Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
0.02
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
74.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
74.55
|
Trades
|
Will Blur Season 3 end by May? |
Yes |
No |
204.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.75 |
0.25 |
154.05
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
-133.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.05
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
2.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.05
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-24.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.60
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-29.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.92
|
Trades
|
Blast airdrop by May? |
Yes |
No |
220.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9544
|
|
0.69 |
0.31 |
152.33
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
|
-210.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-57.67
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,597.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.2362
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-377.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-377.37
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
3,610.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,610.97
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2,505.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,505.71
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
1,968.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,968.71
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
1,865.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,865.05
|
Trades
|
Will Milady outperform BAYC? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
1,796.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,796.09
|
Trades
|
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis |
Paul |
Danis |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
1,783.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,783.57
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
1,405.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,405.17
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
β
|
1,218.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,218.18
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
1,202.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,202.60
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
919.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
919.31
|
Trades
|
Travis Scott's Utopia over 500k sales week 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 03 2023
|
β
|
911.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
911.65
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,537.87
|
0.00% |
|
0.7100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,537.87
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
-1,801.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
735.98
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl LVIII: Coin Toss Heads or Tails? |
Heads |
Tails |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 10 2024
|
β
|
690.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
690.00
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
667.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
667.98
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
626.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
626.65
|
Trades
|
$WIF all time high before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
517.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
517.97
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
500.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
500.80
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1.25 on April 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
486.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
486.70
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1750 on March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
451.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
451.99
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
400.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
400.15
|
Trades
|
Will LeBron have a Blue checkmark on 4/21? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 21 2023
|
β
|
393.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
393.16
|
Trades
|
Fury Vs. KSI |
Fury |
KSI |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
321.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
321.92
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
298.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
298.42
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Wednesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 05 2023
|
β
|
293.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
293.83
|
Trades
|
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 07 2024
|
β
|
280.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
280.00
|
Trades
|
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
693.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.6400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
693.75
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
-444.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
249.75
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
248.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
248.04
|
Trades
|
DOGE above 8Β’ on April 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
β
|
226.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
226.76
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC reach $30,000 by April 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
136.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
136.09
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
106.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
106.14
|
Trades
|
Will Jesus Christ return by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
100.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
100.20
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
100.00
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
β
|
91.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
91.79
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? |
Yes |
No |
697.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8698
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
697.43
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-606.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
90.82
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
77.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.78
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
71.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
71.90
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
662.93
|
0.00% |
|
0.9051
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
662.93
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
62.93
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
543.48
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
543.48
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.48
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
35.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.34
|
Trades
|
Binance announces $RLB listing by Aug 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
29.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.89
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
22.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.03
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
β
|
21.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.73
|
Trades
|
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 05 2023
|
β
|
18.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.33
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be arrested on Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 21 2023
|
β
|
12.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.99
|
Trades
|
MetaMask airdrop by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum Shanghai Upgrade by April 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 15 2023
|
β
|
3.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.46
|
Trades
|
Will Zuck answer the door? |
Yes |
No |
5.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0210
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
-0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.12
|
Trades
|
Will Frank Ocean play Coachella Weekend 2? |
Yes |
No |
211.74
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0142
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 23 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-18.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.66
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
-29.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.65
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
-73.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-73.15
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1800 on March 31? |
Yes |
No |
142.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
177.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.5647
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
505.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1980
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
297.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.5046
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
β
|
-150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-150.00
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
331.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-242.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-242.14
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
406.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.6874
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
-279.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-279.24
|
Trades
|
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-355.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-355.61
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-377.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-377.47
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
641.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.7800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-500.00
|
Trades
|
Sui Airdrop by May 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
663.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9050
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 15 2023
|
β
|
-600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-600.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-688.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-688.47
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,013.07
|
0.00% |
|
0.9083
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-920.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-920.18
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,197.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-1,053.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,053.85
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7,658.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.7980
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-6,111.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6,111.37
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
697.44
|
4,438.04
|
|
|
10,663.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15,799.11
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
306.38
|
0.02
|
|
|
-698.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-391.92
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,003.82
|
4,438.06
|
|
|
9,965.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15,407.19
|
|