.40 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… 2.11 0.00 0.00 2.11 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from September to October 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,994.66 0.00% 0.9996 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,994.66 Thu Nov 10 2022 βœ… -4,992.67 0.00 0.00 1.98 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.38 0.00% 52.8876 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -231.69 232.61 0.00 0.92 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bengals vs. Ravens Bengals Ravens 0.00 6,001.79 0.02% 1.0002 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,001.79 Sun Oct 09 2022 βœ… -6,002.85 1.56 0.00 0.49 Trades
NFL Sunday: Eagles vs. Cardinals Eagles Cardinals 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 09 2022 βœ… 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 56.81 0.00 0.00% 0.0176 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Who will win Jake Paul vs. Hasim Rahman Jr.? Jake Paul Hasim Rahman Jr. 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 06 2022 βœ… -1.02 0.00 0.00 -1.02 Trades
Will Fratelli D'italia or Partito Democratico win more seats in the Italian Chamber in the 2022 election? Partito Democratico Fratelli D'Italia 4.43 0.00 0.00% 1.4757 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 26 2022 βœ… -6.53 4.65 0.00 -1.88 Trades
What will the price of Avalanche (AVAX) be at noon on November 19, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.67 0.33 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 19 2021 βœ… -2.12 0.00 0.00 -2.12 Trades
Will U.S. 30 year Treasury bond yield close above 3% on August 19, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4.41 0.00% 0.9189 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 19 2022 βœ… -4.05 1.70 0.00 -2.35 Trades
NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. Eagles Cowboys Eagles 4.19 0.00 0.02% 1.0359 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 16 2022 βœ… -4.34 1.41 0.00 -2.93 Trades
NFL Sunday: 49ers vs. Broncos 49ers Broncos 23.46 0.00 0.02% 0.3578 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 βœ… -8.39 5.46 0.00 -2.93 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43.0% or higher on September 15? Yes No 4.70 0.00 0.00% 0.8224 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 βœ… -3.86 0.82 0.00 -3.04 Trades
What will the price of $MATIC be on October 10, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.60 0.40 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 10 2021 βœ… -4.69 0.00 0.00 -4.69 Trades
Will the price of Polygon ($MATIC) be above $0.75 on October 7? Yes No 0.00 4.56 0.00% 3.9934 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 07 2022 βœ… -18.22 10.16 0.00 -8.06 Trades
NFL Monday: Rams vs. 49ers Rams 49ers 5.46 0.00 0.02% 3.0841 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 βœ… -16.83 5.50 0.00 -11.33 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6? Yes No 0.00 0.76 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 07 2022 βœ… -13.64 0.83 0.00 -12.81 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.00 24,656.69 0.00% 1.0050 0.00 1.00 0.00 24,656.69 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -24,781.13 111.43 0.00 -13.01 Trades
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 105.29 0.00% 1.3404 0.00 1.00 0.00 105.29 Tue Nov 01 2022 βœ… -141.13 22.53 0.00 -13.31 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $10 or more on August 29, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 89.74 0.00 0.00% 0.2315 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 29 2022 βœ… -20.78 0.35 0.00 -20.43 Trades
Will 'Nope' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yeah Nope 5.47 0.00 0.00% 4.1159 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 25 2022 βœ… -22.52 1.92 0.00 -20.60 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from September to October 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,967.96 0.00% 1.0069 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,967.96 Thu Nov 10 2022 βœ… -5,002.43 12.10 0.00 -22.37 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on July 29? Yes No 1,388.61 0.00 0.00% 1.0455 1.00 0.00 1,388.61 0.00 Fri Jul 29 2022 βœ… -1,451.83 37.58 0.00 -25.64 Trades
Champions League: Who will win the Napoli vs. Liverpool game on September 7? Napoli Liverpool 4,507.11 0.00 0.00% 1.0064 1.00 0.00 4,507.11 0.00 Wed Sep 07 2022 βœ… -4,536.11 0.45 0.00 -28.55 Trades
Will 'Black Adam' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4.54 0.00% 7.4486 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 24 2022 βœ… -33.83 2.05 0.00 -31.77 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3.80 0.00% 9.4417 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 βœ… -35.86 1.49 0.00 -34.37 Trades
Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1? Yes No 6.61 0.00 0.00% 6.0256 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 03 2022 βœ… -39.81 2.46 0.00 -37.35 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on October 21? Yes No 75.97 0.00 0.00% 0.6351 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 21 2022 βœ… -48.25 7.23 0.00 -41.01 Trades
UFC 277: Who will win - Moreno vs Kara-France Moreno Kara-France 4,550.72 0.00 0.00% 1.0098 1.00 0.00 4,550.72 0.00 Sat Jul 30 2022 βœ… -4,595.42 2.65 0.00 -42.06 Trades
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2022 US Open? Yes No 0.00 3.55 0.00% 14.4598 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 βœ… -51.31 3.10 0.00 -48.20 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,970.00 0.00% 1.0219 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,970.00 Thu Nov 10 2022 βœ… -5,078.90 59.92 0.00 -48.98 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be 75 ETH or above on August 19? Yes No 5.60 0.00 0.00% 10.0514 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 19 2022 βœ… -56.29 2.56 0.00 -53.73 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 22, 2022? Yes No 5.88 0.00 0.00% 10.3346 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 22 2022 βœ… -60.75 6.35 0.00 -54.40 Trades
Will natural gas close above $7 on July 22, 2022? Yes No 94.49 0.00 0.00% 1.7306 1.00 0.00 94.49 0.00 Fri Jul 22 2022 βœ… -163.52 5.10 0.00 -63.93 Trades
NFL Thursday: Chargers vs. Chiefs Chargers Chiefs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 βœ… -66.98 1.40 0.00 -65.58 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $85.00 or more on September 26, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 4.61 0.00 0.00% 20.1569 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 26 2022 βœ… -93.01 25.76 0.00 -67.24 Trades
Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.69 0.00% 11.0446 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 βœ… -73.88 2.05 0.00 -71.83 Trades
NFL Monday: Raiders vs. Chiefs Raiders Chiefs 1.13 0.00 0.02% 83.2522 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 10 2022 βœ… -93.96 0.98 0.00 -92.98 Trades
Will β€˜Nope’ gross more than $60 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 3.97 0.00 0.00% 31.8016 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 25 2022 βœ… -126.13 14.67 0.00 -111.46 Trades
NFL Sunday: Browns vs. Falcons Browns Falcons 0.53 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 02 2022 βœ… -116.32 2.97 0.00 -113.35 Trades
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? Yes No 0.00 3.15 0.00% 45.6763 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 βœ… -143.95 30.14 0.00 -113.81 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bills vs. Chiefs Bills Chiefs 0.00 8.41 0.02% 15.4052 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 16 2022 βœ… -129.50 1.60 0.00 -127.90 Trades
Will 'Bullet Train' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 6,983.14 0.00% 1.0192 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,983.14 Mon Aug 08 2022 βœ… -7,117.21 6.15 0.00 -127.91 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' gross more than $30 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 944.56 0.00% 1.1417 0.00 1.00 0.00 944.56 Mon Aug 01 2022 βœ… -1,078.44 5.11 0.00 -128.77 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on November 8? Yes No 1.08 0.00 0.00% 123.5165 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -133.48 2.39 0.00 -131.09 Trades
NFL Sunday: Broncos vs. Raiders Broncos Raiders 6.50 0.00 0.02% 22.0477 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 02 2022 βœ… -143.20 1.26 0.00 -141.94 Trades
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 5.12 0.00 0.00% 45.9590 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -235.22 92.21 0.00 -143.01 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 5? Yes No 0.00 990.36 0.00% 1.1816 0.00 1.00 0.00 990.36 Fri Aug 05 2022 βœ… -1,170.19 25.02 0.00 -154.81 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from September to October 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,825.06 0.00% 1.0328 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,825.06 Thu Nov 10 2022 βœ… -4,983.17 0.00 0.00 -158.11 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 10 2022 βœ… -173.74 6.21 0.00 -167.53 Trades
NFL Sunday: Giants vs. Packers Giants Packers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 09 2022 βœ… -231.63 0.00 0.00 -231.63 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 567.59 0.00% 1.5511 0.00 1.00 0.00 567.59 Mon Aug 15 2022 βœ… -880.37 54.00 0.00 -258.78 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $8.00 or more on September 26, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 4.50 0.00 0.00% 62.8716 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 26 2022 βœ… -283.19 18.11 0.00 -265.08 Trades
NFL Thursday: Dolphins vs. Bengals Dolphins Bengals 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 29 2022 βœ… -305.08 17.57 0.00 -287.51 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.69 0.00% 40.9095 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 16 2022 βœ… -355.61 54.29 0.00 -301.32 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 6.55 0.00% 48.6095 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 βœ… -318.35 11.56 0.00 -306.79 Trades
NFL: Who will win Green Bay Packers v. Minnesota Vikings, scheduled for September 11, 4:25 PM ET? Packers Vikings 0.00 1,775.38 0.02% 1.2906 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,775.38 Sun Sep 11 2022 βœ… -2,291.28 108.44 0.00 -407.45 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? Yes No 6.65 0.00 0.00% 86.0964 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 βœ… -572.59 129.87 0.00 -442.72 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from June to July 2022? Yes No 4.48 0.00 0.00% 119.0507 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 10 2022 βœ… -532.93 61.00 0.00 -471.93 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Julius Baer Generation Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.03 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 βœ… -538.53 23.45 0.00 -515.08 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? Higher Lower 6.72 0.00 0.00% 95.7383 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -643.43 67.53 0.00 -575.91 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 1,337.44 0.00% 1.5726 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,337.44 Mon Sep 12 2022 βœ… -2,103.29 135.35 0.00 -630.51 Trades
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day? Yes No 0.00 3.25 0.00% 207.3791 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -673.54 34.07 0.00 -639.46 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13? Yes No 0.00 8,016.26 0.00% 1.0813 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,016.26 Thu Aug 18 2022 βœ… -8,667.89 5.18 0.00 -646.45 Trades
NFL Thursday: Steelers vs. Browns Steelers Browns 4.71 0.00 0.02% 147.0092 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 22 2022 βœ… -692.22 9.80 0.00 -682.42 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 1.44 0.00 0.00% 552.7069 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 βœ… -794.21 1.18 0.00 -793.03 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? Democrat Republican 0.00 12,946.17 0.00% 1.0690 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,946.17 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -13,839.60 96.51 0.00 -796.92 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Sisolak) or Republican (Lombardo) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.00 13,559.55 0.00% 1.0889 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,559.55 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -14,765.15 393.60 0.00 -812.00 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 8, 2022? Yes No 4.07 0.00 0.00% 251.1925 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 βœ… -1,022.30 57.61 0.00 -964.69 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kotek) or Republican (Drazan) win in Oregon? Democrat Republican 6,382.85 0.00 0.00% 1.1870 1.00 0.00 6,382.85 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -7,576.53 167.14 0.00 -1,026.53 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from August to September 2022? Yes No 0.00 5.62 0.00% 204.7549 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 βœ… -1,149.80 40.02 0.00 -1,109.78 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 23 2022 βœ… -1,272.31 39.40 0.00 -1,232.91 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4.23 0.00% 335.6875 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 βœ… -1,419.22 38.27 0.00 -1,380.95 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 57.05 0.01% 38.1710 0.00 1.00 0.00 57.05 Wed Jul 27 2022 βœ… -2,177.59 435.75 0.00 -1,684.79 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $9 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 606.14 0.00% 4.2635 0.00 1.00 0.00 606.14 Mon Sep 12 2022 βœ… -2,584.29 115.86 0.00 -1,862.29 Trades
Will $MATIC reach 1$ by August 15? Yes No 0.00 10.31 0.00% 181.5740 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 βœ… -1,872.36 7.48 0.00 -1,864.87 Trades
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 23,371.18 0.00 0.00% 1.1098 1.00 0.00 23,371.18 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -25,937.39 108.69 0.00 -2,457.52 Trades
Will EUR be worth more than USD again before November? Yes No 0.00 5.30 0.00% 534.2467 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 31 2022 βœ… -2,833.49 216.37 0.00 -2,617.12 Trades
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 205k for the week ending on September 17? Yes No 4,127.16 0.00 0.00% 1.8345 1.00 0.00 4,127.16 0.00 Thu Sep 22 2022 βœ… -7,571.35 104.22 0.00 -3,339.97 Trades
Will there be 750,000 or more total ETH burned before November 4th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 991,933.26 46.76% 0.0060 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 03 2021 βœ… -5,956.71 0.00 0.00 -5,956.71 Trades
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.00 6.95 0.00% 1479.0909 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -10,281.35 236.39 0.00 -10,044.96 Trades
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9? Democrats Republicans 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 09 2022 βœ… -12,804.83 21.86 0.00 -12,782.98 Trades
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? Yes No 0.00 7.10 0.00% 1857.2385 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -13,187.39 183.29 0.00 -13,004.10 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.06 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 βœ… -20,815.59 138.93 0.00 -20,676.66 Trades
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 5.62 0.00% 10237.7033 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -57,541.36 678.14 0.00 -56,863.22 Trades
Resolved 621,444.74 523,035.37 -1,088,784.89 28,043.56 0.06 83,738.83
Unresolved 171,568.42 382,906.81 -531,767.10 13,310.76 306.71 36,325.61
Total 793,013.16 905,942.18 -1,620,552.00 41,354.32 306.77 120,064.44